Cash flow and pay-back period

38 The land profitability in Figure 19 does not accurately measure the economic return to land use in seaweed farming, especially when the value of other productive factors e.g. family labour is not excluded from the profit. However, the indicator could provide useful information for spatial planning to determine the allocation of coastal areas among different economic activities. Profit margin As indicated in Figure 20, the profit margin i.e. the ratio of profit to farm revenue of most of the 19 cases exceeded 50 percent. This implies that even if their farm revenues were reduced by half e.g. by a 50 percent drop in price or loss of half of the crops or their total costs doubled, these farms would still break even. 14 Generally speaking, a case with lower profit tends to have a lower profit margin. However, the cases from the United Republic of Tanzania Cases 19 and 20 and Cases 21 and 23 of Solomon Islands had relatively low profits but relatively high profit margins.

3.4 Cash flow and pay-back period

Figure 21 summarizes the cash flow situations of 17 cases in Table 6. 15 The evidence indicates that most cases had positive net cash inflow in the first year, which means that these farms were able to recover their initial investments within one year. Case 22 of Solomon Islands and Case 17 of the Philippines had net cash outflows i.e. negative net cash inflows in the first year because of their investments in motorized boats. However, their positive net cash inflows in the second year were more than enough to cover the outflows in the first year, which implies that the pay-back periods of their investment were less than two years. 14 Usually, break-even means a profit greater than zero. The zero-profit threshold is used here for simplicity, but it should be noted that for cases where profit does not exclude family labour, break-even profit should at least be enough to cover the opportunity cost of family labour. 15 Cases 1 and 2 from India are combined because they represent the first- and second-year situations of the same farm. The initial investments in drying facilities and boats in the Solomon Islands cases are estimated from the amortized annual capital cost based on the assumption of a five-year lifespan. FIGURE 19 Profitability of land use in carrageenan seaweed farming: evidence from the case studies Notes: “km” measures the total length of the cultivation lines of a farming system; “ha” gauges the area of a farm site; the farming area of Cases 7 and 8 farms located in South Sulawesi, Indonesia estimated based on the technical efficiency parameter for Case 3 in Figure 7; “ty = tonnesyear” measures the farm’s annual production of dried seaweed; “USDtonne” indicates the price of dried seaweed Figure 18. Source: Calculated, based on cases listed in Table 6. 17. Philippines, Zamboanga [MRLL, 0.05 ha, 2.85 ty, USD1074t] 10. Mexico [off-bottom, 1 ha 100-g seed, 54 ty, USD1000t] 12. Mexico [raft, 1 ha 100-g seed, 54 ty, USD1000t] 2. India [raft, 1 ha, 54 km, 6 cyclesyear, 108 ty, USD331t] 18. Philippines, Zamboanga [SW, 0.27 ha, 8.5 ty, USD1074t] 1. India [raft, 1 ha, 54 km, 4 cyclesyear, 72 ty, USD850t] 7. Indonesia [raft, 6 km, 0.55 ha, 6.6 ty, USD850t] 8. Indonesia [raft, 30 km, 2.75 ha, 33 tty, USD850t] 9. Mexico [off-bottom, 1 ha 50-g seed, 27 ty, USD1000t] 11. Mexico [raft, 1 ha 50-g seed, 27 ty, USD1000t] Annual profit per unit of farming area USDhayear 2 391 3 076 7591 8 467 16 228 17 121 17 806 22100 16 163 9 460 Off-bottom Floating raft Floating line FIGURE 20 Cost structure and profit margin in carrageenan seaweed farming: evidence from the case studies Notes: “km” measures the total length of the cultivation lines of a farming system; “ha” gauges the area of a farm site; “ty = tonnesyear” measures the farm’s annual production of dried seaweed; “USDtonne” indicates the value of profit Figure 18; “Capital cost” includes amortized annual capital cost i.e. depreciation of physical investments and financial cost interest and insurance premiums; “Operating expense” indicates total cash operating expense excluding seed materials and family labour same as Figure 17; “Profit” is equal to price minus capital cost and operating expense discrepancy due to rounding. Source: Calculated, based on cases listed in Table 6. 20 40 60 80 100 15. Philippines, Palawan [HLL, 2.7 km , 8.57 ty, USD842t] 21. Solomon Islands [off-bottom, 4 km, 17.4 ty, USD331t] 7. Indonesia [raft, 6 km, 6.6 ty, USD706t] 16. Philippines, Tawi-Tawi [HLL, 1.8 km , 2.75 ty, USD808t] 23. Solomon Islands [off-bottom, 2.4 km, 9.2 ty, USD291t] 8. Indonesia [raft, 30 km, 33 ty, USD633t] 20. United Republic of Tanzania [line, 0.324 km, 0.806 ty, USD154t] 19. United Republic of Tanzania [off-bottom, 0.3 km, 0.662 ty, USD148t] 14. Philippines, Tawi-Tawi [FOB, 1.62 km , 0.9 ty, USD736t] 13. Philippines, Zamboanga [FOB, 1.8 km, 2.143 ty, USD636t] 18. Philippines, Zamboanga [SW, 0.27 ha, 8.5 ty, USD514t] 2. India [raft, 1 ha, 54 km, 6 cyclesyear, 108 ty, USD150t] 1. India [raft, 1 ha, 54 km, 4 cyclesyear, 72 ty, USD131t] 17. Philippines, Zamboanga [MRLL, 0.05 ha, 2.85 ty, USD388t] 10. Mexico [off-bottom, 1 ha 100-g seed, 54 ty, USD334t] 12. Mexico [raft, 1 ha 100-g seed, 54 ty, USD321t] 22. Solomon Islands [off-bottom, 4 km, 21.7 ty, USD114t] 9. Mexico [off-bottom, 1 ha 50-g seed, 27 ty, USD114t] 11. Mexico [raft, 1 ha 50-g seed, 27 ty, USD89t Ratio to farm revenue 22 58 69 57 57 43 40 26 9 11 8 8 9 19 17 8 36 43 52 69 9 89 85 83 75 74 74 69 74 71 58 48 36 40 45 32 29 11 33 20 13 11 11 10 11 17 6 12 20 17 15 9 6 8 2 9 6 Capital cost Operating expense Profit FIGURE 21 Cash flows in carrageenan seaweed farming: evidence from the case studies Notes: “km” measures the total length of the cultivation lines of a farming system; “ha” gauges the area of a farm site; “tonnesyear” measures the farm’s annual production of dried seaweed; “USDtonne” indicates average annual net cash inflow in the first two years. Source: Calculated, based on cases listed in Table 6. Second year First year 15. Philippines, Palawan [HLL, 2.7 km , 8.57 ty, USD789t] 16. Philippines, Tawi-Tawi [HLL, 1.8 km , 2.75 ty, USD698t] 14. Philippines, Tawi-Tawi [FOB, 1.62 km , 0.9 ty, USD695t] 7. Indonesia [raft, 6 km, 6.6 ty, USD631t] 8. Indonesia [raft, 30 km, 33 ty, USD592t] 13. Philippines, Zamboanga [FOB, 1.8 km, 2.143 ty, USD521t] 18. Philippines, Zamboanga [SW, 0.27 ha, 8.5 ty, USD371t] 21. Solomon Islands [off-bottom, 4 km, 17.4 ty, USD286t] 10. Mexico [off-bottom, 1 ha 100-g seed, 54 ty, USD272t] 12. Mexico [raft, 1 ha 100-g seed, 54tyr, USD240t] 17. Philippines, Zamboanga [MRLL, 0.05 ha, 2.85 ty, USD223t] 23. Solomon Islands [off-bottom, 2.4 km, 9.2 ty, USD206t] 19. United Republic of Tanzania [off-bottom, 0.3 km, 0.662 ty, USD153t] 20. United Republic of Tanzania [line, 0.324 km, 0.806 ty, USD141t] 1 2. India [raft, 1 ha, 54 km, 1st yr 4 cy., 72 t, 2nd yr 6 cy., 108 t, USD135t] 22. Solomon Islands [off-bottom, 4 km, 21.7 ty, USD38t] 9. Mexico [off-bottom, 1 ha 50-g seed, 27 ty USD-2t] 11. Mexico [raft, 1 ha 50-g seed, 27 ty, USD-66t] Net cash inflow per tonne of dried seaweed production USDtonne 642 700 700 757 871 859 191 191 165 3 268 92 190 117 189 61 111 175 369 362 341 485 505 591 799 720 526 209 101 369 510 350 -323 -196 -88 -65 The off-bottom and floating raft farms in Mexico would be able to recover their initial investments within one year with 100 g seeds Cases 10 and 12, respectively but not with 50 g seeds Cases 9 and 11, respectively. Indeed, it would take more than two years for the understocking off-bottom and floating raft farms to recover their investment Robledo, Gasca-Leyva and Fraga, 2013. 40

3.5 Summary