Discussion Directory UMM :Data Elmu:jurnal:E:Ecological Economics:Vol33.Issue2.May2000:

4 . 3 . Farm with technified shade at medium altitude The farm has a surface of 35 ha and is located at medium altitude 1000 m above sea level. The entire farm is devoted to coffee plantation with a density of 3500 plantsha, producing an average yield of 32.6 qqha. There are 70 treesha of Inga spp., which provide 15 shade cover. To fulfil the certification criteria on the density and composi- tion of the shade cover, 104 trees of at least ten native species are planted per hectare. The costs of planting and maintaining these additional shade trees are summarized in Table 2. The simu- lation results are summarized in Table 3 and Fig. 2. 4 . 4 . Farm with technified shade at high altitude The farm has a size of 70 ha and is located at high altitude 1400 m above sea level. The coffee plantation contains a density of 4600 plantsha producing an average yield of 42 qqha. The coffee plantation possesses a 10 shade cover provided by 47 treesha of Inga spp. To provide a 40 shade cover of the coffee plantation, 124 shade trees of at least ten native species are planted per hectare. The costs of incorporating and maintaining the additional shade trees are described in Table 2. The simulation results are summarized in Table 3 and Fig. 2. 4 . 5 . Farm with unshaded monoculture The farm comprises a surface of 70 ha and is located at high altitude 1400 m above sea level. The coffee plantation contains a density of 5500 plantsha producing an average yield of 50.4 qq ha. To fulfil the certification criteria about shade cover, 160 trees of at least ten native species are planted per hectare. The costs of planting and maintaining the required extra shade trees are reported in Table 2. The results of the simulations for a SUN coffee plantation adopting the BF certification criteria are presented in Table 3 and Fig. 2. 4 . 6 . Sensiti6ity analysis The sensitivity of the investment to declines in coffee production due to shade effects and to declines in premium levels was assessed. Except for the farm with CP, the net present value of the BF coffee plantations is more sensitive to declines in coffee yields than to decreases in the forecasted premium levels Table 4. This is mainly due to the direct relation between coffee yields and net income.

5. Discussion

The models indicate that investing in the certifi- cation criteria for BF coffee is financially feasible for farms under different production systems in El Salvador. For the five farms, the simulation re- sults show positive expected net present values in more than 50 of the trials Table 3. Large differences in the results, however, are evident among the different production systems Table 3 and Fig. 2. The results also indicate that financial feasibility increases directly in relation to yields, as net income in the certified farm is a function of coffee production Table 4. Investing in the TP farm presents the most promising case, in which 100 of the expected net present values are positive Table 3 and Fig. 2. By definition, TP farms fulfil the requirements of composition and density of shade trees. The only additional certification costs incurred are capaci- tation of workers in the use of agrochemicals and the costs of the certifying team Table 2. As result, the TP farm shows the lowest costs associ- ated with the certification criteria. Nevertheless, as TP farms tend to be of small size, those costs are high per hectare Table 2. In El Salvador, they represent an increase of about 20 of the production costs per hectare of a similar non-cer- tified farm. Yet, revenues easily compensate for those costs, as coffee is paid a premium starting at year 2 of the project and production yields remain unaffected by the adoption of the certification criteria. Investing in the CP farm had the potential of being profitable but showed the highest risk Table 3 and Fig. 2. The capital requirements for the initial investments on shade trees in the first 3-year period were low Table 2. Similarly, incre- mental production costs for managing the farm once certified were not considerable Table 2, representing about 6 of the production costs for a similar non-certified CP farm. In spite of these low capital requirements, net present values were positive only 55 of the time Table 3. Farms with CP are characterized by modest coffee yields since the land is devoted to different economic enterprises. Coffee yields were even poorer when the farm was certified in the model, as production may decline in response to adding shade trees. Those poorer yields mean discrete incremental revenues for BF that are just enough to compensate the required investments and the opportunity cost of lower yields. Finally, investing in the TS farms at medium and high altitude and in the SUN farm was financially viable with acceptable levels of risk Table 3 and Fig. 2. The initial investment in planting shade trees jumped up significantly for these farms with respect to that from the CP farm Table 2. Not surprisingly, the SUN farm exhib- ited the largest initial investment, followed by the farm with TS at more than 1200m, and the farm with TS at less than 1200 m, respectively. Yet, these capital requirements were not considerable, representing less than 10 of the production costs in all farms. Contrary to the CP farm, production yields in the three farms were substantially higher. Thus, the incremental revenues from being cer- tified as BF offset the larger initial investments and the opportunity cost of abatements in coffee yields. Indeed, the SUN farm was the most remu- nerative investment with the lowest associated risk. Table 4 The sensitivity of NPV in BF coffee plantations with different production systems in western El Salvador to changes in coffee yields and premiums Decline in coffee yields a Coffee planta- Decline in premiums b Net present value tions Percentage over 0 Mean expected value USha No − 5 TP 100.0 317 No − 10 99.9 254 382 No CP − 5 99.9 316 No − 10 99.7 − 611 0.0 − 5 Yes Yes − 10 0.0 − 672 No TSB1200 m − 5 100.0 1758 1628 100.0 − 10 No 39.3 − 5 − 66 Yes Yes − 10 22.4 − 185 2207 No TS\1200 m − 5 100.0 No − 10 100.0 2051 Yes − 5 37.1 − 123 Yes − 10 23.5 − 265 − 5 SUN\1200 m 2655 100.0 No − 10 No 100.0 2469 Yes − 5 38.6 − 140 Yes − 312 − 10 24.4 a Declines in coffee yields are due to increases in shade cover: no = no drops in yields; yes = maximum declines are: year 4 −5, year 5 −10; years 6–20 −15. b Percentage decline in the value of the forecasted premiums for biodiversity-friendly. Since the process to ‘modernization’ of coffee plantations started in the 1970s, coffee farms with dense shade cover have usually been perceived as inefficient and unproductive Perfecto et al., 1996. Based on this premise, agronomic research and technical advice directed to increasing coffee yields in northern Latin America has focused on the reduction or elimination of the shade cover. As a result, there is a lack of knowledge about how to increase production in a coffee plantation with high levels of shade cover. Although TP farms represent the safest case for adopting the BF certification criteria, the mentioned lack of know-how constitutes a limitation for increasing revenues. If yields were raised, farmers may see the value of their properties increased, and conse- quently, their borrowing capacity enlarged. Fur- thermore, BF coffee in TP farms would be a more competitive option compared to other land-use alternatives. The modernization has also led to concern that increasing the shade cover in farms may result in yield declines. Studies underway in Costa Rica indicate that increases in shade cover up to 40 do not affect coffee production Eduardo Somar- riba, 1997, personal communication. Further- more, coffee varieties cultivated in El Salvador are shade tolerant Galloway and Beer, 1997, which makes the chance of dramatic abatements in yield because of increase in shade cover unlikely. If the fulfilment of the 40 shade cover requirement does not have negative incidence on coffee pro- duction, the investment becomes riskless Table 4. For the four farms that require investments in additional shade trees such an eventuality would pull net present values up, reducing accordingly the risk of the investment. It would also represent a strong incentive for farmers, particularly those with CP farms, to invest in a BF production system. Although not contemplated in the models for simplicity, farmers may consider choosing timber species when adding the required shade trees. Since timber species are common components of the shade strata of perennial crops like coffee Fuentes Flores, 1979, they are a reasonable op- tion. Farmers, however, are concerned with dam- age to coffee plants due to tree felling and log skidding when timber species are harvested Mus- sak and Laarman, 1989. There are indications that such concern should not be a limitation for adding timber shade trees in coffee plantations Somarriba, 1997. A study in Costa Rica shows that damage to coffee plants can be minimized following basic rules for planting and pruning the shade trees, and that income from timber sales easily pays for the planting and management of shade trees and for the limited damages inflicted to coffee plants Somarriba, 1992. Those findings suggest that adding timber species is likely to produce larger net present values than the ones generated by the models in this study. Adopting the certification criteria requires some initial capital, which varies according to the pro- duction system in the farm. This requirement can be burdensome for small farmers if they have no access to credit, as has been the case in El Sal- vador Pelupessy, 1993. Particularly demanding is the estimated 700 cost of the certification team that small farmers could not cover without some assistance. For example, most of the owners of TP farms, the most significant production system for conserving biodiversity, are cash-poor farmers who do not have the monetary resources to pay that cost. In this regard, international NGOs and aid agencies from developed countries could assist with start up funds to subsidize the cost of the certification team in small farms, at least during the initial years of the project. In this manner, the local certifying agency, which is a non-profit foun- dation, could bestow those costs allowing small farmers to became enrolled in the project and receive financial compensation for the environ- mental services that their farms provide to the global society. Having the models demonstrate the financial viability of the investment in BF coffee under different production systems, a key question is: will a market for a certified BF coffee develop, and if so, how large will the premium be? To date no certified BF coffee has been marketed as such, although environmentally sound speciality cof- fees, like organic, ‘shade-grown’, and ‘bird- friendly’ coffees are found in the market Rice and Ward, 1996. Environmentally sound special- ity coffees have developed as consumers favor green-conscious purchases UNCTAD, 1996. Speciality coffees have exhibited the fastest growth rate among the different coffee categories Thrupp, 1995. Whereas factors related to green consumerism are diverse UNCTAD, 1996, an increasing number of coffee drinkers are con- cerned with conserving bird habitats and forests and prevention of water pollution Rice and Ward, 1996. In the US alone, about 10 000 pack- ages of ‘bird-friendly’ coffee are sold each month David Griswold, 1997, personal communication, bearing retail prices of up to 10.50 per a 14-oz package. Under the favorable conditions of an expanding market for speciality coffees with con- sumers preoccupied with environmental quality, it is likely that BF coffee has a good chance of establishing a niche in the market. Predicting the level of the premium for BF is at this time an educated guesswork. The closest antecedent is the premium paid for certified organic coffees. Or- ganic coffees may command premiums up to 100 of the conventional product price, although on average they bear premiums in the order of 10 – 30 above the price of similar non-certified coffees UNCTAD, 1996. Obviously, the models in this paper are confined to one of a myriad of possible premium combinations. Other combina- tions based on different assumptions are likely to produce different results. 5 . 1 . A comment on the ecosystem ser6ices and social benefits deri6ed from biodi6ersity-friendly coffee plantations BF coffee plantations provide coffee and other goods through well-established markets, but also provide numerous ecosystem services and social benefits, all of which contribute to human welfare but are not captured by the market. Among the ecosystem services provided by BF coffee planta- tion we can mention, at least: 1 providing refu- gia and habitats for biodiversity Perfecto et al., 1996; Rice and Ward, 1996; Moguel and Toledo, 1999; 2 maintaining and enhancing the nutrient and organic content of soils Wilken, 1987; Bocco, 1991; Babbar and Zak, 1993; 3 sequestering carbon Herrera, 1995; 4 pollinating crops and other plants Perfecto et al., 1997; 5 controlling pest outbreaks Ibarra-Nunez, 1990; and 6 act- ing as sources of clean air and water MAG, 1995. The social benefits, at least, include: 1 improved health conditions for farmers and coffee workers through reduced andor controlled use of agrochemicals; 2 improved living conditions for local workers through an environmental educa- tion campaign to provide information on how to live in a cleaner and healthier environment; 3 increased opportunities for recreation and eco- tourism; and 4 increased opportunities for ex- pressing and developing the ethical, aesthetic, and cultural values of many farmers and citizens who appreciate ‘the beauty of nature’. Since the ecosystem services and social benefits mentioned above are not captured by the market, the benefits of adopting the BF certification crite- ria do not end up in the financial gains shown in this cash-flow analysis. This distinction becomes important when assessing the overall importance to the local and global society of adopting a BF coffee production system. Policy-makers should not ignore or undervalue the additional benefits derived from BF coffee plantations, and should avoid the adoption of alternatives whose social costs far outweigh their benefits — as has been the case up to now in the promotion of the ‘modernization’ of coffee plantations in spite of their known environmental and social costs Boyce et al., 1994. Although the analysis pre- sented here purposefully focuses on the financial feasibility of BF coffee plantations if the invest- ment is not financially sound, investorsfarmers will not be interested, it seems clear that if the ecosystem and environmental benefits were added to the financial ones, we would have a stronger case in favor of adopting the BF certification criteria. This situation demonstrates the need for additional research in that area and highlights the importance of considering ecosystem and social benefits in the decision-making process. The esti- mation of the value of the ecosystem services and social benefits of BF coffee plantations would help clarify the value of this farming system to society and to the farmer’s own productive capac- ity and sustainability.

6. Conclusions