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  Daily Price Action th

  Monday, 18 February 2019 Market Review

  IHSG (-0.48%) ditutup melemah 30.93 poin kelevel 6389.08 seiring aksi jual investor asing yang terus terasa seakan mengkoreksi trend aksi beli sejak awal tahun 2019. Investor asing tercatat net sell 286.75 miliar rupiah dengan pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah sebesar 0.45% kelevel Rp14154 per USD menjadi alasan. Sektor Konsumer (-0.93%) dan Industri Dasar (-1.12%) menjadi kontributor utama pelemahan IHSG diakhir pekan ini. Sentimen negatif dari penurunan aktifitas Ekspor yang diluar dugaan sebesar -4.7% berbanding YoY dari periode sebelumnya sebesar -3.57% menjadi pemicu. Posisi Neraca perdagangan Indonesia pun melebar dengan defisit $1.16 miliar berbanding defisit periode sebelumnya sebesar $1.03 miliar atau bertambah sekitar $130 juta pada bulan Januari 2019. Penurunan eksport terbesar pada sektor minyak dan gas yang turun 6.72% karena adanya pebatasan import minyak dan gas ke Tiongkok sejak akhir tahun lalu. Sentimen ini masih akan menjadi awan hitam pergerakan IHSG hingga pekan depan. Leader: TLKM, BNLI, EXCL, CPIN, BRPT Laggard: HMSP, UNVR, BBRI, INKP, BBCA Pergerkaan IHSG secara teknikal mengarah pada pergerakan bearish setelah tidak mampu bertahan diarea level 6400. Indikator Stochastic mengarah bearish dengan pergerakan terkonsolidasi pada area oversold begitu juga RSI yang telah menjenuh namun tidak berindikasi rebound secara momentum. Sehingga diperkirakan IHSG akan cenderung bergerak kembali tertekan mendekati level support MA50 dikisaran level 6300 jika tidak mampu berbalik kembali diatas level 6400. Sehingga diperkirakan support resistance

  IHSG berada dikisaran level 6300-6429. Saham-saham yang masih dapat dicermati diantaranya CPIN, GGRM, KLBF, BBNI, BMRI, TLKM, ASII, MEDC, ERAA.

  Indeks Nikkei (+1.54%) dan TOPIX (+1.36%) dibuka menguat lebih dari sepersen diawal sesi perdagangan awal pekan. Indeks KOSPI (+0.72%) dikorea selatan pun dibuka gap up menyusul indikasi positif pada mayoritas indeks saham di Asia pada awal pekan ini. Kenaikan ini setelah kuatnya perdagangan di AS mengakhiri pekan lalu ditengah tanda-tanda optimis tentang ekonomi dan kesepkatan perdagangan AS-China menjelang pembicaraan di Washington minggu ini. Trump penyatakan kesepakatan dengan China lebih dekat dan berkemungkinan tanggal pengenaan tarif import akan diperpanjang. Diawal pekan data dari dalam negeri mengenai pertumbuhan pinjaman akan menyita perhatian investor. Harga minyak mentah WTI (+0.5%) dibuka menguat kelevel $55.88 perbarrel mencapai level tertinggi sejak 3 bulan terakhir. sedangkan energy tambang batubara NC (-0.11%) kembali tertekan kelevel $94.85. Tambang logam lain menguat seperti Timah (+0.99%), Nikel (+1.78%) dan Emas (+0.06%) diawal pekan ini.

  Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Analyst:

  Lanjar Nafi [email protected]

  • +62 21 5790 5455 ext. 214

  your reliable partner

  www.reliancesekuritas.com

  1

  Daily Price Action CPIN

  SPECULATIVE BUY Analisis :

  • Candlestick membentuk pola

  bullish harami dengan whipsaw MA50. Indikasi menguji resistance. jika harga saham

  • Stop-loss

  terkonfirmasi break out bullish trend line.

  • Indikator stochastic bergerak pada

  area pada pola golden-cross dengan RSI yang bullish reversal momentum.

  : 6700-7300

  • Support

  : 8000-8800

  • Resistance

  : 7175

  • Stop-loss

  : 8000-8800

  • Target Price

  BBCA TRADING BUY Analisis :

  • Pola southern star dengan indikasi rebound pada level support MA50.
  • Stop-loss jika harga saham break

  out support MA50 Stochastic berpotensi

  • Indikator

  membentuk pola golden-cross dengan indicator RSI yang bullish reversal momentum.

  : 25125-25900

  • Support • Resistance : 26850-28250
  • Stop-loss : 26400
  • Target Price : 2750-28250

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  • Pergerakan harga saham
  • Stop-loss
  • Indikator stochastic bergerak
  • Support
  • Resistance
  • Stop-loss
  • Target Price

  : 920

  : 1840

  : 2100-2400

  : 1600-1870

  area oversold dengan indikasi pola golden-cross dan RSI yang mulai terlihat bullish reversal momentum.

  jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support

  membentuk pola bullish harami dengan indikasi rebound menguji resistance hingga MA200

  : 1075-1170 SPECULATIVE BUY MEDC Analisis :

  : 980-1075

  : 855-910

  positif setalah golden-cross pada area oversold dengan momentum RSI yang cukup rendah.

  jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support MA200

  terkonsolidasi dan kuat diatas MA200. Indikasi rebound menguji resistance hingga target wave 5.

  Analisis :

  • Candlestick
  • Stop-loss
  • Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
  • Support
  • Resistance
  • Stop-loss
  • Target Price

  www.reliancesekuritas.com Daily Price Action

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  : 2100-2300 TRADING BUY ERAA

  Daily Price Action LS-27 Index

  Support Support Resist ance Resist ance Target Ticker Last Price Not e Rat ing St op-loss

  2

  1

  1

  

2

Price Agricult ure TBLA 750 810 860 870 950 Consolidations TB 840 950 AALI 12,750 13,575 13,600 14,350 15,000 Whipsaw MA20 SB 13,500 14,350 SSMS 1,050 1,115 1,145 1,180 2,250 Consolidations W 1,100 Basic Indust ry TKIM 9,325 10,900 11,200 12,350 14,150 Break out MA50 W 11,000

  INKP 9,800 10,700 11,500 11,700 13,000 Break out support W 10,600 CPIN 6,700 7,200 7,475 8,000 8,850 Bullish harami SB 7,200 8,000 Consumer GGRM 77,000 80,700 83,875 84,500 88,000 Rectangle H 83,500 84,500 HOKI 580 620 660 675 720 Break out support W 640

  ICBP 9,800 10,450 10,425 11,400 12,300 Consolidations TB 10,400 11,400 UNVR 45,500 47,100 48,000 49,000 51,400 Bearish momentum PS 47,500 Finance BBRI 3,550 3,750 3,770 3,940 4,100 Consolidations PS 3,800 BBNI 8,200 8,650 8,775 9,100 9,525 Tweezers bottom SB 8,600 9,525 BBCA 25,800 26,800 26,800 28,275 29,750 Southern star TB 26,500 Infrast ruct ure TOWR 750 770 835 850 910 Bearish harami PS 840 PGAS 2,250 2,410 2,460 2,600 2,720 Consolidations TB 2,400 2,600 Misc. Indust ry SRIL 300 322 338 340 350 Stoch golden-cross SB 330 350 ASII 7,200 7,500 7,600 7,800 8,100 Bullih homing pigeon TB 7,500 8,000 Mining PTBA 3,630 3,870 3,980 4,170 4,480 Bearish momentum W 3,950

  ITMG 19,350 20,500 20,800 22,000 23,000 Oversold W 20,400 ADRO 1,130 1,215 1,220 1,310 1,400 Arrived at support TB 1,210 1,310 Propert y LPCK 2,300 2,400 2,560 2,650 2,880 Bearish momentum S 2,500 WSKT 1,515 1,680 1,765 1,850 2,070 Oversold W 1,670 PWON 595 625 645 660 700 Whipsaw MA50 TB 620 700 Trading UNTR 24,000 25,425 25,025 27,000 28,500 Consolidations TB 25,400 27,000 SCMA 1,600 1,700 1,755 1,800 1,900 Bullish harami TB 1,710 1,900 LPPF 5,325 6,000 6,150 7,000 8,000 Bullish harami SB 6,100 7,000 ERAA 1,600 1,875 1,955 2,100 2,400 Bullish harami TB 1,850 2,100 Monday, 18 February 2019 Equity Technical Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, [email protected] Disclaimer on

  Analyst Conclusions: The Index has reached the wave 3. Legend :B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability)SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability)W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability)S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).

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  LIN K.JK 4,520 4,130 4,310 4,500 4,360 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

  ICBP.JK 10,700 10,425 10,375 10,700 10,525 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IMAS.JK 3,330 3,180 3,120 3,330 3,230 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  IMJS.jk 915 695 700 850 740 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  IN CO.JK 4,020 3,500 3,480 3,730 3,630 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

  IN DF.JK 7,800 7,425 7,425 7,800 7,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper

  IN DY.JK 2,240 1,795 2,110 2,050 1,825 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

  IN KP.JK 13,300 11,500 12,500 12,750 12,000 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

  IN TP.JK 20,200 17,975 19,000 19,225 18,500 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper

  ITMG.JK 22,400 20,800 21,000 22,000 21,100 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under JPFA.JK 3,100 2,700 2,680 2,970 2,830 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  JRPT.JK 675 600 550 645 610 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  JSMR.JK 5,175 5,025 4,910 5,125 5,025 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  KLBF.JK 1,625 1,575 1,590 1,605 1,590 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  LPCK.JK 2,910 2,560 2,300 2,910 2,770 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper LPKR.JK 318 278 280 314 286 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

  3,850 3,700 3,690 3,790 3,760 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under H OKI.JK

  LPPF.JK 7,050 6,150 6,550 7,050 6,250 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

  LSIP.JK 1,460 1,345 1,330 1,455 1,395 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  MAIN .JK 1,920 1,730 1,575 1,915 1,720 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MAPI.JK 1,040 1,025 980 1,040 1,030 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MCAS.JK 3,610 3,590 3,310 3,640 3,550 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MDIA.JK 160 152 120 160 153 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  MEDC.JK 995 950 905 995 955 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  META.JK 220 210 208 216 212 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  MIKA.JK 1,920 1,760 1,500 1,920 1,815 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MN CN .JK 885 910 815 925 840 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Under

  MYOR.JK 2,710 2,600 2,550 2,710 2,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  PBID.JK 1,110 1,080 1,050 1,100 1,075 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  PGAS.JK 2,640 2,460 2,310 2,530 2,440 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  Source : Reliance Research T icke r

  730 660 725 730 685 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under H RUM.JK 1,860 1,465 1,700 1,620 1,480 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  83,800 83,875 80,175 84,000 82,125 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper GMFI.JK 296 240 234 290 252 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under H MSP.JK

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  785 710 665 785 720 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBCA.JK 28,750 26,800 27,475 27,650 27,025 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper BBN I.JK

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

  15/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  B. Band

  20 Days

  50 Days 200 Days AALI.JK

  14,200 13,600 12,975 13,800 13,475 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACES.JK 1,810 1,705 1,730 1,810 1,720 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper ACST.JK

  1,800 1,620 1,510 1,800 1,660 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under ADH I.JK

  1,840 1,520 1,550 1,680 1,595 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under ADRO.JK 1,415 1,220 1,240 1,305 1,245 Oversold Bearish Oversold Middle Bands Under Under Under AGII.JK

  680 635 635 680 645 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper AKRA.JK

  4,800 5,725 5,150 5,850 5,425 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper AMRT.JK 830 860 815 880 825 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper AN TM.JK

  1,040 950 935 1,040 995 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper ARN A.JK

  490 480 472 496 486 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ASII.JK 8,500 7,600 8,225 8,150 7,650 Oversold Bullish Oversold Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASRI.JK

  376 330 332 364 344 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper ASSA.JK

  9,075 8,775 8,650 9,075 8,775 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BBRI.JK

  434 372 350 398 388 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper GGRM.JK

  3,950 3,770 3,650 3,920 3,840 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BBTN .JK 2,860 2,480 2,620 2,720 2,530 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under BDMN .JK

  9,200 9,175 9,100 9,200 9,175 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BEST.JK

  264 250 240 274 256 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BFIN .JK 695 655 650 695 660 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BIRD.JK

  3,250 3,080 3,000 3,240 3,130 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BISI.JK

  1,480 1,400 1,390 1,480 1,415 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under BJBR.JK 2,450 2,020 2,130 2,200 2,050 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BMRI.JK

  7,675 7,175 7,050 7,675 7,225 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BN GA.JK

  1,280 1,230 1,145 1,280 1,200 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BN LI.JK 1,185 1,260 1,030 1,270 1,090 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BRPT.JK

  2,600 2,800 2,390 2,900 2,500 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BSDE.JK

  1,445 1,320 1,295 1,400 1,340 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BTPN .JK 4,000 3,740 3,710 3,900 3,750 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper CPIN .JK

  8,400 7,475 7,275 7,700 7,475 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper CTRA.JK

  1,000 870 865 950 905 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under DILD.JK 338 320 320 338 330 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper DMAS.JK

  224 208 195 212 208 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper DOID.JK

  670 580 580 610 590 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ERAA.JK 2,410 1,955 2,260 2,220 2,050 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ESSA.JK

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  1,995 2,020 1,980 2,040 2,000 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SMGR.JK 12,775 12,025 12,200 12,775 12,300 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper SMRA.JK 990 865 950 990 910 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper SRIL.JK

  Source : Reliance Research T icke r

  735 700 580 735 720 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WSBP.JK 420 368 384 414 384 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper WSKT.JK 2,040 1,765 1,830 2,030 1,865 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under

  50,050 48,000 48,875 49,800 48,600 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper WEGE.JK 342 308 292 334 320 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WIKA.JK 1,945 1,645 1,835 1,865 1,720 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper WOOD.JK

  5,700 5,550 5,400 5,700 5,550 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ULTJ.JK 1,270 1,210 1,200 1,220 1,220 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper UN TR.JK 26,775 25,025 24,250 25,825 25,500 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under UN V R.JK

  3,940 3,790 3,780 3,940 3,800 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper TOTL.JK 650 625 600 645 635 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOWR.JK 860 835 760 865 820 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TPIA.JK

  990 860 845 960 880 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper TIN S.JK 1,430 1,425 1,270 1,475 1,340 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TKIM.JK 13,950 11,200 13,000 13,075 11,950 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under TLKM.JK

  350 338 336 344 340 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SSMS.JK 1,200 1,145 1,165 1,190 1,165 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under TBIG.JK 4,830 4,620 4,610 4,750 4,600 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper TBLA.JK

  4,150 3,600 3,160 4,150 3,800 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under SIMP.JK 530 486 490 520 498 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SMBR.JK 1,680 1,525 1,500 1,620 1,550 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SMCB.JK

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  1,855 1,805 1,615 1,855 1,740 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ROTI.JK 1,240 1,200 1,195 1,235 1,210 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper SCMA.JK 1,855 1,755 1,790 1,840 1,760 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SGRO.JK 2,420 2,340 2,210 2,340 2,340 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under SIDO.jk 840 800 805 835 815 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper SILO.JK

  4,470 3,980 4,220 4,310 4,080 Oversold Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under PTPP.JK 2,370 2,000 2,210 2,310 2,070 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper PWON .JK 650 645 630 675 650 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper RALS.JK

  50 Days 200 Days PN BN .JK 1,450 1,520 1,315 1,550 1,365 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper PTBA.JK

  20 Days

  B. Band

  15/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

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