Previous Studies ANALYSIS OF TOTAL POPULATION, GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND GROSS REGIONAL DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GRDP) INFLUENCE TOWARDS LOCAL REVEANUE (PAD) (Case Study in Districts / Cities in Riau Province Period of 2010 to 2014)

significant and positive effect towards Local Revenue. This indicates that the respective districtcity in South Sumatra took a positive policy in the development potential and attractiveness of the area by doing physical development. Gross Regional Domestic Product Also has a positive and significant effect to the Local Revenue. This happens because the movement of GRDP is dominated by primary and tertiary sectors. While, North Sumatera Province is rich in Natural Resource. Table 2.1 Previous Studies No Author Variables Method Results 1 Tobing, 2015 Local Revenue Y Total Population X 1 Gov Expenditure X 2 GRDP X 3 Panel Data with Multiple Linear Regression Analysis Total Population is not significant to Local Revenue Government Expenditure is positive and significant to Local Revenue GRDP is positive and significant to Local Revenue 2 Datu K, 2012 Local Revenue Y Gov Expenditure X 1 GRDP X 2 Analysis Regression Model with 2 SLS Gov Expenditure was significant and positive effect to Local Revenue followed by GRDP and its effect positive and significant directly towards Local Revenue While, GRDP also was effect significant and positive towards Local Revenue. 3 Aryanti and Indarti, tt Local Revenue Y GRDP X 1 Inflation X 2 Analisis Regresi Linear Berganda GRDP was effected the increasing of Local Revenue positively. Inflation was not effect to the increasing of Local Revenue. 4 Atmaja, 2011 Local Revenue Y Local Expenditure X 1 Total Population X 2 GRDP X 3 Ordinary Least Square OLS For all variables were effected towards Local Revenue. As individually, Total Population was having a great effect to Local Revenue. 5 Kusrini, 2015 Local Revenue Y GRDP X 1 Direct Expenditure of Local Government X 2 Total Population X 3 Panel Data Model GRDP has effect significantly to the increasing Local Revenue. The growth value of Direct Expenditure of Local Government was affected significantly. Total Population was not affecting to Local Revenue.

C. Framework

The Tests associated with the development of macro variables, such Total Population, Government Spending and Gross Regional Domestic Product GRDP that have a functional relationship with the Local Revenue PAD. In this study, the framework of reasoning as follows: FIGURE 2.1 Scheme of Framework

D. Hypothesis

The hypothesis to be tested on the macro variables in this study are: 1. Presumably the positive influence between Total Population towards Local Revenue PAD. 2. Presumably the positive influence between Government Spending towards Local Revenue PAD. 3. Presumably the positive influence between Gross Regional Domestic Product GRDP towards Local Revenue PAD. Total Population Gross Regional Domestic Product GRDP Local Revenue PAD + + + Government Spending 32 CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

A. Object Subject of Research

This study is aimed at districts cities in Riau Province. Pekanbaru municipal elections as the study area due to facilitate the collection of data, in addition Pekanbaru is the capital of Riau province.

B. Types and Sources of Data

The data used in this study are primary and secondary quantitative method which is the time series data from 2010-2014. About the Local Revenue PAD, Total Population, Government Spending and Gross Regional Domestic Product GRDP is obtained from the Office of the Department of Revenue, the Central Statistics Agency BPS Riau, literature-literature books and reports related to this writing. C. Data Collecting Technique Data collecting was done in this study by way author proposes permit research to agencies associated with this author in a study area, after being given permission research and obtain the data required, and then the data will be processed and used as materials analysis to prove the hypothesis that has been put forward.

D. The Variables Operational Definition of Research

In this study consisted of the dependent variable [Y] is Local Revenue PAD of Riau Province, Independent Variables [X 1 ] is Total Population, [X 2 ] Government Spending, and [X 3 ] Gross Regional Domestic Product GRDP of Riau Province. Local Revenue PAD is a source of local revenue derived from the results of local taxes, levies result, the results of companies belonging to the region and other areas of wealth management results were separated and others Local Revenue PAD legitimate in Riau Province. Unit in thousand rupiah, data is taken from the Central Bureau of Statistics Riau Province 2010-2014. Total Population is the number of people living in the province of Riau. Data is taken from the Central Statistics Agency of Riau Province 2010-2014. Government Spending is the expenditure including the government sector and purchases of goods and services used for the payment of subsidies which implements the functions of government. Government expenditure data is taken from the Central Statistics Agency of Riau Province 2010-2014. Gross Regional Domestic Product GRDP is the total value of production of goods and services produced in the region regional within a certain specified time one year in the province of Riau. Data is taken from the Central Statistics Agency of Riau Province 2010-2014.

E. Analysis Method

Data analysis technique used quantitative approach which quantitatively explains the object of study is based on facts and data. Then, analyze descriptively to answer the problem of research. This approach is expected to explain the condition of the object under study to look at the Total Population, Government Spending in the form of direct and indirect spending and Gross Regional Domestic Product at constant prices of the Local Revenue in districtscities in Riau Province. This study uses panel data. Panel data regression is used to answer the purpose of this study is to determine whether the number of Total Populations, Government Spending and Gross Regional Domestic Product affect Local Revenue in districtscities in Riau Province. Panel data is a combination of time series data time series and data cross cross section. There are several advantages of using panel data in economic research. According to Gujarati 2010 in Tobing, 2015, the advantage of using panel data is as follows: 1. Data Panel is able to accommodate the level of heterogeneity of the variables that are not included in the model. 2. Data Panel able to indicated and measured the effect is the same and cannot be obtained with a simple cross section pure or pure time series. 3. Data Panel was able to reduce co linearity between variables. 4. Data Panel can test and build more complex behavioral models. 5. Data Panel can minimize bias generated by individual regression because more data units.