Results and discussion Directory UMM :Journals:Journal of Health Economics:Vol19.Issue5.Sep2000:

Table 4 Impact of physician density on satisfaction in lowrhigh physician density municipalities. Ordered probit regression. Only coefficients for physician density are displayed. Wald x 2 test statistics Ž . absolute values below the regression coefficient. High physician density area: Physician density 7.56 2 Low physician High physician Wald x a density density test statistics municipalities municipalities Dependent Õariables Waiting time 0.084 0.084 0.20 52.34 125.8 Distance 0.060 0.012 12.03 22.39 2.14 Communication 0.054 0.013 6.30 11.20 2.09 Friendliness 0.052 0.028 1.25 17.20 12.09 Professional skills 0.039 0.025 0.67 10.86 11.04 Outcome 0.036 0.009 1.70 7.76 1.17 General satisfaction 0.072 0.036 7.19 38.58 22.93 a 2 Ž . Wald x test statistics absolute values refer to the interaction term between physician density and a dummy variable for high physician density municipalities in pooled regressions. p- 0.05. p- 0.01. Second, the control variables measured demographic characteristics of the municipalities which may affect accessibility to primary physician services. The following variables were included: population size, dummies for town and North- ern Norway, and the mean travelling time to the municipality centre. Third, the control variables measured the health status of the population. The following variables were included: mortality rate, proportion of welfare clients and average education level. All variables at the level of the municipality were obtained from the Norwegian Social Science Data Service.

4. Results and discussion

As is evident from Table 1, the respondents were relatively satisfied with the physicians’ professional skills but dissatisfied with the waiting time to get an appointment. These results are consistent with international studies, which mainly F. Carlsen, J. Grytten r Journal of Health Economics 19 2000 731 – 753 745 Table 5 2 Ž . Impact of physician density on satisfaction for two income categories. Ordered probit regression. Wald x test statistics absolute values below the regression Ž . coefficient. High income respondents: Family income G NOK300,000 £25,000 All municipalities Low physician density municipalities High physician density municipalities Low income High income Low income High income Low income High income Waiting time Physician density 0.060 0.058 0.100 0.070 0.079 0.089 98.38 111.7 31.92 21.01 51.69 75.02 Distance Physician density 0.025 0.027 0.079 0.046 0.007 0.017 14.84 20.57 16.44 7.49 0.35 2.57 Communication Physician density 0.015 0.027 0.058 0.052 0.006 0.019 3.85 15.81 5.31 6.06 0.25 2.62 Friendliness Physician density 0.027 0.032 0.051 0.052 0.038 0.022 16.98 29.75 6.94 9.55 9.98 4.15 Professional skills Physician density 0.027 0.026 0.037 0.039 0.035 0.019 18.43 20.75 4.17 6.16 9.81 3.39 Outcome Physician density 0.017 0.017 0.021 0.045 0.018 0.0009 7.05 8.34 1.13 6.94 2.28 0.006 General satisfaction Physician density 0.023 0.046 0.049 0.088 0.030 0.044 13.94 69.95 7.35 33.55 7.44 18.46 p - 0.05. p - 0.01. F. Carlsen, J. Grytten r Journal of Health Economics 19 2000 731 – 753 746 Table 6 Ž . Determinants of satisfaction with primary physician services. Ordered probit regression with and without random effects. Standard error absolute values below the regression coefficient Dependent variables Waiting time Distance Communication Without With Without With Without With random random random random random random effect effect effect effect effect effect Variables at the leÕel of the indiÕidual Constant 0.70 0.75 2.47 2.49 1.85 1.88 0.1271 0.1737 0.1366 0.1441 0.1609 0.1833 Respondent’s age 1 0.24 0.25 0.16 0.16 0.28 0.29 0.0288 0.0302 0.0298 0.0305 0.0365 0.0383 Respondent’s age 2 0.59 0.62 0.39 0.39 0.69 0.70 0.0354 0.0379 0.0362 0.0379 0.0447 0.0460 Respondent’s gender y0.020 y0.018 y0.060 y0.061 y0.076 y0.077 0.0202 0.0214 0.0215 0.0228 0.0261 0.0276 Respondent’s marital status y0.049 y0.044 y0.014 y0.015 0.002 0.001 0.0247 0.0249 0.0262 0.0266 0.0311 0.0321 Respondent’s level of education 1 y0.024 y0.029 y0.033 y0.033 y0.16 y0.16 0.0247 0.0257 0.0265 0.0264 0.0318 0.0325 Respondent’s level of education 2 0.029 0.032 0.004 0.003 y0.14 y0.14 0.0300 0.0311 0.0322 0.0327 0.0381 0.0396 Respondent’s family income 0.007 0.014 0.024 0.025 y0.023 y0.021 0.0224 0.0238 0.0234 0.0246 0.0278 0.0294 F. Carlsen, J. Grytten r Journal of Health Economics 19 2000 731 – 753 747 Variables at the leÕel of the municipality Physician density 0.059 0.061 0.022 0.022 0.024 0.024 0.0057 0.0078 0.0058 0.0062 0.0070 0.0080 Other personnel y0.003 y0.003 0.002 0.002 y0.0001 y0.0001 0.0014 0.0021 0.0015 0.0014 0.0019 0.0029 Care for the elderly 0.58 0.67 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.27 0.4219 0.5891 0.4451 0.4593 0.5230 0.5980 Dummy for hospital 0.078 0.077 0.074 0.074 0.12 0.12 0.0281 0.0433 0.0297 0.0332 0.0380 0.0416 Proportion of employed physicians y0.20 y0.21 y0.055 y0.055 y0.13 y0.13 0.0404 0.0554 0.0424 0.0435 0.0515 0.0602 y5 y5 y7 y7 y6 y6 Population 0.10=10 0.11=10 y0.11=10 y0.10=10 y0.41=10 y0.42=10 y6 y6 y6 y6 y6 y6 0.30=10 0.56=10 0.35=10 0.37=10 0.45=10 0.46=10 Dummy for town 0.033 0.030 0.077 0.78 0.053 0.054 0.0267 0.0433 0.0278 0.0290 0.0340 0.0376 Dummy for Northern Norway y0.29 y0.30 0.037 0.037 y0.060 y0.060 0.0324 0.0475 0.0346 0.0391 0.0412 0.0469 Travelling time y0.001 y0.001 y0.011 y0.011 y0.003 y0.003 0.0013 0.0018 0.0013 0.0012 0.0015 0.0019 Mortality y0.0002 y0.0002 y0.0003 y0.0003 y0.0004 y0.0004 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 Welfare clients y1.99 y2.14 y2.65 y2.68 1.25 1.24 0.8693 1.2255 0.9168 0.9722 1.1243 1.2530 Education y0.18 y0.25 y0.10 y0.097 1.06 1.07 0.3809 0.5734 0.4036 0.4242 0.4895 0.5231 p- 0.05. p- 0.01. F. Carlsen, J. Grytten r Journal of Health Economics 19 2000 731 – 753 748 Friendliness Professional skills Outcome General satisfaction Without With Without With Without With Without With random random random random random random random random effect effect effect effect effect effect effect effect 1.88 1.89 2.37 2.41 2.28 2.30 2.16 2.20 0.1346 0.1501 0.1444 0.1672 0.1341 0.1461 0.1300 0.1438 0.23 0.24 0.22 0.23 0.17 0.17 0.25 0.26 0.0293 0.0290 0.0308 0.0324 0.0298 0.0318 0.0284 0.0289 0.70 0.71 0.67 0.70 0.57 0.57 0.77 0.78 0.0363 0.0369 0.0394 0.0411 0.0366 0.0383 0.0357 0.0358 y0.096 y0.097 y0.17 y0.18 y0.16 y0.16 y0.21 y0.21 0.0214 0.0217 0.0228 0.0236 0.0214 0.0220 0.0206 0.0213 0.009 0.009 0.010 0.010 0.022 0.023 0.016 0.019 0.0256 0.0257 0.0277 0.0284 0.0255 0.0257 0.0253 0.0258 y0.11 y0.11 y0.12 y0.13 y0.067 y0.066 y0.18 y0.19 0.0261 0.0260 0.0280 0.0282 0.0258 0.0259 0.0255 0.0256 y0.15 y0.15 y0.18 y0.18 y0.11 y0.11 y0.21 y0.22 0.0320 0.0324 0.0341 0.0341 0.0320 0.0321 0.0309 0.0316 y0.007 y0.007 y0.036 y0.032 0.001 0.001 y0.068 y0.071 0.0232 0.0230 0.0249 0.0256 0.0232 0.0239 0.0226 0.0227 F. Carlsen, J. Grytten r Journal of Health Economics 19 2000 731 – 753 749 0.028 0.028 0.030 0.030 0.012 0.012 0.028 0.029 0.0060 0.0065 0.0061 0.0067 0.0059 0.0060 0.0056 0.0061 0.0004 0.0005 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0016 0.0017 0.0016 0.0022 0.0016 0.0022 0.0015 0.0016 0.058 0.038 0.25 0.23 y0.71 y0.72 0.54 0.52 0.4446 0.4808 0.4678 0.5221 0.4422 0.4928 0.4288 0.4593 0.062 0.063 0.071 0.072 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.0291 0.0313 0.0326 0.0393 0.0293 0.0314 0.0287 0.0351 y0.13 y0.13 y0.17 y0.17 y0.068 y0.068 y0.17 y0.17 0.0432 0.0474 0.0452 0.0539 0.0430 0.0469 0.0408 0.0459 y6 y6 y6 y6 y7 y7 y6 y6 y0.10=10 y0.11=10 0.11=10 0.10=10 y0.34=10 y0.36=10 y0.28=10 y0.29=10 y6 y6 y6 y6 y6 y6 y6 y6 0.31=10 0.52=10 0.35=10 0.41=10 0.34=10 0.41=10 0.32=10 0.39=10 0.058 0.058 0.087 0.087 0.056 0.057 0.066 0.067 0.0278 0.0307 0.0301 0.0355 0.0278 0.0296 0.0265 0.0303 y0.049 y0.049 y0.026 y0.028 y0.061 y0.061 y0.075 y0.077 0.0342 0.0358 0.0372 0.0427 0.0345 0.0350 0.0329 0.0354 y0.004 y0.004 y0.004 y0.005 y0.003 y0.003 y0.003 y0.003 0.0013 0.0015 0.0015 0.0017 0.0014 0.0016 0.0013 0.0014 y0.0002 y0.0002 y0.0004 y0.0004 y0.0002 y0.0002 y0.0002 y0.0002 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.37 0.36 y2.29 y2.31 y0.53 y0.57 y1.62 y1.70 0.9314 0.9929 0.9834 1.1186 0.9318 1.0298 0.8913 1.0149 0.32 0.34 0.70 0.74 y0.078 y0.071 y0.14 y0.12 0.3944 0.4132 0.4461 0.5057 0.3916 0.3780 0.3867 0.4750 find that consumers are most satisfied with physician competence and the outcome Ž of care, and least satisfied with access to care for a review see: Hall and Dornan, . 1988 . Table 3 presents regressions based on the full data set. Two regressions are presented for each dependent variable. In the first column, all explanatory Ž . variables are included, whereas only statistically significant variables p - 0.05 are included in the second column. The two specifications produced virtually identical coefficients. Ž . Consistent with US surveys Pascoe, 1983; Cleary and McNeil, 1988 , we found that older people, women, and less educated people were more satisfied than younger people, men and people with higher education. There was also some indication that married people and people with high income were relatively dissatisfied with primary physician services. Physician density was positively associated with all aspects of satisfaction, and the coefficient was always statistically significant at conventional levels of signifi- Ž . cance p - 0.05 . The impact of physician density on reported satisfaction was strongest for waiting time and weakest for outcome of care and communication. The results thus indicate that physician density is more important for access to care than for quality of care. In general, the coefficients of the other municipal variables are plausible: people were more satisfied with primary physician services in towns, municipalities with a hospital, densely populated municipalities and municipalities with low mortality. To examine whether the relationship between reported satisfaction and physi- cian density is non-linear, we split the sample into low density and high density municipalities and replicated the parsimonious regressions reported in Table 3 for each subsample. 2 The results reported in Table 4 suggest that the impact of physician density on satisfaction is a decreasing function of physician density. For six of the dependent variables, the coefficient of physician density was higher in the low density sample than in the high density sample, and the difference between the subsamples was statistically significant for three of these six variables. The coefficient of physician density was always significant in the low density sample but only significant for four out of seven dependent variables in the high density sample. Satisfaction with waiting time to get an appointment was the exception; the coefficient of physician density was equal in the two subsamples. This result suggests that diminishing return to physician density sets in at a higher level of physician density for waiting time than for the other dependent variables. One possible reason is that people on average are less satisfied with waiting time than Ž . with the other aspects of primary physician services Table 1 . 2 For brevity, Tables 4 and 5 display the coefficients of physician density only. We expect policy-makers to be particularly interested in the relationship between supply of primary physician services, and access to and quality of care for low income groups. Table 5 presents separate analyses for high and low income respondents using family income as split criterion. 3 The results suggest that there are no systematic differences between the two groups. Finally, we constructed a small subsample by drawing five respondents from each municipality and year. We estimated the ordered probit model on this subsample both with and without the municipal error term to check whether the results presented in Tables 3–5 were biased when the municipal error term was excluded. The results reported in Table 6 suggest that this is not the case; inclusion of the municipal error term has only a modest impact on the coefficients and the estimated standard deviations of the coefficients.

5. Conclusion