RESULT T2 972011007 Full text

Volume 72 – No.2, June 2013 guidelines. Then calculate the spatial contiguity matrix, of which in this study uses queen contiguity matrix: the calculation of neighbor matrix by dividing any part of the common boundary region. Figure 4 shows the queen contiguity matrix in Boyolali Regency. Dot represents a sub district, and the red line shows the region of the neighboring districts. If sub districts are connected with a red line, then the value on the sub-value is 1. When a sub district is not connected, then the value = 0. Figure 4 shows there are 70 connected areas in Boyolali Regency. Figure 4 Queen Contiguity Matrix The next stage is to calculate GISA. GISA calculation results are shown in Table 3. From these calculations it is found that the value of E I is -0.05. If the value of I E I, then the autocorrelation is positive. This means that the data pattern to form clusters. Random data pattern forms if I = E I, meaning that there is no spatial autocorrelation. If I E I, then the autocorrelation has a negative value, meaning that the data pattern spreads. GISA calculation results in the form of an index value of Moran on seven indicators of food insecurity. Moran index value in 2008-2010 on seven indicators shows the high level of spatial correlation indicator types can be seen in Table 2 . There are approximately five indicators that make up the cluster pattern. This means that neighboring sub districts have correlation on one another. While indicators have random spatial pattern, meaning the neighboring districts have less correlation on one another. The highest correlation between regions close +1 is owned by the indicator percentage of population living below poverty line, with Moran index of 0.464. This index has potential to have converging spatial patterns clusters. It means that percentage of population living below poverty line in neighboring sub districts in Boyolali Regency still have mutual correlation on each other. Table 3. Calculation of GISA Year Indicator Moran ’s Index I Spatial patterns 2008 1 -0.017 Uniform 2 0.464 Cluster 3 -0.05 Random 4 0.178 Cluster 5 0.45 Cluster 6 0.13 Cluster 7 0.05 Cluster 2009 1 0.053 Cluster 2 0.501 Cluster 3 -0.05 Random 4 0.246 Cluster 5 0.45 Cluster 6 0.13 Cluster 7 0.06 Cluster 2010 1 -0.025 Uniform 2 0.448 Cluster 3 -0.05 Random 4 0.262 Cluster 5 0.45 Cluster Volume 72 – No.2, June 2013 6 0.13 Cluster 7 0.03 Cluster Figure 5 is a LISA map of underprivileged population in 2008. From Figure 5, shows that there are patterns of spatial clusters clustered and correlated in sub district Wonosegoro and Kemusu. These sub districts are marked with red color, which is a hotspot area High-High. It means that these two sub districts have a high percentage of underprivileged population, and surrounded by sub districts that have a high percentage of underprivileged populations as well. Sub district that categorized as hotspot is a sub district that has potentially in food insecurity. Thus, such sub districts can be the focus in governments efforts to improve the welfare of the population. In addition, there is a district that has a High-Low value, the district Juwangi marked in green. It shows that the percentage of the underprivileged population in Juwangi sub district is high, while the percentage in the surrounding regions are low. However, this condition does not affect the surrounding districts. Figure 5 underprivileged population in 2008 In 2009-2010, there was a change in the spatial pattern of sub district Wonosegoro and Sambi. Wonosegoro sub district as hotspot region has become a non-significant region Figure 6. It means that this sub district does not have a spatial correlation with the surrounding districts. A region can be a non-significant because there are factors limiting the distribution of the population from one region to the other regions, such as lakes, damaged roads, and other physical factors [Prasetyo, 2011]. On the contrary, in Sambi sub district, there are significant spatial pattern changes from non- significant region to hotspot region. This means the percentage of the underprivileged population of Sambi sub district is quite high, at the surrounding sub districts with high percentage of underprivileged population as well. Figure 6 underprivileged population in 2009-2010 Figure 7 shows that in 2008, there are spatial pattern of local cluster in Juwangi, Wonosegoro and Boyolali sub districts. Hotspot regions that marked in red is Wonosegoro sub district. It is has potentially in food insecurity regions because it has high percentage of households without access to electricity and surrounded by the region with high percentage of households without access to electricity as well. Meanwhile, Juwangi and Boyolali sub districts included in the coldspot Low-Low. It means that households residing in these two sub districts and the surrounding area have access to electricity. Figure 7 households without access to electricity 2008 In 2009-2010, Boyolali sub district turned into a non-significant region, i.e. region which does not have a spatial correlation with the surrounding areas Figure 8. Volume 72 – No.2, June 2013 Figure 8 households without access to electricity 2009-2010 Figure 10 shows a map of LISA with seven indicators of food insecurity in 2008. Food insecurity area is area that included in the hotspot region in all indicators of food insecurity. From the figure shows that no region is experienced food insecurity. However, some districts has potentially affected by food insecurity because of the districts included in the hotspot regions. There are hotspot regions on three indicators of food insecurity, which is on the indicator of percentage underprivileged population, the percentage of households without access to electricity. This means that these three indicators has correlation the occurrence of food insecurity in Boyolali Regency in 2008. On the indicator of underprivileged population percentage, there are two sub districts that included in hotspot region and have potential become food insecurity region i.e. namely Wonosegoro, and Kemusu sub districts. Wonosegoro district is also included in the hotspot region on indicator of household percentage without access to electricity. Figure 10 LISA map 2008 In 2009, there has been a hotspot change region with three same indicators as in 2008 Figure 12. Changes occurred in the hotspot region on the percentage indicator of underprivileged population in two districts, namely Wonosegoro and Sambi sub districts. Wonosegoro sub district that originally was a hotspot area turned into non-significant regions. Meanwhile, the Sambi sub district that was as non-significant region turned into hotspot region. In 2010, there were no changes in the spatial patterns of both the indicator and the region. Figure 12 shows a map of food insecurity regions in 2009 and 2010. Potentially food insecure regions are marked with red color. Based on the map, there are five potentially food insecure districts, i.e. Wonosegoro, Kemusu, Ampel, Cepogo and Sambi sub districts. Potentially food insecurity in Wonosegoro sub district affected by the high percentage indicator of households without access to electricity. This indicates that the percentage of underprivileged people who last year had a high level turned into low level. Causes of potentially food insecurity in Kemusu sub district is still the same as in 2008, namely the high percentage of underprivileged population. Similarly in Sambi sub Volume 72 – No.2, June 2013 district, the high percentage of the underprivileged population causes this sub district experienced potentially food insecurity. Figure 12 LISA map 2009-2010

5. CONCLUSION

Through this research, we can conclude that: 1. Based on neighbors analysis used Mora ’s I Method, there is no food insecurity areas in Boyolali Regency. However, there are potentially insecure areas in Boyolali regency in 2008, that is Wonosegoro, Kemusu, Ampel dan Cepogo districts, while Wonosegoro, Kemusu, Ampel, Cepogo dan Sambi districts are the potentially insecure area in 2009 – 2010. 2. Fro this research, the i dex of Mora ’s 9 indicators the index is about +1, it means that the indicators has a high correlation. Based o Mora ’s I dex, the i dicators which has correlation of the food insecurity in Boyolali Regency from 2008 – 2010 are Habitant percentage which live below the poor level and limited electricity access in the areas.

6. REFERENCES

[1] Departemen Pertanian, 2009, Peta Kerawanan Pangan Indonesia Food Insecurity Atlas, Pusat Kewaspadaan pangan, Badan Ketahanan Pangan, September 2005, http:www.foodsecurityatlas.orgidncount ryfsva-2009-peta-ketahanan-dan- kerentanan-pangan-indonesiabab-1- pendahuluan. [2] Karanganyar Pos, 2009, kecamatan di Boyolali rawan pangan, http:www.karanganyarpos.com20095- kecamatan-di-Boyolali-rawan-pangan- 2435. [3] Departemen Pertanian, 2009, Pusat Ketersediaan dan Kerawanan Pangan 2010, Kebijakan Pengembangan Ketersediaan Pangan. Bahan Paparan Workshop Dewan Ketahanan Pangan, September 2009. Jakarta. Volume 72 – No.2, June 2013 [4] Departemen Pertanian, 2010, Pusat Ketersediaan dan Kerawanan Pangan 2010, Kebijakan Pengembangan Ketersediaan Pangan. Bahan Paparan Workshop Dewan Ketahanan Pangan, 20- 22 September 2010. Jakarta. [5] Prasetyo, S. Y, 2010, Endemic Outbreaks of Brown Planthopper in Indonesia Using Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis. International Journal of Computer Science Issues, Vol. 9, Issue 5, No 1, September 2012. [6] Tsai PJ, 2012, Application Of Morans Test With An Empirical Bayesian Rate To Leading Health Care Problems In Taiwan In A 7-Year Period 2002-2008. Glob J Health Sci, 4 Juli 21012, 45:63-77. [7] Anselin, 1998, GIS Reseach Infrastructure for Spatial Analysis of Real Estate Markets, Journal of Housing Research, Volume 9, Issue 1. [8] Chen Y., 2010, On The Four Types of Weight Functions for Spatial Contiguity Matrix, Department of Geography, College of Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing. [9] LeSage, J. P., 1999, The Theory and Practice of Sapcial Econometrics, Department of Economics, University of Toledo. [10] Vitton, P., 2010, Notes on Spatial Econometric Models, City and Regional Planning. [11] Arrowiyah, Sutikno, 2009, Spatial Pattern Analysis Kejadian Penyakit Demam Berdarah Dengue Informasi Early Warning Bencana di Kota Surabaya, Institut Teknologi Surabaya. [12] Harvey dkk, 2008, The North American Animal Disease Spread Model: A simulation model to assist decision making in evaluating animal disease incursions, Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol 82, Halaman 176-197. [13] Dormann C. F., McPherson J.M., Methods to Account for Spatial Autocorrelation in the Analysis of Species Distributional Data : a review, Ecography 30 : 609628, 2007, doi: 10.1111j.2007.0906-7590.05171.x [14] Puspitawati Dewi, 2012. Pemodelan Pola Spasial Demam Berdarah Dengue di Kabupaten Semarang Menggunakan Fungsi Moran’s I. Fakultas Teknologi Informasi, Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana. [15] Celebioglu dan Dall’erba, 2008, Spatial Disparities across The Regions of Turkey : on exploratory spatial data analysis, Ann Reg Sci 2010 45: 379-400, DOI 10.1007s00168-009-0313-8. [16] Anselin, L., 1995, Local Indicators of Spatial Association-LISA, Geographical Analysis, Vol. 27, No. 2 April 1995 Ohio State University Press. [17] Oliveau, S., Guilmoto, C. Z., 2010, Spatial Correlation And Demography. Exploring India’s Demographic Patterns, XXVC Congrès International De La Population, Tours : France 2005. [18] BPS, Kecamatan dalam Angka 2010 , Kabupaten Boyolali. [19] Wonogiri pos, 2013, http:www.wonogiripos.com2013soloray aBoyolaliduh-desa-ngendroloka-belum- tersentuh-listrik-381716 [20] Celebioglu dan Dall’erba, 2008, Spatial Disparities across The Regions of Turkey : on exploratory spatial data analysis, Ann Reg Sci 2010 45: 379-400, DOI 10.1007s00168-009-0313-8. [21] Anselin, L., 1995, Local Indicators of Spatial Association-LISA, Geographical Analysis, Vol. 27, No. 2 April 1995 Ohio State University Press. [22] Oliveau, S., Guilmoto, C. Z., 2010, Spatial Correlation And Demography. Exploring India’s Demographic Patterns, XXVC Congrès International De La Population, Tours : France 2005.