Straight Coupon Bond Suppose you are considering investing in a straight coupon bond that:
Straight Coupon Bond Suppose you are considering investing in a straight coupon bond that:
■ Promises interest of $100, paid at the end of each year. ■ Promises to pay the principal amount of $1,000 at the end of 12 years. ■ Investors require an annual yield of 5%.
What is this bond worth today? We are given the following:
Interest, C = $100 every year
Number of periods, N = 12 years Maturity value, M
= $1,000 Yield, r d = 5% per year
---------------------------- $100 + ---------------------------- $1,000 = $886.32 + $556.84 = ∑ $1,443.16
t = 1 ( 1 + 0.05 ) ( 1 + 0.05 )
Using a financial calculator,
Hewlett-Packard Hewlett-Packard Hewlett-Packard Texas Instruments 10B
12C
17B
BA-II Plus
12 N 1000 FV
12 n
12 N
1000 FV 5 I/YR
5 I%YR
CPT PV This bond has a present value greater than its maturity value, so we
PV
PV
say that the bond is selling at a premium from its maturity value. Does this make sense? Yes: The bond pays interest of 10% of its face value every year. But what investors require on their investment—the capitali- zation rate considering the time value of money and the uncertainty of the future cash flows—is 5%. So what happens? The bond paying 10% is attractive— so attractive that its price is bid upward to a price that gives investors the going rate, 5%. In other words, an investor who buys the bond for $1,443.16 will get a 5% return on it if it is held until matu- rity. We say that at $1,443.16, the bond is priced to yield 5% per year.
Valuation of Securities and Options
Suppose, instead, the interest on the bond is $50 every year—a 5% coupon rate—instead of $100 every year. Then,
Interest, C = $50 every year
Number of periods, N = 12 years Maturity value, M
= $1,000 Yield, r d = 5% per year
---------------------------- $50 + ---------------------------- $1,000 = $443.16 + $556.84 = ∑ $1,000.00
t = 1 ( 1 + 0.05 ) ( 1 + 0.05 )
The bond’s present value is equal to its maturity value and we say that the bond is selling “at par.” Investors will pay the maturity value for a bond that pays the going rate for bonds of similar risk. In other words, if an investor buys the 5% coupon bond for $1,000.00, the investor will earn a 5% annual return on the investment if the bond is held until maturity. 3
Suppose, instead, the interest on the bond is $20 every year—a 2% coupon rate. Then,
Interest, C = $20 every year
Number of periods, N = 12 years Maturity value, M
= $1,000 Yield, r d = 5% per year
---------------------------- $20 + ---------------------------- $1,000 = $177.26 + $556.84 = ∑ $734.10
1 + 0.05 t t 1 ( ) ( ) The bond sells below its maturity value and is said to be trading at a dis-
1 + 0.05 t
count from its maturity value. Why? Because investors are not going to pay the maturity value for a bond that pays less than the going rate for bonds of similar risk. If an investor can buy other bonds that yield 5%, why pay the maturity value—$1,000 in this case—for a bond that pays only 2%? They wouldn’t. Instead, the price of this bond would fall to a price that provides an investor a yield of 5%. In other words, if an investor buys the 2% coupon bond for $734.10, the investor will earn a 5% annual return on the investment if the bond is held until maturity.
3 This statement will be qualified later when we discuss assumptions inherent in a yield-to-maturity calculation.
THE FUNDAMENTALS OF VALUATION
So when we look at the value of a bond, we see that its present value is dependent on the relation between the coupon rate and the yield. We can see this relation in our example:
If a bond has a yield of 5% so we say it and a coupon rate of ...
it will sell for ... is selling at ...
a premium 5%
a discount As another example for valuing a straight coupon bond, suppose we
have a $1,000 face value bond with a 10% coupon rate, that pays inter- est at the end of each year and matures in five years. If the required yield is 5%, the value of the bond is:
V = ∑ ---------------------------- $100 + ----------------------------- $1,000 = $432.95 + $783.53 = $1,216.48
5 t = 1 ( 1 + 0.05 ) ( 1 + 0.05 )
If the yield is 10%, the same as the coupon rate, the bond sells at matu- rity value:
---------------------------- $100 + ----------------------------- ∑ $1,000 = $379.08 + $620.92 = $1,000.00
If the yield is 15%, the bond’s value is less than its maturity value: 5 $100
---------------------------- + ----------------------------- ∑ $1,000 = $335.21 + $497.18 = $832.39
When we hold the coupon rate constant and vary the required yield, we see that:
If a bond has a coupon rate so we say it of 10% and a yield of ...
it will sell for ... is selling at ...
a premium 10%
a discount
Valuation of Securities and Options
We see a relation developing between the coupon rate, the yield, and the value of a debt security:
■ If the coupon rate is more than the yield, the security is worth more than its maturity value—it sells at a premium. ■ If the coupon rate is less than the yield, the security is less than its maturity value—it sells at a discount. ■ If the coupon rate is equal to the yield, the security is valued at its maturity value.
We can extend the valuation of debt to securities that pay interest every six months. But before we do this, we must grapple with a bit of semantics. In Wall Street parlance, the term yield-to-maturity is used to describe an annualized yield on a security if the security is held to matu- rity. For example, if a bond has a return of 5% over a six-month period, the annualized yield-to-maturity for a year is 2 times 5% or 10%.
Yield-to-maturity = r d ×2
If a debt security promises interest every six months, there are a couple of things to watch out for in calculating the security’s value. First, the r d we use to discount cash flows is the six-month yield, not an annual yield. Second, the number of periods is the number of six-month periods until maturity, not the number of years to maturity.
Suppose we are interested in valuing a bond with a maturity value of $1,000 that matures in five years and promises a coupon of 4% per year, with interest paid semiannually. This 4% coupon rate tells us that 2%, or $20, is paid every six months. What is the bond’s value if the yield-to-maturity is 6%? From the bond’s description we know that:
Interest, C = $20 every six months
Number of periods, N=5 × 2 = 10 six-month periods Maturity value, M
= $1,000 Yield, r d = 6%/2 = 3% for six-month period
The value of the bond is:
---------------------------- + ------------------------------- = $170.60 + $744.09 = ∑ $914.70
t = 1 ( 1 + 0.03 ) t ( 1 + 0.03 ) 10
If the yield-to-maturity is 8%, then:
THE FUNDAMENTALS OF VALUATION
Interest, C = $20 every six months
Number of periods, N=5 × 2 = 10 six-month periods Maturity value, M
= $1,000 Yield, r d = 8%/2 = 4% for six-month period
and the value of the bond is:
---------------------------- $20 + ------------------------------- $1,000 = $162.22 + $675.56 = ∑ $837.78
t = 1 ( 1 + 0.04 ) ( 1 + 0.04 )
We can see the relation between the yield-to-maturity and the value of the 4% coupon bond in Exhibit 9.3. The greater the required yield, the lower the present value of the bond. This makes sense since a higher yield-to-maturity required by the market means that the future cash flows are discounted at higher rates.
EXHIBIT 9.3 Value of a 4% Coupon Bond with Five Years to Maturity and
Semiannual Interest
Valuation of Securities and Options
Parts
» Financial Management and Analysis
» SECURITIES MARKETS The primary function of a securities market—whether or not it has a
» Stock Exchanges Stock exchanges are formal organizations, approved and regulated by
» Stock Market Indicators Stock market indicators have come to perform a variety of functions,
» Efficient Markets Investors do not like risk and they must be compensated for taking on
» THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM The United States has a central monetary authority known as the Fed-
» The Fed and the Money Supply Financial managers and investors are interested in the supply and
» Deposit Institutions Traditionally, the United States has had several types of deposit institu-
» Investment Banking The primary market involves the distribution to investors of newly
» Interest Rates and Yields Because bonds are traded in the secondary market, the price of the bond
» The Risk Premium Market participants talk of interest rates on non-Treasury securities as
» OPTIONS An option is a contract in which the writer of the option grants the
» Buying Call Options The purchase of a call option creates a position referred to as a long call
» Buying Put Options The buying of a put option creates a financial position referred to as a
» CAP AND FLOOR AGREEMENTS There are agreements available in the financial market whereby one
» I n assessing a company’s current and future cash flows, the financial
» Depreciation for Tax Purposes For accounting purposes, a firm can select a method of depreciation
» Capital Gains We tend to use the term “capital gain” loosely to mean an increase in the
» Current assets (also referred to as circulating capital and working
» Noncurrent Assets Noncurrent assets are assets that are not current assets; that is, it is not
» Deferred Taxes Along with long-term liabilities, the analyst may encounter another
» THE INCOME STATEMENT An income statement is a summary of the revenues and expenses of a
» THE STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS The statement of cash flows is a summary over a period of time of a
» T he notion that money has a time value is one of the most basic con-
» DETERMINING THE PRESENT VALUE Now that we understand how to compute future values, let’s work the
» Shortcuts: Annuities There are valuation problems that require us to evaluate a series of level
» THE CALCULATION OF INTEREST RATES
» T here are a number of factors that affect a stock’s price and its value to
» Dividend Valuation Model If dividends are constant forever, the value of a share of stock is the
» Returns on Common Stock As we saw in the preceding section, the value of a stock is the present
» Straight Coupon Bond Suppose you are considering investing in a straight coupon bond that:
» Returns on Bonds If you invest in a bond, you realize a return from the interest it pays (if
» Coupon Bonds The present value of a bond is its current market price, which is the dis-
» Callable Bonds Some bonds have a feature, referred to as a call feature, that allows the
» RISK Whenever you make a financing or investment decision, there is some
» Financial Risk When we refer to the cash flow risk of a security, we expand our con-
» Reinvestment Rate Risk Another type of risk is the uncertainty associated with reinvesting cash
» Interest Rate Risk Interest rate risk is the sensitivity of the change in an asset’s value to
» Currency Risk In assessing the attractiveness of an investment, we estimated future cash
» 5 (Continued) Portfolio of Investment C and Investment D
» Portfolio Size and Risk What we have seen for a portfolio with two assets can be extended to
» I n Chapters 8 through 10, we discussed and practiced techniques for
» The Cost of Debt Because Congress allows you to deduct from your taxable income the
» The Cost of Common Stock The cost of common stock is the cost of raising one more dollar of com-
» INTEGRATIVE EXAMPLE: ESTIMATING THE COST OF CAPITAL FOR DUPONT
» CAPITAL BUDGETING Because a firm must continually evaluate possible investments, capital
» Investment Cash Flows When we consider the cash flows of an investment we must also consider
» Asset Disposition At the end of the useful life of an asset, the firm may be able to sell it or
» Change in Expenses When a firm takes on a new project, the costs associated with it will
» Putting It All Together Here’s what we need to put together to calculate the change in the firm’s
» The Analysis To determine the relevant cash flows to evaluate this expansion, let’s
» The Problem The new equipment costs $300,000 and is expected to have a useful life of
» T he value of a firm today is the present value of all its future cash
» Payback Period The payback period for a project is the length of time it takes to get your
» Discounted Payback Period The discounted payback period is the time needed to pay back the origi-
» Net Present Value If offered an investment that costs $5,000 today and promises to pay
» Net Present Value Decision Rule
» Profitability Index The profitability index (PI) is the ratio of the present value of change in
» Stand-Alone versus Market Risk If we have some idea of the uncertainty associated with a project’s
» Sensitivity Analysis Estimates of cash flows are based on assumptions about the economy,
» Simulation Analysis Sensitivity analysis becomes unmanageable if we change several factors
» Options on Real Assets The valuation of stock options is rather complex, but with the assis-
» OVERVIEW OF DEBT OBLIGATIONS In a debt obligation, the borrower receives money in exchange for a
» Repayment Schedule Term loans are usually repaid in installments either monthly, quarterly,
» Interest In the United States, interest is typically paid twice a year at six month
» Debt Retirement By the maturity date of the bond, the issuer must pay off the entire par
» Rating Systems In all systems the term high grade means low default risk, or conversely,
» S uppose you buy a new car that costs $20,000 and you pay cash for it.
» Limited Liability The corporate form of doing business is attractive to owners of a busi-
» Stock Ownership We can classify a corporation according to whether its shares of stock
» Voting Rights Common shareholders are generally granted rights to
» Corporate Democracy Corporate democracy gives owners of the corporation a say in how to
» Methods of Repurchasing Stock
» Dividends Although a firm’s board of directors declares a dividend on its preferred
» Sinking Funds Because there is no legal obligation to pay the preferred dividend and
» DEBT VERSUS EQUITY The combination of debt and equity used to finance a firm’s projects is
» CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND TAXES We’ve seen how the use of debt financing increases the risk to owners;
» Interest Tax Shield An interesting element introduced into the capital structure decision is
» Unused Tax Shields The value of a tax shield depends on whether the firm can use an interest
» PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER As a firm increases the relative use of debt in the capital structure, its
» A s we saw in Part Three, managers base decisions about investing in
» CASH MANAGEMENT Cash flows out of a firm as it pays for the goods and services it pur-
» The Baumol Model The Baumol Model is based on the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)
» The Miller-Orr Model The Baumol Model assumes that cash is used uniformly throughout the
» The Check Clearing Process The process of receiving cash from customers involves several time-
» RECEIVABLES MANAGEMENT When a firm allows customers to pay for goods and services at a later
» Captive Finance Subsidiaries Some firms choose to form a wholly-owned subsidiary—a corporation
» The Economic Order Quantity Model The Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) model helps us determine what
» Just-in-Time Inventory The goal of the just-in-time (JIT) inventory model is to cut down on the
» Monitoring Inventory Management We can monitor inventory by looking at financial ratios in much the
» Add-on-interest Another way of stating interest is with add-on interest, where the total
» Trade Credit Trade credit is granted by a supplier to a customer purchasing goods or
» Commercial Paper Commercial paper is an unsecured promissory note with a fixed matu-
» Types of Inventory Financing There are several different types of loan arrangements that involve
» SPECIALIZED COLLATERALIZED BORROWING ARRANGEMENT FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
» RATIOS AND THEIR CLASSIFICATION
» RETURN-ON-INVESTMENT RATIOS Return-on-investment ratios compare measures of benefits, such as earn-
» The Du Pont System The returns on investment ratios give us a “bottom line” on the perfor-
» LIQUIDITY Liquidity reflects the ability of a firm to meet its short-term obligations
» PROFITABILITY RATIOS We have seen that liquidity ratios tell us about a firm’s ability to meet its
» Using a Benchmark To interpret a firm’s financial ratios we need to compare them with the
» INTEGRATIVE EXAMPLE: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF WAL-MART STORES 6
» Dilutive Securities For a company having securities that are dilutive—meaning they could
» ANALYSTS’ FORECASTS There are many financial services firms offering projections on different
» PRICE-EARNINGS RATIO Many investors are interested in how the earnings are valued by the mar-
» FREE CASH FLOW Cash flows without any adjustment may be misleading because they do
» NET FREE CASH FLOW There are many variations in the calculation of cash flows that are used
» Using Cash Flow Information The analysis of cash flows provides information that can be used along
» THE GLOBAL ECONOMY Many countries export a substantial portion of the goods and services
» FOREIGN CURRENCY Doing business outside of one’s own country requires dealing with the cur-
» The Euro The European Union consists of 15 European member countries that
» Global Equity Market In 1985, Euromoney surveyed several firms that either listed stock on a
» Currency Swaps When issuing bonds in another country where the bonds are not denom-
» Currency Option Contracts In contrast to a forward or futures contract, an option gives the option
» A s an alternative to the issuance of a corporate bond, a corporation
» WHAT RATING AGENCIES LOOK AT IN RATING ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES
» Third-Party Guarantees Perhaps the easiest form of credit enhancement to understand is insur-
» EXAMPLE OF AN ACTUAL STRUCTURED FINANCE TRANSACTION
» Accounting for Capital Leases
» FEDERAL INCOME TAX REQUIREMENTS FOR TRUE LEASE TRANSACTIONS
» Direct Cash Flow from Leasing When a firm elects to lease an asset rather than borrow money to pur-
» S tructured financing is a debt obligation that is backed by the value of
» CREDIT IMPACT OBJECTIVE While the sponsor or sponsors of a project financing ideally would pre-
» A business that maximizes its owners’ wealth allocates its resources
» Budgeting In budgeting, we bring together analyses of cash flows, projected income
» Taxes and Transaction Costs The Black-Scholes option pricing model ignores taxes and transaction
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