Dampak Pelaksanaan Desentralisasi Fiskal terhadap Pemerataan Kemampuan Keuangan dan Kinerja Pembangunan Daerah Provinsi Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN
LAMPIRAN 1
Jumlah Penduduk Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara Tahun 2011-2015 (Jiwa)
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/Kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi

Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. Mandailing Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tapanuli Selatan
Kab. Tapanuli Tengah
Kab. Tapanuli Utara
Kab. Toba Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota Pematang Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota Padang Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan

Kab.Humbang Hasundutan
Kab. Serdang Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. Padang Lawas
Kab. Padang Lawas Utara
Kab. Labuhanbatu Selatan
Kab. Labuhanbatu Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota Gunung Sitoli
Total

2011
674521
272578
1807173
354242
418992
976582

408731
132605
825366
266282
314142
281868
174748
248456
2117224
236893
85271
155889
146606
193322
40884
292417
173255
599941
120772
379400

227365
225621
280269
333793
128434
82572
127382
13103596

2012
677876
273394
1845615
358823
424644
976885
410931
132860
830986
268095

318908
283871
174865
250252
2122804
236947
85852
157175
147771
198809
41492
294069
174765
604026
121594
381023
232166
229064
284809
335459

128533
82701
128337
13215401

2013
681794
276238
1886388
363755
430718
978734
413475
133388
833251
268824
324006
286118
175069
252263

2123210
237434
85981
158599
149065
204615
42144
295968
176429
605583
121924
382960
237259
232746
289655
337404
129053
82854
129403
13326307


2014
699720
277575
1984598
382622
453630
1005965
426382
135319
844033
273132
342902
290864
178568
261490
2191140
245104
86166
164675

154804
206496
44520
305010
181026
606367
123065
396479
251927
247286
307171
347465
132735
84419
134196
13766851

2015
706283
279090

2029308
389591
462191
1013385
430894
136115
849405
275098
350017
293399
179704
264687
2210624
247411
86519
167012
156815
209796
45516
308281
182991
608691
123789
400803
258003
252589
313884
351097
133897
84917
135995
13937797

75
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 2
Realisasi Dana Alokasi Umum Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara tahun
2011-2015 (000 rupiah)
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tap. Selatan
Kab.Tap. Tengah
Kab. Tap. Utara
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota Pdg. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. S. Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P. Lawas Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli
Total

2011
523561849
372373357
888557245
441566566
367737566
736887816
455393393
265217572
696225292
375893846
343731494
405822524
310252416
336779454
1066353555
352525649
248405548
275525468
261948729
308014507
198239174
318920943
313431176
458160308
282988294
358883017
249496791
262539422
266922749
346684689
231764690
193616447
251728688
12766150234

2012
628974980
451176116
1100013616
546294802
461644282
847503037
541106638
289608144
865405855
454322254
422611672
487345532
387623169
416965216
1153789320
429632177
292873107
313729707
307635669
364923284
232990274
378605613
376847178
554245457
331412601
452227480
331754392
348056278
334512284
400601985
267283183
227860872
305726000
15305302174

2013
733671988
512477041
1260755135
625822348
520457519
982658132
625543432
336470399
977808611
517342688
491010818
552463211
423292453
477553537
1270244794
492115399
338507471
369246576
368586756
423251346
273598951
422944097
440919622
628900240
384760680
517734102
371650111
387954949
400566653
457714720
294071932
251631634
356042897
17487770242

2014
795350930
532723259
1363811250
686834562
561476208
1039650946
692133576
347698829
1077985764
572097968
541491907
596841256
495377257
526069678
1393504580
519435661
371812825
387259055
385030433
470353368
313591345
462793387
486879858
698412747
441619455
591720062
408043834
418726923
450151264
503053678
355354627
279674672
383524614
19150485778

2015
817746952
560602194
1396297620
697458392
593025840
1099486754
722942098
365879139
1084973726
592764058
558241964
616216474
506843572
541895577
1232071365
536792310
380075078
398405838
400236724
481834636
326899366
468405844
511805111
720551907
447470935
578874665
427773483
444806362
427015380
531602310
359841943
301537799
397362423
19527737839

76
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 3
Dana Alokasi Umum Per Kapita Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara
tahun 2011-2015(Rupiah)
No

Kabupaten/kota

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tap. Selatan
Kab.Tap. Tengah
Kab. Tap. Utara
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota Pdg. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. S. Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P. Lawas Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli
Total (Y)

DAU Per
Kapita (Yi)
2011
776198
1366117
491684
1246511
877672
754558
1114164
2000057
843535
1411638
1094191
1439761
1775428
1355489
503656
1488122
2913130
1767447
1786753
1593272
4848820
1090637
1809074
763676
2343161
945923
1097340
1163630
952381
1038622
1804543
2344820
1976172
974248

DAU Per
Kapita (Yi)
2012
927861
1650278
596015
1522463
1087132
867557
1316782
2179799
1041420
1694632
1325184
1716785
2216700
1666181
543521
1813199
3411372
1996053
2081841
1835547
5615306
1287472
2156308
917585
2725567
1186877
1428953
1519472
1174514
1194191
2079491
2755237
2382212
1158141

DAU Per
Kapita (Yi)
2013
1076090
1855201
668343
1720450
1208349
1004009
1512893
2522494
1173486
1924466
1515437
1930893
2417861
1893078
598266
2072641
3937003
2328177
2472658
2068526
6492002
1429020
2499133
1038504
3155742
1351927
1566432
1666860
1382910
1356578
2278691
3037049
2751427
1312274

DAU Per
Kapita (Yi)
2014
1136670
1919205
687198
1795073
1237740
1033486
1623271
2569475
1277184
2094584
1579145
2051960
2774166
2011816
635972
2119246
4315076
2351657
2487212
2277784
7043831
1517306
2689558
1151799
3588506
1492437
1619691
1693290
1465474
1447782
2677174
3312935
2857944
1391058

DAU Per
Kapita (Yi)
2015
1157818
2008679
688066
1790232
1283075
1084965
1677772
2688015
1277334
2154738
1594900
2100268
2820436
2047307
557341
2169638
4392967
2385492
2552286
2296682
7182076
1519412
2796887
1183773
3614788
1444287
1658017
1760989
1360424
1514118
2687453
3550971
2921890
1401063

77
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 4
Hasil Perhitungan Indeks Williamson DAU Per Kapita
No

Kabupaten/kota

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tap. Selatan
Kab.Tap. Tengah
Kab. Tap. Utara
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota P. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. S. Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P.L. Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli

fi/n
2011
0.051476022
0.020801771
0.137914279
0.027033953
0.031975345
0.074527786
0.031192277
0.010119741
0.062987748
0.020321292
0.023973724
0.021510736
0.013335881
0.018960902
0.161575799
0.018078473
0.00650745
0.011896658
0.011188226
0.014753355
0.00312006
0.022315783
0.013221943
0.045784455
0.009216707
0.028953884
0.017351344
0.017218251
0.021388709
0.025473389
0.009801432
0.006301476
0.009721148

fi/n
2012
0.051294395
0.02068753
0.139656375
0.027151881
0.03213251
0.073920194
0.031094857
0.010053422
0.06288012
0.020286558
0.024131542
0.021480317
0.01323191
0.018936391
0.16063107
0.017929611
0.00649636
0.011893321
0.011181727
0.015043736
0.00313967
0.022251992
0.013224343
0.045706218
0.009200932
0.02883174
0.017567836
0.01733311
0.021551295
0.025383944
0.009726001
0.006257926
0.00971117

fi/n
2013
0.051161511
0.020728774
0.141553695
0.027296009
0.032320882
0.073443753
0.031026975
0.010009375
0.062526775
0.02017243
0.024313262
0.021470164
0.013137098
0.0189297
0.15932471
0.017816939
0.006451975
0.011901197
0.01118577
0.015354216
0.003162467
0.022209304
0.013239152
0.045442672
0.009149121
0.028737144
0.017803807
0.017465154
0.021735579
0.025318642
0.009684078
0.006217326
0.009710342

fi/n
2014
0.050826438
0.020162563
0.144157731
0.027792993
0.032950891
0.07307154
0.030971643
0.009829336
0.061309082
0.019839831
0.024907802
0.021127853
0.012970867
0.018994177
0.159160581
0.017803926
0.006258948
0.011961704
0.011244692
0.014999509
0.003233855
0.022155393
0.013149412
0.044045439
0.008939227
0.028799542
0.018299537
0.017962423
0.022312365
0.02523925
0.009641638
0.006132049
0.009747763

fi/n
2015
0.050673934
0.020023968
0.145597471
0.027952122
0.033160979
0.072707688
0.030915503
0.009765891
0.060942558
0.019737552
0.025112792
0.021050601
0.012893286
0.018990591
0.158606414
0.017751084
0.006207509
0.011982668
0.011251061
0.015052307
0.003265652
0.022118345
0.013129119
0.043671966
0.008881533
0.028756553
0.018511032
0.018122591
0.022520345
0.025190279
0.009606755
0.00609257
0.009757281

78
Universitas Sumatera Utara

(Yi-Y)2
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/Kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. D. Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. L. Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tapsel
Kab. Tapteng
Kab. Taput
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota T. Balai
Kota T. Tinggi
K. P. Sidempuan
Kab. P. Barat
Kab. N. Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. Sergai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P.L. Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli

fi/n
2011
39223802500
153561313161
232868014096
74127141169
9326923776
48263696100
19576487056
1052284104481
17085888369
191310012100
14386323249
216702353169
641889392400
145344700081
221456830464
264066487876
3759263409924
629164653601
660164375025
383190712576
15012308183184
13546399321
696934450276
44340567184
1873922801569
802305625
15151640464
35865541924
478165689
4144011876
689389787025
1878467607184
1003851701776

fi/n
2012
53028878400
242198826769
315985639876
132730519684
5042278081
84439061056
25166966881
1043785068964
13623791841
287822593081
27903363849
312083118736
1120547156481
258104641600
377757744400
429100983364
5077049939361
702096519744
853221690000
458878888836
19866319837225
16726507561
996337359889
57867189136
2456824265476
825757696
73339139344
130560091561
268075129
1299602500
848885822500
2550715633216
1498349813041

fi/n
2013
55782881856
294769727329
414647132761
166607646976
10800405625
95027310225
40247983161
1464632448400
19262108944
374779044864
41275204569
382689467161
1222322614569
337333286416
509807424064
578157974689
6889202323441
1032058905409
1346491027456
571917087504
26829582153984
13629628516
1408634285881
74950012900
3398374267024
1572360409
64596288964
125731231396
4989444496
1962844416
933961817889
2974848800625
2071161357409

fi/n
2014
64713254544
278939253609
495418899600
163228120225
23506409124
127857735184
53922877369
1388666625889
12967287876
494948832676
35376719569
436791453604
1912987739664
385340494564
570154867396
530257763344
8549881264324
922750438801
1201553591716
786282999076
31953842589529
15938557504
1686102250000
57244869081
4828777712704
10277701641
52273048689
91344181824
5537741056
3217612176
1654094365456
3693611203129
2151754536996

fi/n
2015
59168130025
369197203456
508364722009
151452510561
13921168144
99917945604
76567870681
1656245450304
15308865441
568026005625
37572782569
488887632025
2014619713129
417631307536
711866813284
590707530625
8951489545216
969100456041
1325314395729
802133393161
33420111306169
14006485801
1948324638976
47214944100
4900578375625
1868314176
66025358116
129546725476
1651528321
12781433025
1654799232100
4622104408464
2312914763929

79
Universitas Sumatera Utara

(Yi-Y)2 (fi/n)
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/Kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. D. Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. L. Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tapsel
Kab. Tapteng
Kab. Taput
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota T. Balai
Kota T. Tinggi
K. P. Sidempuan
Kab. P. Barat
Kab. N. Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. Sergai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P.L. Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli

2011
2019085332
3194347233
32115824361
2003949659
298231603.5
3596986420
610635212.7
10648842781
1076201627
3887666610
344893749.6
4661427205
8560160703
2755866619
35782064437
4773918741
24463219885
7484956701
7386068554
5653348511
46839295699
302298502.7
9214827608
2030108698
17271396691
23229864.09
262901323.7
617541889.6
10227346.71
105562027.1
6757006848
11837119159
9758591266

2012
2720084239
5010495410
44129409069
3603883323
162021049
6241751738
782563228.1
10493611527
856665665.1
5838929753
673351187.6
6703644256
14826979410
4887570401
60679630595
7693613739
32982343207
8350258951
9540491609
6903252728
62373691323
372198115.8
13175907315
2644890366
22605071896
23808030.84
1288409987
2263012436
5777366.076
32989037.19
8256264144
15962189387
14550729104

2013
2853936515
6110214926
58694833871
4547723884
349078639
6979162302
1248773185
14660054960
1204397553
7560204185
1003534883
8216405713
16057771880
6385618073
81224920066
10301005415
44448961364
12282735970
15061538430
8781338660
84847655866
302704559.7
18649123003
3405928864
31092138590
45185147.11
1150059872
2195915281
108448465.5
49696555.64
9044559343
18495605911
20111685340

2014
3289144225
5624130262
71418464347
4536598080
774557113.4
9342761578
1670080129
13649670440
795012518.7
9819701293
881156329.3
9228465490
24813110471
7319225430
90746179801
9440670116
53513259425
11037667838
13511100121
11793858608
1.03334E+11
353125012
22171253681
2521375406
43165537944
295993097.4
956572591.4
1640762826
123560097.9
81210119.49
15948179841
22649403568
20974793135

2015
2998281893
7392792958
74016618070
4233419029
461639570.8
7264802846
2367134208
16174711790
932961417.8
11211443106
943557481.6
10291378354
25975067719
7931065282
1.12907E+11
10485698770
55566451711
11612409433
14911192706
12073958126
1.09138E+11
309800282.6
25579786677
2061969445
43524647155
53726275.87
1222197487
2347722373
37192987.92
321967868.4
15897250676
28160493373
22567758974

80
Universitas Sumatera Utara

�(Yi-Y)

2011

2012

2.66348E+11

3.76635E+11



2011

2012

516088.9486

613706.3545

WI

2011

2012

0,53

0,53

(fi/n)

2013

2014

2015

4.97471E+11

5.87421E+11

6.40974E+11

2013

2014

2015

705316.1825

766433.738

800608.6476

�−



2

�−

( �/�)

( �/�)
2013
0,54

/Y
2014

2015

0,55

0,57

81
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 5
Realisasi Pendapatan APBD Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Sumatera
Utara tahun 2011-2015 (000 rupiah)
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tap. Selatan
Kab.Tap. Tengah
Kab. Tap. Utara
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota Pdg. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. S. Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P. Lawas Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli
Total

2011
843677575
549635477
1624362776
650260229
670125418
1108552890
679506652
404360948
1078592676
652666732
555264031
676187182
486356687
579565918
2747359034
565383728
385948153
390371559
412196446
477210918
323213325
491454061
464390691
779632146
415919855
564120402
395175468
428562175
434071969
540873078
330653434
282565203
369655352
21357872188

2012
1039734135
612556975
1853853020
753388842
764412735
1378567032
791409493
419400137
1394640673
726028773
705932965
726053475
656081814
689107085
2998203912
669207445
411287706
465842679
482097882
540468368
311051290
540170385
551371659
875700482
447732374
653171987
484826536
580809273
506153862
671575211
346513114
321790054
437534339
24806675712

2013
1202013177
719212829
2096336073
909311459
827442717
1555901880
870952265
463150328
1468168468
810115474
871723619
852233711
717187382
711568038
3276344285
731041119
462586651
542932883
596249863
625778532
390450182
835535767
627805971
988058956
529780855
786145357
539004264
619663793
618909256
755134935
410460988
326277085
452039059
28189517221

2014
1486997911
766415851
2450204561
1010908170
927684589
1682148382
1039402582
515836195
1644477023
890870434
843242622
873193145
761210923
804091376
4324553187
831765871
521283125
563597432
628621517
704975446
463786946
643149408
721469692
1087160371
614675088
858757561
590622092
603885240
681102717
776036583
490265502
373104473
510645269
31686141284

2015
1407030441
889613804
2782141455
1470455673
1013045067
2020688705
1215312483
691021858
1930943305
1088604698
982901750
1085561367
860678329
843711784
4259044491
891378887
609828762
573499075
667061087
772413224
472997018
814895235
774264084
1269303511
678492828
918925955
754294314
733242018
733135879
854792819
599606675
465951798
622748088
35747586467

82
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 6
APBD Per Kapita Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara
tahun 2011-2015 (rupiah)
No

Kabupaten/kota

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tap. Selatan
Kab.Tap. Tengah
Kab. Tap. Utara
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota Pdg. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. S. Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P. Lawas Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli

APBD Per
Kapita (Yi)
2011
1250780
2016434
898842
1835638
1599375
1135135
1662479
3049364
1306805
2451036
1767557
2398950
2783189
2332670
1297623
2386663
4526136
2504164
2811593
2468477
7905619
1680662
2680388
1299515
3443843
1486875
1738066
1899478
1548769
1620385
2574501
3422046
2901943

APBD Per
Kapita (Yi)
2012
1533812
2240565
1004464
2099611
1800126
1411187
1925894
3156707
1678296
2708103
2213594
2557688
3751933
2753653
1412379
2824292
4790660
2963847
3262466
2718531
7496657
1836883
3154932
1449773
3682191
1714259
2088275
2535576
1777169
2001959
2695908
3891006
3409261

APBD Per
Kapita (Yi)
2013
1763015
2603598
1111296
2499791
1921078
1589709
2106421
3472204
1761976
3013553
2690455
2978609
4096598
2820739
1543109
3078923
5380103
3423306
3999932
3058322
9264668
2823061
3558406
1631583
4345173
2052813
2271797
2662404
2136712
2238073
3180561
3937976
3493266

APBD Per
Kapita (Yi)
2014
2125133
2761113
1234610
2642054
2045025
1672174
2437726
3812001
1948356
3261685
2459136
3002067
4262863
3075037
1973654
3393522
6049754
3422483
4060758
3413991
10417497
2108617
3985448
1792908
4994719
2165960
2344418
2442052
2217341
2233424
3693566
4419674
3805220

APBD Per
Kapita (Yi)
2015
1992162
3187552
1370980
3774357
2191832
1993999
2820444
5076750
2273289
3957152
2808154
3699949
4789422
3187583
1926625
3602826
7048495
3433879
4253809
3681735
10391885
2643352
4231159
2085300
5481043
2292712
2923587
2902906
2335691
2434634
4478119
5487144
4579198

83
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 7
Hasil Perhitungan Indeks Williamson Pendapatan APBD Per Kapita
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tap. Selatan
Kab.Tap. Tengah
Kab. Tap. Utara
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota Pdg. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. S. Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P. Lawas Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli

fi/n
2011
0.051476022
0.020801771
0.137914279
0.027033953
0.031975345
0.074527786
0.031192277
0.010119741
0.062987748
0.020321292
0.023973724
0.021510736
0.013335881
0.018960902
0.161575799
0.018078473
0.00650745
0.011896658
0.011188226
0.014753355
0.00312006
0.022315783
0.013221943
0.045784455
0.009216707
0.028953884
0.017351344
0.017218251
0.021388709
0.025473389
0.009801432
0.006301476
0.009721148

fi/n
2012
0.051294395
0.02068753
0.139656375
0.027151881
0.03213251
0.073920194
0.031094857
0.010053422
0.06288012
0.020286558
0.024131542
0.021480317
0.01323191
0.018936391
0.16063107
0.017929611
0.00649636
0.011893321
0.011181727
0.015043736
0.00313967
0.022251992
0.013224343
0.045706218
0.009200932
0.02883174
0.017567836
0.01733311
0.021551295
0.025383944
0.009726001
0.006257926
0.00971117

fi/n
2013
0.051161511
0.020728774
0.141553695
0.027296009
0.032320882
0.073443753
0.031026975
0.010009375
0.062526775
0.02017243
0.024313262
0.021470164
0.013137098
0.0189297
0.15932471
0.017816939
0.006451975
0.011901197
0.01118577
0.015354216
0.003162467
0.022209304
0.013239152
0.045442672
0.009149121
0.028737144
0.017803807
0.017465154
0.021735579
0.025318642
0.009684078
0.006217326
0.009710342

fi/n
2014
0.050826438
0.020162563
0.144157731
0.027792993
0.032950891
0.07307154
0.030971643
0.009829336
0.061309082
0.019839831
0.024907802
0.021127853
0.012970867
0.018994177
0.159160581
0.017803926
0.006258948
0.011961704
0.011244692
0.014999509
0.003233855
0.022155393
0.013149412
0.044045439
0.008939227
0.028799542
0.018299537
0.017962423
0.022312365
0.02523925
0.009641638
0.006132049
0.009747763

fi/n
2015
0.050673934
0.020023968
0.145597471
0.027952122
0.033160979
0.072707688
0.030915503
0.009765891
0.060942558
0.019737552
0.025112792
0.021050601
0.012893286
0.018990591
0.158606414
0.017751084
0.006207509
0.011982668
0.011251061
0.015052307
0.003265652
0.022118345
0.013129119
0.043671966
0.008881533
0.028756553
0.018511032
0.018122591
0.022520345
0.025190279
0.009606755
0.00609257
0.009757281

84
Universitas Sumatera Utara

(Yi-Y)2
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tap. Selatan
Kab.Tap. Tengah
Kab. Tap. Utara
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota Pdg. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. S. Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P. Lawas Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli

2011
143750707738
149389008984
534482529000
42318015607
933289667
244816656263
1059754609
2014807819310
104406330537
674223051363
18942690016
591399141780
1330017532006
493850877154
110424469959
572652208601
8388038845599
764293124790
1396339949627
703169520952
39384334507464
2574215736
1103473339679
109170969246
3290299958711
20463282140
11694563311
72658937278
6586278882
91016876
892223416246
3211698576655
1618030766424

2012
117849608252
132103758637
761501331178
49509519017
5925601660
217079013837
2380451203
1637384704033
39524528447
690558713206
113225793692
463194699742
3514984850434
768337550053
215969272522
897164535514
8488806099955
1181010718306
1919228221934
707998875083
31579375311968
1617718426
1632843929928
182611930854
3258340311086
26518596562
44593341047
433585904496
9986908589
15588805876
670439621393
4055799648365
2347505312447

2013
124125022216
238407057107
1008081590032
147810995189
37733592617
276276780098
79359271
1841109375982
124858169570
806807037995
330770115640
745252727333
3925428360919
497603020027
327435822668
928514333653
10658750406937
1710803415326
3551728452943
889235576559
51113052821720
500884817936
2082470554375
234010147605
4972203611353
3908220702
24482208087
299290640128
457224073
15066200498
1134720027146
3322043032360
1898709498582

2014
31149855607
211128005287
1138523118212
115891551336
65844188313
396209990387
18523270436
2281233347846
124799472532
921712486139
24809371922
490617253065
3846450632026
598164284297
107565344966
1192237362281
14048465404069
1256321013079
3094543929064
1237355467275
65867354636332
37252300910
2835256199377
258793792502
7252749655645
18405327776
1831120788
19719426414
7104035481
4651547020
1937497361881
4486128012443
2260794152244

2015
327908087058
387825907605
1425193344546
1463041194381
139101329830
325808041640
65356513324
6309919093895
84975568236
1938658998397
59223757764
1288574838555
4948966227784
387864904610
407260355945
1077509225562
20103568083718
755307784319
2852768909683
1247554409272
61263331106496
6171221151
2776770208585
229915189239
8504502212478
74029013258
128731969715
114318765522
52488868858
16941792867
3660808021845
8540123055042
4057821105094

85
Universitas Sumatera Utara

(fi/n)(Yi-Y)2
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. M. Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tap. Selatan
Kab.Tap. Tengah
Kab. Tap. Utara
Kab. T. Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota Pdg. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.Humbahas
Kab. S. Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. P. Lawas
Kab. P. Lawas Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota G. Sitoli

2011
7399726132
3107560038
73712748555
1144018459
29842669.22
18245679752
33056418.74
20389326117
6576332456
13701088002
454123892.1
12721437714
17736960137
9363851612
17841946132
10352680680
54584741596
9092542286
15622559935
10374108429
1.22881E+11
57446250.99
14590050737
4998324108
30325716066
592492089.1
202914872.3
1251057769
140872374.9
2318373.903
8745070748
20238436893
15729107568

2012
6045013543
2732903317
1.06348E+11
1344272406
190404800.3
16046495893
74020190.01
16461310305
2485312901
14009072121
2732306357
9949566337
46509949910
14549551585
34691383812
16085821436
55146354843
14046134616
21460281208
10650955804
99148823836
35997689.56
21593294910
8362126662
29979754818
764574313.6
783405879.1
7515383021
215232870.1
395704492
6520699848
25380903725
22797019819

2013
6350430442
4941876762
1.42698E+11
4034651236
1219578428
20290774542
2462066.952
18428357490
7806989501
16275244999
8042095786
16000690535
51568716920
9419480822
52168602517
16543266628
68769984143
20360612812
39728816395
13653518774
1.61643E+11
11124297865
27570152502
10634048459
45491300232
112311949.4
435876991.2
5227164287
9938217.282
381452931.7
10988709678
20654219886
18437127314

2014
1583232316
4256887705
1.64127E+11
3220964010
2169620847
28951661631
573694254.9
22423001433
7651354634
18286635959
617947627.5
10365696266
49891800631
11361643610
17120208581
21226497401
87928597928
15027733230
34797209985
18559730364
2.13005E+11
825343219
37281957085
11398695572
64833974542
530063156
33509293.61
354209306.9
158506173.5
117400696.5
18680645230
27509151010
22037692909

2015
16616416233
7765821010
2.07505E+11
40895078825
4612738647
23688751865
2020526303
61621967801
5178639441
38264364356
1487270033
27125269521
63808423836
7365783482
64594198631
19126940944
1.24793E+11
9050593327
32096669204
18778580370
2.00065E+11
136496779.3
36456531295
10040859989
75533016250
2128823441
2382956547
2071757402
1182062356
426770839.1
35168492294
52031298945
39593284047

86
Universitas Sumatera Utara

2011
5.2224E+11

2012
6.15052E+11

2011
722661.4771

WI

�(Yi-Y)

2012
784252.7925

2011
0.443371

2

(fi/n)

2013
8.31014E+11



�−

( �/�)

2013
911599.5971

2014
9.16908E+11

2014
957552.9636

( �/�)
/Y
� �−
2012
2013
2014
0.417799329
0.430949321 0.416033258

2015
1.23361E+12

2015
1110681.275

2015
0.433048752

87
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 8
Realisasi Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) Kabupaten/Kota
di Sumatera Utara (000 rupiah)
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/Kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. Mandailing Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tapanuli Selatan
Kab. Tapanuli Tengah
Kab. Tapanuli Utara
Kab. Toba Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota Pematang Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota P. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.H. Hasundutan
Kab. Serdang Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. Padang Lawas
Kab. Padang L. Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota Gunung Sitoli

2011
31844328
17673471
213791545
35363330
50958559
34540643
27525847
18943904
42543354
57463805
18091203
23104104
14181847
26470116
995072572
44792749
21663390
27238537
33665264
21614811
6306029
23030719
12870032
35894399
14201579
13240861
8216151
8728415
17081272
10518250
6655233
2761470
6051302

2012
37894588
20911510
291017501
41242973
59439168
129242580
21274113
30531670
61246499
56160143
21136802
20974585
16542682
48178079
1147901461
49915366
26698353
27676094
47330984
23682308
6353112
12146969
17901927
39274570
17459630
16558177
9881176
12798138
18976643
18971116
6707989
4067651
9329679

2013
53691706
29933428
328348147
46342694
49784550
65521499
47665840
44726141
97914776
69220483
23210742
37952078
19803160
49172644
1206169709
61357963
29457629
31920754
53199538
35018175
9080677
131778768
17632874
50371733
26661345
27800612
23129957
15804225
26701972
25651300`
8857119
7223691
10382482

2014
91468219
53525854
433885507
72914095
109896912
107811975
44119212
65082210
96390209
95588202
55364392
63696097
25924591
71967138
1515685947
90477498
52922967
34297306
74515273
58725450
15388658
12828006
29491350
74762406
46658715
44868573
28779779
22172689
36386788
32398504
10961908
10298059
19164450

2015
98279308
58791848
515293681
87644277
101023216
122715360
63847458
70892624
111893283
109349452
65224735
82861214
30986265
78327793
1489723189
95557865
60486786
57094161
82410054
67730739
15880335
15037045
35237806
80146429
34298410
51536224
34707409
26446077
32302333
34499899
16923884
14492750
24334651

88
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 9
Realisasi Dana Perimbangan Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara (000 rupiah)
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/Kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. Mandailing Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tapanuli Selatan
Kab. Tapanuli Tengah
Kab. Tapanuli Utara
Kab. Toba Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota P. Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota P. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.H. Hasundutan
Kab. Serdang Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. Padang Lawas
Kab. Padang L. Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota Gunung Sitoli

2011
629142075
443722273
1064005654
515454236
460031899
928573080
539510212
331708125
828603068
450930689
421841806
488402686
380231093
401834542
1422442737
403598316
290945768
312340755
304033015
357577097
251021410
399717262
374193776
572521057
334265150
442375616
316121951
137797195
350528835
416851039
282794828
251084176
313140980

2012
751912958
521886252
1237551490
615142283
591320545
1060399150
624737082
351220077
1021460381
547419656
507033029
565630017
463267888
482077838
1417185769
494525809
333434803
350519715
357856653
421732104
282389038
469146621
439194192
671314179
380799447
524476686
410794247
415651488
413225408
481110043
318496035
305237626
378059907

2013
878627985
600146272
1401726244
704068996
621030278
1233279204
702429458
415008232
1119108338
611457537
603803915
637547711
499262760
530808739
1506316350
559740945
388296339
418300052
427473187
489005615
350858546
561914141
519013616
742398212
441138043
597047211
442927105
454236461
510631418
541453128
363089217
303731606
401073048

2014
918597777
602937946
1524671888
761711484
641297034
1260298418
805681192
431069842
1225270111
679283446
638134572
668307059
580056752
585699016
1681948783
579535032
422224837
433929339
436868476
529829544
394301905
585343366
563685678
810995568
504939834
668851406
476631236
482255152
547731365
581413144
440373210
338860301
427246030

2015
965041336
630242780
1565271497
850087455
707284674
1388565544
856846422
525798998
1247469764
749637196
752985680
762000830
601576683
604168846
1355644466
609312360
485021430
440409555
462561985
548495448
420108316
628938410
593461103
867189091
521808717
665570073
520171609
504651159
571794239
637402294
507977725
382494290
491849108

89
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 10
Realisasi Pendapatan Per Kapita Kabupaten/Kota Sumatera Utara
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

Kabupaten/Kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. Mandailing Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tapanuli Selatan
Kab. Tapanuli Tengah
Kab. Tapanuli Utara
Kab. Toba Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota Pematang Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi
Kota P. Sidempuan
Kab. Pakpak Barat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab.H. Hasundutan
Kab. Serdang Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batu Bara
Kab. Padang Lawas
Kab. Padang L. Utara
Kab. Lb. Selatan
Kab. Lb. Utara
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat
Kota Gunung Sitoli

2011
24978020
16312970
24530122
27086100
35992076
20004262
14200000
12594093
21813500
22397060
14662900
14199540
21681260
22025540
45912930
26608853
27264570
23398538
17794940
14218290
12858000
9929110
16998520
21223930
16434930
44325910
21519175
23735835
42758517
33507456
12024330
9978405
16669670

2012
26071623
17034206
25081088
27833731
37390288
21108029
14905350
13292683
22970279
22872795
15060605
14689627
22627824
21819826
48932722
28089277
28751706
24497211
18322850
14794434
13354137
10317868
16678315
22552933
17314335
46269548
22245858
23409740
44360748
35228102
12638996
10539422
17445888

2013
27272670
17778153
26748024
28678550
38817561
22094902
15670713
14046053
24003497
26646496
15492031
15323719
23550243
22831523
51041871
29413003
30358946
25560430
19168156
15378218
13843068
10666250
17238437
23756289
18245050
47656119
23035418
24274392
45977153
37022382
13313603
11022720
18261819

2014
28589305
18567328
28113375
29570664
40041667
23019695
16503744
14720699
25110727
27615889
15925384
15971111
24388861
23841402
53637868
30984924
32014580
26674265
19922297
15910509
14359619
11044193
17950166
24870056
19234572
49080488
23805761
25186819
47359684
38606842
13919583
11496828
19115777

2015
29901256
19397859
28937186
30495898
41281483
24000361
17346303
15428914
26260064
28794242
16394405
16594991
25337061
24826319
56218281
32303822
33686323
27767489
20623345
16449706
14877909
11372842
18687087
26025924
20225778
50547758
24579285
26122671
48725553
40186527
14555683
11985785
19879407

90
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 11
Statistik Deskriptif
PDRBKAP?
24056370
22627824
56218281
9929110
10300720
1.107474
3.738555

DP?
605165579
521886252
1681948783
137797195
296344060
1.671159
5.472397

PAD?
87984286
34540643
1515685947
2761470.
222090015
5.087907
29.18281

37.47877
0.000000

118.8263
0.000000

5424.972
0.000000

Sum
Sum Sq. Dev.

3969301054
1.79E+16

99852320552
1.44E+19

14517407237
8.09E+18

Observations
Cross sections

165
33

165
33

165
33

Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Std. Dev.
Skewness
Kurtosis
Jarque-Bera
Probability

LAMPIRAN 12
Common Effect Model
Dependent Variable: PDRBKAP?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 03/21/17 Time: 13:01
Sample: 2011 2015
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 33
Total pool (balanced) observations: 165
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
PAD?
DP?

20046332
0.019332
0.003816

1861601.
0.004328
0.003244

10.76833
4.466630
1.176400

0.0000
0.0000
0.2412

R-squared
0.248321
Adjusted R-squared 0.239041
S.E. of regression
8985623.
Sum squared resid
1.31E+16
Log likelihood
-2874.449
F-statistic
26.75878
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

24056370
10300720
34.87816
34.93464
34.90109
0.011896

91
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 13
Uji Chow
Redundant Fixed Effects Tests
Pool: DF
Test cross-section fixed effects
Effects Test

Statistic

Cross-section F
Cross-section Chi-square

445.319950
776.502500

d.f.

Prob.

(32,130)
32

0.0000
0.0000

Cross-section fixed effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PDRBKAP?
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 03/21/17 Time: 13:05
Sample: 2011 2015
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 33
Total pool (balanced) observations: 165
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
PAD?
DP?

20046332
0.019332
0.003816

1861601.
0.004328
0.003244

10.76833
4.466630
1.176400

0.0000
0.0000
0.2412

R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.248321
0.239041
8985623.
1.31E+16
-2874.449
26.75878
0.000000

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

24056370
10300720
34.87816
34.93464
34.90109
0.011896

92
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 14
Fixed Effect Model
Dependent Variable: PDRBKAP?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 03/21/17 Time: 13:03
Sample: 2011 2015
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 33
Total pool (balanced) observations: 165
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
PAD?
DP?
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_ASAHAN--C
_DAIRI--C
_DELISERDANG--C
_TANAHKARO--C
_LABUHANBATU--C
_LANGKAT--C
_MANDINA--C
_NIAS--C
_SIMALUNGUN--C
_TAPSEL--C
_TAPTENG--C
_TAPUT--C
_TOBASA--C
_BINJAI--C
_MEDAN--C
_SIANTAR--C
_SIBOLGA--C
_TANJUNGBALAI--C
_TEBINGTINGGI--C
_PS--C
_PAKPAKBARAT--C
_NIASSELATAN--C
_HUMBAHAS--C
_SERGAI--C
_SAMOSIR--C
_BATUBARA--C
_PADANGLAWAS--C
_PALAURA--C
_LABUSEL--C
_LABURA--C
_NIASUTARA--C

16957833
0.012912
0.009853

477904.9
0.001928
0.000874

35.48370
6.695815
11.27748

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

1431480.
-5122084.
-8264913.
4251687.
14835554
-7669022.
-8714909.
-7584801.
-4708384.
1718155.
-7684828.
-8344093.
1307397.
270802.6
3230903.
6423279.
9180305.
4308141.
-2462283.
-6765679.
-6583455.
-12007038
-4645190.
-1217060.
-3328129.
24509229
1539432.
3435720.
23821792
14399180
-7565859.
93
Universitas Sumatera Utara

_NIASBARAT--C
_SITOLI--C

-9169704.
-2825625.
Effects Specification

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.993205
0.991427
953723.8
1.18E+14
-2486.197
558.8479
0.000000

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

24056370
10300720
30.55997
31.21880
30.82741
1.263801

94
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 15
Random Effect Model
Dependent Variable: PDRBKAP?
Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects)
Date: 03/21/17 Time: 13:06
Sample: 2011 2015
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 33
Total pool (balanced) observations: 165
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
PAD?
DP?
Random Effects (Cross)
_ASAHAN--C
_DAIRI--C
_DELISERDANG--C
_TANAHKARO--C
_LABUHANBATU--C
_LANGKAT--C
_MANDINA--C
_NIAS--C
_SIMALUNGUN--C
_TAPSEL--C
_TAPTENG--C
_TAPUT--C
_TOBASA--C
_BINJAI--C
_MEDAN--C
_SIANTAR--C
_SIBOLGA--C
_TANJUNGBALAI--C
_TEBINGTINGGI--C
_PS--C
_PAKPAKBARAT--C
_NIASSELATAN--C
_HUMBAHAS--C
_SERGAI--C
_SAMOSIR--C
_BATUBARA--C
_PADANGLAWAS--C
_PALAURA--C
_LABUSEL--C
_LABURA--C

16996269
0.013046
0.009770

1681698.
0.001886
0.000869

10.10661
6.918446
11.24813

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

1450326.
-5108110.
-8220866.
4253830.
14805950
-7606254.
-8681883.
-7579251.
-4657649.
1716127.
-7663429.
-8319235.
1305195.
267677.0
3138585.
6406035.
9149225.
4288295.
-2470277.
-6756406.
-6581195.
-11981430
-4635539.
-1199669.
-3327033.
24462935
1530891.
3420824.
23769204
14371133
95
Universitas Sumatera Utara

_NIASUTARA--C
_NIASBARAT--C
_SITOLI--C

-7557902.
-9163540.
-2826565.
Effects Specification
S.D.

Cross-section random
Idiosyncratic random

9267563.
953723.8

Rho
0.9895
0.0105

Weighted Statistics
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.668479
0.664386
950111.5
163.3284
0.000000

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Sum squared resid
Durbin-Watson stat

1105968.
1640041.
1.46E+14
1.020685

Unweighted Statistics
R-squared
Sum squared resid

0.232346
1.34E+16

Mean dependent var
Durbin-Watson stat

24056370
0.011174

96
Universitas Sumatera Utara

LAMPIRAN 16
Hausman Test
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Pool: DF
Test cross-section random effects
Chi-Sq.
Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f.

Test Summary
Cross-section random

0.775149

Prob.

2

0.6787

Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable

Fixed

Random

Var(Diff.)

Prob.

PAD?
DP?

0.012912
0.009853

0.013046
0.009770

0.000000
0.000000

0.7409
0.3787

Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PDRBKAP?
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 03/21/17 Time: 13:06
Sample: 2011 2015
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 33
Total pool (balanced) observations: 165
Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C
PAD?
DP?

16957833
0.012912
0.009853

477904.9
0.001928
0.000874

35.48370
6.695815
11.27748

0.0000
0.0000
0.0000

Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)

0.993205
0.991427
953723.8
1.18E+14
-2486.197
558.8479
0.000000

Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat

24056370
10300720
30.55997
31.21880
30.82741
1.263801

97
Universitas Sumatera Utara

98
Universitas Sumatera Utara