Analisis Pengaruh Desentralisasi Fiskal Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Kabupaten Kota Di Provinsi Sumatera Utara
Lampiran1.HasiloutputHausman Test
Uji HausmanTest
CorrelatedRandomEffects -HausmanTest
Pool:PANEL
Test cross-sectionrandomeffects
Test Summary
Cross-sectionrandom
Chi-Sq.
Statistic
Chi-Sq.d.f.
Prob.
24.566737
4
0.0001
Cross-sectionrandomeffects test comparisons:
Variable
X1?
X2?
X3?
X4?
Fixed
-0.748264
0.343776
0.000452
-4.242011
Random
Var(Diff.)
Prob.
0.258157
0.215582
0.000468
-3.522678
0.073925
0.001867
0.000000
0.051375
0.0002
0.0030
0.2901
0.0015
Cross-sectionrandomeffects testequation:
DependentVariable:Y?
Method:PanelLeast Squares
Date:10/15/15 Time:18:11
Sample:20102013
Includedobservations:4
Cross-sections included:33
Totalpool(balanced)observations: 132
Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
X1?
X2?
X3?
X4?
74.12542
-0.748264
0.343776
0.000452
-4.242011
0.163900
0.601363
0.114579
0.000256
0.638507
452.2592
-1.244279
3.000334
1.767101
-6.643644
0.0000
0.2165
0.0034
0.0804
0.0000
Effects Specification
Cross-sectionfixed(dummyvariables)
R-squared
AdjustedR-squared
S.E.ofregression
Sumsquaredresid
Loglikelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.982355
0.975669
0.430271
17.58766
-54.27000
146.9180
0.000000
Meandependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaikeinfocriterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watsonstat
73.75091
2.758424
1.382879
2.190937
1.711236
1.282773
58
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran2.HasiloutputREMdanFEM
RandomEffectModel(REM)
DependentVariable:Y?
Method:PooledEGLS(Cross-sectionrandomeffects)
Date:10/15/15 Time:18:10
Sample:20102013
Includedobservations:4
Cross-sections included:33
Totalpool(balanced)observations: 132
SwamyandAroraestimatorof component variances
Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
X1?
X2?
X3?
X4?
C
RandomEffects(Cross)
_NIAS--C
_MADINA--C
_TAPSEL--C
_TAPTENG--C
_TAPUT--C
_TOBASA--C
_LABUBA--C
_ASHN--C
_SIMALNGN--C
_DAIRI--C
_KARO--C
_DS--C
_LANGKAT--C
_NISEL--C
_HUMBAHAS--C
_PAKPAK--C
_SAMOSIR--C
_SERGEI--C
_BARA--C
_PALUTA--C
_PALAS--C
_LABUSEL--C
_LABURA--C
_NISUT--C
_NIBAR--C
_SIBOLGA--C
_TNJNGBALAI--C
_PSIANTAR--C
_TTINGGI--C
_MEDAN--C
_BINJAI--C
_PASID--C
0.258157
0.215582
0.000468
-3.522678
74.03751
0.536389
0.106118
0.000255
0.596922
0.424963
0.481287
2.031536
1.833167
-5.901405
174.2212
0.6311
0.0443
0.0691
0.0000
0.0000
-4.781252
-2.607754
0.730541
-1.962537
1.018335
3.064044
1.375948
-0.120986
0.246350
-0.375645
1.796654
2.298804
1.744759
-5.946291
-1.136858
-1.911982
0.372810
0.172023
-1.517240
-0.417843
-0.924467
1.373350
0.797235
-5.402280
-6.637519
1.715285
0.749221
4.100713
3.313126
4.763236
3.589592
1.951360
58
Universitas Sumatera Utara
_GNGSITOLI--C
-1.430730
Effects Specification
S.D.
Cross-sectionrandom
Idiosyncraticrandom
2.255583
0.430271
Rho
0.9649
0.0351
WeightedStatistics
R-squared
AdjustedR-squared
S.E.ofregression
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.391123
0.371946
0.463804
20.39518
0.000000
Meandependent var
S.D. dependent var
Sum squaredresid
Durbin-Watsonstat
7.002520
0.585243
27.31951
0.786308
UnweightedStatistics
R-squared
Sumsquaredresid
-0.041526
1038.159
Meandependent var
Durbin-Watsonstat
73.75091
0.020692
59
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Fixed EffectModel(FEM)
DependentVariable:Y?
Method:PooledLeast Squares
Date:10/15/15 Time:18:09
Sample:20102013
Includedobservations:4
Cross-sections included:33
Totalpool(balanced)observations: 132
Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
X1?
X2?
X3?
X4?
C
FixedEffects(Cross)
_NIAS--C
_MADINA--C
_TAPSEL--C
_TAPTENG--C
_TAPUT--C
_TOBASA--C
_LABUBA--C
_ASHN--C
_SIMALNGN--C
_DAIRI--C
_KARO--C
_DS--C
_LANGKAT--C
_NISEL--C
_HUMBAHAS--C
_PAKPAK--C
_SAMOSIR--C
_SERGEI--C
_BARA--C
_PALUTA--C
_PALAS--C
_LABUSEL--C
_LABURA--C
_NISUT--C
_NIBAR--C
_SIBOLGA--C
_TNJNGBALAI--C
_PSIANTAR--C
_TTINGGI--C
_MEDAN--C
_BINJAI--C
_PASID--C
_GNGSITOLI--C
-0.748264
0.343776
0.000452
-4.242011
74.12542
0.601363
0.114579
0.000256
0.638507
0.163900
-1.244279
3.000334
1.767101
-6.643644
452.2592
0.2165
0.0034
0.0804
0.0000
0.0000
-4.877539
-2.799854
0.803630
-2.133534
0.850774
2.912379
1.521432
-0.096394
0.182000
-0.582450
1.724126
2.830379
2.035989
-6.085365
-1.298204
-2.055295
0.215892
0.126044
-1.693527
-0.551694
-1.023650
1.399782
0.693808
-5.670324
-6.889338
1.678313
0.698037
4.207662
3.484819
6.533360
3.671071
1.840051
-1.652380
Effects Specification
Cross-sectionfixed(dummyvariables)
60
Universitas Sumatera Utara
R-squared
AdjustedR-squared
S.E.ofregression
Sumsquaredresid
Loglikelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.982355
0.975669
0.430271
17.58766
-54.27000
146.9180
0.000000
Meandependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaikeinfocriterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watsonstat
73.75091
2.758424
1.382879
2.190937
1.711236
1.282773
61
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran3.Datarealisasi pendapatanaslidaerah, dana alokasiumum, dana
alokasikhusus, danabagihasil, belanja modaldan indeks
pembangunan manusia
Data Realisasi Pendapatan AsliDaerah
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang Lawas
Utara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
2010
17629575
11825858
30496787
13371779
15433009
11981287
38532205
26067056
45255180
19835722
27685562
120537227
31357008
10276243
10007221
4533364
26112156
22093187
20616744
5332270
2011
18943904
27525847
57463805
18091203
23104104
14181847
50958559
31844328
42543354
17673471
35363330
213791545
34540643
23030719
12870032
6306029
14201579
35894399
13240861
8728415
12529138
8371926
10657251
1905121
958747
15118409
24126011
20458428
26272469
588941453
8216151
17081272
10518250
6655233
2761470
21663390
27238537
44792794
33665264
995072572
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
30531670
44726141
21274113
47665840
56160143
69220483
21136802
23210742
20974585
37952078
16542683
19803160
59439168
49784550
37894588
53691706
61246499
97914776
20911510
29933428
41242973
46342694
291017501 328348147
129242580
65521499
12146969
75541198
17901927
17632874
6355112
9080677
17459630
26661345
39274570
50371733
16558127
27800612
12798138
15804225
9881176
23129957
18976643
26701972
18971116
25651300
6707989
8857119
4067651
7223691
26698353
29457629
27676094
31920754
49915366
61357963
47330984
53199538
1147901461 1206169709
62
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
GunungSitoli
18832884
13602384
2663494
26470116
21614811
6051302
48178079
23682308
9329679
49172644
35018175
10382482
63
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data RealisasiDana AlokasiUmum
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
PakpakBarat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
2011
151147338 265217572
398482296 455393393
334737772 375893846
313957675 343731494
369275117 405822524
280449853 310252416
315309299 367737566
479299307 523561849
644610865 696225292
336864702 372373357
401710290 441566566
793141685 888557245
655701433 736887816
277887323 318920943
279893022 313431176
167780345 198239174
243041606 282988294
420258697 458160308
337663207 385883017
243969546 262539422
241106688 249496791
249091013 266922749
296809708 346684689
108563262 231764690
63068373 193616447
227216241 248405548
241921536 275525468
307523437 352525649
228057807 261948729
846541452 1066353555
293536658 336779454
270129118 308014507
100936065 251728688
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
289608144 336470339
541106638 625543432
454322254 517342688
422611672 491010818
487345532 552463211
387623169 423292453
461644282 520457519
628974980 733671988
865405855 977808611
451176116 512477041
546294802 625822348
1100013616 1260755135
847503037 982658132
378605613 422367546
376847178 440919622
232990274 273598951
331412601 384760680
554245457 628900240
452227480 517734102
348056278 387954949
331754392 371650111
334512284 400566653
400601985 457714720
267283183 294071932
227860872 251631634
292873107 338507471
313729707 369246576
429632177 492115399
307635669 368586756
1153789320 1270244794
416965216 477553537
364923284 423251346
305726000 356042897
64
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data RealisasiDana AlokasiKhusus
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
53790900
58131400
41495400
51299900
48018500
46949200
45054900
48288300
62053050
44113800
47518000
85589900
65865700
57176475
29210500
24610700
38969700
61308800
42832000
30443250
42767600
29993000
29565500
38784900
27591975
18135900
19508400
39228000
17807400
67201000
24831500
20661600
25337800
2011
54943100
48451600
44491900
52300100
56791600
51434700
45508800
50626400
73945400
44144700
42439000
67178200
53872700
54193100
31606800
28831400
35623800
65750400
29201625
44759200
40016700
35433200
33344625
39976800
47860125
22753900
20198000
24783200
22086200
81594600
25266200
25568500
50790000
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
48137260
64603150
41555830
38791268
53366970
54321700
48644240
83254250
50220620
55778010
52119770
46036240
75496690
49738450
65206660
79875480
90868630
80773970
43357200
61125590
38426590
48120130
65478160
81867590
56056730
81165730
64679170 101799850
28968140
50779570
25460900
54005910
27844598
33547500
64704900
68230650
44148640
42178640
36733240
36311060
42520850
31082900
25663500
53225680
42495140
48433300
36405150
56382660
63754580
42168069
19290260
29474070
17955740
28391040
28447080
41339700
25323480
36283080
66298270
62016918
23777970
19655758
23986600
39957160
56898180
31781842
65
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data RealisasiDana Bagi Hasil
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
13416719
39988057
36684559
30439386
28011295
27499490
50228338
61444329
62942551
28986092
34621589
146599783
137445207
25365467
28573493
24717204
17876677
54058531
31943330
30532403
33176146
51794132
33928084
12352730
8641414
21459791
18617691
27006468
25179050
374026590
41126573
26428985
12694065
2011
11547453
35665219
30544493
25810212
25788562
18543977
46785533
54953826
58432376
27204216
31448670
108270209
137812564
26603219
29155800
23950836
15653056
48610349
27290974
30498573
26608460
48172886
36821725
11053338
9607604
19786320
16617287
26289467
19998086
274493582
39788888
23994090
10622292
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
13474673
13934683
42074614
38094758
39730432
39793149
35777117
29538847
28063865
29306490
23524949
29934067
54179573
50834304
57731318
65080517
65185896
60525757
27352941
26543641
30420891
30126518
72059714
59103519
156839383 169455342
25861838
37170194
33378874
27314424
23937864
23253685
21542248
22829863
52363822
45267322
28100566
37134469
30861970
29970452
36519005
40194094
53049624
56839085
38012918
35305108
14807702
12634625
13622174
9931903
21271436
20314798
18834268
20662436
36446552
26225846
24897504
22603351
197098179 174054637
41334652
33599444
32822220
25797109
15435727
13248359
66
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data RealisasiBelanja Modal
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
83037053
106153917
108628630
69816521
95765924
95353108
125757430
98005398
148745843
81170558
92129440
203001499
117392907
144759205
82160494
52908474
82548414
116508460
139806344
86311993
123863691
98805203
93828392
31001072
31561295
44807887
69329382
86407152
43176471
423443461
53073129
27867290
16833468
2011
144051482
88201599
137835763
99683222
188143607
104552701
115453807
179238414
132102433
74602212
128447914
314745971
119040074
96214565
78728758
113488210
119695960
124131685
138479933
161465044
130125820
146176751
141022136
94492873
116297428
89963707
92016306
73017225
93702904
681884041
131939896
75776374
136449472
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
153104935 173429299
133046749 143802439
194193714 267454273
154199798 258593437
171508170 206895523
153867662 125576943
204122929 226693799
259227355 271753134
314891538 234348465
97984281 138859862
153195512 245358709
334254373 352334309
255052590 308212155
202753560 365436996
124492943 190867255
70238473 147986633
85423664 162439730
148712581 250621748
168742403 205203297
232918135 193425841
116853862 137297626
145200522 335066618
250093416 292435766
107415006 184356213
106216000 161067997
90900187 87060355
144085305 110991401
90831872 134009853
97955390 160860325
558428738 630802959
158209028 133102683
98758765 117216919
149728920 165703391
67
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data IndeksPembangunanManusia
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
68.66
70.60
74.02
71.21
74.31
76.55
74.03
72.54
73.50
72.86
75.34
75.28
73.18
67.15
71.94
70.80
73.70
73.25
71.62
72.52
71.98
73.84
73.45
67.75
66.46
75.08
74.14
77.51
76.49
77.36
76.41
75.21
71.67
2011
69.09
71.04
74.45
71.63
74.86
76.93
74.65
73.25
73.94
73.49
75.79
75.78
73.62
67.72
72.43
71.20
74.27
73.64
72.08
73.25
72.55
74.38
74.14
68.18
67.10
75.50
74.72
77.93
76.91
77.81
76.88
75.58
72.21
2012
69.55
71.44
74.78
72.04
75.33
77.21
75.29
73.80
74.35
73.86
76.22
76.17
73.98
68.23
72.80
72.00
74.72
74.07
72.71
73.59
72.96
74.90
74.92
68.71
67.59
75.73
75.06
78.27
77.34
78.25
77.36
76.04
72.61
2013
69.93
71.72
75.13
72.55
75.81
77.49
75.71
74.23
74.55
74.22
76.76
76.82
74.38
68.58
73.09
72.54
75.02
74.41
73.26
73.96
73.27
75.48
75.70
69.39
67.91
76.19
75.44
78.62
77.96
78.62
77.79
76.31
72.99
68
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Uji HausmanTest
CorrelatedRandomEffects -HausmanTest
Pool:PANEL
Test cross-sectionrandomeffects
Test Summary
Cross-sectionrandom
Chi-Sq.
Statistic
Chi-Sq.d.f.
Prob.
24.566737
4
0.0001
Cross-sectionrandomeffects test comparisons:
Variable
X1?
X2?
X3?
X4?
Fixed
-0.748264
0.343776
0.000452
-4.242011
Random
Var(Diff.)
Prob.
0.258157
0.215582
0.000468
-3.522678
0.073925
0.001867
0.000000
0.051375
0.0002
0.0030
0.2901
0.0015
Cross-sectionrandomeffects testequation:
DependentVariable:Y?
Method:PanelLeast Squares
Date:10/15/15 Time:18:11
Sample:20102013
Includedobservations:4
Cross-sections included:33
Totalpool(balanced)observations: 132
Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
X1?
X2?
X3?
X4?
74.12542
-0.748264
0.343776
0.000452
-4.242011
0.163900
0.601363
0.114579
0.000256
0.638507
452.2592
-1.244279
3.000334
1.767101
-6.643644
0.0000
0.2165
0.0034
0.0804
0.0000
Effects Specification
Cross-sectionfixed(dummyvariables)
R-squared
AdjustedR-squared
S.E.ofregression
Sumsquaredresid
Loglikelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.982355
0.975669
0.430271
17.58766
-54.27000
146.9180
0.000000
Meandependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaikeinfocriterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watsonstat
73.75091
2.758424
1.382879
2.190937
1.711236
1.282773
58
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran2.HasiloutputREMdanFEM
RandomEffectModel(REM)
DependentVariable:Y?
Method:PooledEGLS(Cross-sectionrandomeffects)
Date:10/15/15 Time:18:10
Sample:20102013
Includedobservations:4
Cross-sections included:33
Totalpool(balanced)observations: 132
SwamyandAroraestimatorof component variances
Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
X1?
X2?
X3?
X4?
C
RandomEffects(Cross)
_NIAS--C
_MADINA--C
_TAPSEL--C
_TAPTENG--C
_TAPUT--C
_TOBASA--C
_LABUBA--C
_ASHN--C
_SIMALNGN--C
_DAIRI--C
_KARO--C
_DS--C
_LANGKAT--C
_NISEL--C
_HUMBAHAS--C
_PAKPAK--C
_SAMOSIR--C
_SERGEI--C
_BARA--C
_PALUTA--C
_PALAS--C
_LABUSEL--C
_LABURA--C
_NISUT--C
_NIBAR--C
_SIBOLGA--C
_TNJNGBALAI--C
_PSIANTAR--C
_TTINGGI--C
_MEDAN--C
_BINJAI--C
_PASID--C
0.258157
0.215582
0.000468
-3.522678
74.03751
0.536389
0.106118
0.000255
0.596922
0.424963
0.481287
2.031536
1.833167
-5.901405
174.2212
0.6311
0.0443
0.0691
0.0000
0.0000
-4.781252
-2.607754
0.730541
-1.962537
1.018335
3.064044
1.375948
-0.120986
0.246350
-0.375645
1.796654
2.298804
1.744759
-5.946291
-1.136858
-1.911982
0.372810
0.172023
-1.517240
-0.417843
-0.924467
1.373350
0.797235
-5.402280
-6.637519
1.715285
0.749221
4.100713
3.313126
4.763236
3.589592
1.951360
58
Universitas Sumatera Utara
_GNGSITOLI--C
-1.430730
Effects Specification
S.D.
Cross-sectionrandom
Idiosyncraticrandom
2.255583
0.430271
Rho
0.9649
0.0351
WeightedStatistics
R-squared
AdjustedR-squared
S.E.ofregression
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.391123
0.371946
0.463804
20.39518
0.000000
Meandependent var
S.D. dependent var
Sum squaredresid
Durbin-Watsonstat
7.002520
0.585243
27.31951
0.786308
UnweightedStatistics
R-squared
Sumsquaredresid
-0.041526
1038.159
Meandependent var
Durbin-Watsonstat
73.75091
0.020692
59
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Fixed EffectModel(FEM)
DependentVariable:Y?
Method:PooledLeast Squares
Date:10/15/15 Time:18:09
Sample:20102013
Includedobservations:4
Cross-sections included:33
Totalpool(balanced)observations: 132
Variable
Coefficient
Std.Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
X1?
X2?
X3?
X4?
C
FixedEffects(Cross)
_NIAS--C
_MADINA--C
_TAPSEL--C
_TAPTENG--C
_TAPUT--C
_TOBASA--C
_LABUBA--C
_ASHN--C
_SIMALNGN--C
_DAIRI--C
_KARO--C
_DS--C
_LANGKAT--C
_NISEL--C
_HUMBAHAS--C
_PAKPAK--C
_SAMOSIR--C
_SERGEI--C
_BARA--C
_PALUTA--C
_PALAS--C
_LABUSEL--C
_LABURA--C
_NISUT--C
_NIBAR--C
_SIBOLGA--C
_TNJNGBALAI--C
_PSIANTAR--C
_TTINGGI--C
_MEDAN--C
_BINJAI--C
_PASID--C
_GNGSITOLI--C
-0.748264
0.343776
0.000452
-4.242011
74.12542
0.601363
0.114579
0.000256
0.638507
0.163900
-1.244279
3.000334
1.767101
-6.643644
452.2592
0.2165
0.0034
0.0804
0.0000
0.0000
-4.877539
-2.799854
0.803630
-2.133534
0.850774
2.912379
1.521432
-0.096394
0.182000
-0.582450
1.724126
2.830379
2.035989
-6.085365
-1.298204
-2.055295
0.215892
0.126044
-1.693527
-0.551694
-1.023650
1.399782
0.693808
-5.670324
-6.889338
1.678313
0.698037
4.207662
3.484819
6.533360
3.671071
1.840051
-1.652380
Effects Specification
Cross-sectionfixed(dummyvariables)
60
Universitas Sumatera Utara
R-squared
AdjustedR-squared
S.E.ofregression
Sumsquaredresid
Loglikelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.982355
0.975669
0.430271
17.58766
-54.27000
146.9180
0.000000
Meandependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaikeinfocriterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watsonstat
73.75091
2.758424
1.382879
2.190937
1.711236
1.282773
61
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran3.Datarealisasi pendapatanaslidaerah, dana alokasiumum, dana
alokasikhusus, danabagihasil, belanja modaldan indeks
pembangunan manusia
Data Realisasi Pendapatan AsliDaerah
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang Lawas
Utara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
2010
17629575
11825858
30496787
13371779
15433009
11981287
38532205
26067056
45255180
19835722
27685562
120537227
31357008
10276243
10007221
4533364
26112156
22093187
20616744
5332270
2011
18943904
27525847
57463805
18091203
23104104
14181847
50958559
31844328
42543354
17673471
35363330
213791545
34540643
23030719
12870032
6306029
14201579
35894399
13240861
8728415
12529138
8371926
10657251
1905121
958747
15118409
24126011
20458428
26272469
588941453
8216151
17081272
10518250
6655233
2761470
21663390
27238537
44792794
33665264
995072572
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
30531670
44726141
21274113
47665840
56160143
69220483
21136802
23210742
20974585
37952078
16542683
19803160
59439168
49784550
37894588
53691706
61246499
97914776
20911510
29933428
41242973
46342694
291017501 328348147
129242580
65521499
12146969
75541198
17901927
17632874
6355112
9080677
17459630
26661345
39274570
50371733
16558127
27800612
12798138
15804225
9881176
23129957
18976643
26701972
18971116
25651300
6707989
8857119
4067651
7223691
26698353
29457629
27676094
31920754
49915366
61357963
47330984
53199538
1147901461 1206169709
62
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
GunungSitoli
18832884
13602384
2663494
26470116
21614811
6051302
48178079
23682308
9329679
49172644
35018175
10382482
63
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data RealisasiDana AlokasiUmum
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
PakpakBarat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
2011
151147338 265217572
398482296 455393393
334737772 375893846
313957675 343731494
369275117 405822524
280449853 310252416
315309299 367737566
479299307 523561849
644610865 696225292
336864702 372373357
401710290 441566566
793141685 888557245
655701433 736887816
277887323 318920943
279893022 313431176
167780345 198239174
243041606 282988294
420258697 458160308
337663207 385883017
243969546 262539422
241106688 249496791
249091013 266922749
296809708 346684689
108563262 231764690
63068373 193616447
227216241 248405548
241921536 275525468
307523437 352525649
228057807 261948729
846541452 1066353555
293536658 336779454
270129118 308014507
100936065 251728688
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
289608144 336470339
541106638 625543432
454322254 517342688
422611672 491010818
487345532 552463211
387623169 423292453
461644282 520457519
628974980 733671988
865405855 977808611
451176116 512477041
546294802 625822348
1100013616 1260755135
847503037 982658132
378605613 422367546
376847178 440919622
232990274 273598951
331412601 384760680
554245457 628900240
452227480 517734102
348056278 387954949
331754392 371650111
334512284 400566653
400601985 457714720
267283183 294071932
227860872 251631634
292873107 338507471
313729707 369246576
429632177 492115399
307635669 368586756
1153789320 1270244794
416965216 477553537
364923284 423251346
305726000 356042897
64
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data RealisasiDana AlokasiKhusus
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
53790900
58131400
41495400
51299900
48018500
46949200
45054900
48288300
62053050
44113800
47518000
85589900
65865700
57176475
29210500
24610700
38969700
61308800
42832000
30443250
42767600
29993000
29565500
38784900
27591975
18135900
19508400
39228000
17807400
67201000
24831500
20661600
25337800
2011
54943100
48451600
44491900
52300100
56791600
51434700
45508800
50626400
73945400
44144700
42439000
67178200
53872700
54193100
31606800
28831400
35623800
65750400
29201625
44759200
40016700
35433200
33344625
39976800
47860125
22753900
20198000
24783200
22086200
81594600
25266200
25568500
50790000
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
48137260
64603150
41555830
38791268
53366970
54321700
48644240
83254250
50220620
55778010
52119770
46036240
75496690
49738450
65206660
79875480
90868630
80773970
43357200
61125590
38426590
48120130
65478160
81867590
56056730
81165730
64679170 101799850
28968140
50779570
25460900
54005910
27844598
33547500
64704900
68230650
44148640
42178640
36733240
36311060
42520850
31082900
25663500
53225680
42495140
48433300
36405150
56382660
63754580
42168069
19290260
29474070
17955740
28391040
28447080
41339700
25323480
36283080
66298270
62016918
23777970
19655758
23986600
39957160
56898180
31781842
65
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data RealisasiDana Bagi Hasil
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
13416719
39988057
36684559
30439386
28011295
27499490
50228338
61444329
62942551
28986092
34621589
146599783
137445207
25365467
28573493
24717204
17876677
54058531
31943330
30532403
33176146
51794132
33928084
12352730
8641414
21459791
18617691
27006468
25179050
374026590
41126573
26428985
12694065
2011
11547453
35665219
30544493
25810212
25788562
18543977
46785533
54953826
58432376
27204216
31448670
108270209
137812564
26603219
29155800
23950836
15653056
48610349
27290974
30498573
26608460
48172886
36821725
11053338
9607604
19786320
16617287
26289467
19998086
274493582
39788888
23994090
10622292
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
13474673
13934683
42074614
38094758
39730432
39793149
35777117
29538847
28063865
29306490
23524949
29934067
54179573
50834304
57731318
65080517
65185896
60525757
27352941
26543641
30420891
30126518
72059714
59103519
156839383 169455342
25861838
37170194
33378874
27314424
23937864
23253685
21542248
22829863
52363822
45267322
28100566
37134469
30861970
29970452
36519005
40194094
53049624
56839085
38012918
35305108
14807702
12634625
13622174
9931903
21271436
20314798
18834268
20662436
36446552
26225846
24897504
22603351
197098179 174054637
41334652
33599444
32822220
25797109
15435727
13248359
66
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data RealisasiBelanja Modal
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
83037053
106153917
108628630
69816521
95765924
95353108
125757430
98005398
148745843
81170558
92129440
203001499
117392907
144759205
82160494
52908474
82548414
116508460
139806344
86311993
123863691
98805203
93828392
31001072
31561295
44807887
69329382
86407152
43176471
423443461
53073129
27867290
16833468
2011
144051482
88201599
137835763
99683222
188143607
104552701
115453807
179238414
132102433
74602212
128447914
314745971
119040074
96214565
78728758
113488210
119695960
124131685
138479933
161465044
130125820
146176751
141022136
94492873
116297428
89963707
92016306
73017225
93702904
681884041
131939896
75776374
136449472
(Dalam000 rupiah)
2012
2013
153104935 173429299
133046749 143802439
194193714 267454273
154199798 258593437
171508170 206895523
153867662 125576943
204122929 226693799
259227355 271753134
314891538 234348465
97984281 138859862
153195512 245358709
334254373 352334309
255052590 308212155
202753560 365436996
124492943 190867255
70238473 147986633
85423664 162439730
148712581 250621748
168742403 205203297
232918135 193425841
116853862 137297626
145200522 335066618
250093416 292435766
107415006 184356213
106216000 161067997
90900187 87060355
144085305 110991401
90831872 134009853
97955390 160860325
558428738 630802959
158209028 133102683
98758765 117216919
149728920 165703391
67
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Data IndeksPembangunanManusia
Kabupaten/Kota
Nias
MandailingNatal
TapanuliSelatan
Tapanuli Tengah
TapanuliUtara
TobaSamosir
LabuhanBatu
Asahan
Simalungun
Dairi
Karo
DeliSerdang
Langkat
Nias Selatan
Humbahas
Pakpak Barat
Samosir
Serdang Bedagai
Batu Bara
Padang LawasUtara
Padang Lawas
Labusel
Labura
Nias Utara
NiasBarat
Sibolga
Tanjungbalai
PematangSiantar
TebingTinggi
Medan
Binjai
PadangSidempuan
Gunung Sitoli
2010
68.66
70.60
74.02
71.21
74.31
76.55
74.03
72.54
73.50
72.86
75.34
75.28
73.18
67.15
71.94
70.80
73.70
73.25
71.62
72.52
71.98
73.84
73.45
67.75
66.46
75.08
74.14
77.51
76.49
77.36
76.41
75.21
71.67
2011
69.09
71.04
74.45
71.63
74.86
76.93
74.65
73.25
73.94
73.49
75.79
75.78
73.62
67.72
72.43
71.20
74.27
73.64
72.08
73.25
72.55
74.38
74.14
68.18
67.10
75.50
74.72
77.93
76.91
77.81
76.88
75.58
72.21
2012
69.55
71.44
74.78
72.04
75.33
77.21
75.29
73.80
74.35
73.86
76.22
76.17
73.98
68.23
72.80
72.00
74.72
74.07
72.71
73.59
72.96
74.90
74.92
68.71
67.59
75.73
75.06
78.27
77.34
78.25
77.36
76.04
72.61
2013
69.93
71.72
75.13
72.55
75.81
77.49
75.71
74.23
74.55
74.22
76.76
76.82
74.38
68.58
73.09
72.54
75.02
74.41
73.26
73.96
73.27
75.48
75.70
69.39
67.91
76.19
75.44
78.62
77.96
78.62
77.79
76.31
72.99
68
Universitas Sumatera Utara