Introduction Directory UMM :Data Elmu:jurnal:L:Labour Economics:Vol8.Issue1.2001:

mainly as a consequence of the elimination of institutions that allowed the presence of Ž . significant wage differentials; e a parsimonious description of the increase in regional unemployment differentials is that the Northern and the Southern areas responded in an asymmetric way both to the increase in real social transfers per head and to the reduction in the real price of energy. q 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. JEL classification: J61; J64 Keywords: Regional unemployment; Labor mobility; Italy

1. Introduction

Regional unemployment disparities are a well-documented feature of the Italian economy. 1 A relatively novel feature is that these disparities have widened rather sharply since the mid 1980s, mainly because of the rapid increase of Southern 2 Ž . unemployment see Fig. 1 . Different factors may have contributed to this result. On the one hand, long run regional unemployment differentials have varied asymmetrically with the increase in real social transfers per head and in the tax wedge and with the reduction in the real price of energy experienced by the Italian economy since the mid-1980s. On the other hand, poor employment performance in the South is not necessarily the outcome of negative and contemporaneous idiosyncratic shocks only, but can also be interpreted as the delayed response of firms to the removal of institutions allowing for regional differentials in collective labor contracts at the end of the 1960s, that increased sharply the southern labor share during most of the 1970s. This paper shows that, despite growing unemployment in the South, labor mobility from the South to the North has remained low and relative wages have not adjusted to reflect worsened local labor market conditions. This has happened because the North–Central areas of the country have acted as a leading region in wage settlements. We consider this as a crucial aspect, also in view of the new Ž . issues posed by the European Union. Following Saint Paul 1997 , we argue that if in a politically integrated area characterized by economic asymmetries wage formation is dominated by the economic interests of a leading region, then the conditions exist for regional unemployment disparities to be exacerbated. More generally, since regional unemployment mismatch is a widespread feature among and within European countries, we believe that interesting lessons can be learned by looking at the Italian emblematic experience. The study of the nature and 1 Ž . Ž . See Attanasio and Padoa Schioppa 1991 and Bodo and Sestito 1991 . 2 Since the raw data on regional unemployment and employment drawn from the Quarterly Labor Force have been affected over time by major changes in definitions and survey design, we have reconstructed the relevant data using several sources. See the Appendix for details. G. Brunello et al. r Labour Economics 8 2001 103 – 129 105 Ž . Fig. 1. Unemployment rates in four Italian macro regions. causes of widening disequilibria is fundamental for the implementation of national and super-national policies aimed at reducing regional disparities. The paper is organized as follows: the next section is devoted to the discussion of some key features of local labor markets in Italy. Section 3 investigates the role of adverse shocks and asymmetric responses in shaping regional unemployment differentials. The relationship between regional wage determination and unem- ployment is the subject of Section 4. Labor and firm mobility issues are treated in Section 5. Section 6 concludes. An Appendix reports data sources.

2. Regional labor markets in Italy