Menyoroti Kepemimpinan Petahana dan Dinasti.
P ik ir a n
•
2
17
3
18
O Jan
o
S e n in
19
.Peb
.•....•....•
o- - -
o
S e la s a
4
5
20
®
M ar
O Apr
".,
o
Rabu
6
R akyat
7
8
22
9
23
O M ei
K a m is
O Jun
o
Jumat
o
GFEDCBA
o
S a b tu
M in g g u
ZYXWVUTSRQPON
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
O Jul
O Ags
.,
o
O Sep
O k!
O Nov
O D es
Analisis
M e n y o r o ti
K e p e m im p in a n
P e ta h a n a
a k a n m a ju m e n ja d i p e ja b a t p u b lik . T id a k ja ra n g ,
g a n tia n p e m im p in p o litik y a n g Ie b ih
d a la m k u n ju n g a n re s m i a ta s n a m a k e d in a s a n ,
b a ik . S e ja k p e m ilih a n k e p a la d a e ra h d i k o ta -
s a m b il m e m b a w a d a n a , m e re k a ju g a m
/k a b u p a te n
a n a k d a n is trin y a a g a r b is a d ik e n a l
ta h u n
2005
s a m p a i p e m ilih a n k e -
p a la d a e ra h g e Io m b a n g k e d u a ta h u n
AFFAN
SULAEM AN
d iri d a n k e lu a rg a n y a y a n g
s e h a ru s n y a d ita n d a i o Ie h a d a n y a p e r-
b a n y a k p e ta h a n a
O le h
m e m p ro m o s ik a n
d e m o k ra s i s e c a ra id e a l
O N S O L ID A S I
K
.d a n D in a s t i
(in c u m b e n t)
m baw a
o le h m a s y a -
ra k a t te m p a t m e re k a a k a n b e rk o m p e tis i.
2010,
K e lim a , d u k u n g a n d a n a . V a ria b le in i a m a t
d a n k e Iu a rg a
p e ta h a n a a ta u d in a s ti y a n g m e m e n a n g i p e m ilu -
m e n e n tu k a n .
k a d a d i J a w a B a ra t. M u la i d a ri K a b . S u k a b u m i
p e ja b a t p u b lik m e Ia lu i m e k a n is m e p e m ilih a n , ia
S ia p a p u n y a n g a k a n m a j
sebagai
(p e ta h a n a ), K o ta D e p o k (p e ta h a n a ) K a b . In d ra -
h a ru s m e m ilik i m o d a l b e s a r s e b a g a i c o s t p o litic s .
m a y u (d in a s ti); K a b . B a n d u n g (d in a s ti), K a b .
D a n a itu u n tu k m e m b ia y a ik la n d i m e d ia , b a lih o ,
T a s ik m a la y a (k a d e r p e ta h a n a ), d a n K a b . C ia n ju r
k a u s , p a m fle t, h o n o ra riu m
(p e ta h a n a ). ln i m e n a n d a i a b s e n n y a p e n d a ta n g
n y e , d a n s a k s i-s a k s i h in g g a d i tin g k a t te m p a t p e -
b a ru s e c a ra o ris in a l.
m u n g u ta n
. M e n g a p a p e ta h a n a
.
b e rta h a n
d in a s ti d a la m p e m iIu k a d a
m e s in p o litik s e c a ra k e s e lu ru h a n y a n g s o lid d a -
P e rta m a ,
re a lita m e n u n ju k k a n ,
c itra s e s e o ra n g b is a m e n -
d o n g k ra k k e te rp ilih a n
u n tu k m e n ja d i p e ja b a t
p u b Iik . C itra b is a d ip e ro le h
d irin y a , k e ra b a t, d a n te m a n
su a ra .
K e e n a m , m o b ilis a s i d u k u n g a n . B a g a im a n a
d a n a d a p o Iitik
d i Ja b a r?
m a n a je m e n k a m p a -
p a t e fe k tifb e k e Ija . M o b ilis a s i s e c a ra s is te m a tik
d a n m a s if a m a t d ip e rlu k a n u n tu k m e n g u a s a i
s im p u l-s im p u l s tra te g is te m p a t a k u m u la s i s u a ra .
d a ri p o p u la rita s
D i s in ila h d ib u tu h k a n
d e k a tn y a , m e la Iu i
k e c e rm a ta n b e rd a s a rk a n
k e a h lia n a u te n tik u n tu k m e n g g m n b a rk a n
d a e ra h a s a l, o rg a n is a s i k e a g a m a a n , o rg a n is a s i
;p
p e m in a ta n
(s o s ia l, b u d a y a , e k o n o m i, o Ia h ra g a ,
d ll.) .
a k u ra t k e c e n d e ru n g a n
b e h a vio r ),
se c a ra
I
p e rila k u m e m ilih ( v o tin g
s e h in g g g a k a n d id a t d ik e n a l d a n d i-
p ilih o le h c a lo n p e m ilih n y a p a d a h a ri p e m u n g u t-
K e d u a , v a ria b e I p a tro n . M a s ih a d a k e te rk a ita n
a n su a ra .
d e n g a n e s e n s i p e rta m a ta d i, c itra d id a p a t ju g a
d a d p a tro n , m is a ln y a o ra n g tu a , s u a rn i, p a m a n ,
F e n o m e n a s e p e rti itu m e ru p a k a n
tre t p o li-
tik In d o n e s ia k in i, te ru ta m a p o litik lo k a l p a d a
a ta u k a k a k . R e a lita m e n u n ju k k a n , b a g a im a n a
a n a k s e o ra n g p e ja b a t a ta u is m p e ja b a t b is a te r-
e ra tra n s is i d a n k o n s o lid a s i d e m o k ra s i. D a la m
p ilih m e n g g a n tik a n p o s is i s a n g p e ja b a t k a re n a
tra n s is i d e m o k ra s i, a k to r la m a m a s ih s a n g g u p
p e n g a ru h b a p a k , m e rtu a , d a n s u a rn i. la d ip e r-
m e m a in k a n p e ra n a n w a la u p u n s e c a ra fis ik ia
s o n ifik a s ik a n s e b a g a i p e n g g a n ti d a n p e w a ris
tid a k te rlih a t te ta p i s e c a ra p o litis m a s ih b e rp e -
y a n g d ia n g g a p m u m p u n i o le h p e n d u k u n g n y a
ra n d a n b e ru s a h a m e le s ta rik a n n y a .
G a g a s a n k e d e p a n , b a g a im a n a m e n d o ro n g a k -
b is a m e Ia n ju tk a n p ro g ra m y a n g b e lu m s e le s a i
to r p o litik w a ja h b a ru a g a r tid a k te rb a ta s d a ta n g
d a ri d in a s ti p e m e g a n g k e k u a s a a n , u n tu k d a p a t
o le h p e n d a h u lu n y a .
K e tig a , p a rta i p o litik d a n o rg a n is a s i m a s s a ,
te rm a s u k o rg a n is a s i m a s y a ra k a t s ip il d i b e rb a g a i
m e n d u d u k i ja b a ta n p u b lik d e n g a n k e m a m p u a n -
le v e l d a r i d e s a s a m p a i k a b u p a te n d a n p r o v in s i .:
n y a . D e n g a n d e m ik ia n , ro ta s i k e p e m im p in a n
O rg a n is a s i s o s ia l p o litik s e b a g a i m e s in p o litik
b is a m e la h irk a n s u a s a n a b a ru , tid a k b e rp u ta r d i
b is a b e rp e ra n u n tu k m e rid u la n g s u a ra . K e e m p a t,
s e k ita r d in a s ti te rte n tu .
***
ja rin g a n . V a ria b le in i s a n g a t s tra te g is . P a d a le v e l
k a b .z k o ta , o r g a n is a s i P K K , a r is a n , a ta u p e n g a -
P e n u lis ,
Kebijakan
jia n , k e ra p d ip a k a i p e ta h a n a s e b a g a i m e d ia
K llp in g
H um as
O npad
dosen P em ba nguna n
P u b lik, F IS IP
Poli
U npad.
2011
l
' k :d a n
•
2
17
3
18
O Jan
o
S e n in
19
.Peb
.•....•....•
o- - -
o
S e la s a
4
5
20
®
M ar
O Apr
".,
o
Rabu
6
R akyat
7
8
22
9
23
O M ei
K a m is
O Jun
o
Jumat
o
GFEDCBA
o
S a b tu
M in g g u
ZYXWVUTSRQPON
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
O Jul
O Ags
.,
o
O Sep
O k!
O Nov
O D es
Analisis
M e n y o r o ti
K e p e m im p in a n
P e ta h a n a
a k a n m a ju m e n ja d i p e ja b a t p u b lik . T id a k ja ra n g ,
g a n tia n p e m im p in p o litik y a n g Ie b ih
d a la m k u n ju n g a n re s m i a ta s n a m a k e d in a s a n ,
b a ik . S e ja k p e m ilih a n k e p a la d a e ra h d i k o ta -
s a m b il m e m b a w a d a n a , m e re k a ju g a m
/k a b u p a te n
a n a k d a n is trin y a a g a r b is a d ik e n a l
ta h u n
2005
s a m p a i p e m ilih a n k e -
p a la d a e ra h g e Io m b a n g k e d u a ta h u n
AFFAN
SULAEM AN
d iri d a n k e lu a rg a n y a y a n g
s e h a ru s n y a d ita n d a i o Ie h a d a n y a p e r-
b a n y a k p e ta h a n a
O le h
m e m p ro m o s ik a n
d e m o k ra s i s e c a ra id e a l
O N S O L ID A S I
K
.d a n D in a s t i
(in c u m b e n t)
m baw a
o le h m a s y a -
ra k a t te m p a t m e re k a a k a n b e rk o m p e tis i.
2010,
K e lim a , d u k u n g a n d a n a . V a ria b le in i a m a t
d a n k e Iu a rg a
p e ta h a n a a ta u d in a s ti y a n g m e m e n a n g i p e m ilu -
m e n e n tu k a n .
k a d a d i J a w a B a ra t. M u la i d a ri K a b . S u k a b u m i
p e ja b a t p u b lik m e Ia lu i m e k a n is m e p e m ilih a n , ia
S ia p a p u n y a n g a k a n m a j
sebagai
(p e ta h a n a ), K o ta D e p o k (p e ta h a n a ) K a b . In d ra -
h a ru s m e m ilik i m o d a l b e s a r s e b a g a i c o s t p o litic s .
m a y u (d in a s ti); K a b . B a n d u n g (d in a s ti), K a b .
D a n a itu u n tu k m e m b ia y a ik la n d i m e d ia , b a lih o ,
T a s ik m a la y a (k a d e r p e ta h a n a ), d a n K a b . C ia n ju r
k a u s , p a m fle t, h o n o ra riu m
(p e ta h a n a ). ln i m e n a n d a i a b s e n n y a p e n d a ta n g
n y e , d a n s a k s i-s a k s i h in g g a d i tin g k a t te m p a t p e -
b a ru s e c a ra o ris in a l.
m u n g u ta n
. M e n g a p a p e ta h a n a
.
b e rta h a n
d in a s ti d a la m p e m iIu k a d a
m e s in p o litik s e c a ra k e s e lu ru h a n y a n g s o lid d a -
P e rta m a ,
re a lita m e n u n ju k k a n ,
c itra s e s e o ra n g b is a m e n -
d o n g k ra k k e te rp ilih a n
u n tu k m e n ja d i p e ja b a t
p u b Iik . C itra b is a d ip e ro le h
d irin y a , k e ra b a t, d a n te m a n
su a ra .
K e e n a m , m o b ilis a s i d u k u n g a n . B a g a im a n a
d a n a d a p o Iitik
d i Ja b a r?
m a n a je m e n k a m p a -
p a t e fe k tifb e k e Ija . M o b ilis a s i s e c a ra s is te m a tik
d a n m a s if a m a t d ip e rlu k a n u n tu k m e n g u a s a i
s im p u l-s im p u l s tra te g is te m p a t a k u m u la s i s u a ra .
d a ri p o p u la rita s
D i s in ila h d ib u tu h k a n
d e k a tn y a , m e la Iu i
k e c e rm a ta n b e rd a s a rk a n
k e a h lia n a u te n tik u n tu k m e n g g m n b a rk a n
d a e ra h a s a l, o rg a n is a s i k e a g a m a a n , o rg a n is a s i
;p
p e m in a ta n
(s o s ia l, b u d a y a , e k o n o m i, o Ia h ra g a ,
d ll.) .
a k u ra t k e c e n d e ru n g a n
b e h a vio r ),
se c a ra
I
p e rila k u m e m ilih ( v o tin g
s e h in g g g a k a n d id a t d ik e n a l d a n d i-
p ilih o le h c a lo n p e m ilih n y a p a d a h a ri p e m u n g u t-
K e d u a , v a ria b e I p a tro n . M a s ih a d a k e te rk a ita n
a n su a ra .
d e n g a n e s e n s i p e rta m a ta d i, c itra d id a p a t ju g a
d a d p a tro n , m is a ln y a o ra n g tu a , s u a rn i, p a m a n ,
F e n o m e n a s e p e rti itu m e ru p a k a n
tre t p o li-
tik In d o n e s ia k in i, te ru ta m a p o litik lo k a l p a d a
a ta u k a k a k . R e a lita m e n u n ju k k a n , b a g a im a n a
a n a k s e o ra n g p e ja b a t a ta u is m p e ja b a t b is a te r-
e ra tra n s is i d a n k o n s o lid a s i d e m o k ra s i. D a la m
p ilih m e n g g a n tik a n p o s is i s a n g p e ja b a t k a re n a
tra n s is i d e m o k ra s i, a k to r la m a m a s ih s a n g g u p
p e n g a ru h b a p a k , m e rtu a , d a n s u a rn i. la d ip e r-
m e m a in k a n p e ra n a n w a la u p u n s e c a ra fis ik ia
s o n ifik a s ik a n s e b a g a i p e n g g a n ti d a n p e w a ris
tid a k te rlih a t te ta p i s e c a ra p o litis m a s ih b e rp e -
y a n g d ia n g g a p m u m p u n i o le h p e n d u k u n g n y a
ra n d a n b e ru s a h a m e le s ta rik a n n y a .
G a g a s a n k e d e p a n , b a g a im a n a m e n d o ro n g a k -
b is a m e Ia n ju tk a n p ro g ra m y a n g b e lu m s e le s a i
to r p o litik w a ja h b a ru a g a r tid a k te rb a ta s d a ta n g
d a ri d in a s ti p e m e g a n g k e k u a s a a n , u n tu k d a p a t
o le h p e n d a h u lu n y a .
K e tig a , p a rta i p o litik d a n o rg a n is a s i m a s s a ,
te rm a s u k o rg a n is a s i m a s y a ra k a t s ip il d i b e rb a g a i
m e n d u d u k i ja b a ta n p u b lik d e n g a n k e m a m p u a n -
le v e l d a r i d e s a s a m p a i k a b u p a te n d a n p r o v in s i .:
n y a . D e n g a n d e m ik ia n , ro ta s i k e p e m im p in a n
O rg a n is a s i s o s ia l p o litik s e b a g a i m e s in p o litik
b is a m e la h irk a n s u a s a n a b a ru , tid a k b e rp u ta r d i
b is a b e rp e ra n u n tu k m e rid u la n g s u a ra . K e e m p a t,
s e k ita r d in a s ti te rte n tu .
***
ja rin g a n . V a ria b le in i s a n g a t s tra te g is . P a d a le v e l
k a b .z k o ta , o r g a n is a s i P K K , a r is a n , a ta u p e n g a -
P e n u lis ,
Kebijakan
jia n , k e ra p d ip a k a i p e ta h a n a s e b a g a i m e d ia
K llp in g
H um as
O npad
dosen P em ba nguna n
P u b lik, F IS IP
Poli
U npad.
2011
l
' k :d a n