Suppose that attempts are made until 3 successful launchings have occurred. Find the probability distribution for X. b. Find E. X. Now suppose 3 students take the driving test until each has passed it. What Geometric and Negative Binomial Distributions If

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Chapter 2 Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 n 2 4 6 8 10 12 VarX Figure 2 . 1 6 Variance in the candy jars problem.

b. Suppose that attempts are made until 3 successful launchings have occurred.

What is the probability that exactly six attempts will be necessary?

4. A box of manufactured parts contains 4 good and 3 defective parts. They are drawn

out one at a time, without replacement. Let X denote the number of the drawing on which the first defective part occurs.

a. Find the probability distribution for X. b. Find E. X.

5. The probability that a player wins a game at a single trial is

1 3 . Assume the trials follow the binomial assumptions. If the player plays until he wins, find the probability that the number of trials is divisible by 4. 6. The probability a new driver will pass a driving test is 0.8. a. One student takes the test until she passes it. What is the probability it will take at least 2 attempts to pass the test?

b. Now suppose 3 students take the driving test until each has passed it. What

is the probability that exactly 1 of the 3 will take at least two attempts before passing the test? Assume independence.

7. To become an actuary, one must pass a series of 9 examinations. Suppose that

60 of those taking each examination pass it and that passing the examinations are independent of one another. What is the probability a person passes the ninth examination, and thus has passed all the examinations, on the 15th attempt?

2.9 Geometric and Negative Binomial Distributions

135 8. A quality control inspector on a production line samples items until a defective item is found.

a. If the probability an item is defective is 0.08, what is the probability that at

least 10 items must be inspected?

b. Suppose now that the 16th item inspected is the first defective item found. If

p is the probability an item is defective, what is the value of p that makes the probability that the 16th item inspected is the first defective item found most likely?

9. A fair coin is tossed. What is the probability the fourth head is preceded by, at

most, 2 tails?

10. A TV interviewer must conduct 5 interviews. Suppose that the probability a person

agrees to be interviewed is 2 3 .

a. What is the probability that the interviewer will ask 9 people in all to be