Analisis Faktor – Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Cabai Merah di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

Lampiran 1. Permintaan Cabai Merah di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun
2006 – 2015
Permintaan
Harga
Harga
Pendapata
Jumlah
Cabai
Cabai
Cabai
n
Tahun Triwulan
Pendudu
Merah
Merah
Rawit
(Rp/Kapit
k (Jiwa)
(Kg/Kapita)
(Rp/Kg)
(Rp/Kg)

a)
2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

1

0,93

13269

12599

12643494

1845760

2

0,95

8844

8611

12643494

1845760

3

0,95

12465

9815

12643494

1845760

4

1,11

7872

12619

12643494

1845760

1

0,92

14083

16142

12834371

1943848

2

0,94

13690

11581

12834371

1943848

3

0,94

13318

12628

12834371

1943848

4

1,09

17645

14248

12834371

1943848

1

0,94

21123

15223

13042317

2086070

2

1,02

19312

19596

13042317

2086070

3

1,02

19653

18425

13042317

2086070

4

1,04

15881

16560

13042317

2086070

1

0,93

21528

17872

13248386

2168965

2

1,04

15123

13600

13248386

2168965

3

1,04

13330

15079

13248386

2168965

4

1,14

19168

19060

13248386

2168965

1

0,85

25363

15355

12982204

2284684

2

0,94

18518

14665

12982204

2284684

3

0,94

17132

21082

12982204

2284684

Universitas Sumatera Utara

4

0,95

16712

19260

12982204

2284684

1

1,40

23494

28869

13103596

6737608

2

1,51

12303

11203

13103596

6737608

3

1,51

30067

13187

13103596

6737608

4

1,61

10064

20602

13103596

6737608

1

1,39

17370

23803

13215401

7111478

2

1,49

21158

18897

13215401

7111478

3

1,49

20825

22003

13215401

7111478

4

1,60

20255

16705

13215401

7111478

1

1,44

32280

22014

13326307

7481053

2

1,54

28049

21311

13326307

7481053

3

1,58

26633

24485

13326307

7481053

4

1,56

17673

22667

13326307

7481053

1

1,51

48062

28093

13766851

7607148

2

1,56

20162

20681

13766851

7607148

3

1,56

19479

19594

13766851

7607148

4

1,56

24570

31481

13766851

7607148

1

1,68

25817

28382

13937797

7909353

2

1,74

32375

18655

13937797

7909353

3

1,75

28707

26236

13937797

7909353

4

1,71

24210

21613

13937797

7909353

Rata - rata

1,27

20190

186123

13210072

4717597

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Universitas Sumatera Utara

Lampiran 2. Hasil Output SPSS
Variables Entered/Removed

Model
1

Variables

Variables

Entered

Removed

Pendapatan,

Method
. Enter

Harga

Cabai

Merah,

Harga

Cabai

Rawit,

Jumlah
Penduduka
a. All requested variables entered.
Model Summaryb

Model

R
.975a

1

R Square

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

.950

.944

.07207

a. Predictors: (Constant), Pendapatan, Harga Cabai Merah, Harga
Cabai Rawit, Jumlah Penduduk
b. Dependent Variable: Permintaan Cabai Merah
ANOVAb
Model
1

Sum of Squares
Regression
Residual
Total

df

Mean Square

3.431

4

.858

.182

35

.005

3.613

39

F
165.142

Sig.
.000a

a. Predictors: (Constant), Pendapatan, Harga Cabai Merah, Harga Cabai Rawit, Jumlah
Penduduk
b. Dependent Variable: Permintaan Cabai Merah

Universitas Sumatera Utara

Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients
Model
1

B
(Constant)
Harga

Std. Error

Coefficients
Beta

-1.090

.664

Cabai

-4.251E-6

.000

Cabai

-4.404E-6

t

Sig.
-1.642

.110

-.107

-2.040

.049

.000

-.079

-1.385

.175

1.539E-7

.000

.192

2.866

.007

1.052E-7

.000

.935

15.275

.000

Merah
Harga
Rawit
Jumlah
Penduduk
Pendapatan

a. Dependent Variable: Permintaan Cabai Merah

Coefficientsa

Model
1

Unstandardized

Standardized

Coefficients

Coefficients

B
(Constant)

Std. Error

Beta

Collinearity Statistics
Tolerance

VIF

-1.090

.664

Cabai

-4.251E-6

.000

-.107

.526

1.900

Harga Cabai Rawit

-4.404E-6

.000

-.079

.437

2.290

Jumlah Penduduk

1.539E-7

.000

.192

.320

3.128

Pendapatan

1.052E-7

.000

.935

.384

2.604

Harga
Merah

a. Dependent Variable: Permintaan Cabai Merah

Universitas Sumatera Utara

Uji Normalitas (Uji Kolmogorov Smirnov)
One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Unstandardized
Residual
N
Normal Parametersa,,b

40
Mean
Std. Deviation

Most Extreme Differences

.0000000
.06827550

Absolute

.123

Positive

.123

Negative

-.090

Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z

.779

Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)

.578

a. Test distribution is Normal.
b. Calculated from data.

Universitas Sumatera Utara

Uji Heterokedastisitas (Uji Glejser)
Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients
Model
1

B
(Constant)

Coefficients

Std. Error

Beta

-.167

.394

Harga Cabai Merah

-5.856E-7

.000

Harga Cabai Rawit

-2.979E-7

Jumlah Penduduk
Pendapatan

t

Sig.
-.425

.674

-.109

-.474

.639

.000

-.040

-.158

.875

1.861E-8

.000

.173

.584

.563

-1.498E-9

.000

-.099

-.366

.716

a. Dependent Variable: ABS

Uji Autokorelasi (Uji Durbin Watson dan Run Test)

Model Summaryb

Model
1

R

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

R Square

.975a

.950

.944

Durbin-Watson

.07207

2.077

a. Predictors: (Constant), Pendapatan, Harga Cabai Merah, Harga Cabai Rawit, Jumlah
Penduduk
b. Dependent Variable: Permintaan Cabai Merah

Runs Test
Unstandardized
Residual
Test Valuea

-.01317

Cases < Test Value

20

Cases >= Test Value

20

Total Cases

40

Number of Runs

23

Z

.481

Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)

.631

a. Median

Universitas Sumatera Utara