Pengaruh Unsur Dana Perimbangan, Pendapatan Asli Daerah dan Lain Lain Pendapatan Yang Syah Terhadap Kinerja Keuangan Di Indonesia
Lampiran Data Variabel
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
Y
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Tahun
DAU
DAK
DBH
PAD
LLPYS
KK
Sumut
2007
463827
622683
275422
1693846
22860
181819737
Sumut
2008
564333
895425
334673
1980433
5206
213931696
Sumut
2009
754399
1167542
367478
2104203
26384
236353615
Sumut
2010
792119
1399954
383139
2226498
64527
275700207
Sumut
2011
845632
1421683
398442
2467936
76444
317156937
Sumbar
2007
329753
321578
183719
571526
55857
59799045
Sumbar
2008
433553
432588
212839
635242
104380
70954515
Sumbar
2009
648943
567362
258392
723758
179870
76752937
Sumbar
2010
746827
637827
289282
837292
245794
87221254
Sumbar
2011
893822
748272
301938
882022
367933
98917269
Riau
2007
2352328
248213
209382
1257064
20000
210002560
Riau
2008
2012052
221586
229403
1269303
31941
276400129
Riau
2009
1980000
293619
258373
1276253
55643
297173028
Riau
2010
2103948
319382
321891
1390492
65789
345661313
Riau
2011
2209281
329440
349118
1493022
78434
413350122
Sumsel
2007
327314
138938
129473
847953
6963
109895707
Sumsel
2008
433281
169279
138948
983981
9992
133664987
Sumsel
2009
507356
198471
148392
1171643
10191
137331848
Sumsel
2010
512983
220193
158391
1389181
13950
157534956
Sumsel
2011
561203
320194
169201
1491012
23532
181776073
Lampung
2007
328421
114802
83627
674693
12617
60921966
Lampung
2008
453124
120349
88472
712910
13872
73719258
Lampung
2009
628506
130109
92829
798548
14667
88934860
Lampung
2010
639482
152295
119201
837921
21546
108378506
Propinsi
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampung
2011
762840
170936
139101
9282922
22463
128408894
DKI Jakarta
2007
119943
2164242
3847282
8733022
126572
566449360
DKI Jakarta
2008
159382
2290583
4294028
9883629
63378
677044743
DKI Jakarta
2009
189301
3239029
4592092
11134548
67433
757696594
DKI Jakarta
2010
201938
4922049
5829112
12940482
116773
862089736
DKI Jakarta
2011
240291
5109572
5981001
13042284
235621
982540043
Jabar
2007
736829
788373
356383
4221668
30477
526220225
Jabar
2008
876281
894382
389181
4902924
96225
633283483
Jabar
2009
977238
993848
439181
5176292
68810
689841314
Jabar
2010
102911
1204847
523188
6392825
74847
771593860
Jabar
2011
129488
1391835
560282
7293028
88473
861006347
Banten
2007
210492
438928
126332
1298365
2580
122843946
Banten
2008
293833
450038
139309
1392834
3560
139864778
Banten
2009
361170
547983
140021
1526456
76288
152556215
Banten
2010
418208
539048
178192
1692824
46736
171690413
Banten
2011
490122
678369
220194
1893863
23633
192218910
Lanjutan Lampiran Data Variabel
Universitas Sumatera Utara
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
Y
Milyar
Rp
Milyar Rp
Milyar
Rp
Milyar
Rp
Milyar
Rp
Juta Rp
Propinsi
Tahun
DAU
DAK
DBH
PAD
LLPYS
KK
Jateng
2007
678272
783738
262410
2932795
485306
312428807
Jateng
2008
893821
899272
310491
3290134
555238
367135954
Jateng
2009
1053492
902837
360392
3624720
633410
397903943
Jateng
2010
1193021
1038474
431893
4537113
784572
444692014
Jateng
2011
1204947
1198473
540925
5411234
893792
498614636
Jatim
2007
893832
847938
284938
4164250
19901
536981881
Jatim
2008
983023
989364
329446
3903820
245377
621391674
Jatim
2009
1118478
1204847
477394
3886986
180482
686847557
Jatim
2010
1203938
1301938
539034
4204921
89937
778565772
Jatim
2011
1303932
1434126
659003
4310382
193705
884143574
NTB
2007
485959
120475
34246
328632
64138
33522225
NTB
2008
599303
129004
43059
390592
9500
35314731
NTB
2009
608612
134592
54636
468210
29049
44014619
NTB
2010
679328
238948
65747
535922
11894
49559794
NTB
2011
736348
290483
76426
651291
98272
48729106
NTT
2007
492832
98486
25323
198307
69000
19136982
NTT
2008
568283
127484
32905
201948
74931
21655869
NTT
2009
616602
130183
49985
223848
87837
24179412
NTT
2010
763523
159032
56105
259002
98267
27738760
NTT
2011
893822
178373
66847
328952
117837
31204406
Sulsel
2007
432182
389487
83464
993176
72320
69271924
Sulsel
2008
552292
479271
189483
1104948
228513
85143191
Sulsel
2009
663422
538928
190497
1301646
89847
99954589
Sulsel
2010
678272
589382
219045
1489382
90282
117862210
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Sulsel
2011
893828
620192
320193
1593025
128948
137389879
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran Out Put OLS
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 02:42
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
52460467
20152737
2.603144
0.0117
DAU?
0.493394
11.01207
0.044805
0.9644
DAK?
80.87613
49.46835
1.634907
0.1074
DBH?
-27.15014
10.04918
-2.701726
0.0090
PAD?
83.83237
6.039227
13.88131
0.0000
LLPYS?
31.04958
33.26300
0.933457
0.3544
R-squared
0.863071
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.851467
S.D. dependent var
2.70E+08
S.E. of regression
1.04E+08
Akaike info criterion
39.84537
Sum squared resid
6.38E+17
Schwarz criterion
40.04608
Log likelihood
-1288.974
Hannan-Quinn criter.
39.92456
Durbin-Watson stat
0.449341
F-statistic
74.37587
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Estimation Command:
=====================
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LS KK? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? LLPYS?
Estimation Equations:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMUT + C(3)*DAK_SUMUT + C(4)*DBH_SUMUT +
C(5)*PAD_SUMUT + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMBAR + C(3)*DAK_SUMBAR + C(4)*DBH_SUMBAR +
C(5)*PAD_SUMBAR + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_RIAU + C(3)*DAK_RIAU + C(4)*DBH_RIAU + C(5)*PAD_RIAU +
C(6)*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMSEL + C(3)*DAK_SUMSEL + C(4)*DBH_SUMSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SUMSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_LAMPUNG + C(3)*DAK_LAMPUNG + C(4)*DBH_LAMPUNG +
C(5)*PAD_LAMPUNG + C(6)*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_DKIJAKARTA + C(3)*DAK_DKIJAKARTA +
C(4)*DBH_DKIJAKARTA + C(5)*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + C(6)*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JABAR + C(3)*DAK_JABAR + C(4)*DBH_JABAR +
C(5)*PAD_JABAR + C(6)*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BANTEN + C(3)*DAK_BANTEN + C(4)*DBH_BANTEN +
C(5)*PAD_BANTEN + C(6)*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATENG + C(3)*DAK_JATENG + C(4)*DBH_JATENG +
C(5)*PAD_JATENG + C(6)*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATIM + C(3)*DAK_JATIM + C(4)*DBH_JATIM + C(5)*PAD_JATIM
+ C(6)*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTB + C(3)*DAK_NTB + C(4)*DBH_NTB + C(5)*PAD_NTB +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTB
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_NTT = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTT + C(3)*DAK_NTT + C(4)*DBH_NTT + C(5)*PAD_NTT +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SULSEL + C(3)*DAK_SULSEL + C(4)*DBH_SULSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SULSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SULSEL
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_SUMUT + 80.8761280759*DAK_SUMUT 27.1501379352*DBH_SUMUT + 83.8323726754*PAD_SUMUT + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_SUMBAR + 80.8761280759*DAK_SUMBAR 27.1501379352*DBH_SUMBAR + 83.8323726754*PAD_SUMBAR + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_RIAU + 80.8761280759*DAK_RIAU 27.1501379352*DBH_RIAU + 83.8323726754*PAD_RIAU + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_SUMSEL + 80.8761280759*DAK_SUMSEL 27.1501379352*DBH_SUMSEL + 83.8323726754*PAD_SUMSEL + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_LAMPUNG +
80.8761280759*DAK_LAMPUNG - 27.1501379352*DBH_LAMPUNG +
83.8323726754*PAD_LAMPUNG + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_DKIJAKARTA +
80.8761280759*DAK_DKIJAKARTA - 27.1501379352*DBH_DKIJAKARTA +
83.8323726754*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_JABAR + 80.8761280759*DAK_JABAR 27.1501379352*DBH_JABAR + 83.8323726754*PAD_JABAR + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_BANTEN + 80.8761280759*DAK_BANTEN 27.1501379352*DBH_BANTEN + 83.8323726754*PAD_BANTEN + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_JATENG + 80.8761280759*DAK_JATENG 27.1501379352*DBH_JATENG + 83.8323726754*PAD_JATENG + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_JATENG
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_JATIM = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_JATIM + 80.8761280759*DAK_JATIM 27.1501379352*DBH_JATIM + 83.8323726754*PAD_JATIM + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_NTB + 80.8761280759*DAK_NTB 27.1501379352*DBH_NTB + 83.8323726754*PAD_NTB + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_NTT + 80.8761280759*DAK_NTT 27.1501379352*DBH_NTT + 83.8323726754*PAD_NTT + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_SULSEL + 80.8761280759*DAK_SULSEL 27.1501379352*DBH_SULSEL + 83.8323726754*PAD_SULSEL + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_SULSEL
Lampiran Out Put Fixed Effect Model
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 02:57
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
1.24E+08
11310963
10.94602
0.0000
DAU?
-2.266586
3.422889
-0.662185
0.5111
DAK?
-9.328842
15.32229
-0.608841
0.5456
DBH?
8.854355
4.244357
2.086147
0.0424
PAD?
52.67046
3.607091
14.60192
0.0000
LLPYS?
-21.39490
10.73853
-1.992350
0.0522
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_SUMUT—C
-2916637.
_SUMBAR—C
-86267356
_RIAU—C
85031520
Universitas Sumatera Utara
_SUMSEL—C
-48358871
_LAMPUNG—C
-81829064
_DKIJAKARTA--C
-45464711
_JABAR—C
2.48E+08
_BANTEN—C
-72852015
_JATENG—C
62772620
_JATIM—C
2.50E+08
_NTB—C
-1.03E+08
_NTT—C
-1.12E+08
_SULSEL—C
-92615395
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
0.991085
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.987861
S.D. dependent var
2.70E+08
S.E. of regression
29730325
Akaike info criterion
37.48284
Sum squared resid
4.15E+16
Schwarz criterion
38.08498
Log likelihood
-1200.192
Hannan-Quinn criter.
37.72042
Durbin-Watson stat
1.190772
F-statistic
307.3626
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS(CX=F) KK? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? LLPYS?
Estimation Equations:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = C(7) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMUT + C(3)*DAK_SUMUT + C(4)*DBH_SUMUT +
C(5)*PAD_SUMUT + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMUT
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_SUMBAR = C(8) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMBAR + C(3)*DAK_SUMBAR + C(4)*DBH_SUMBAR +
C(5)*PAD_SUMBAR + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = C(9) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_RIAU + C(3)*DAK_RIAU + C(4)*DBH_RIAU + C(5)*PAD_RIAU
+ C(6)*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = C(10) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMSEL + C(3)*DAK_SUMSEL + C(4)*DBH_SUMSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SUMSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = C(11) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_LAMPUNG + C(3)*DAK_LAMPUNG +
C(4)*DBH_LAMPUNG + C(5)*PAD_LAMPUNG + C(6)*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = C(12) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_DKIJAKARTA + C(3)*DAK_DKIJAKARTA +
C(4)*DBH_DKIJAKARTA + C(5)*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + C(6)*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = C(13) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JABAR + C(3)*DAK_JABAR + C(4)*DBH_JABAR +
C(5)*PAD_JABAR + C(6)*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = C(14) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BANTEN + C(3)*DAK_BANTEN + C(4)*DBH_BANTEN +
C(5)*PAD_BANTEN + C(6)*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = C(15) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATENG + C(3)*DAK_JATENG + C(4)*DBH_JATENG +
C(5)*PAD_JATENG + C(6)*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = C(16) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATIM + C(3)*DAK_JATIM + C(4)*DBH_JATIM +
C(5)*PAD_JATIM + C(6)*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = C(17) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTB + C(3)*DAK_NTB + C(4)*DBH_NTB + C(5)*PAD_NTB +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = C(18) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTT + C(3)*DAK_NTT + C(4)*DBH_NTT + C(5)*PAD_NTT +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = C(19) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SULSEL + C(3)*DAK_SULSEL + C(4)*DBH_SULSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SULSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SULSEL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = -2916636.55206 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMUT 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMUT + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMUT + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMUT 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = -86267355.8565 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMBAR 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMBAR + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMBAR + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMBAR 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = 85031520.3424 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_RIAU 9.32884164547*DAK_RIAU + 8.85435456028*DBH_RIAU + 52.6704617415*PAD_RIAU 21.3949025704*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = -48358870.686 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMSEL 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMSEL + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMSEL + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMSEL 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = -81829063.7745 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_LAMPUNG 9.32884164547*DAK_LAMPUNG + 8.85435456028*DBH_LAMPUNG +
52.6704617415*PAD_LAMPUNG - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = -45464711.2813 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_DKIJAKARTA 9.32884164547*DAK_DKIJAKARTA + 8.85435456028*DBH_DKIJAKARTA +
52.6704617415*PAD_DKIJAKARTA - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = 247888145.434 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JABAR 9.32884164547*DAK_JABAR + 8.85435456028*DBH_JABAR + 52.6704617415*PAD_JABAR 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = -72852014.7814 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_BANTEN 9.32884164547*DAK_BANTEN + 8.85435456028*DBH_BANTEN + 52.6704617415*PAD_BANTEN 21.3949025704*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = 62772620.2855 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JATENG 9.32884164547*DAK_JATENG + 8.85435456028*DBH_JATENG + 52.6704617415*PAD_JATENG 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JATENG
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_JATIM = 250073220.301 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JATIM 9.32884164547*DAK_JATIM + 8.85435456028*DBH_JATIM + 52.6704617415*PAD_JATIM 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = -103427266.814 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_NTB - 9.32884164547*DAK_NTB
+ 8.85435456028*DBH_NTB + 52.6704617415*PAD_NTB - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = -112034191.907 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_NTT - 9.32884164547*DAK_NTT +
8.85435456028*DBH_NTT + 52.6704617415*PAD_NTT - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = -92615394.7108 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SULSEL 9.32884164547*DAK_SULSEL + 8.85435456028*DBH_SULSEL + 52.6704617415*PAD_SULSEL 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SULSEL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran Out Put Fixed Effect Model Bebas Heterokedastisitas
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 03:05
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
WARNING: estimated coefficient covariance matrix is of reduced rank
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
1.24E+08
25477769
4.859533
0.0000
DAU?
-2.266586
2.971915
-0.762669
0.4495
DAK?
-9.328842
16.63261
-0.560877
0.5775
DBH?
8.854355
5.902244
1.500168
0.1403
PAD?
52.67046
7.089753
7.429097
0.0000
LLPYS?
-21.39490
21.35360
-1.001934
0.3215
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_SUMUT--C
-2916637.
_SUMBAR--C
-86267356
_RIAU--C
85031520
_SUMSEL--C
-48358871
_LAMPUNG--C
-81829064
_DKIJAKARTA--C
-45464711
_JABAR--C
2.48E+08
_BANTEN--C
-72852015
_JATENG--C
62772620
_JATIM--C
2.50E+08
Universitas Sumatera Utara
_NTB--C
-1.03E+08
_NTT--C
-1.12E+08
_SULSEL--C
-92615395
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
0.991085
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.987861
S.D. dependent var
2.70E+08
S.E. of regression
29730325
Akaike info criterion
37.48284
Sum squared resid
4.15E+16
Schwarz criterion
38.08498
Log likelihood
-1200.192
Hannan-Quinn criter.
37.72042
Durbin-Watson stat
1.190772
F-statistic
307.3626
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS(CX=F,COV=CXWHITE) KK? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? LLPYS?
Estimation Equations:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = C(7) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMUT + C(3)*DAK_SUMUT + C(4)*DBH_SUMUT +
C(5)*PAD_SUMUT + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = C(8) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMBAR + C(3)*DAK_SUMBAR + C(4)*DBH_SUMBAR +
C(5)*PAD_SUMBAR + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = C(9) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_RIAU + C(3)*DAK_RIAU + C(4)*DBH_RIAU + C(5)*PAD_RIAU
+ C(6)*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = C(10) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMSEL + C(3)*DAK_SUMSEL + C(4)*DBH_SUMSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SUMSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMSEL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_LAMPUNG = C(11) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_LAMPUNG + C(3)*DAK_LAMPUNG +
C(4)*DBH_LAMPUNG + C(5)*PAD_LAMPUNG + C(6)*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = C(12) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_DKIJAKARTA + C(3)*DAK_DKIJAKARTA +
C(4)*DBH_DKIJAKARTA + C(5)*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + C(6)*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = C(13) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JABAR + C(3)*DAK_JABAR + C(4)*DBH_JABAR +
C(5)*PAD_JABAR + C(6)*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = C(14) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BANTEN + C(3)*DAK_BANTEN + C(4)*DBH_BANTEN +
C(5)*PAD_BANTEN + C(6)*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = C(15) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATENG + C(3)*DAK_JATENG + C(4)*DBH_JATENG +
C(5)*PAD_JATENG + C(6)*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = C(16) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATIM + C(3)*DAK_JATIM + C(4)*DBH_JATIM +
C(5)*PAD_JATIM + C(6)*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = C(17) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTB + C(3)*DAK_NTB + C(4)*DBH_NTB + C(5)*PAD_NTB +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = C(18) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTT + C(3)*DAK_NTT + C(4)*DBH_NTT + C(5)*PAD_NTT +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = C(19) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SULSEL + C(3)*DAK_SULSEL + C(4)*DBH_SULSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SULSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SULSEL
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = -2916636.55206 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMUT 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMUT + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMUT + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMUT 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = -86267355.8565 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMBAR 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMBAR + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMBAR + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMBAR 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMBAR
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_RIAU = 85031520.3424 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_RIAU 9.32884164547*DAK_RIAU + 8.85435456028*DBH_RIAU + 52.6704617415*PAD_RIAU 21.3949025704*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = -48358870.686 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMSEL 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMSEL + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMSEL + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMSEL 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = -81829063.7745 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_LAMPUNG 9.32884164547*DAK_LAMPUNG + 8.85435456028*DBH_LAMPUNG +
52.6704617415*PAD_LAMPUNG - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = -45464711.2813 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_DKIJAKARTA 9.32884164547*DAK_DKIJAKARTA + 8.85435456028*DBH_DKIJAKARTA +
52.6704617415*PAD_DKIJAKARTA - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = 247888145.434 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JABAR 9.32884164547*DAK_JABAR + 8.85435456028*DBH_JABAR + 52.6704617415*PAD_JABAR 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = -72852014.7814 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_BANTEN 9.32884164547*DAK_BANTEN + 8.85435456028*DBH_BANTEN + 52.6704617415*PAD_BANTEN 21.3949025704*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = 62772620.2855 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JATENG 9.32884164547*DAK_JATENG + 8.85435456028*DBH_JATENG + 52.6704617415*PAD_JATENG 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = 250073220.301 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JATIM 9.32884164547*DAK_JATIM + 8.85435456028*DBH_JATIM + 52.6704617415*PAD_JATIM 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = -103427266.814 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_NTB - 9.32884164547*DAK_NTB
+ 8.85435456028*DBH_NTB + 52.6704617415*PAD_NTB - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = -112034191.907 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_NTT - 9.32884164547*DAK_NTT +
8.85435456028*DBH_NTT + 52.6704617415*PAD_NTT - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_NTT
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_SULSEL = -92615394.7108 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SULSEL 9.32884164547*DAK_SULSEL + 8.85435456028*DBH_SULSEL + 52.6704617415*PAD_SULSEL 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SULSEL
Lampiran Out Put Random Effect Model
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects)
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 03:09
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
83286211
10671627
7.804453
0.0000
DAU?
0.606260
3.328885
0.182121
0.8561
DAK?
6.542187
15.01100
0.435826
0.6646
DBH?
-3.429101
3.757518
-0.912597
0.3652
PAD?
68.39599
2.543455
26.89098
0.0000
LLPYS?
-2.538690
10.29262
-0.246652
0.8060
Random Effects (Cross)
_SUMUT—C
-139166.3
_SUMBAR—C
-50421128
_RIAU—C
95238320
_SUMSEL—C
-17237969
_LAMPUNG—C
-45957923
_DKIJAKARTA--C
-93396653
_JABAR—C
1.56E+08
_BANTEN—C
-48327185
Universitas Sumatera Utara
_JATENG—C
29627931
_JATIM—C
1.55E+08
_NTB—C
-59440704
_NTT—C
-61644066
_SULSEL—C
-59387194
Effects Specification
S.D.
Rho
Cross-section random
25999507
0.4334
Idiosyncratic random
29730325
0.5666
Weighted Statistics
R-squared
0.833443
Mean dependent var
1.32E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.819328
S.D. dependent var
1.38E+08
S.E. of regression
58505705
Sum squared resid
2.02E+17
F-statistic
59.04644
Durbin-Watson stat
0.439210
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared
0.841331
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Sum squared resid
7.39E+17
Durbin-Watson stat
0.119961
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS(CX=R) KK? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? LLPYS?
Estimation Equations:
=====================
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_SUMUT = C(7) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMUT + C(3)*DAK_SUMUT + C(4)*DBH_SUMUT +
C(5)*PAD_SUMUT + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = C(8) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMBAR + C(3)*DAK_SUMBAR + C(4)*DBH_SUMBAR +
C(5)*PAD_SUMBAR + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = C(9) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_RIAU + C(3)*DAK_RIAU + C(4)*DBH_RIAU + C(5)*PAD_RIAU
+ C(6)*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = C(10) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMSEL + C(3)*DAK_SUMSEL + C(4)*DBH_SUMSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SUMSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = C(11) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_LAMPUNG + C(3)*DAK_LAMPUNG +
C(4)*DBH_LAMPUNG + C(5)*PAD_LAMPUNG + C(6)*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = C(12) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_DKIJAKARTA + C(3)*DAK_DKIJAKARTA +
C(4)*DBH_DKIJAKARTA + C(5)*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + C(6)*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = C(13) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JABAR + C(3)*DAK_JABAR + C(4)*DBH_JABAR +
C(5)*PAD_JABAR + C(6)*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = C(14) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BANTEN + C(3)*DAK_BANTEN + C(4)*DBH_BANTEN +
C(5)*PAD_BANTEN + C(6)*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = C(15) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATENG + C(3)*DAK_JATENG + C(4)*DBH_JATENG +
C(5)*PAD_JATENG + C(6)*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = C(16) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATIM + C(3)*DAK_JATIM + C(4)*DBH_JATIM +
C(5)*PAD_JATIM + C(6)*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = C(17) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTB + C(3)*DAK_NTB + C(4)*DBH_NTB + C(5)*PAD_NTB +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = C(18) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTT + C(3)*DAK_NTT + C(4)*DBH_NTT + C(5)*PAD_NTT +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTT
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_SULSEL = C(19) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SULSEL + C(3)*DAK_SULSEL + C(4)*DBH_SULSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SULSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SULSEL
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = -139166.341794 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_SUMUT +
6.54218652838*DAK_SUMUT - 3.42910110653*DBH_SUMUT + 68.3959867902*PAD_SUMUT 2.53868998413*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = -50421127.5137 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_SUMBAR +
6.54218652838*DAK_SUMBAR - 3.42910110653*DBH_SUMBAR + 68.3959867902*PAD_SUMBAR 2.53868998413*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = 95238320.3906 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_RIAU +
6.54218652838*DAK_RIAU - 3.42910110653*DBH_RIAU + 68.3959867902*PAD_RIAU 2.53868998413*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = -17237968.905 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_SUMSEL +
6.54218652838*DAK_SUMSEL - 3.42910110653*DBH_SUMSEL + 68.3959867902*PAD_SUMSEL 2.53868998413*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = -45957922.8607 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_LAMPUNG +
6.54218652838*DAK_LAMPUNG - 3.42910110653*DBH_LAMPUNG +
68.3959867902*PAD_LAMPUNG - 2.53868998413*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = -93396652.9991 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_DKIJAKARTA +
6.54218652838*DAK_DKIJAKARTA - 3.42910110653*DBH_DKIJAKARTA +
68.3959867902*PAD_DKIJAKARTA - 2.53868998413*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = 156392384.367 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_JABAR +
6.54218652838*DAK_JABAR - 3.42910110653*DBH_JABAR + 68.3959867902*PAD_JABAR 2.53868998413*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = -48327184.9562 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_BANTEN +
6.54218652838*DAK_BANTEN - 3.42910110653*DBH_BANTEN + 68.3959867902*PAD_BANTEN 2.53868998413*LLPYS_BANTEN
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_JATENG = 29627930.9409 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_JATENG +
6.54218652838*DAK_JATENG - 3.42910110653*DBH_JATENG + 68.3959867902*PAD_JATENG 2.53868998413*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = 154693352.205 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_JATIM +
6.54218652838*DAK_JATIM - 3.42910110653*DBH_JATIM + 68.3959867902*PAD_JATIM 2.53868998413*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = -59440704.3662 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_NTB +
6.54218652838*DAK_NTB - 3.42910110653*DBH_NTB + 68.3959867902*PAD_NTB 2.53868998413*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = -61644066.2886 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_NTT +
6.54218652838*DAK_NTT - 3.42910110653*DBH_NTT + 68.3959867902*PAD_NTT 2.53868998413*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = -59387193.6718 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_SULSEL +
6.54218652838*DAK_SULSEL - 3.42910110653*DBH_SULSEL + 68.3959867902*PAD_SULSEL 2.53868998413*LLPYS_SULSEL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran Out Put Hausman Test
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Pool: POOL01
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f.
Prob.
0.000000
5
1.0000
Random
Var(Diff.)
Prob.
Cross-section random
* Cross-section test variance is invalid. Hausman statistic set to zero.
** WARNING: robust standard errors may not be consistent with
assumptions of Hausman test variance calculation.
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable
Fixed
DAU?
-2.266586
0.606260
-22.203168
NA
DAK?
-9.328842
6.542187
141.931478
0.1828
DBH?
8.854355
-3.429101
19.064448
0.0049
PAD?
52.670462
68.395987
9.068668
0.0000
LLPYS?
-21.394903
-2.538690
-1196.698092
NA
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 03:14
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
1.24E+08
25477769
4.859533
0.0000
DAU?
-2.266586
2.971915
-0.762669
0.4495
DAK?
-9.328842
16.63261
-0.560877
0.5775
DBH?
8.854355
5.902244
1.500168
0.1403
PAD?
52.67046
7.089753
7.429097
0.0000
LLPYS?
-21.39490
21.35360
-1.001934
0.3215
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
0.991085
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.987861
S.D. dependent var
2.70E+08
S.E. of regression
29730325
Akaike info criterion
37.48284
Sum squared resid
4.15E+16
Schwarz criterion
38.08498
Log likelihood
-1200.192
Hannan-Quinn criter.
37.72042
Durbin-Watson stat
1.190772
F-statistic
307.3626
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Universitas Sumatera Utara
DAFTAR LAMPIRAN
Halaman
Lampiran 1
Data Variabel ..............................................................................
81
Lampiran 2
Out Put OLS ...............................................................................
84
Lampiran 3
Substituted Coefficients OLS......................................................
85
Lampiran 4
Out Put Fixed Effect Model.........................................................
86
Lampiran 5
Substituted Coefficients Fixed Effect Model................................
87
Lampiran 6
Out Put Fixed Effect Model Bebas Heterokedastisitas................
89
Lampiran 7
Out Put Random Effect Mode......................................................
92
Lampiran 8
Substituted Coefficients Random Effect Model............................
93
Lampiran 9 Out Put Hausman Test...............................................................
95
Universitas Sumatera Utara
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
Y
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Juta Rp
Tahun
DAU
DAK
DBH
PAD
LLPYS
KK
Sumut
2007
463827
622683
275422
1693846
22860
181819737
Sumut
2008
564333
895425
334673
1980433
5206
213931696
Sumut
2009
754399
1167542
367478
2104203
26384
236353615
Sumut
2010
792119
1399954
383139
2226498
64527
275700207
Sumut
2011
845632
1421683
398442
2467936
76444
317156937
Sumbar
2007
329753
321578
183719
571526
55857
59799045
Sumbar
2008
433553
432588
212839
635242
104380
70954515
Sumbar
2009
648943
567362
258392
723758
179870
76752937
Sumbar
2010
746827
637827
289282
837292
245794
87221254
Sumbar
2011
893822
748272
301938
882022
367933
98917269
Riau
2007
2352328
248213
209382
1257064
20000
210002560
Riau
2008
2012052
221586
229403
1269303
31941
276400129
Riau
2009
1980000
293619
258373
1276253
55643
297173028
Riau
2010
2103948
319382
321891
1390492
65789
345661313
Riau
2011
2209281
329440
349118
1493022
78434
413350122
Sumsel
2007
327314
138938
129473
847953
6963
109895707
Sumsel
2008
433281
169279
138948
983981
9992
133664987
Sumsel
2009
507356
198471
148392
1171643
10191
137331848
Sumsel
2010
512983
220193
158391
1389181
13950
157534956
Sumsel
2011
561203
320194
169201
1491012
23532
181776073
Lampung
2007
328421
114802
83627
674693
12617
60921966
Lampung
2008
453124
120349
88472
712910
13872
73719258
Lampung
2009
628506
130109
92829
798548
14667
88934860
Lampung
2010
639482
152295
119201
837921
21546
108378506
Propinsi
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampung
2011
762840
170936
139101
9282922
22463
128408894
DKI Jakarta
2007
119943
2164242
3847282
8733022
126572
566449360
DKI Jakarta
2008
159382
2290583
4294028
9883629
63378
677044743
DKI Jakarta
2009
189301
3239029
4592092
11134548
67433
757696594
DKI Jakarta
2010
201938
4922049
5829112
12940482
116773
862089736
DKI Jakarta
2011
240291
5109572
5981001
13042284
235621
982540043
Jabar
2007
736829
788373
356383
4221668
30477
526220225
Jabar
2008
876281
894382
389181
4902924
96225
633283483
Jabar
2009
977238
993848
439181
5176292
68810
689841314
Jabar
2010
102911
1204847
523188
6392825
74847
771593860
Jabar
2011
129488
1391835
560282
7293028
88473
861006347
Banten
2007
210492
438928
126332
1298365
2580
122843946
Banten
2008
293833
450038
139309
1392834
3560
139864778
Banten
2009
361170
547983
140021
1526456
76288
152556215
Banten
2010
418208
539048
178192
1692824
46736
171690413
Banten
2011
490122
678369
220194
1893863
23633
192218910
Lanjutan Lampiran Data Variabel
Universitas Sumatera Utara
X1
X2
X3
X4
X5
Y
Milyar
Rp
Milyar Rp
Milyar
Rp
Milyar
Rp
Milyar
Rp
Juta Rp
Propinsi
Tahun
DAU
DAK
DBH
PAD
LLPYS
KK
Jateng
2007
678272
783738
262410
2932795
485306
312428807
Jateng
2008
893821
899272
310491
3290134
555238
367135954
Jateng
2009
1053492
902837
360392
3624720
633410
397903943
Jateng
2010
1193021
1038474
431893
4537113
784572
444692014
Jateng
2011
1204947
1198473
540925
5411234
893792
498614636
Jatim
2007
893832
847938
284938
4164250
19901
536981881
Jatim
2008
983023
989364
329446
3903820
245377
621391674
Jatim
2009
1118478
1204847
477394
3886986
180482
686847557
Jatim
2010
1203938
1301938
539034
4204921
89937
778565772
Jatim
2011
1303932
1434126
659003
4310382
193705
884143574
NTB
2007
485959
120475
34246
328632
64138
33522225
NTB
2008
599303
129004
43059
390592
9500
35314731
NTB
2009
608612
134592
54636
468210
29049
44014619
NTB
2010
679328
238948
65747
535922
11894
49559794
NTB
2011
736348
290483
76426
651291
98272
48729106
NTT
2007
492832
98486
25323
198307
69000
19136982
NTT
2008
568283
127484
32905
201948
74931
21655869
NTT
2009
616602
130183
49985
223848
87837
24179412
NTT
2010
763523
159032
56105
259002
98267
27738760
NTT
2011
893822
178373
66847
328952
117837
31204406
Sulsel
2007
432182
389487
83464
993176
72320
69271924
Sulsel
2008
552292
479271
189483
1104948
228513
85143191
Sulsel
2009
663422
538928
190497
1301646
89847
99954589
Sulsel
2010
678272
589382
219045
1489382
90282
117862210
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Sulsel
2011
893828
620192
320193
1593025
128948
137389879
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran Out Put OLS
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 02:42
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
52460467
20152737
2.603144
0.0117
DAU?
0.493394
11.01207
0.044805
0.9644
DAK?
80.87613
49.46835
1.634907
0.1074
DBH?
-27.15014
10.04918
-2.701726
0.0090
PAD?
83.83237
6.039227
13.88131
0.0000
LLPYS?
31.04958
33.26300
0.933457
0.3544
R-squared
0.863071
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.851467
S.D. dependent var
2.70E+08
S.E. of regression
1.04E+08
Akaike info criterion
39.84537
Sum squared resid
6.38E+17
Schwarz criterion
40.04608
Log likelihood
-1288.974
Hannan-Quinn criter.
39.92456
Durbin-Watson stat
0.449341
F-statistic
74.37587
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Estimation Command:
=====================
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LS KK? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? LLPYS?
Estimation Equations:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMUT + C(3)*DAK_SUMUT + C(4)*DBH_SUMUT +
C(5)*PAD_SUMUT + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMBAR + C(3)*DAK_SUMBAR + C(4)*DBH_SUMBAR +
C(5)*PAD_SUMBAR + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_RIAU + C(3)*DAK_RIAU + C(4)*DBH_RIAU + C(5)*PAD_RIAU +
C(6)*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMSEL + C(3)*DAK_SUMSEL + C(4)*DBH_SUMSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SUMSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_LAMPUNG + C(3)*DAK_LAMPUNG + C(4)*DBH_LAMPUNG +
C(5)*PAD_LAMPUNG + C(6)*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_DKIJAKARTA + C(3)*DAK_DKIJAKARTA +
C(4)*DBH_DKIJAKARTA + C(5)*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + C(6)*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JABAR + C(3)*DAK_JABAR + C(4)*DBH_JABAR +
C(5)*PAD_JABAR + C(6)*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BANTEN + C(3)*DAK_BANTEN + C(4)*DBH_BANTEN +
C(5)*PAD_BANTEN + C(6)*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATENG + C(3)*DAK_JATENG + C(4)*DBH_JATENG +
C(5)*PAD_JATENG + C(6)*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATIM + C(3)*DAK_JATIM + C(4)*DBH_JATIM + C(5)*PAD_JATIM
+ C(6)*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTB + C(3)*DAK_NTB + C(4)*DBH_NTB + C(5)*PAD_NTB +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTB
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_NTT = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTT + C(3)*DAK_NTT + C(4)*DBH_NTT + C(5)*PAD_NTT +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SULSEL + C(3)*DAK_SULSEL + C(4)*DBH_SULSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SULSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SULSEL
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_SUMUT + 80.8761280759*DAK_SUMUT 27.1501379352*DBH_SUMUT + 83.8323726754*PAD_SUMUT + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_SUMBAR + 80.8761280759*DAK_SUMBAR 27.1501379352*DBH_SUMBAR + 83.8323726754*PAD_SUMBAR + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_RIAU + 80.8761280759*DAK_RIAU 27.1501379352*DBH_RIAU + 83.8323726754*PAD_RIAU + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_SUMSEL + 80.8761280759*DAK_SUMSEL 27.1501379352*DBH_SUMSEL + 83.8323726754*PAD_SUMSEL + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_LAMPUNG +
80.8761280759*DAK_LAMPUNG - 27.1501379352*DBH_LAMPUNG +
83.8323726754*PAD_LAMPUNG + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_DKIJAKARTA +
80.8761280759*DAK_DKIJAKARTA - 27.1501379352*DBH_DKIJAKARTA +
83.8323726754*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_JABAR + 80.8761280759*DAK_JABAR 27.1501379352*DBH_JABAR + 83.8323726754*PAD_JABAR + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_BANTEN + 80.8761280759*DAK_BANTEN 27.1501379352*DBH_BANTEN + 83.8323726754*PAD_BANTEN + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_JATENG + 80.8761280759*DAK_JATENG 27.1501379352*DBH_JATENG + 83.8323726754*PAD_JATENG + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_JATENG
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_JATIM = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_JATIM + 80.8761280759*DAK_JATIM 27.1501379352*DBH_JATIM + 83.8323726754*PAD_JATIM + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_NTB + 80.8761280759*DAK_NTB 27.1501379352*DBH_NTB + 83.8323726754*PAD_NTB + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_NTT + 80.8761280759*DAK_NTT 27.1501379352*DBH_NTT + 83.8323726754*PAD_NTT + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = 52460467.4033 + 0.49339357129*DAU_SULSEL + 80.8761280759*DAK_SULSEL 27.1501379352*DBH_SULSEL + 83.8323726754*PAD_SULSEL + 31.0495804696*LLPYS_SULSEL
Lampiran Out Put Fixed Effect Model
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 02:57
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
1.24E+08
11310963
10.94602
0.0000
DAU?
-2.266586
3.422889
-0.662185
0.5111
DAK?
-9.328842
15.32229
-0.608841
0.5456
DBH?
8.854355
4.244357
2.086147
0.0424
PAD?
52.67046
3.607091
14.60192
0.0000
LLPYS?
-21.39490
10.73853
-1.992350
0.0522
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_SUMUT—C
-2916637.
_SUMBAR—C
-86267356
_RIAU—C
85031520
Universitas Sumatera Utara
_SUMSEL—C
-48358871
_LAMPUNG—C
-81829064
_DKIJAKARTA--C
-45464711
_JABAR—C
2.48E+08
_BANTEN—C
-72852015
_JATENG—C
62772620
_JATIM—C
2.50E+08
_NTB—C
-1.03E+08
_NTT—C
-1.12E+08
_SULSEL—C
-92615395
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
0.991085
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.987861
S.D. dependent var
2.70E+08
S.E. of regression
29730325
Akaike info criterion
37.48284
Sum squared resid
4.15E+16
Schwarz criterion
38.08498
Log likelihood
-1200.192
Hannan-Quinn criter.
37.72042
Durbin-Watson stat
1.190772
F-statistic
307.3626
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS(CX=F) KK? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? LLPYS?
Estimation Equations:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = C(7) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMUT + C(3)*DAK_SUMUT + C(4)*DBH_SUMUT +
C(5)*PAD_SUMUT + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMUT
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_SUMBAR = C(8) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMBAR + C(3)*DAK_SUMBAR + C(4)*DBH_SUMBAR +
C(5)*PAD_SUMBAR + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = C(9) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_RIAU + C(3)*DAK_RIAU + C(4)*DBH_RIAU + C(5)*PAD_RIAU
+ C(6)*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = C(10) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMSEL + C(3)*DAK_SUMSEL + C(4)*DBH_SUMSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SUMSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = C(11) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_LAMPUNG + C(3)*DAK_LAMPUNG +
C(4)*DBH_LAMPUNG + C(5)*PAD_LAMPUNG + C(6)*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = C(12) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_DKIJAKARTA + C(3)*DAK_DKIJAKARTA +
C(4)*DBH_DKIJAKARTA + C(5)*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + C(6)*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = C(13) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JABAR + C(3)*DAK_JABAR + C(4)*DBH_JABAR +
C(5)*PAD_JABAR + C(6)*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = C(14) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BANTEN + C(3)*DAK_BANTEN + C(4)*DBH_BANTEN +
C(5)*PAD_BANTEN + C(6)*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = C(15) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATENG + C(3)*DAK_JATENG + C(4)*DBH_JATENG +
C(5)*PAD_JATENG + C(6)*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = C(16) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATIM + C(3)*DAK_JATIM + C(4)*DBH_JATIM +
C(5)*PAD_JATIM + C(6)*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = C(17) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTB + C(3)*DAK_NTB + C(4)*DBH_NTB + C(5)*PAD_NTB +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = C(18) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTT + C(3)*DAK_NTT + C(4)*DBH_NTT + C(5)*PAD_NTT +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = C(19) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SULSEL + C(3)*DAK_SULSEL + C(4)*DBH_SULSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SULSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SULSEL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = -2916636.55206 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMUT 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMUT + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMUT + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMUT 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = -86267355.8565 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMBAR 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMBAR + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMBAR + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMBAR 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = 85031520.3424 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_RIAU 9.32884164547*DAK_RIAU + 8.85435456028*DBH_RIAU + 52.6704617415*PAD_RIAU 21.3949025704*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = -48358870.686 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMSEL 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMSEL + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMSEL + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMSEL 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = -81829063.7745 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_LAMPUNG 9.32884164547*DAK_LAMPUNG + 8.85435456028*DBH_LAMPUNG +
52.6704617415*PAD_LAMPUNG - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = -45464711.2813 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_DKIJAKARTA 9.32884164547*DAK_DKIJAKARTA + 8.85435456028*DBH_DKIJAKARTA +
52.6704617415*PAD_DKIJAKARTA - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = 247888145.434 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JABAR 9.32884164547*DAK_JABAR + 8.85435456028*DBH_JABAR + 52.6704617415*PAD_JABAR 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = -72852014.7814 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_BANTEN 9.32884164547*DAK_BANTEN + 8.85435456028*DBH_BANTEN + 52.6704617415*PAD_BANTEN 21.3949025704*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = 62772620.2855 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JATENG 9.32884164547*DAK_JATENG + 8.85435456028*DBH_JATENG + 52.6704617415*PAD_JATENG 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JATENG
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_JATIM = 250073220.301 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JATIM 9.32884164547*DAK_JATIM + 8.85435456028*DBH_JATIM + 52.6704617415*PAD_JATIM 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = -103427266.814 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_NTB - 9.32884164547*DAK_NTB
+ 8.85435456028*DBH_NTB + 52.6704617415*PAD_NTB - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = -112034191.907 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_NTT - 9.32884164547*DAK_NTT +
8.85435456028*DBH_NTT + 52.6704617415*PAD_NTT - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = -92615394.7108 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SULSEL 9.32884164547*DAK_SULSEL + 8.85435456028*DBH_SULSEL + 52.6704617415*PAD_SULSEL 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SULSEL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran Out Put Fixed Effect Model Bebas Heterokedastisitas
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 03:05
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
WARNING: estimated coefficient covariance matrix is of reduced rank
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
1.24E+08
25477769
4.859533
0.0000
DAU?
-2.266586
2.971915
-0.762669
0.4495
DAK?
-9.328842
16.63261
-0.560877
0.5775
DBH?
8.854355
5.902244
1.500168
0.1403
PAD?
52.67046
7.089753
7.429097
0.0000
LLPYS?
-21.39490
21.35360
-1.001934
0.3215
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_SUMUT--C
-2916637.
_SUMBAR--C
-86267356
_RIAU--C
85031520
_SUMSEL--C
-48358871
_LAMPUNG--C
-81829064
_DKIJAKARTA--C
-45464711
_JABAR--C
2.48E+08
_BANTEN--C
-72852015
_JATENG--C
62772620
_JATIM--C
2.50E+08
Universitas Sumatera Utara
_NTB--C
-1.03E+08
_NTT--C
-1.12E+08
_SULSEL--C
-92615395
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
0.991085
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.987861
S.D. dependent var
2.70E+08
S.E. of regression
29730325
Akaike info criterion
37.48284
Sum squared resid
4.15E+16
Schwarz criterion
38.08498
Log likelihood
-1200.192
Hannan-Quinn criter.
37.72042
Durbin-Watson stat
1.190772
F-statistic
307.3626
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS(CX=F,COV=CXWHITE) KK? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? LLPYS?
Estimation Equations:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = C(7) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMUT + C(3)*DAK_SUMUT + C(4)*DBH_SUMUT +
C(5)*PAD_SUMUT + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = C(8) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMBAR + C(3)*DAK_SUMBAR + C(4)*DBH_SUMBAR +
C(5)*PAD_SUMBAR + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = C(9) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_RIAU + C(3)*DAK_RIAU + C(4)*DBH_RIAU + C(5)*PAD_RIAU
+ C(6)*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = C(10) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMSEL + C(3)*DAK_SUMSEL + C(4)*DBH_SUMSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SUMSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMSEL
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_LAMPUNG = C(11) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_LAMPUNG + C(3)*DAK_LAMPUNG +
C(4)*DBH_LAMPUNG + C(5)*PAD_LAMPUNG + C(6)*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = C(12) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_DKIJAKARTA + C(3)*DAK_DKIJAKARTA +
C(4)*DBH_DKIJAKARTA + C(5)*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + C(6)*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = C(13) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JABAR + C(3)*DAK_JABAR + C(4)*DBH_JABAR +
C(5)*PAD_JABAR + C(6)*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = C(14) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BANTEN + C(3)*DAK_BANTEN + C(4)*DBH_BANTEN +
C(5)*PAD_BANTEN + C(6)*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = C(15) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATENG + C(3)*DAK_JATENG + C(4)*DBH_JATENG +
C(5)*PAD_JATENG + C(6)*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = C(16) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATIM + C(3)*DAK_JATIM + C(4)*DBH_JATIM +
C(5)*PAD_JATIM + C(6)*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = C(17) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTB + C(3)*DAK_NTB + C(4)*DBH_NTB + C(5)*PAD_NTB +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = C(18) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTT + C(3)*DAK_NTT + C(4)*DBH_NTT + C(5)*PAD_NTT +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = C(19) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SULSEL + C(3)*DAK_SULSEL + C(4)*DBH_SULSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SULSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SULSEL
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = -2916636.55206 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMUT 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMUT + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMUT + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMUT 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = -86267355.8565 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMBAR 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMBAR + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMBAR + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMBAR 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMBAR
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KK_RIAU = 85031520.3424 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_RIAU 9.32884164547*DAK_RIAU + 8.85435456028*DBH_RIAU + 52.6704617415*PAD_RIAU 21.3949025704*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = -48358870.686 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SUMSEL 9.32884164547*DAK_SUMSEL + 8.85435456028*DBH_SUMSEL + 52.6704617415*PAD_SUMSEL 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = -81829063.7745 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_LAMPUNG 9.32884164547*DAK_LAMPUNG + 8.85435456028*DBH_LAMPUNG +
52.6704617415*PAD_LAMPUNG - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = -45464711.2813 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_DKIJAKARTA 9.32884164547*DAK_DKIJAKARTA + 8.85435456028*DBH_DKIJAKARTA +
52.6704617415*PAD_DKIJAKARTA - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = 247888145.434 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JABAR 9.32884164547*DAK_JABAR + 8.85435456028*DBH_JABAR + 52.6704617415*PAD_JABAR 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = -72852014.7814 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_BANTEN 9.32884164547*DAK_BANTEN + 8.85435456028*DBH_BANTEN + 52.6704617415*PAD_BANTEN 21.3949025704*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = 62772620.2855 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JATENG 9.32884164547*DAK_JATENG + 8.85435456028*DBH_JATENG + 52.6704617415*PAD_JATENG 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = 250073220.301 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_JATIM 9.32884164547*DAK_JATIM + 8.85435456028*DBH_JATIM + 52.6704617415*PAD_JATIM 21.3949025704*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = -103427266.814 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_NTB - 9.32884164547*DAK_NTB
+ 8.85435456028*DBH_NTB + 52.6704617415*PAD_NTB - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = -112034191.907 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_NTT - 9.32884164547*DAK_NTT +
8.85435456028*DBH_NTT + 52.6704617415*PAD_NTT - 21.3949025704*LLPYS_NTT
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KK_SULSEL = -92615394.7108 + 123810062.024 - 2.26658582199*DAU_SULSEL 9.32884164547*DAK_SULSEL + 8.85435456028*DBH_SULSEL + 52.6704617415*PAD_SULSEL 21.3949025704*LLPYS_SULSEL
Lampiran Out Put Random Effect Model
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects)
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 03:09
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
83286211
10671627
7.804453
0.0000
DAU?
0.606260
3.328885
0.182121
0.8561
DAK?
6.542187
15.01100
0.435826
0.6646
DBH?
-3.429101
3.757518
-0.912597
0.3652
PAD?
68.39599
2.543455
26.89098
0.0000
LLPYS?
-2.538690
10.29262
-0.246652
0.8060
Random Effects (Cross)
_SUMUT—C
-139166.3
_SUMBAR—C
-50421128
_RIAU—C
95238320
_SUMSEL—C
-17237969
_LAMPUNG—C
-45957923
_DKIJAKARTA--C
-93396653
_JABAR—C
1.56E+08
_BANTEN—C
-48327185
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_JATENG—C
29627931
_JATIM—C
1.55E+08
_NTB—C
-59440704
_NTT—C
-61644066
_SULSEL—C
-59387194
Effects Specification
S.D.
Rho
Cross-section random
25999507
0.4334
Idiosyncratic random
29730325
0.5666
Weighted Statistics
R-squared
0.833443
Mean dependent var
1.32E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.819328
S.D. dependent var
1.38E+08
S.E. of regression
58505705
Sum squared resid
2.02E+17
F-statistic
59.04644
Durbin-Watson stat
0.439210
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Unweighted Statistics
R-squared
0.841331
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Sum squared resid
7.39E+17
Durbin-Watson stat
0.119961
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS(CX=R) KK? C DAU? DAK? DBH? PAD? LLPYS?
Estimation Equations:
=====================
Universitas Sumatera Utara
KK_SUMUT = C(7) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMUT + C(3)*DAK_SUMUT + C(4)*DBH_SUMUT +
C(5)*PAD_SUMUT + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = C(8) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMBAR + C(3)*DAK_SUMBAR + C(4)*DBH_SUMBAR +
C(5)*PAD_SUMBAR + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = C(9) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_RIAU + C(3)*DAK_RIAU + C(4)*DBH_RIAU + C(5)*PAD_RIAU
+ C(6)*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = C(10) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SUMSEL + C(3)*DAK_SUMSEL + C(4)*DBH_SUMSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SUMSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = C(11) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_LAMPUNG + C(3)*DAK_LAMPUNG +
C(4)*DBH_LAMPUNG + C(5)*PAD_LAMPUNG + C(6)*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = C(12) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_DKIJAKARTA + C(3)*DAK_DKIJAKARTA +
C(4)*DBH_DKIJAKARTA + C(5)*PAD_DKIJAKARTA + C(6)*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = C(13) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JABAR + C(3)*DAK_JABAR + C(4)*DBH_JABAR +
C(5)*PAD_JABAR + C(6)*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = C(14) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_BANTEN + C(3)*DAK_BANTEN + C(4)*DBH_BANTEN +
C(5)*PAD_BANTEN + C(6)*LLPYS_BANTEN
KK_JATENG = C(15) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATENG + C(3)*DAK_JATENG + C(4)*DBH_JATENG +
C(5)*PAD_JATENG + C(6)*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = C(16) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_JATIM + C(3)*DAK_JATIM + C(4)*DBH_JATIM +
C(5)*PAD_JATIM + C(6)*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = C(17) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTB + C(3)*DAK_NTB + C(4)*DBH_NTB + C(5)*PAD_NTB +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = C(18) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_NTT + C(3)*DAK_NTT + C(4)*DBH_NTT + C(5)*PAD_NTT +
C(6)*LLPYS_NTT
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KK_SULSEL = C(19) + C(1) + C(2)*DAU_SULSEL + C(3)*DAK_SULSEL + C(4)*DBH_SULSEL +
C(5)*PAD_SULSEL + C(6)*LLPYS_SULSEL
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
KK_SUMUT = -139166.341794 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_SUMUT +
6.54218652838*DAK_SUMUT - 3.42910110653*DBH_SUMUT + 68.3959867902*PAD_SUMUT 2.53868998413*LLPYS_SUMUT
KK_SUMBAR = -50421127.5137 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_SUMBAR +
6.54218652838*DAK_SUMBAR - 3.42910110653*DBH_SUMBAR + 68.3959867902*PAD_SUMBAR 2.53868998413*LLPYS_SUMBAR
KK_RIAU = 95238320.3906 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_RIAU +
6.54218652838*DAK_RIAU - 3.42910110653*DBH_RIAU + 68.3959867902*PAD_RIAU 2.53868998413*LLPYS_RIAU
KK_SUMSEL = -17237968.905 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_SUMSEL +
6.54218652838*DAK_SUMSEL - 3.42910110653*DBH_SUMSEL + 68.3959867902*PAD_SUMSEL 2.53868998413*LLPYS_SUMSEL
KK_LAMPUNG = -45957922.8607 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_LAMPUNG +
6.54218652838*DAK_LAMPUNG - 3.42910110653*DBH_LAMPUNG +
68.3959867902*PAD_LAMPUNG - 2.53868998413*LLPYS_LAMPUNG
KK_DKIJAKARTA = -93396652.9991 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_DKIJAKARTA +
6.54218652838*DAK_DKIJAKARTA - 3.42910110653*DBH_DKIJAKARTA +
68.3959867902*PAD_DKIJAKARTA - 2.53868998413*LLPYS_DKIJAKARTA
KK_JABAR = 156392384.367 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_JABAR +
6.54218652838*DAK_JABAR - 3.42910110653*DBH_JABAR + 68.3959867902*PAD_JABAR 2.53868998413*LLPYS_JABAR
KK_BANTEN = -48327184.9562 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_BANTEN +
6.54218652838*DAK_BANTEN - 3.42910110653*DBH_BANTEN + 68.3959867902*PAD_BANTEN 2.53868998413*LLPYS_BANTEN
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KK_JATENG = 29627930.9409 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_JATENG +
6.54218652838*DAK_JATENG - 3.42910110653*DBH_JATENG + 68.3959867902*PAD_JATENG 2.53868998413*LLPYS_JATENG
KK_JATIM = 154693352.205 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_JATIM +
6.54218652838*DAK_JATIM - 3.42910110653*DBH_JATIM + 68.3959867902*PAD_JATIM 2.53868998413*LLPYS_JATIM
KK_NTB = -59440704.3662 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_NTB +
6.54218652838*DAK_NTB - 3.42910110653*DBH_NTB + 68.3959867902*PAD_NTB 2.53868998413*LLPYS_NTB
KK_NTT = -61644066.2886 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_NTT +
6.54218652838*DAK_NTT - 3.42910110653*DBH_NTT + 68.3959867902*PAD_NTT 2.53868998413*LLPYS_NTT
KK_SULSEL = -59387193.6718 + 83286210.8676 + 0.606259606279*DAU_SULSEL +
6.54218652838*DAK_SULSEL - 3.42910110653*DBH_SULSEL + 68.3959867902*PAD_SULSEL 2.53868998413*LLPYS_SULSEL
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Lampiran Out Put Hausman Test
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Pool: POOL01
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary
Chi-Sq. Statistic
Chi-Sq. d.f.
Prob.
0.000000
5
1.0000
Random
Var(Diff.)
Prob.
Cross-section random
* Cross-section test variance is invalid. Hausman statistic set to zero.
** WARNING: robust standard errors may not be consistent with
assumptions of Hausman test variance calculation.
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable
Fixed
DAU?
-2.266586
0.606260
-22.203168
NA
DAK?
-9.328842
6.542187
141.931478
0.1828
DBH?
8.854355
-3.429101
19.064448
0.0049
PAD?
52.670462
68.395987
9.068668
0.0000
LLPYS?
-21.394903
-2.538690
-1196.698092
NA
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: KK?
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 04/13/13 Time: 03:14
Sample: 2007 2011
Included observations: 5
Cross-sections included: 13
Total pool (balanced) observations: 65
White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
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Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
1.24E+08
25477769
4.859533
0.0000
DAU?
-2.266586
2.971915
-0.762669
0.4495
DAK?
-9.328842
16.63261
-0.560877
0.5775
DBH?
8.854355
5.902244
1.500168
0.1403
PAD?
52.67046
7.089753
7.429097
0.0000
LLPYS?
-21.39490
21.35360
-1.001934
0.3215
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
0.991085
Mean dependent var
2.90E+08
Adjusted R-squared
0.987861
S.D. dependent var
2.70E+08
S.E. of regression
29730325
Akaike info criterion
37.48284
Sum squared resid
4.15E+16
Schwarz criterion
38.08498
Log likelihood
-1200.192
Hannan-Quinn criter.
37.72042
Durbin-Watson stat
1.190772
F-statistic
307.3626
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
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DAFTAR LAMPIRAN
Halaman
Lampiran 1
Data Variabel ..............................................................................
81
Lampiran 2
Out Put OLS ...............................................................................
84
Lampiran 3
Substituted Coefficients OLS......................................................
85
Lampiran 4
Out Put Fixed Effect Model.........................................................
86
Lampiran 5
Substituted Coefficients Fixed Effect Model................................
87
Lampiran 6
Out Put Fixed Effect Model Bebas Heterokedastisitas................
89
Lampiran 7
Out Put Random Effect Mode......................................................
92
Lampiran 8
Substituted Coefficients Random Effect Model............................
93
Lampiran 9 Out Put Hausman Test...............................................................
95
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