Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Alokasi Belanja Modal Dengan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Sebagaivariabel Moderasi

103

Lampiran 1

Waktu Penelitian
Bulan
September 2014 s.d.
Februari 2015

Uraian Kegiatan

Penyusunan Proposal

Maret 2015

Kolokium

Maret 2015

Pengumpulan Data


April – Mei 2015

Pengolahan Data

Juni 2015

Penyusunan Laporan Penelitian

Juli 2015

Seminar Hasil

Juli 2015

Perbaikan Seminar Hasil

Agustus 2015

Ujian Tesis


104

Lampiran 2
Daftar Populasi dan Sampel Kabupaten dan Kota
di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Periode tahun 2010-2013
No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33


Kabupaten/Kota
Kab. Asahan
Kab. Dairi
Kab. Deli Serdang
Kab. Tanah Karo
Kab. Labuhan Batu
Kab. Langkat
Kab. Mandailing Natal
Kab. Nias
Kab. Simalungun
Kab. Tapanuli Selatan
Kab. Tapanuli Tengah
Kab. Tapanuli Utara
Kab. Toba Samosir
Kota Binjai
Kota Medan
Kota Pematang Siantar
Kota Sibolga
Kota Tanjung Balai
Kota Tebing Tinggi

Kota Padang Sidimpuan
Kab. Pakpak Bharat
Kab. Nias Selatan
Kab. Humbang Hasundutan
Kab. Serdang Bedagai
Kab. Samosir
Kab. Batubara
Kab. Labuhan Batu Utara
Kab. Labuhan Batu Selatan
Kab. Padang Lawas
Kab. Padang Lawas Utara
Kota Gunung Sitoli
Kab. Nias Utara
Kab. Nias Barat

105

Data PAD Kabupaten dan Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Periode tahun 2010-2013
No


Kabupaten/Kota

1

Kab. Asahan

2

Kab. Dairi

3

2010

PAD (Rp)
2011
2012

2013


23,589,793,208

26,612,138,067

31,886,824,239

54,038,319,526

9,100,000,000

14,504,444,000

20,508,000,000

37,322,705,000

Kab. Deli Serdang

115,878,855,600


300,133,894,840

380,055,100,000

465,000,000,000

4

Kab. Tanah Karo

26,500,000,000

31,150,000,000

46,826,174,146

48,165,768,825

5


Kab. Labuhan Batu

35,658,240,050

48,920,510,615

50,000,000,000

66,556,542,461

6

Kab. Langkat

32,441,294,000

38,636,567,796

59,280,110,500


68,971,555,000

7

Kab. Mandailing Natal

12,461,754,239

25,000,000,000

45,000,000,000

47,000,000,000

8

Kab. Nias

7,850,000,000


10,091,515,599

24,008,498,000

30,532,790,000

9

Kab. Simalungun

38,761,130,547

58,440,638,547

113,094,878,000

63,738,493,998

10

Kab. Tapanuli Selatan

33,418,847,679

38,125,749,087

56,283,098,377

64,086,813,377

11

Kab. Tapanuli Tengah

16,000,000,000

16,709,000,000

26,000,000,000

26,659,811,317

12

Kab. Tapanuli Utara

9,370,358,907

13,528,465,757

14,302,685,046

36,138,353,913

13

Kab. Toba Samosir

14,853,094,000

12,031,611,600

18,913,426,000

19,006,568,000

14

Kota Binjai

23,257,499,482

33,043,121,144

35,179,199,715

46,139,626,350

15

Kota Medan

486,826,191,325

829,793,558,792

1,416,229,173,156

1,758,787,835,331

16

Kota Pematang Siantar

24,087,112,659

43,648,351,200

60,031,590,114

71,611,517,197

17

Kota Sibolga

16,648,976,272

17,840,414,272

21,100,451,200

30,586,785,400

18

Kota Tanjung Balai

17,650,000,000

22,146,010,600

31,855,340,000

32,035,000,000

19

Kota Tebing Tinggi

17,641,943,000

27,990,746,500

28,939,350,000

36,272,920,000

20

Kota Padang Sidimpuan

16,200,000,000

19,754,534,259

23,158,592,532

42,180,400,000

21

Kab. Pakpak Bharat

4,378,733,400

5,044,710,613

6,270,625,085

9,335,245,295

22

Kab. Nias Selatan

14,074,675,000

10,000,000,000

15,007,500,000

75,541,197,868

23

Kab. Humbang Hasundutan

14,202,571,010

18,244,217,196

10,745,192,694

15,212,701,144

24

Kab. Serdang Bedagai

26,417,640,000

35,710,000,000

40,969,091,848

53,784,914,309

25

Kab. Samosir

20,994,335,072

20,568,760,792

14,062,964,285

20,008,107,824

26

Kab. Batubara

18,035,275,000

16,316,294,490

17,589,567,990

35,362,443,500

27

Kab. Labuhan Batu Utara

5,137,008,000

7,808,800,000

13,064,552,000

23,207,440,000

28

Kab. Labuhan Batu Selatan

5,215,273,250

10,052,704,000

18,725,500,000

130,288,161,128

29

Kab. Padang Lawas

13,006,618,000

18,134,775,492

28,177,423,223

25,904,909,563

30

Kab. Padang Lawas Utara

9,061,138,193

15,083,250,393

14,676,785,521

15,497,693,680

31

Kota Gunung Sitoli

2,500,000,000

4,000,000,000

7,888,158,576

20,477,574,000

32

Kab. Nias Utara

1,631,430,500

2,000,000,000

5,000,000,000

12,500,000,000

33

Kab. Nias Barat

1,000,373,800

2,000,000,000

6,000,000,000

8,200,000,000

106

Data DAU Kabupaten dan Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Periode tahun 2010-2013
No

Kabupaten/Kota

2010

DAU (Rp)
2011
2012

2013

1

Kab. Asahan

479,299,307,000

523,902,040,000

628,974,980,000

733,671,988,000

2

Kab. Dairi

327,835,030,000

374,323,886,000

451,176,116,000

512,477,041,000

3

Kab. Deli Serdang

793,141,685,000

889,009,680,000

1,100,013,616,000

1,260,755,135,000

4

Kab. Tanah Karo

393,389,952,000

441,830,815,000

546,294,802,000

625,822,348,000

5

Kab. Labuhan Batu

315,309,299,000

370,860,918,000

461,644,282,000

520,457,519,000

6

Kab. Langkat

597,473,050,000

716,053,612,800

847,503,037,000

982,658,132,000

7

Kab. Mandailing Natal

398,482,296,000

455,686,638,000

541,106,638,000

625,543,432,000

8

Kab. Nias

151,147,338,000

250,935,710,000

289,608,144,000

319,069,648,000

9

Kab. Simalungun

634,428,061,000

696,561,265,000

865,405,855,000

977,808,611,000

10

Kab. Tapanuli Selatan

334,737,772,000

376,200,000,000

454,322,254,000

517,000,000,000

11

Kab. Tapanuli Tengah

313,957,675,000

343,959,059,000

422,611,672,000

491,010,818,000

12

Kab. Tapanuli Utara

369,275,117,000

408,808,812,000

487,345,532,000

552,463,211,000

13

Kab. Toba Samosir

280,440,000,000

310,465,200,000

387,623,169,000

423,292,453,000

14

Kota Binjai

293,536,658,000

336,975,734,000

416,965,216,000

477,553,537,000

15

Kota Medan

828,704,688,000

967,533,300,400

1,153,789,320,000

1,270,244,794,000

16

Kota Pematang Siantar

313,942,000,000

352,723,110,000

429,632,177,000

492,115,399,000

17

Kota Sibolga

220,076,802,000

265,540,024,600

292,873,107,000

338,507,471,000

18

Kota Tanjung Balai

241,921,536,000

275,733,192,000

313,729,707,000

369,246,576,000

19

Kota Tebing Tinggi

228,057,807,000

262,130,545,000

307,635,669,000

368,586,756,000

20

Kota Padang Sidimpuan

270,129,118,000

308,201,364,000

364,923,284,000

423,251,346,000

21

Kab. Pakpak Bharat

167,780,345,000

198,404,616,000

232,990,274,000

273,598,951,000

22

Kab. Nias Selatan

277,887,323,000

319,188,994,000

378,605,613,000

422,367,545,722

23

Kab. Humbang Hasundutan

279,893,022,000

313,663,208,000

376,847,178,000

440,919,622,000

24

Kab. Serdang Bedagai

404,835,802,000

458,449,770,000

554,245,457,000

628,900,240,000

25

Kab. Samosir

243,041,606,000

283,201,580,000

331,412,601,000

384,760,680,000

26

Kab. Batubara

337,600,000,000

386,180,000,000

452,227,480,000

517,734,102,000

27

Kab. Labuhan Batu Utara

303,657,733,000

346,964,406,000

400,601,985,000

457,714,720,000

28

Kab. Labuhan Batu Selatan

253,282,238,000

267,177,150,000

334,512,284,000

400,566,650,000

29

Kab. Padang Lawas

241,106,688,000

249,724,117,000

331,754,392,000

371,650,111,000

30

Kab. Padang Lawas Utara

243,565,554,000

262,768,244,000

348,056,278,000

387,954,949,000

31

Kota Gunung Sitoli

95,768,225,000

251,781,376,000

305,726,000,000

356,042,897,000

32

Kab. Nias Utara

108,563,262,100

231,858,197,000

267,283,187,000

294,071,932,000

33

Kab. Nias Barat

63,068,373,000

193,665,000,000

227,860,916,000

251,631,634,000

107

Data DAK Kabupaten dan Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Periode tahun 2010-2013
No

Kabupaten/Kota

2010

DAK (Rp)
2011
2012

2013

1

Kab. Asahan

48,288,300,000

50,636,000,000

65,206,660,000

79,875,480,000

2

Kab. Dairi

48,026,000,000

44,159,400,000

43,357,200,000

61,125,590,000

3

Kab. Deli Serdang

85,589,900,000

67,196,300,000

65,478,160,000

81,867,590,000

4

Kab. Tanah Karo

49,370,000,000

42,463,100,000

38,426,590,000

48,120,130,000

5

Kab. Labuhan Batu

45,054,900,000

45,520,700,000

75,496,690,000

49,738,450,000

6

Kab. Langkat

63,972,000,000

53,889,600,000

56,056,760,000

81,165,730,000

7

Kab. Mandailing Natal

58,131,400,000

48,465,400,000

41,555,830,000

51,721,690,000

8

Kab. Nias

53,790,900,000

54,966,900,000

48,137,260,000

64,603,150,000

9

Kab. Simalungun

70,342,317,300

73,969,400,000

90,868,630,000

80,773,970,000

10

Kab. Tapanuli Selatan

41,495,400,000

44,491,900,000

53,366,970,000

54,321,700,000

11

Kab. Tapanuli Tengah

51,299,900,000

52,309,400,000

48,644,240,000

83,254,250,000

12

Kab. Tapanuli Utara

48,018,500,000

56,802,100,000

50,220,620,000

55,778,010,000

13

Kab. Toba Samosir

46,949,200,000

51,446,900,000

52,119,770,000

46,036,240,000

14

Kota Binjai

24,831,500,000

25,266,900,000

23,777,970,000

30,656,300,000

15

Kota Medan

67,201,000,000

81,594,500,000

66,298,270,000

74,276,510,000

16

Kota Pematang Siantar

23,107,400,000

44,784,000,000

28,447,080,000

41,399,700,000

17

Kota Sibolga

18,135,900,000

22,754,900,000

19,290,260,000

29,474,700,000

18

Kota Tanjung Balai

19,508,400,000

20,198,800,000

17,955,740,000

28,391,040,000

19

Kota Tebing Tinggi

17,807,400,000

22,087,200,000

0

36,283,080,000

20

Kota Padang Sidimpuan

20,661,600,000

25,569,600,000

23,986,600,000

39,957,160,000

21

Kab. Pakpak Bharat

24,610,700,000

28,841,500,000

25,460,900,000

54,005,910,000

22

Kab. Nias Selatan

62,217,700,000

54,201,600,000

64,677,170,000

101,799,850,000

23

Kab. Humbang Hasundutan

29,210,500,000

31,613,800,000

28,968,140,000

50,779,570,000

24

Kab. Serdang Bedagai

61,308,800,000

65,764,200,000

64,779,090,000

68,230,650,000

25

Kab. Samosir

38,969,700,000

35,631,600,000

37,126,130,000

44,730,000,000

26

Kab. Batubara

42,832,000,000

38,945,600,000

44,148,640,000

42,178,640,000

27

Kab. Labuhan Batu Utara

29,565,500,000

44,467,500,000

42,495,140,000

48,433,300,000

28

Kab. Labuhan Batu Selatan

29,993,000,000

35,441,200,000

34,218,000,000

53,225,680,000

29

Kab. Padang Lawas

42,767,600,000

40,026,800,000

42,520,850,000

31,082,900,000

30

Kab. Padang Lawas Utara

35,076,000,000

44,759,200,000

36,733,240,000

36,311,060,000

31

Kota Gunung Sitoli

29,988,800,000

50,790,700,000

56,898,180,000

35,585,700,000

32

Kab. Nias Utara

38,784,900,000

53,314,600,000

36,405,150,000

56,382,660,000

33

Kab. Nias Barat

33,044,900,000

63,821,100,000

63,754,580,000

59,140,280,000

108

Data SiLPA Kabupaten dan Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Periode tahun 2010-2013
No

Kabupaten/Kota

SiLPA (Rp)
2010
2011

2009

2012

1

Kab. Asahan

88,817,982,140

86,878,052,000

22,576,205,000

19,382,346,000

2

Kab. Dairi

44,957,980,234

42,087,825,000

45,937,425,000

41,604,627,000

3

Kab. Deli Serdang

71,969,209,321

40,906,034,000

6,556,834,000

5,706,615,000

4

Kab. Tanah Karo

106,764,912,548

87,056,468,000

59,911,419,000

62,901,982,000

5

Kab. Labuhan Batu

62,080,662,417

2,772,992,000

37,315,710,000

40,066,807,000

6

Kab. Langkat

73,290,228,295

77,761,630,000

51,545,173,000

93,114,157,000

7

Kab. Mandailing Natal

7,912,612,839

267,133,000

30,461,418,000

46,929,605,000

8

Kab. Nias

127,853,390,960

116,990,998,000

106,948,922,000

116,255,652,000

9

Kab. Simalungun

48,234,771,799

1,500,389,000

13,981,008,000

1,492,361,000

10

Kab. Tapanuli Selatan

0

23,935,975,000

56,977,941,000

92,268,342,000

11

Kab. Tapanuli Tengah

0

11,743,464,000

16,187,035,000

35,874,915,000

12

Kab. Tapanuli Utara

59,027,980,665

53,927,154,000

36,831,306,000

24,937,955,000

13

Kab. Toba Samosir

2,554,695,712

354,440,000

2,416,988,000

38,240,958,000

14

Kota Binjai

0

30,291,621,000

56,371,881,230

91,510,410,000

15

Kota Medan

594,264,002,365

389,467,899,000

80,672,196,000

22,508,244,000

16

Kota Pematang Siantar

44,971,655,622

44,971,655,000

17,809,873,000

45,410,158,000

17

Kota Sibolga

27,681,704,646

26,024,878,000

37,179,631,000

30,546,712,000

18

Kota Tanjung Balai

43,010,418,815

42,679,632,000

0

49,144,322,000

19

Kota Tebing Tinggi

56,800,406,406

86,727,716,000

57,983,020,000

56,348,251,000

20

Kota Padang Sidimpuan

9,901,562,048

25,153,180,000

28,977,409,000

33,652,820,000

21

Kab. Pakpak Bharat

21,661,545,742

23,353,254,000

27,305,474,000

41,574,906,000

22

Kab. Nias Selatan

155,209,767,732

97,825,186,000

107,899,869,000

9,277,180,000

23

Kab. Humbang Hasundutan

38,136,660,089

42,996,690,000

64,723,572,514

84,014,460,000

24

Kab. Serdang Bedagai

33,472,137,673

321,661,000

11,982,028,000

22,720,310,000

25

Kab. Samosir

58,274,778,506

47,240,099,000

31,331,374,000

63,427,804,000

26

Kab. Batubara

76,178,129,284

73,588,250,000

78,958,276,000

9,524,968,000

27

Kab. Labuhan Batu Utara

51,991,794,906

35,805,261,000

37,458,605,000

30,794,996,000

28

Kab. Labuhan Batu Selatan

88,712,681,177

121,064,755,000

120,672,113,000

183,327,296,000

29

Kab. Padang Lawas

53,181,023,342

40,747,950,000

13,371,919,000

45,979,030,000

30

Kab. Padang Lawas Utara

9,897,172,699

41,455,327,000

15,304,109,000

24,198,141,000

31

Kota Gunung Sitoli

2,948,067,245

25,640,413,000

47,379,164,000

78,240,754,000

32

Kab. Nias Utara

2,883,693,615

37,411,299,000

79,884,758,000

87,470,789,000

33

Kab. Nias Barat

77,516,276

15,095,284,000

41,098,416,000

87,489,772,000

109

Data Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten dan Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Periode tahun 2010-2013
No

Kabupaten/Kota

2010

PDRB Atas Dasar Harga Berlaku (Rp)
2011
2012

2013

1

Kab. Asahan

1,140,430,673,329

1,299,650,000,000

1,439,729,956,740

1,638,830,000,000

2

Kab. Dairi

3,717,806,554,970

4,288,090,000,000

4,851,570,000,000

5,573,130,000,000

3

Kab. Deli Serdang

3,145,180,630,941

3,574,750,000,000

3,988,800,000,000

4,485,930,000,000

4

Kab. Tanah Karo

2,296,067,034,409

2,572,240,000,000

2,880,676,406,422

3,304,280,000,000

5

Kab. Labuhan Batu

3,807,803,551,400

4,157,530,000,000

4,564,753,309,676

5,121,100,000,000

6

Kab. Langkat

3,429,765,589,588

3,857,580,000,000

4,395,203,842,749

5,010,990,000,000

7

Kab. Mandailing Natal

7,610,590,689,901

8,550,340,000,000

9,602,610,000,000

10,894,860,000,000

8

Kab. Nias

11,931,676,615,039

13,650,240,000,000

15,376,290,613,886

17,525,620,000,000

9

Kab. Simalungun

10,360,954,373,244

11,627,580,000,000

13,055,301,748,873

14,694,530,000,000

10

Kab. Tapanuli Selatan

3,777,740,162,846

4,226,280,000,000

4,731,422,865,092

5,345,420,000,000

11

Kab. Tapanuli Tengah

6,676,016,380,000

7,634,390,000,000

8,512,706,356,032

9,550,520,000,000

12

Kab. Tapanuli Utara

39,804,281,261,424

45,125,830,000,000

50,674,730,000,000

59,862,750,000,000

13

Kab. Toba Samosir

17,037,979,502,464

19,565,250,000,000

22,166,496,511,887

25,189,510,000,000

14

Kota Binjai

2,244,824,034,831

2,442,560,000,000

2,678,827,440,992

2,947,370,000,000

15

Kota Medan

2,468,651,191,621

2,791,900,000,000

3,179,572,487,181

3,612,230,000,000

16

Kota Pematang Siantar

331,841,138,633

373,190,000,000

420,521,069,970

479,460,000,000

17

Kota Sibolga

1,058,485,105,664

1,835,400,000,000

2,019,688,861,422

2,240,760,000,000

18

Kota Tanjung Balai

9,697,604,002,784

10,905,560,000,000

12,313,152,600,806

14,041,790,000,000

19

Kota Tebing Tinggi

16,590,572,110,029

18,994,980,000,000

20,905,890,000,000

22,418,910,000,000

20

Kota Padang Sidimpuan

1,725,247,449,550

1,957,900,000,000

2,189,621,542,530

2,487,980,000,000

21

Kab. Pakpak Bharat

750,290,692,956

1,850,140,000,000

2,067,665,362,212

2,333,840,000,000

22

Kab. Nias Selatan

6,288,954,170,644

7,101,850,000,000

8,027,790,000,000

9,189,500,000,000

23

Kab. Humbang Hasundutan

7,161,088,394,000

8,094,360,000,000

9,169,790,000,000

10,501,600,000,000

24

Kab. Serdang Bedagai

1,136,166,504,289

1,293,290,000,000

1,428,390,945,962

1,618,490,000,000

25

Kab. Samosir

589,400,421,032

673,150,000,000

747,014,872,145

844,570,000,000

26

Kab. Batubara

1,543,776,701,302

1,698,290,000,000

1,884,805,666,475

2,125,850,000,000

27

Kab. Labuhan Batu Utara

3,088,523,351,395

3,365,070,000,000

3,677,380,000,000

4,025,360,000,000

28

Kab. Labuhan Batu Selatan

4,163,377,360,873

4,517,920,000,000

4,877,520,000,000

5,281,370,000,000

29

Kab. Padang Lawas

2,302,735,313,790

2,608,540,000,000

2,964,042,200,252

3,453,990,000,000

30

Kab. Padang Lawas Utara

83,315,016,027,278

93,462,490,000,000

105,110,720,000,000

119,715,480,000,000

31

Kota Gunung Sitoli

4,945,363,418,211

5,701,430,000,000

6,593,390,042,789

7,428,960,000,000

32

Kab. Nias Utara

2,099,893,706,181

2,304,040,000,000

2,561,844,140,000

2,866,370,000,000

33

Kab. Nias Barat

2,009,057,709,269

2,305,740,000,000

2,543,600,000,000

2,927,310,000,000

110

Data Belanja Modal Kabupaten dan Kota di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Periode tahun 2010-2013
No

Kabupaten/Kota

2010

Belanja Modal (Rp)
2011
2012

2013

1

Kab. Asahan

76,155,810,664

143,834,172,892

178,857,507,011

152,416,638,184

2

Kab. Dairi

43,141,371,300

67,903,292,357

92,917,243,328

142,118,330,814

3

Kab. Deli Serdang

227,207,293,295

345,695,378,441

415,158,960,176

528,872,868,451

4

Kab. Tanah Karo

48,718,379,025

136,485,901,538

178,859,534,976

196,765,019,429

5

Kab. Labuhan Batu

82,928,457,350

128,548,881,015

178,616,705,062

197,526,919,924

6

Kab. Langkat

116,556,313,862

197,719,493,655

263,693,708,519

365,773,927,883

7

Kab. Mandailing Natal

58,981,269,493

81,172,756,254

79,839,259,422

114,293,535,215

8

Kab. Nias

128,450,610,331

150,863,330,870

180,361,486,683

202,039,087,614

9

Kab. Simalungun

156,404,255,140

164,295,224,135

335,421,277,442

143,493,580,788

10

Kab. Tapanuli Selatan

129,908,368,641

130,514,509,560

199,594,645,020

295,528,954,593

11

Kab. Tapanuli Tengah

68,782,292,940

127,959,665,696

117,582,268,360

295,213,017,143

12

Kab. Tapanuli Utara

29,222,342,545

113,806,651,011

168,314,235,129

172,108,254,400

13

Kab. Toba Samosir

89,226,352,787

65,155,924,900

109,899,867,340

154,486,660,891

14

Kota Binjai

65,664,318,330

84,891,725,470

153,616,212,787

196,688,033,362

15

Kota Medan

384,106,864,152

538,560,431,550

873,175,833,701

1,201,667,115,256

16

Kota Pematang Siantar

69,180,504,895

108,506,818,772

99,132,627,390

159,085,929,159

17

Kota Sibolga

44,776,177,008

106,137,500,346

66,910,399,120

121,776,199,609

18

Kota Tanjung Balai

78,690,000,000

80,560,470,600

117,834,579,270

185,912,901,342

19

Kota Tebing Tinggi

39,734,307,400

72,335,270,400

20,434,096,200

104,331,868,100

20

Kota Padang Sidimpuan

22,738,944,800

52,665,167,561

51,986,094,521

142,706,306,929

21

Kab. Pakpak Bharat

42,795,596,032

65,796,601,415

73,995,892,149

129,936,900,724

22

Kab. Nias Selatan

127,832,509,487

120,452,928,889

189,519,954,147

363,936,995,948

23

Kab. Humbang Hasundutan

67,425,213,340

100,925,568,466

137,668,010,795

210,172,655,048

24

Kab. Serdang Bedagai

144,809,657,907

130,215,124,500

134,481,708,900

253,236,332,400

25

Kab. Samosir

44,839,221,780

95,109,456,134

99,675,253,400

186,891,440,893

26

Kab. Batubara

100,233,120,967

156,666,210,984

185,600,649,615

238,533,702,172

27

Kab. Labuhan Batu Utara

95,749,761,491

105,534,850,790

109,607,380,450

148,102,445,949

28

Kab. Labuhan Batu Selatan

78,178,268,973

140,287,016,900

135,120,067,501

324,465,589,700

29

Kab. Padang Lawas

136,202,628,279

162,421,820,440

170,202,101,256

172,606,108,508

30

Kab. Padang Lawas Utara

92,140,987,041

135,904,174,963

229,691,267,860

276,029,941,873

31

Kota Gunung Sitoli

22,261,008,728

142,198,095,095

152,791,843,118

151,576,070,211

32

Kab. Nias Utara

40,835,715,000

140,971,710,666

103,766,825,731

170,358,290,575

33

Kab. Nias Barat

60,154,690,900

154,753,935,293

156,944,808,230

170,355,228,871

111

Lampiran 3
Hasil Olah Data SPSS
1. Hasil Uji Asumsi Klasik
Hipotesis 1
Normalitas
One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Unstandardize
d Residual
N
131
Normal Parametersa,,b
Mean
0E-7
Std. Deviation
.41929418
Most Extreme
Absolute
.081
Differences
Positive
.034
Negative
-.081
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z
.929
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)
.354
a. Test distribution is Normal.
b. Calculated from data.

Autokorelasi
Variables Entered/Removeda
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed Method
b
1
LNX4, LNX1, LNX3, LNX2
. Enter
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM
b. All requested variables entered.
Model Summaryb
Model

R

R Square

Adjusted R
Square

Std. Error of
the Estimate

.744a
.553
.539
1
a. Predictors: (Constant), LNX4, LNX1, LNX3, LNX2
b. Dependent Variable: LNBM

.42590

DurbinWatson
1.968

Heteroskesdastisitas
Variables Entered/Removeda
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed
Method
b
LNX4, LNX1, LNX3, LNX2
. Enter
1
a. Dependent Variable: ABS_RES
b. All requested variables entered.

112

Model Summary
Model
R
R Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.281a
.079
.050
.24706
a. Predictors: (Constant), LNX4, LNX1, LNX3, LNX2
ANOVAa
Sum of
df
Mean Square
Squares
Regression
.660
4
.165
1
Residual
7.691
126
.061
Total
8.351
130
a. Dependent Variable: ABS_RES
b. Predictors: (Constant), LNX4, LNX1, LNX3, LNX2
Model

Coefficientsa
Unstandardized
Standardized
Coefficients
Coefficients
Model
B
Std. Error
Beta
(Constant)
2.281
1.179
LNX1
-.010
.036
-.043
1
LNX2
-.116
.088
-.205
LNX3
.020
.010
.180
LNX4
.003
.005
.052
a. Dependent Variable: ABS_RES

F

Sig.
.034b

2.702

t

Sig.

1.934
-.275
-1.316
2.069
.601

.055
.784
.190
.051
.549

Multikolinearitas
Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Standardized
Coefficients
Coefficients
B
Std. Error
Beta
(Constant) 6.999
2.033
LNX1
.291
.062
.505
1 LNX2
.245
.152
.175
LNX3
.079
.017
.281
LNX4
.010
.008
.080
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM

Model

1

t

3.443
4.680
1.614
4.627
1.322

Sig.

.001
.000
.109
.000
.189

Collinearity
Statistics
Tolerance VIF
.305
.300
.963
.973

Collinearity Diagnosticsa
Dime Eigenva Conditi
Variance Proportions
nsion
lue
on
(Constant) LNX1 LNX2 LNX3
Index
1
4.917
1.000
.00
.00
.00
.00

3.278
3.334
1.039
1.028

LNX4
.00

113

2
.069
8.470
3
.012 20.409
4
.002 48.470
5
.000 212.132
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM

.00
.00
.06
.94

.00
.02
.34
.65

.00
.00
.00
1.00

.02
.93
.04
.01

.91
.08
.00
.00

Hipotesis 2
Normalitas
One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Unstandardized
Residual
N
131
Normal Parametersa,,b
Mean
0E-7
Std. Deviation
.39468425
Most Extreme
Absolute
.079
Differences
Positive
.044
Negative
-.079
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z
.898
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)
.395
a. Test distribution is Normal.
b. Calculated from data.

Multikolinieritas
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized
Standardized
Coefficients
Coefficients
B
Std. Error
Beta
(Constant)
17.225
.504
Zscore(LNX1)
.256
.071
.407
Zscore(LNX2)
.121
.067
.194
Zscore(LNX3)
.072
.059
.114
Zscore(LNX4)
-.078
.089
-.124
1
Zscore(LNZ)
.110
.047
.175
X1_Z
-.141
.074
-.198
X2_Z
-.023
.074
-.031
X3_Z
-.141
.053
-.271
X4_Z
.047
.030
.241
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM

Collinearity Diagnosticsa

t

Sig.

Collinearity Statistics
Tolerance

34.179
3.598
1.814
1.211
-.871
2.327
-1.916
-.307
-2.678
1.601

.000
.000
.072
.228
.385
.022
.048
.759
.008
.112

.255
.287
.366
.161
.581
.308
.327
.320
.145

VIF
3.918
3.480
2.730
6.208
1.722
3.250
3.057
3.124
6.908

114

Dim Eigen Conditio
Model ensi value n Index (Const Zscore(L
on
ant)
NX1)
1
4.071
1.000
.00
.00
2
1.953
1.444
.00
.05
3
1.365
1.727
.00
.01
4
1.023
1.995
.00
.00
5
.903
2.123
.00
.01
1
6
.317
3.583
.00
.00
7
.179
4.764
.00
.43
8
.115
5.947
.00
.37
9
.072
7.534
.00
.11
10
.002
40.575
1.00
.01
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM

Variance Proportions
Zscore( Zscore(LN Zscore(L Zscore(L X1_Z X2_Z X3_Z X4_
LNX2)
X3)
NX4)
NZ)
Z
.00
.00
.00
.00
.01
.01
.01 .00
.06
.01
.00
.00
.00
.00
.01 .00
.01
.13
.01
.05
.00
.00
.02 .00
.00
.00
.06
.33
.00
.00
.00 .00
.00
.06
.09
.16
.00
.00
.01 .00
.06
.04
.00
.09
.07
.07
.03 .00
.58
.16
.00
.01
.02
.00
.25 .00
.21
.54
.00
.03
.01
.22
.64 .00
.08
.04
.00
.00
.89
.68
.03 .00
.00
.01
.84
.33
.00
.02
.00 1.00

Autokorelasi
Variables Entered/Removeda
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed Method
X4_Z, X2_Z, Zscore(LNX3),
Zscore(LNX2),
1
Zscore(LNZ), X3_Z, X1_Z,
. Enter
Zscore(LNX1),
Zscore(LNX4)b
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM
b. All requested variables entered.

Model Summaryb
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R
Std. Error of
DurbinSquare
the Estimate
Watson
1
.777a
.604
.574
.40910
1.923
a. Predictors: (Constant), X4_Z, X2_Z, Zscore(LNX3), Zscore(LNX2),
Zscore(LNZ), X3_Z, X1_Z, Zscore(LNX1), Zscore(LNX4)
b. Dependent Variable: LNBM
Heteroskedastisitas
Variables Entered/Removeda
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed Method
X4_Z, X2_Z, Zscore(LNX3),
Zscore(LNX2), Zscore(LNZ),
1
. Enter
X3_Z, X1_Z, Zscore(LNX1),
b
Zscore(LNX4)
a. Dependent Variable: ABS_RES2
b. All requested variables entered.

115

Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R
Std. Error of
Square
the Estimate
1
.333a
.111
.045
.24486
a. Predictors: (Constant), X4_Z, X2_Z, Zscore(LNX3),
Zscore(LNX2), Zscore(LNZ), X3_Z, X1_Z, Zscore(LNX1),
Zscore(LNX4)

Model

ANOVAa
df
Mean Square

Sum of
F
Sig.
Squares
Regression
.906
9
.101
1.679
.101b
1
Residual
7.255
121
.060
Total
8.161
130
a. Dependent Variable: ABS_RES2
b. Predictors: (Constant), X4_Z, X2_Z, Zscore(LNX3), Zscore(LNX2), Zscore(LNZ),
X3_Z, X1_Z, Zscore(LNX1), Zscore(LNX4)
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized
Standardized
Coefficients
Coefficients
B
Std. Error
Beta
(Constant)
.270
.302
Zscore(LNX1)
-.037
.043
-.149
Zscore(LNX2)
-.048
.040
-.190
Zscore(LNX3)
-.002
.035
-.007
Zscore(LNX4)
.043
.054
.170
1
Zscore(LNZ)
.013
.028
.054
X1_Z
.029
.044
.100
X2_Z
.019
.044
.065
X3_Z
-.014
.032
-.067
X4_Z
.000
.018
-.005
a. Dependent Variable: ABS_RES2

2. HASIL UJI HIPOTESIS

Hipotesis 1
Variables Entered/Removeda
Model Variables Entered Variables Removed Method
LNX4, LNX1,
1
. Enter
LNX3, LNX2b
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM
b. All requested variables entered.

t

.895
-.877
-1.190
-.050
.795
.478
.650
.436
-.442
-.022

Sig.

.373
.382
.236
.960
.428
.633
.517
.663
.659
.983

116

Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R
Std. Error of
Square
the Estimate
1
.744a
.553
.539
.42590
a. Predictors: (Constant), LNX4, LNX1, LNX3, LNX2

Model

ANOVAa
df
Mean Square

Sum of
Squares
Regression
28.264
4
1
Residual
22.855
126
Total
51.119
130
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM
b. Predictors: (Constant), LNX4, LNX1, LNX3, LNX2

7.066
.181

F

Sig.

38.955

Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized
Coefficients
B
Std. Error
Beta
(Constant)
6.999
2.033
LNX1
.291
.062
.505
1
LNX2
.245
.152
.175
LNX3
.079
.017
.281
LNX4
.010
.008
.080
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM

Hipotesis 2

Variables Entered/Removeda
Model
Variables Entered
Variables Removed Method
X4_Z, X2_Z,
Zscore(LNX3),
Zscore(LNX2),
1
. Enter
Zscore(LNZ), X3_Z, X1_Z,
Zscore(LNX1),
Zscore(LNX4)b
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM
b. All requested variables entered.

t

3.443
4.680
1.614
4.627
1.322

.000b

Sig.

.001
.000
.109
.000
.189

117

Model Summary
R Square
Adjusted R
Std. Error of
Square
the Estimate
a
1
.777
.604
.574
.40910
a. Predictors: (Constant), X4_Z, X2_Z, Zscore(LNX3),
Zscore(LNX2), Zscore(LNZ), X3_Z, X1_Z, Zscore(LNX1),
Zscore(LNX4)
Model

Model

R

ANOVAa
df
Mean Square

Sum of
F
Sig.
Squares
Regression
30.868
9
3.430
20.493
.000b
1
Residual
20.251
121
.167
Total
51.119
130
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM
b. Predictors: (Constant), X4_Z, X2_Z, Zscore(LNX3), Zscore(LNX2), Zscore(LNZ),
X3_Z, X1_Z, Zscore(LNX1), Zscore(LNX4)
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized
Standardized
Coefficients
Coefficients
B
Std. Error
Beta
(Constant)
17.225
.504
Zscore(LNX1)
.256
.071
.407
Zscore(LNX2)
.121
.067
.194
Zscore(LNX3)
.072
.059
.114
Zscore(LNX4)
-.078
.089
-.124
1
Zscore(LNZ)
.110
.047
.175
X1_Z
-.141
.074
-.198
X2_Z
-.023
.074
-.031
X3_Z
-.141
.053
-.271
X4_Z
.047
.030
.241
a. Dependent Variable: LNBM

t

34.179
3.598
1.814
1.211
-.871
2.327
-1.916
-.307
-2.678
1.601

Sig.

.000
.000
.072
.228
.385
.022
.048
.759
.008
.112