15 6. Trends in livelihoods numbers of people engaged in agriculture, fisheries, industry,
services 7. Trends in water quality size of area classified as polluted, incidence of toxic blooms,
loadings or concentrations of pollutants The graphics will display each trend over the same time period and provide an initial basis for
correlating patterns of change across variables. This visual display will highlight data gaps and as noted previously will distinguish between variables for which there is reliable data and those
that are a “best guess”.
Task Q2 Q3
Q4
Completion of Study Feb-Mar April-May
Outputs
• A detailed timeline extending back to the 1950s that identifies significant changes in the state of coastal ecosystems in the Western Region, the pressures that have contributed to
such changes and responses by the governance system • Sets of graphs with explanatory text that estimate long term trends in important human
and environmental variables • A set of conceptual diagrams that convey the essential attributes of the ecosystem
3.1.3 Prepare Reviews of Governance Responses to Key Issues
Background The previous steps in the assembly of a baseline set the stage for an analysis of governance. This
section calls for the preparation of case studies that probe the nature and dynamics of governance in the Western Region. Case studies help to understand responses—or absence of responses—to
changes in the condition of the socio-environmental system as revealed by past and current behavior of the governance system. This element of a governance baseline draws upon the
Response column of the timeline and is described in Sections 3.1 through 3.4 of the Handbook. A good case study permits a well informed analysis of how planning and decision making on
issues raised by ecosystem change have evolved. It is revealing to examine cases where, despite widespread concern over an issue or issues in the area of focus, the governance system was
unable to achieve consensus and commitment to any actions. The purpose is not to pass judgment on past and current efforts to address issues of concern, but rather to document how the
processes of governance have played out in specific instances. Some case studies that examine how well or poorly the issue analysis and planning have been linked to the subsequent
implementation of a course of action. The case studies will not only examine the responses by government laws, policies, officially sanctioned projects and programs, but will explore how
business and NGOs have responded to a problem or opportunity. Case studies will be selected from the Western Region and at the national scale.
Objective
16 • Commission two sets of case studies that document and analyze responses of the
governance system to issues posed by shifts in the condition of the coast and its fisheries
Activities Case studies will be assembled that document and analyze both the processes of governance by
the management cycle and the outcomes by the Orders of Outcome framework. For many initiatives, it is expected there will be only fragments of unconnected cycles. The analysis will
look for evidence of learning and adaptation between various attempts to address the same problem or geographic area. A second focal point is the degree to which an initiative has made
the transition from planning and policy formulation to implementation and if it includes evaluation. The case studies will be commissioned in two rounds. The first round will commence
in February 2010 and will address such issues as:
• The trawler fleets and efforts to regulate their activities at the national and LME scales • Control of dynamite fishing and light fishing by the artisanal fleets
• Efforts to strengthen community-based fisheries management and the roles of the traditional Chiefs in the Western Region
• Evolution and impacts of controls over shorefront development in the Western Region and nationally
The first round will be completed in the second quarter. Based on the results of the first set of cases and the insights being generated from other actions, a second set of case studies will be
commissioned for completion in the third and fourth quarters of Phase 1.
Task Q2 Q3
Q4
Identification of consultants Jan
Completion of case studies Feb-Mar
Publication of selected studies May
Outputs • A set of case studies that reveal processes and outcomes of initiatives by government, the
traditional governance system and civil society in response to coastal and fisheries issues • The best case studies also may be distributed as stand-alone documents
3.1.4 Biodiversity Threats Assessment Background
