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2.  Agriculture: Area used for both annual and perennial crop cultivation, and the scattered  rural  settlements  are  closely  associated  with  the  large  sized
cultivated field. 3.  Shrubs  Land:  Area  covered  with  shrubs,  bushes  and  small  trees,  with  little
wood mixed with some grasses. 4.  Water  Body:  Area  which  remains  water  logged  and  swampy  throughout  the
year, the man made dam, the rivers with its main tributaries, and the lake. 5.  Build  up:  Area  with  high  density  of  settlement  that  including  high  density
township residences, and urban area. 6.  Barren land: Area dominated by grass and small number of small trees.
3.3.1.2 Change Detection
To  identify  the  differences  between  two  or  more  land  cover  maps,  post classification  and  matrix  analysis  was  performed  during  image  processing  stage.
The matrix analysis is comparing the area of each class in each land cover map, and consists of with two kinds of values; the diagonal matrix contains unchanged
value  while  the  other  cell  contain  with  a  value  that  have  been  changed.  Second step is generating the probability of changes between classes.
Figure 3.10. Change detection procedure Wijanarto, 2006
3.4 Hydrological Modeling
3.4.1  General Description of HEC-HMS
HEC-HMS  model  was  designed  to  simulate  the  precipitation-runoff processes  of  dendrites  watershed  systems  Fleming,  2009.  It’s  designed  to  be
applicable  in  a  wide  range  of  geographic  areas  for  solving  a  broad  range  of
Image 1
Image 2 Registration and
Calibration Interpretation
‐ Land cover ‐ NDVI
Classification
Registration and Calibration
Interpretation - Land cover
- NDVI Classification
Transition Matrix
Trend Analysis Prediction
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problems.  This  includes  large  river  basin  water  supply  and  flood  hydrology  to small  urban  or  natural  watershed  runoff.  Hydrographs  produced  by  the  program
can  be  used  directly  or  in  conjunction  with  other  software  for  studies  of  water availability,  urban  drainage,  flow  forecasting,  future  urbanization  impact,
reservoir spillway design, flood damage reduction, floodplain regulation, wetlands hydrology,  and  systems  operation  Fleming,  2009.  HEC-HMS  model  is  a
mathematical  model  and  was  designed  originally  to  apply  for  runoff  simulation and hydrological forecasting.
The  main  concept  of  HEC-HMS  hydrological  model  is  the  use  of  NRCS Curve  Number  process,  the  model  that  can  be  used  to  assess  the  availability  of
water  on  a  watershed.  The  NRCS-CN  model’s  itself  describing  how  the precipitation  entrance  to  the  watershed  system  through  canopy  interception,  soil
infiltration,  percolation,  and  evapotranspiration.  These  models  also  represent  the watershed with a series of storage layer such canopy interception storage, surface
depression storage, upper ground storage, and groundwater storage.
Figure  3.11  Conceptual  schematic  of  the  continuous  soil  moisture  model HEC-HMS, 2000