Vulnerable Analysis LITERATURE REVIEW

♦ Locations of Vulnerable Environmental Resources Assessing the hazard zones is helpful to identify whether they encompass valuable environmental, historic or cultural resources that may be vulnerable to the hazard. Vulnerable resources could include features such as aquifer recharge zones, potable water sources, historic buildings, and other such features. If the vulnera vent could cause ting the damage caused ons or facilities at may be subject to disaster impacts. For example, it may be widely known that ific wash out after every heavy rainstorm, or that a certain unity is exposed for each hazard. A judgment regarding the bility of these types of resources is known, then the Local Mitigation Strategy can also consider mitigation initiatives to lessen the potential for damage. ♦ Hazardous Materials Facilities Facilities where hazard materials are stored represent a unique situation regarding their vulnerability to disasters, for the impact of the e the accidental release of dangerous materials, further exacerba by the disaster itself. It will be worthwhile to assess the vulnerabilities of any such facilities that are located in the identified hazard zones. ♦ Historical Information Regarding Hazard Vulnerabilities An important source of information to complete the vulnerability assessment process is local knowledge regarding specific locati th spec sections of roadways electrical transmission line fails often during windstorms.

2.3 Vulnerable Analysis

The final step in the vulnerability assessment process is to use the information gathered and analysis conducted to date as a basis to estimate the risk to which the comm 13 risk of s. There are several factors to consider when assessing vulnera od of the event occurring again in the future. This ra long-term 30 years at least data. Examination of past events helps to determine the like of ven in the future. Table 2.1 Frequency scoring Source: Heinz, 1999 Approx. Rec ce years Approx. Probability Frequency Score a specific type of event will be an important tool for used later in prioritizing mitigation initiatives as they are developed from the vulnerability assessment results. Vulnerability is concerned with the qualitative or quantitative examination of the exposure of some component of society, economy or the environment to natural hazard bility, and these include: the frequency of the hazard, the size of the area affected by the disaster, and the severity or amount of damages that has resulted.

1. Frequency

Evaluating the number of times that the natural hazard has impacted in the past provides a measure of the likeliho ting is derived from an investigation of trends in the lihood similar e ts occurring urren Annual Subjective Description 1 100.0 Frequently recurring hazards, multiple recurrences in one lifetime 5 50 2.0 Typically occurs at least once in lifetime of average building 4 250 0.40 ccurring at least once in lifetime of average building 3 25 chance of o 500 0.20 10 chance of occurring at least once in lifetime of average building 2 1000 0.10 Highly infrequent events, like maximum considered earthquake 1 2500 0.04 Unlikely event 14

2. Area of Impact

A second criteria used in evaluating vulnerability to natural hazards is to determine the impact, or size of the area affected by the disaster. Some hazard events impact only a small region, while others can affect the entire area. The area of imp iate area is im vent. Again, historical data is used to investigate damage and loss records of previous hazard events to develop an estimate of where expected im cts or the a ccur. able 2.2 A g Source: Heinz, 1999 Mean Affected Area sq. milesevent Subjective Description Area Impact Score act determination indicates how much of the immed pounded by a single e pa mount of property damage may o T rea of impact scorin No affected area 1 Highly localized city block scale 1 10 Single zip code impact 2 50 City scale impact 3 100 County scale impact 4 500 Regional impact e.g. statewide 5

3. Severity

Severity, e range of the x Previous damage reports and other hist ical data e.g. newspaper articles, personal accountings, video clips, etc, are used. Table 2.3 Severity scoring Source: Heinz, 1999 Severity Score Earthquake MMI Hurricane SSI Average Flood Elevation ft or magnitude criteria, is used to determine th severity of damage from minor to devastating e pected from a single event. or 0 3 0 1 4 1 1 2 5 2 8 3 7 3 12 4 9 4 14 5 12 5 24 15

2.4 Use of GIS In Natural Hazard Assessments