Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan

  Daily Price Action th

  Friday, 15 February 2019 Market Review

  IHSG (+0.01%) kembali ditutup menguat tipis 0.90 diakhir sesi perdagangan kelevel 6420.02 dengan iringan aksi jual investor asing yang kembali membengkak kelevel 963.83 miliar rupiah. Nilai tukar rupiah yang melemah 0.22% kelevel Rp14.090 per USD menjadi trigger negatif dan menjadi alasan investor asing mulai melakukan aksi jual. Sektor Infrastruktur (+1.81%) dan Pertanian (+0.62%) menjadi penopang pergerakan sedangkan Sektor Industri Dasar (-1.08%) dan Aneka Industry (-0.96%) menjadi penekan pergerakan. Rilisnya data penjualan mobil yang negatif dilevel -15.4% dibulan January 2019 dari 3.2% diperiode sebelumnya menjadi katalis negatif untuk perusahaan berbasi Automotif. Investor akan cenderung barhati-hati menanti data aktifitas export import serta neraca perdagangan yang akan rilis menjelang akhir pekan. Leader: FREN, HMSP, ISAT, PGAS, TOWR Laggard: TLKM, BBCA, INKP, ASII, UNVR Pergerakan IHSG masih membentuk bearish candle meskipun ditutup menguat tipis. Hal tersebut memberikan signal pergerakan yang cenderung terkonsolidasi pada level lower bollinger bands. Spekulasi positif jika IHSG terus kuat diatas 6400 dengan pergerakan bullish kembali menguji 6500. Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada area oversold dengan momentum RSI yang relatif murah memberikan trigger negatif pada perdagangan. Sehingga diperkirakan IHSG berpeluang rebound menguat dengan range pergerakan 6392-6500. Saham-saham yang masih dapat dicermati diantarnya TBLA, LSIP, AALI, TPIA,

GGRM, HMSP, KLBF, BBNI, PGAS, INCO.

  Ekuitas Jepang dibuka terkoreksi menjelang akhir pekan. Indeks Nikkei (-1.18%) dan TOPIX (-1.09%) terpukul setelah mengalam penguatan optimis sejak awal sesi perdagangan. Seakan memberikan signal kejenuhan pada mayoritas ekutias di Asia. Pelemahan ini disinyalir dari rembetan penurunan ekuitas AS karena kekhawatiran pertumbuhan ekonomi yang muncul kembali kepermukaan setelah Data penjualan ritel AS rilis pada penurunan terburuk dalam sembilan tahun terakhir dan data ekonomi terbesar di Eropa yakni Jerman mengalami stagnansi pada kuartal ke-Empat tahun lalu. Harga minyak WTI (+0.8%) diperdagangankan lebih tinggi menjadi $54.85 perbarrel menyusul optimisme pengurangan produksi global. Hari ini investor akan menanti data akitiftas perdagangan di dalam Negeri dengan ekspektasi masih berada pada zona defisit. Sedangkan data Asia sendiri investor akan terfokus pada data inflasi dan indeks harga produksi di Tiongkok yang sebelumnya mendapat katalis negatif dari data indeks aktifitas sektor manufaktur.

  Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Analyst:

  Lanjar Nafi lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com

• +62 21 5790 5455 ext. 214

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  1

• Harga saham rebound pada level
• Stop-loss
• Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price

  : 1380

  : 8600

  : 9125-9600

  : 8200-8650

  Stochastic berpotensi membentuk pola golden-cross dengan indicator RSI yang bullish reversal momentum.

  out support

  membentuk pola tweezers bottom dengan indikasi rebound dan whipsaw MA50. Potensi menguji resistance.

  : 1600 BUY LSIP Analisis :

  : 1460-1600

  : 1220-1315

  area pada area oversold dengan potensi berpotensi golden-cross

  jika harga saham terkonfirmasi kembali melemah dibawah MA5

  support MA50 dan mencoba break out level MA20.

  Analisis :

• Candlestick
• Stop-loss jika harga saham break
• Indikator
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price

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  : 9125-9600 SPECULATIVE BUY BBNI

• Pergerakan harga saham
• Stop-loss
• Indikator stochastic golden-cross
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price

  : 2500

  : 1810

  : 2050-2200

  : 1680-1860

  area oversold dengan indikasi pola golden-cross dan RSI yang mulai terlihat bullish reversal momentum.

  jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support

  membentuk pola matching low dengan indikasi menguat dan whipsaw MA50

  : 2680-2820 BUY ON WEAKNESS BBTN Analisis :

  : 2680-2820

  : 2430-2530

  pada area oversold dengan momentum RSI yang cukup rendah.

  jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support

  cenderung melemah dan sudah cukup murah. Indikasi rebound jangka pendek.

  Analisis :

• Candlestick
• Stop-loss
• Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price

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  : 2050 TRADING BUY WSKT

  Daily Price Action LS-27 Index

  Support Support Resist ance Resist ance Target Ticker Last Price Not e Rat ing St op-loss

  2

  1

  1

  

2

Price Agricult ure TBLA 750 810 870 870 950 Bullish harami cross TB 840 950 AALI 12,750 13,575 13,650 14,350 15,000 Whipsaw MA20 B 13,500 14,350 SSMS 1,050 1,115 1,150 1,180 2,250 Consolidations W 1,100 Basic Indust ry TKIM 9,325 10,900 11,800 12,350 14,150 Break out MA50 W 11,500

  INKP 10,700 11,700 11,975 13,000 14,400 Consolidations W 11,500 CPIN 6,700 7,200 7,325 8,000 8,850 Stoch golden-cross TB 7,200 8,000 Consumer GGRM 77,000 80,700 83,000 84,500 88,000 Rectangle B 82,500 84,500 HOKI 620 675 675 720 765 Oversold TB 650 720

  ICBP 9,800 10,450 10,500 11,400 12,300 Break out MA20 TB 10,400 11,400 UNVR 45,500 47,100 48,875 49,000 51,400 Consolidations PS 48,500 Finance BBRI 3,550 3,750 3,800 3,940 4,100 Bearish momentum PS 3,800 BBNI 8,200 8,650 8,775 9,100 9,525 Tweezers bottom SB 8,600 9,525 BBCA 25,800 26,800 26,900 28,275 29,750 Consolidations W 26,500 Infrast ruct ure TOWR 770 850 855 910 990 Break out resistance SB 840 930 PGAS 2,250 2,410 2,460 2,600 2,720 Above the stomach TB 2,400 2,600 Misc. Indust ry SRIL 300 322 332 340 350 Stoch golden-cross TB 320 350 ASII 7,200 7,500 7,600 7,800 8,100 at support MA200 SB 7,500 8,000 Mining PTBA 3,630 3,870 4,050 4,170 4,480 Break out MA200 W 4,000

  ITMG 19,350 20,500 21,100 22,000 23,000 Oversold TB 21,000 22,200 ADRO 1,215 1,310 1,240 1,400 1,500 Stoch golden-cross TB 1,250 1,400 Propert y LPCK 2,400 2,650 2,740 2,880 3,000 Stoch dead-cross S 2,600 WSKT 1,680 1,850 1,865 2,070 2,200 Oversold TB 1,840 2,070 PWON 595 625 650 660 700 Whipsaw MA50 SB 620 700 Trading UNTR 24,000 25,425 25,550 27,000 28,500 Bullish harami confirmations B 25,400 27,000 SCMA 1,600 1,700 1,730 1,800 1,900 Bullish homing pigeon TB 1,710 1,900 LPPF 5,325 6,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 Rebounded at MA50 TB 5,800 7,000 ERAA 1,600 1,875 1,950 2,100 2,400 Break out support W 2,000 Friday, 15 February 2019 Equity Technical Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com Disclaimer on

  Analyst Conclusions: The Index has reached the wave 3. Legend :  B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability)  SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability)  W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)  H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)  PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability)  S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)  TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).

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  LIN K.JK 4,520 4,380 4,310 4,500 4,380 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  ICBP.JK 10,725 10,500 10,375 10,725 10,525 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IMAS.JK 3,330 3,240 3,120 3,330 3,250 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  IMJS.jk 915 730 700 875 755 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IN CO.JK 4,020 3,650 3,480 3,870 3,650 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IN DF.JK 7,800 7,550 7,425 7,800 7,625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper

  IN DY.JK 2,240 1,835 2,110 2,110 1,950 Oversold Bullish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

  IN KP.JK 13,300 11,975 12,500 12,850 12,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

  IN TP.JK 20,200 18,300 19,000 19,400 18,775 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  ITMG.JK 22,400 21,100 21,000 22,000 21,475 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under JPFA.JK 3,100 2,870 2,680 2,970 2,830 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  JRPT.JK 675 610 550 645 625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  JSMR.JK 5,175 5,100 4,910 5,125 5,025 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  KLBF.JK 1,625 1,585 1,590 1,605 1,590 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  LPCK.JK 2,910 2,740 2,300 2,910 2,780 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper LPKR.JK 318 284 280 318 292 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

  3,850 3,770 3,690 3,790 3,750 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper H OKI.JK

  LPPF.JK 7,050 6,000 6,550 7,050 6,700 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

  LSIP.JK 1,460 1,425 1,330 1,460 1,395 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  MAIN .JK 1,920 1,780 1,575 1,915 1,710 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MAPI.JK 1,040 1,015 980 1,040 1,000 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MCAS.JK 3,610 3,590 3,310 3,640 3,500 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MDIA.JK 144 155 120 160 127 Overbought Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  MEDC.JK 1,060 935 905 1,000 955 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  META.JK 220 210 208 216 212 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  MIKA.JK 1,920 1,755 1,500 1,920 1,535 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MN CN .JK 885 855 815 885 840 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  MYOR.JK 2,710 2,600 2,570 2,710 2,630 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  PBID.JK 1,110 1,090 1,070 1,100 1,075 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  PGAS.JK 2,640 2,460 2,440 2,530 2,440 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  Source : Reliance Research T icke r

  730 675 725 730 705 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under H RUM.JK 1,860 1,485 1,700 1,650 1,525 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  83,800 83,000 80,175 83,150 81,300 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper GMFI.JK 296 250 234 296 262 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under H MSP.JK

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  755 715 665 785 710 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBCA.JK 28,750 26,900 27,475 27,675 27,025 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper BBN I.JK

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

  14/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  B. Band

  20 Days

  50 Days 200 Days AALI.JK

  14,200 13,650 12,975 13,800 13,475 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACES.JK 1,810 1,720 1,730 1,810 1,755 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper ACST.JK

  1,800 1,650 1,510 1,800 1,625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under ADH I.JK

  1,840 1,590 1,550 1,690 1,605 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ADRO.JK 1,415 1,240 1,240 1,330 1,280 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under AGII.JK

  680 635 635 680 655 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper AKRA.JK

  4,800 5,775 5,150 5,850 5,425 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper AMRT.JK 830 865 815 880 825 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper AN TM.JK

  1,150 1,000 935 1,080 995 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ARN A.JK

  490 480 472 496 480 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ASII.JK 8,500 7,600 8,225 8,225 7,775 Oversold Bullish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Upper ASRI.JK

  376 342 332 372 346 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASSA.JK

  9,075 8,775 8,900 9,075 8,875 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BBRI.JK

  434 384 392 400 388 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper GGRM.JK

  3,950 3,800 3,650 3,920 3,850 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BBTN .JK 2,860 2,530 2,620 2,740 2,590 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under BDMN .JK

  9,200 9,175 9,100 9,175 9,150 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BEST.JK

  264 252 240 276 260 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BFIN .JK 695 650 650 695 660 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under BIRD.JK

  3,250 3,120 3,000 3,250 3,170 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BISI.JK

  1,480 1,405 1,425 1,480 1,435 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under BJBR.JK 2,450 2,050 2,130 2,200 2,110 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BMRI.JK

  7,675 7,175 7,050 7,675 7,375 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BN GA.JK

  1,280 1,215 1,145 1,280 1,200 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BN LI.JK 1,185 1,125 1,030 1,150 1,090 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BRPT.JK

  2,600 2,700 2,390 2,900 2,500 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BSDE.JK

  1,445 1,345 1,295 1,405 1,345 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BTPN .JK 4,000 3,770 3,710 3,900 3,800 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper CPIN .JK

  8,400 7,325 7,275 7,725 7,500 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper CTRA.JK

  1,000 880 865 955 905 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under DILD.JK 338 328 312 338 334 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper DMAS.JK

  224 204 195 212 208 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper DOID.JK

  670 580 580 625 600 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ERAA.JK 2,410 1,950 2,260 2,250 2,050 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under ESSA.JK

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  1,995 2,010 1,980 2,040 1,995 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SMGR.JK 13,200 12,400 12,200 12,800 12,550 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper SMRA.JK 990 885 950 990 920 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper SRIL.JK

  Source : Reliance Research T icke r

  420 382 384 420 392 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper WSKT.JK 2,040 1,865 1,830 2,050 1,890 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under WTON .JK 505 452 446 505 470 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  50,050 48,875 48,875 49,825 49,200 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper WIKA.JK 1,945 1,710 1,835 1,875 1,755 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper WOOD.JK 735 705 580 735 710 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WSBP.JK

  5,925 5,625 5,400 5,725 5,550 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ULTJ.JK 1,270 1,205 1,200 1,225 1,220 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper UN TR.JK 26,775 25,550 25,625 26,400 25,500 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under UN V R.JK

  3,940 3,740 3,780 3,940 3,810 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper TOTL.JK 650 625 610 645 625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOWR.JK 860 855 760 860 820 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TPIA.JK

  990 870 945 980 880 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper TIN S.JK 1,430 1,435 1,270 1,475 1,340 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TKIM.JK 13,950 11,800 13,000 13,500 12,375 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under TLKM.JK

  350 332 336 344 340 Neutral Bullish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under SSMS.JK 1,200 1,150 1,165 1,190 1,165 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under TBIG.JK 4,830 4,500 4,610 4,830 4,600 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper TBLA.JK

  4,150 3,690 3,160 4,150 3,410 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under SIMP.JK 530 492 490 520 500 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under SMBR.JK 1,680 1,540 1,500 1,620 1,555 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SMCB.JK

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  1,855 1,810 1,615 1,855 1,695 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper ROTI.JK 1,240 1,200 1,205 1,240 1,210 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper SCMA.JK 1,855 1,730 1,790 1,855 1,760 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SGRO.JK 2,420 2,340 2,210 2,340 2,290 Overbought Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under SIDO.jk 840 810 805 835 830 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper SILO.JK

  4,470 4,050 4,220 4,320 4,190 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under PTPP.JK 2,370 2,070 2,210 2,320 2,140 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper PWON .JK 650 650 630 690 655 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper RALS.JK

  50 Days 200 Days PN BN .JK 1,450 1,470 1,315 1,530 1,355 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper PTBA.JK

  20 Days

  B. Band

  14/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

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  Universitas Surabaya

  Jl. Raya Kalirungkut Surabaya 60293 T. +62 31 2981203

  F. +62 31 2981204

  Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

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  F. +62 561 766840

  Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya

  Jl. Siliwangi No. 24 Tasikmalaya 46151 T. +62 265 323685

  F. +62 265 323534

  Politeknik Kediri

  Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T +62 354 683128 F +62 354 683128

  Universitas Negeri Malang

  Jl. Surabaya No. 6 Malang 65145 T. +62 341 585914

  F. +62 341 55288

  Universitas Negeri Makassar

  FakultasEkonomiGedung BT Lt. 2 Jl. A. P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru Makassar 90222 T. +62 411 889464, 881244

  F. +62 411 887604

  

Universitas Muhammadiyah Pontianak

  Jl. Ahmad Yani, No. 111 Pontianak 78124 T. +62 561 743465

  F. +62 341 460782