GENERATING DATA SIMULATION AND RESULT

Proceeding of International Conference On Research, Implementation And Education Of Mathematics And Sciences 2014, Yogyakarta State University, 18-20 May 2014 M-51                     n i i i y it T t y it it it g g L 1 1 1 1 , ,       12 Then the log-likelihood function is                       i T t i y it y it n i it it g g L LL       1 1 1 1 log , , log 13 There are some methods of iteration to get the solution of equatian 13 : Newton-Raphson methods, BFGS methods, etc.

4. GENERATING DATA SIMULATION AND RESULT

We will generate simulation data with T=3, n=1000. Then, the equations of utility are U i0t =  i0 + 0 0t +  0t X i +  t Z i0t +  i01 and U i1t =  i1 + 0 1t +  1t X i +  t Z i1t +  i11 14 for i=1,...,N; j=0,1 and t=1,...,3;  ijt ~Extreme Value Type I,  i ~ N0,  2 . Equation 14 can be presented in difference of utility U it = U i1t –U i0t . On Logit Model, equations of utility difference are U it = 0 t +  t X i +  t Z it +  i +  it 15 or U i1 = V i1 +  i +  i1 ; U i2 = V i2 +  i +  i2 ;U i3 = V i3 +  i +  i3 with V it = V i1t – V i0t = it t i t t Z X      . Z it = Z i1t – Z i0t ; 0 t = 0 0t - 0 1t ;  t =  0t -  1t ;  i =  i1 -  i0 . We generate data on 0 t =-1;  t = 0.5 ,  t =0.3 and some of variance  2 =0; 0.5; 1; 2; 4, 6 using program R.2.8.1. From the data simulation, we built the Logit Model using three approximations. First, we assume independence each other for all i, j and t independent logit model and estimate parameters using MLE  MLECS . Second, we estimate parameter using GEE  GEE . The last approximation is Random Effect Model using MLE  MLERE . Results of the simulations presented in Figure 1 to Figure 10. Figure 1. Estimator of  2 Figure β. Estimator of 0 1 Based on simulation result representing at Figure 1., estimator of  2 using Random effect Model  MLERE more accurate than GEE  GEE .  MLERE have value closer to real value of parameter than  GEE . Jaka Nugraha Random Effect Model... ISBN.978-979-99314-8-1 M-52 Overall, estimator of 0 t , t and t in MLE as same as GEE see Figure 2 to Figure 10. Figure γ. Estimator of 0 2 Figure 4. Estimator of 0 3 Figure 5. Estimator of 1 Figure 6. Estimator of 2 Figure 7. Estimator of 3 Figure 8. Estimator of 1 Figure 9. Estimator of 2 Figure 10. Estimator of 3 We can see that on  2 = 0 no effect individual estimators by three approximations are same. Proceeding of International Conference On Research, Implementation And Education Of Mathematics And Sciences 2014, Yogyakarta State University, 18-20 May 2014 M-53 On general, estimator of independent Logit Model MLECS ˆ and estimator of GEE GEE  ˆ are not different but increasing of  2 impact to increasing bias of estimator. On data having individual effect see Figure 2 to Figure 10, the random effect model MLERE ˆ better than MLECS ˆ and GEE  ˆ . By GEE, we estimate coefficient regressions and correlation among alternative. Using effect random model we can estimate coefficient regressions, individual effect and covarianscorrelations among alternative. On value of individual effect  2 about 1, random effect model can estimate covarians of utility more appropriate than the others value of  2 .

5. CONCLUSION