SMGR CORP PRESENTATION September 2012 NDR US final
Corporat e Present at ion
Sept ember 2012
THE PROSPECT OF
INDONESIAN CEMENT INDUSTRY
THE PROSPECT OF
INDONESIAN CEMENT INDUSTRY
±
40%
Domestic
Market
(2)
1
INDONESIA’ S CEMENT INDUSTRY: NOW and THE FUTURE
SMGR Corporat e Present at ion
(3)
2
1. SMGR
22. 5 mn t on
- Semen Padang :
6. 4 mn t on
- Semen Gresik :
11. 4 mn t on
- Semen Tonasa :
4. 7 mn t on
2. Semen Andalas
2)
1. 6 mn t on
3. Semen Bat uraj a
1. 3 mn t on
4. Indocement TP
18. 6 mn t on
5. Holcim Indonesia
8. 5 mn t on
6. Semen Bosowa
4. 8 mn t on
7. Semen Kupang
0. 5 mn t on
TOTAL
57. 8 mn ton
CEMENT INDUSTRY AT A GLANCE
•
Design Capacity
: 54. 4 mio tons
57. 8 mio tons
64. 8 mio tons
•
Production Capacity
: 51. 0 mio tons
55. 4 mio tons
61. 2 mio tons
•
Domestic Growth
: 17. 7%
14. 0%
10. 0%
•
Domestic Utilization
: 94%
98%
98%
•
Total Utilization
: 96%
99%
99%
•
Supply
Domestic
: 48. 0 mio tons
54. 7 mio tons
60. 1 mio tons
Export
: 1. 2 mio tons
0. 07 mio tons
0. 15 mio tons
Import
: 1. 8 mio tons
2)1. 0 mio tons
3)1. 75 mio tons
3)1) Based on t he Company’ s f orecast
2) Import ed cement by PT Semen Andal as (1. 0 mio t on) and cl inker by Bosawa and Kupang
3) Import ed cement & cl inker
Singapore Kuala
Lum pur
SMGR
2
2
1
1
3
3
4
4
5
5
1
1
6
6
7
7
THE PLAYERS and CAPACITY (2012
)
SMGR: 22. 5 mio ton
(38% of Industry Cap. )
(4)
DOMESTIC DEMAND VS NATIONAL CAPACITY (2011 – 2017)
‘ 000 t ons
(t housand t ons)
2011
2012F
2013F
2014F
2015F
2016F
2017F
Inst al l ed Capacit y
54, 370
57, 870
64, 870
66, 170
73, 670
83, 470
112, 670
Real Product ion
50, 200
55, 400
61, 200
62, 862
69, 987
79, 297
107, 037
Domest ic Consumpt ion
48, 000
54, 720
60, 192
65, 609
71, 514
77, 950
84, 966
Domest ic Growt h
17. 70%
14%
10%
9%
9%
9%
9%
Surpl us/ (Def icit )
2, 200
680
1, 008
(2, 748)
(1, 528)
1, 346
22, 071
Domest ic Ut il izat ion
96%
99%
98%
100%
100%
98%
79%
Export
1, 200
70
150
-
-
100
5, 000
Tot al Ut il izat ion
98%
99%
99%
100%
100%
98%
84%
40, 000
60, 000
80, 000
100, 000
120, 000
2011
2012F
2013F
2014F
2015F
2016F
2017F
(5)
CEMENT CAPACITY COULD ALMOST DOUBLE IN THE NEXT 5 YEARS
New Cement Capacity from Potential Foreign and Domestic Players (By 2017)
No
Company
Targeted Plant
Location
Capacity
(mn tons)
Investment
(US$ mn)
Remarks + Local Partner
1
Siam Cement (Thail and)
West Java
2. 0
250
Greenf iel d, Sukhabumi
2
CNBM (China)
Cent ral Java
2. 6
350
Greenf iel d, Semen Grobogan
3
Bant en – Zhej iang
Bant en
2. 0
700 (?)
Pl ant rel ocat ion f rm Zhej iang t o Bant en
4
Anhui Conch Cement (China)
- Tanj ung
- Tanah Grogot
- Pont ianak
- West Papua
Various
- Sout h Kal imant an
- East Kal imant an
- West Kal imant an
- West Papua
15. 0
4. 1
4. 1
4. 1
2. 6
2, 350
400
600
600
750
Greenf iel d
Greenf iel d
Greenf iel d
Greenf iel d
Greenf iel d
5
Wil mar (Local )
West Java
1. 5
n. a
Greenf iel d
T O T A L
23. 1
3, 650
New Cement Capacity from Existing Players (2012 – 2017)
No
Company
Targeted Plant
Location
Capacity
(mn tons)
Investment
(US$ mn)
Remarks
1
Semen Gresik Group
Java, Sumat era, Sul awesi
12. 8
1, 500
Upgrading + green/ brownf iel d
2
Indocement
Java, Kal imant an
7. 0
1, 100
Cement Mil l + brown/ greenf iel d
3
Hol cim
East Java
1. 7
400
Greenf iel d
4
Bosowa
Java, Sul awesi
2. 8
300
Cement Mil l + Brownf iel d
5
Semen Andal as
Sumat era
1. 5
556
Greenf iel d
(6)
5
COMPARISON: CEMENT CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA 2011
Source: UBS; Deut sche, Indonesi a Cement Associ at i on
199
kg
kg
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
C
hin
a
S
in
ga
po
re
M
ala
ys
ia
Vie
tn
am
Th
ail
an
d
I n
do
ne
sia
I n
dia
Ph
ilip
in
a
kg/ capit a
(7)
6
Source: Indonesian Cement Associat ion & BPS St at ist ic
Growth
:
1.1%
Growth
:
9.7%
Growth
:
4.2%
Growth
:
1.8%
Growth
:
6.6%
Growth
:
5.8%
Growth
:
19.4%
Domest ic consumpt ion (LHS)
GDP growt h % (RHS)
(mio t ons)
40. 8
48. 0
34. 3
39. 1
27. 2
27. 5
30. 2
31. 5
32. 1
34. 2
38. 1
6. 10%
12. 6%
6. 40%
5. 6%
4. 7%
5. 1%
5. 4%
4. 4%
6. 3%
6. 1%
4. 60%
6. 50%
6. 0%
11. 5%
4. 2%
9. 7%
2. 5%
6. 6%
1. 8%
1. 1%
5. 8%
17. 7%
0. 0
10. 0
20. 0
30. 0
40. 0
50. 0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
8M-12
0. 0%
10. 0%
20. 0%
Cement growt h % (RHS)
(F)
(F)
INDONESIA HAS EXPERIENCED SOLID ECONOMIC AND DOMESTIC CEMENT
CONSUMPTION GROWTH
(8)
21, 0
6, 5
18, 1
1, 0
16, 9
1, 9
20, 0
2, 3
22, 7
3, 0
23, 7
3, 5
23, 7
3, 8
25, 2
5, 0
25, 5
6, 0
26, 9
5, 1
28, 2
6, 0
32, 2
5, 9
32, 8
6, 2
34, 2
6, 6
39, 2
8, 8
21, 0
4, 8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1H-12
Bag Consumpt i on
Bulk Consumpt i on
SO FAR INFRASTRUCTURE EXPANSION HAS BEEN RELATIVELY SLOW
Bag and Bulk cement consumpt ion (million t ons)
7
(9)
DOMESTIC MARKET CONSUMPTION (2011)
Retail (residential) sector is the largest
consumer of cement in Indonesia
Bag
80%
Bulk
20%
Key Drivers of Domestic cement demand:
•
National Economic Growth
•
Favorable Interest Rate Environment
•
Infrastructure Expansion
•
Per Capita Consumption increase from
current low levels
•
Ready-mix (inf rast ruct ure):
±
60%
•
Fabricat or (pre-cast , f iber cement , cement based indust ry):
±
35%
•
Proj ect s (mort ar, render):
±
5%
•
Ready-mix (inf rast ruct ure):
±
60%
•
Fabricat or (pre-cast , f iber cement , cement based indust ry):
±
35%
•
Proj ect s (mort ar, render):
±
5%
•
Housing:
±
90%
•
Cement based indust ry:
±
10%
•
Housing:
±
90%
•
Cement based indust ry:
±
10%
±
±
(10)
9
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT ACCORDING TO MP3EI (2012 – 2017)
Corridor
Road
Railway Track
Harbor
Airport
Length (Km)
Invest
Length (Km)
Invest
Invest
Invest
Sumat era
2, 130
IDR 229 T
1, 067
IDR 70 T
IDR 1 T
IDR 4 T
Java
1, 481
IDR 203 T
336
IDR 25 T
IDR 22 T
IDR 8 T
Kal imant an
735
IDR 18 T
388
IDR 35 T
IDR 0. 5 T
IDR 3 T
Sul awesi
49
IDR 2 T
0
0
IDR 0. 5 T
0
Bal i-NT
10
IDR 2 T
50
IDR 12 T
0
IDR 1 T
Papua Mal uku
1, 535
IDR 53 T
0
0
IDR 55 T
0
Total
5, 940
IDR 507 T
1, 841
IDR 142 T
IDR 79 T
IDR 16 T
Total Investment : IDR 744 T
Road Development Plan 5, 940 Km
Total Investment IDR 507 T
Tol l Road
Lengt h (KM)
Invest
•
Sumat era
382
IDR 229 T
•
Java
1, 481
IDR 203 T
•
Kalimant an
84
IDR 18 T
•
Sulawesi
49
IDR 2 T
•
Bali-NT
10
IDR 2 T
•
Papua Maluku
0
0
Total
2, 006
IDR 387 T
Percentage
76%
Non Tol l Road
Lengt h (KM)
Invest
•
Sumat era
1, 748
IDR 56 T
•
Java
0
0
•
Kalimant an
651
IDR 11 T
•
Sulawesi
0
0
•
Bali-NT
0
0
•
Papua Maluku
1, 535
IDR 53 T
Total
3, 934
IDR 120 T
(11)
MARKET UPDATE
SMGR Corporat e Present at ion
(12)
Region
Population
Cement
Consump-tion (ton)
Cement
Consumpt.
Per Capita
(kg)
1. JAVA
136, 563, 142
21, 996, 688
161
2. SUMATERA
50, 613, 947
9, 690, 931
191
3. SULAWESI &
MALUKU
19, 926, 385
3, 421, 522
172
4. KALIMANTAN
13, 772, 543
2, 833, 018
206
5. BALI & NUSA TENGGARA
13, 067, 599
2, 326, 931
178
6. PAPUA
3, 612, 854
513, 287
142
Tot al Indonesia
237, 556, 470
40, 782, 377
172
MARKET BY GEOGRAPHY & CEMENT CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA
Papua
Bali & N T
Kalimantan
Sulawesi
Population Distribution (2010)
Population Distribution (2010)
Sumatera
21.3%
Java
57.5.%
8.4%
5.8%
5.5%
1.5%
11
REGION
MARKET SHARE (%)
SMGR
INTP
SMCB
BSWA ANDLS BTRJA
KPG
1. JAVA
35. 6
42. 3
20. 1
2. 0
-
-
-2. SUMATERA
44. 4
14. 2
13. 0
3. 0
15. 0
11. 0
-3. SULAWESI
60. 1
15. 4
1. 3
23. 0
-
-
-4. KALIMANTAN
43. 8
30. 7
16. 8
9. 0
-
-
-5. NUSA TENGGR.
32. 5
37. 6
6. 6
16. 1
-
-
8. 0
6. EASTERN IND.
59. 6
17. 2
1. 2
21. 7
-
-TOTAL
INDONESIA
40. 3
32. 4
15. 7
5. 5
3. 2
2. 4
0. 4
SG
SP
ST
1
2
3
4
5
6
23.0%
7.3%
7.0%
5.8%
1.6%
Java
55.2%
Sumatera
Cement Distribution (2011)
Cement Distribution (2011)
(13)
MARKET UPDATE - Cement Consumption 8M2012
*) Source: Indonesia Cement Associat ion, un-audit ed figures *) Source: Indonesia Cement Associat ion, un-audit ed figures
AREA
8M 2012
8M 2011
CHANGE (%)
Jakart a
3,207,483
3,025,229
6.0
Bant en
2,030,276
1,743,273
16.5
West Java
4,997,281
4,441,052
12.5
Cent ral Java
3,816,070
3,339,706
14.3
Yogyakart a
513,188
485,560
5.7
East Java
4,296,595
3,718,259
15.6
Total Java
18,860,892
16,753,079
12.6
Sumat era
7,578,181
7,123,395
6.4
Kal imant an
2,581,785
2,147,580
20.2
Sul awesi
2,492,746
2,198,042
13.4
Nusa Tenggara
1,991,450
1,704,467
16.8
Mal uku & Papua
799,144
545,977
46.4
TOTAL
INDONESIA
34,304,199
30,472,541
12.6
Export Cement
60,690
172,732
(64.9)
Export Cl inker
100,416
607,367
(83.5)
Tot al Export
161,106
780,099
(79.3)
GRAND TOTAL
34,465,305
31,252,640
10.3
8M 2012 – Domest ic Consumpt ion
(mio tons)
DESCRIPTION
8M-12
8M-11
CHANGE (%)
DOMESTIC
13. 8
12. 3
11. 9
- GRESIK *)
- PADANG
- TONASA
6. 9
4. 1
2. 7
6. 2
3. 6
2. 4
11. 2
13. 0
12. 1
EXPORT
0. 04
0. 07
(43. 1)
GRAND TOTAL
13. 8
12. 4
11. 6
Industry Sales Type (mio tons)
1H-12
1H-11
YoY Change
Bag
21. 0 (81%)
18. 4 (82%)
14. 1%
Bul k
4. 8 (19%)
4. 0 (18%)
20. 0%
*) i ncl udi ng
458, 235
t ons cement pr oduct i on f r om Tuban
IV dur i ng commi ssi oni ng per i od of Feb - June 2012
8M 2012 - SMGR Sales Volume
(million tons)
(14)
13
COMPANY PROFILE
SMGR Corporat e Present at ion
(15)
1957 : Inaugurat ion of Gresik I, inst al l ed capacit y of 250, 000 t on cement per annum
1991 : Init ial Publ ic Of f ering, Market Cap. : IDR0. 63t n, resul t ing sharehol ding st ruct ure post IPO:
●
Government of Republ ic of Indonesia: 73%
●
Publ ic: 27%
1995 : Acquisit ion of PT Semen Padang (Persero) and PT Semen Tonasa (Persero)
1998 : Cemex became a st rat egic part ner, Market Cap. : IDR4. 9t n
2006 : Bl ue Val l ey Hol dings bought Cemex’ s 24. 9% st ake in SMGR, Market Cap. : IDR21. 5t n
2010 : In March 31, Bl ue Val l ey Hol dings sol d al l of it s st ake ownership in SMGR, Market Cap per April 30, 2010: IDR72. 1t n
2011 : Tot al inst al l ed capacit y of 20. 00mm t ons, Market Cap per June 29, 2012: IDR67. 0t n
2012 : Target ed t ot al inst al l ed capacit y of 22. 50mm t ons
BRIEF HISTORY
BRIEF HISTORY
SMGR IS THE #1 CEMENT COMPANY IN INDONESIA
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
19
57
-19
70
-19
80
-19
84
19
85
19
86
-19
90
-19
95
19
97
19
98
-20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
SMGR CAPACITY BUILD-OUT (MM TONS)
SMGR CAPACITY BUILD-OUT (MM TONS)
Pre-consol i dat ed capaci t y Pre-consol i dat ed capaci t y
Post -consol i dat ed capaci t y
Based capacit y: 16. 9 mio t ons
Upgrading: 3. 1 mio t ons
Inst alled capacit y: 22. 5 mio t ons (2012)
(16)
15
Public
The Government of the Republic of Indonesia
PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk.
PT Semen Padang
PT Semen Tonasa
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
1OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
1FOCUSES IN CORE BUSINESS
¹ As of Apri l 09, 2010
Four subsidiaries Non-cement producers:
51. 01%
48. 99%
99. 99%
99. 99%
Name
Act ivit ies
% Ownership
1. Igasar
Cement dist ribut ion
12. 00%
2. Sepat im B
General t rading, cement packaging 85. 00%
3. Bima SA
General t rading, cement packaging 80. 00%
4. SUPS
Cement Packaging
10. 00%
Six subsidiaries Non-cement producers:
Name
Act ivit ies
% Ownership
1. UTSG
Limest one & Clay Mining
55. 00%
2. IKSG
Cement Packaging
60. 00%
3. KIG
Indust rial Est at e
65. 00%
4. Swadaya Gra
St eel f abricat ion, cont ract or
25. 00%
5. Varia Usaha
Transport and general t rading
24. 90%
6. Et ernit Gresik
Building mat erials
17. 60%
(17)
Tot al product ion 2011: 19. 8 mn t ons and t arget t ed 2012: 22. 5 mn t ons
Operat e 8 special sea port s: Padang, Tuban, Gresik, Biringkassi, Dumai, Ciwandan, Banyuwangi
and Sorong
19 l arge packing pl ant s: Aceh, Bel awan, Padang, Dumai, Bat am, Ciwandan, Tanj ung Priok, Tuban,
Gresik, Banyuwangi, Banj armasin, Samarinda, Cel ukan Bawang, Tonasa, Makassar, Pal u, Bit ung,
Ambon and Sorong
Support ed by warehouses in al l areas of Java, Bal i, Sumat ra, Kal imant an, Sul awesi and Papua
Nat ionwide dist ribut ion net works: 361 Dist ribut ors
SMGR’s PRODUCTION FACILITIES ARE WELL SUPPORTED BY STRATEGICALLY
LOCATED MARKETING AND DISTRIBUTION FACILITIES
(2012)
T eluk Bayur Sumat era Kalimant an Sulawesi Maluku Papua Lombok Bali Java Bat am Ciwandan
T anj ung Priok Jakart a
Samarinda Banj armasin Palu Bit ung Ambon Makassar Biringkasi Bali T abanan Denpasar Singaraj an DI Yogyakart a
Lempuyangan Jant i Cent ral Java T egal Purwokert o Kudus Magelang Solo/ Palur Alas T uwo Moj opahit Sayung West Java
Serang T angerang Bogor Cibit ung Bandung T asik Malaya Cirebon Narogong Belawan Singapore Kuala Lumpur T uban Surabaya
Cement Plant Packing Plant Port
Warehouse
East Java Margomulyo T anj ung Wangi Bangkalan Swabina Aceh
Pelabuhan T uban
Pelabuhan Gresik
Installed Cap.:
6.5 mn tons
Installed Cap.:
11.5 mn tons
Installed Cap.:
4.5 mn tons
GresikSorong Pont ianak
(18)
PRODUCTION PERFORMANCE
Unit
Cement Product ion
Growt h (%)
•
Semen Gresik
•
Semen Padang
•
Semen Tonasa
5, 143, 351
3, 254, 276
2, 030, 194
11. 5
13. 5
14. 4
TOTAL
10, 427, 821
12. 7
1H-2012
PROGNOSES 2H-2012
Unit
Prognoses Product ion
Growt h (%)
•
Semen Gresik
•
Semen Padang
•
Semen Tonasa
6, 407, 300
3, 292, 850
2, 574, 159
23. 7
3. 0
22. 9
TOTAL
12, 274, 309
16. 3
TARGET 2013
Unit
Cement Product ion
•
Semen Gresik
•
Semen Padang
•
Semen Tonasa
12, 800, 000
6, 500, 000
6, 300, 000
TOTAL
25, 600, 000
17
PROGNOSES 2012
Unit
Prognoses Product ion
Growt h (%)
•
Semen Gresik
•
Semen Padang
•
Semen Tonasa
11, 550, 651
6, 547, 126
4, 604, 353
(19)
FINANCIAL UPDATE
SMGR Corporat e Present at ion
(20)
19
19
FINANCIAL SUMMARY: 1H-2012 RESULTS
Description (Rpbn)
1H2011
1H2012
Change (%)
Revenue
7, 606
8, 658
14
Cost of revenue
4, 110
4, 696
14
Gross profit
3, 496
3, 961
13
Operating expenses
1, 223
1, 364
11
Operating income
2, 301
2, 644
15
Ebitda
2, 528
2, 894
14
Profit attributable to
equity holders of
parent entity (Net
Income)
1, 873
2, 103
12
EPS (full amount)
316
355
12
EBITDA
(Rp billion)
NET INCOME
(Rp billion)
NET INCOME
(Rp billion)
EBITDA Margin
(%)
EBITDA Margin
(%)
1H-08
1H-09
1H-10
1H-11
1H-12
31. 28
31. 45
34. 13
33. 2
33. 4
NET INCOME Margin
(%)
NET INCOME Margin
(%)
1H-08
1H-09
1H-10
1H-11
1H-12
19. 94
22. 37
24. 43
24. 6
24. 3
2.894
2.528
2.273
2.129
1.782
250
650
1.050
1.450
1.850
2.250
2.650
3.050
1H-08
1H-09
1H-10
1H-11
1H-12
2103
1873
1627
1514
1136
200
450
700
950
1200
1450
1700
1950
2200
1H-08
1H-09
1H-10
1H-11
1H-12
Ratio (%)
Formula
1H
2011
1H
2012
Ebitda margin
Ebitda / Revenue
33.2
33.4
Interest coverage (x)
Ebitda / Interest expense
201.1
237.0
Cost ratio
[COGS + Opex] / Revenue
70,1
70,0
Total debt to equity *)
Total debt / Total equity
9.1
15.8
Total debt to asset *)
Total debt / Total asset
6.3
10.44
(21)
EBITDA
(Rp billion)
NET INCOME
(Rp billion)
NET INCOME
(Rp billion)
EBITDA Margin
(%)
EBITDA Margin
(%)
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
25. 6
29. 7
31. 7
33. 2
34. 6
32. 4
NET INCOME Margin
(%)
NET INCOME Margin
(%)
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
14. 8
18. 5
20. 7
23. 1
25. 3
23. 8
4,970
4,773
3,867
2,849
2,234
5.233
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011F
3856
3,633
3,326
2,524
1,775
1,296
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011F
Description
(Rp bn)
FY
2010
1)
FY 2011
Change
(%)
Net Revenue
14, 344
16, 379
14. 2
Cost of Revenue
7, 534
8, 892
18. 0
Gross Profit
6, 810
7, 487
9. 9
Operating Expenses
2, 300
2, 595
12. 8
Operating Income
4, 510
4, 892
8. 5
EBITDA
2)
4, 970
5, 402
8. 7
Net Income
3, 633
3, 925
8. 0
EPS (Rp)
613
662
8. 0
FINANCIAL SUMMARY: FY2011 RESULTS
1)
Restated: related to adaption of IFRS
2)
Based on Operating Income excluded Other Operating Income (Expenses) +
Depreciation & Amortization
(22)
STRONG BALANCE SHEET AND RETURNS
Cash balance (IDR bn)
Tot al debt (IDR bn)
4390
3, 682
3, 846
3, 905
5, 283
1, 945
2, 950
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
1H2012
2, 337
1, 891
686
256
202
251
199
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011 1H2012
* Include short t erm invest ment
Debt / EBIT DA
Ret urn on Asset s
0.35x
0.11x
2.00x
0.04x
0.07x
0.06x
0.13x
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
T he proj ect ed adj ust ed debt / EBIT DA of 2. 0x and
operat ing margin below 20-%23% t o maint ain rat ing
level f rom Moody’ s Invest ors Service.
(23)
50%
50%
55%
50%
50%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Average: 51%
2.2%
3.0%
2.9%
1.5%
JSX
Top-20
*)
INTP
SMCB
SMGR
SMGR DIVIDEND PAY OUT RATIO IN THE LAST 5 YEARS
SMGR DIVIDEND PAY OUT RATIO IN THE LAST 5 YEARS
*): Based on medi an of Top-20 Bi ggest Market Capi t al i zat i on JSX l i st ed compani es i n di vi dend yi el d, excl udi ng Semen Gresi k f or FY2011
2011 DIVIDEND YIELD
1)2011 DIVIDEND YIELD
1)REGULAR DIVIDENDS
REGULAR DIVIDENDS
Key determinants of dividend policy:
•
Historical dividend payout trends
•
Comparison with peers
•
Proj ected cash-flows available for dividends (after taking into account
potential expansionary capex etc)
•
Analyst and investor expectations
•
Shareholder profile
REGULAR DIVIDEND PAYMENTS WITH ATTRACTIVE YIELD
1)shares pri ce
based on cl osi ng pri ce at t he end of year
(24)
23
STRATEGIC PROJECTS
SMGR Corporat e Present at ion
(25)
SMGR LONG TERM STRATEGIC FOCUS
SMGR
SMGR
THE OVERALL
STRATEGY
COMBINES
6
6
CRITICAL
ELEMENTS
1. Undertake Capacity Growth
2. Manage Energy Security
3. Enhance Company Image
4. Move Closer To The Customer
5. Enable Corporate Growth
(26)
25
25
Tuban’s view
Pyroprocessing Tonasa V
Jetty Extension Area
T
u
b
a
n
T
u
b
a
n
T
o
n
a
sa
T
o
n
a
sa
T
o
n
a
sa
T
o
n
a
sa
ESP Power Plant
CEMENT PLANTS & POWER PLANT PROJECTS
These st rat egic proj ect s wil l ensure sust ainabil it y of
t he Company’ s market l eadership
Preheater Tuban IV
Raw M ill Dept. Tonasa V
New Plants
Location
Capacity
(mn tons)
Investment
(US$ mn)
Construction
Start
Completed
Java 1
3. 0
355
2009
Apr 2012
Sulawesi
3. 0
315
2009
Oct 2012
Sumat era
3. 0
352
2012
Q4-2015
Java 2
3. 0
403
2012
Q2-2016
Sub Total
12. 0
1, 425
Power Plants
Location
Capacity
(MW)
Investment
(US$ mn)
Construction
Start
Completed
Sulawesi
2 x 35
114
2010
May 2013
(27)
Progress of Tonasa V Cement Plant Proj ect
•
Capacit y: 3. 0 mio t ons of cement
•
Est imat ed Invest ment cost : USD315 million
•
Proj ect complet ion: 99%
•
Some main equipment s such as Cement
Grinding and Packaging (Packer) has been
operat ed (commissioning) since May 2012
•
Fire on: Sept ember 16
t h
, 2012
•
Commissioning: Sept ember – December 2012
Progress of Tuban IV Cement Plant Proj ect
•
Capacit y: 3. 0 mio t ons of cement
•
Invest ment cost : USD355 million
•
Fire on: April 2012
•
Commissioning periode: April - June 2012
Preheater Tonasa V
Preheater Tuban IV
PROGRESS OF CEMENT & POWER PLANT PROJECTS – August 31, 2012
Progress of Power Plant Proj ect - Tonasa
•
Capacit y: 2 x 35 MW
•
Est imat ed Invest ment cost : USD114 million
•
Proj ect progress: 92%
(28)
DESIGN CAPACITY (Mio Ton)
27
17. 1
18. 0
19. 0
19. 0
20. 2
New
Capacity
New
Capacity
27. 2
25. 9
22. 5
32. 8
30. 3
Existing +
Upgrading
(29)
CAPEX PLANNING PROFILE (2012 – 2016)
Uses of f unds
Det ailed capex schedule (US$ mm)
STRATEGIC
Capacit y Expansion
1, 008
Dist ribut ion Facil it y
323
Power Pl ant s
31
De-bot t l enecking
133
Energy Conservat ion
163
Ready Mix Business
22
Human Capit al Mast er Pl an & ICT
14
Ot hers
43
NON STRATEGIC
Keep Perf ormance
465
Ef f iciency Improvement
39
Mandat ory
49
(30)
CONCLUSION: WHY SMGR?
SMGR Corporat e Present at ion
(31)
SMGR’s COMPARATIVE & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE HAS DRIVEN SMGR TO BE
THE MARKET LEADER IN INDONESIA
Out st anding performance Experienced
management t eam
Conservat ive capit al st ruct ure
and financial policies
Robust cash flow generat ion
Out st anding business performance
Favorable indust ry
out look
Outstanding business performance
–
Leading cement pl ayer in Indonesia wit h over 41% market share based on
sal es vol ume f or 2010 and approximat el y 37% share of t ot al inst al l ed
cement capacit y (Source: Indonesia Cement Associat ion (“ ASI” ))
–
St rat egical l y l ocat ed pl ant s proximat e t o key market s t hroughout t he
count ry
–
Subst ant ial growt h opport unit ies t hrough expansion and opt imizat ion
–
Superior dist ribut ion net work and st rong brands recognit ion
–
Long-t erm access t o raw mat erial s f or cement product ion and coal f or f uel
consumpt ion
–
Concerns on environment al and Corporat e Social Responsibil it y programs t o
ensure sust ainabl e growt h.
Favourable industry outlook
–
Cement consumpt ion pret t y much in-l ine wit h Indonesian economic growt h
–
Real est at e and inf rast ruct ure proj ect s and decl ining int erest rat es key
demand drivers
–
High barriers t o ent ry (pl ant , dist ribut ion and brand invest ment cost s)
–
Discipl ined invest ment on suppl y side
Robust cash flow generation
–
Hist orical l y st rong revenue, margin and price t rends
–
High pl ant ut il izat ion and st rong f ocus on cost and revenue management
Conservative capital structure and financial policies
–
[ Invest ment grade-l ike credit met rics]
–
Conservat ive capit al st ruct ure pol icy; l ow use of l everage
–
Access t o capit al market s f or expansion init iat ives
Experienced management team
–
Experienced and successf ul management t eam
(32)
31
31
Main Office:
Main Building of Semen Gresik
Jln. Veteran Gresik 61122 –
Indonesia
Phone: (62-31) 3981731 -2, 3981745
Fax: (62-31) 3983209, 3972264
Representative Office:
Gedung The East, 18
thFloor,
Jln. Lingkar Mega Kuningan Kav. E3.2 No. 1,
Jakarta 12950 – Indonesia
Phone : (62-21) 5261174 – 5
Fax
: (62-21) 5261176
www.semengresik.com
THANK YOU
THANK YOU
IMPORTANT NOTICE
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF, AND IS NOT MADE IN CONNECTION WITH, ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SUBSCRIPTION OF OR SOLICITATION, RECOMMENDATION OR INVITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT, COMMITMENT OR INVESTMENT DECISION WHATSOEVER.
THE SLIDES USED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND HAVE BEEN PREPARED AS A SUPPORT FOR ORAL DISCUSSIONS ONLY. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS BEING PRESENTED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON, IN WHOLE OR IN PART.
This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and forecast about future events. Such statements involve known / unknown risks uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated. Such factors include, among others:
● economic, social and political conditions in Indonesia, and the impact such conditions have on construction and infrastructure spending in Indonesia;
● the effects of competition;
● the effects of changes in laws, regulations, taxation or accounting standards or practices;
● acquisitions, divestitures and various business opportunities that we may pursue;
● changes or volatility in inflation, interest rates and foreign exchange rates;
● accidents, natural disasters or outbreaks of infectious diseases, such as avian influenza, in our markets;
● labor unrest or other similar situations; and
● the outcome of pending or threatened litigation.
We can give no assurance that our expectations will be attained.
DISCLAIMER
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents make any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof.
We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claim, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a result of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omission or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission therefrom which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed.
(1)
26
Progress of Tonasa V Cement Plant Proj ect
•
Capacit y: 3. 0 mio t ons of cement
•
Est imat ed Invest ment cost : USD315 million
•
Proj ect complet ion: 99%
•
Some main equipment s such as Cement
Grinding and Packaging (Packer) has been
operat ed (commissioning) since May 2012
•
Fire on: Sept ember 16
t h
, 2012
•
Commissioning: Sept ember – December 2012
Progress of Tuban IV Cement Plant Proj ect
•
Capacit y: 3. 0 mio t ons of cement
•
Invest ment cost : USD355 million
•
Fire on: April 2012
•
Commissioning periode: April - June 2012
Preheater Tonasa V
Preheater Tuban IV
PROGRESS OF CEMENT & POWER PLANT PROJECTS – August 31, 2012
Progress of Power Plant Proj ect - Tonasa
•
Capacit y: 2 x 35 MW
•
Est imat ed Invest ment cost : USD114 million
•
Proj ect progress: 92%
(2)
DESIGN CAPACITY (Mio Ton)
27
17. 1
18. 0
19. 0
19. 0
20. 2
New
Capacity
New
Capacity
27. 2
25. 9
22. 5
32. 8
30. 3
Existing +
Upgrading
(3)
28
CAPEX PLANNING PROFILE (2012 – 2016)
Uses of f unds
Det ailed capex schedule (US$ mm)
STRATEGIC
Capacit y Expansion
1, 008
Dist ribut ion Facil it y
323
Power Pl ant s
31
De-bot t l enecking
133
Energy Conservat ion
163
Ready Mix Business
22
Human Capit al Mast er Pl an & ICT
14
Ot hers
43
NON STRATEGIC
Keep Perf ormance
465
Ef f iciency Improvement
39
Mandat ory
49
(4)
CONCLUSION: WHY SMGR?
SMGR Corporat e Present at ion
(5)
30
30
30
SMGR’s COMPARATIVE & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE HAS DRIVEN SMGR TO BE
THE MARKET LEADER IN INDONESIA
Out st anding performance Experienced
management t eam
Conservat ive capit al st ruct ure
and financial policies
Robust cash flow generat ion Out st anding
business performance
Favorable indust ry
out look
Outstanding business performance
–
Leading cement pl ayer in Indonesia wit h over 41% market share based on
sal es vol ume f or 2010 and approximat el y 37% share of t ot al inst al l ed
cement capacit y (Source: Indonesia Cement Associat ion (“ ASI” ))
–
St rat egical l y l ocat ed pl ant s proximat e t o key market s t hroughout t he
count ry
–
Subst ant ial growt h opport unit ies t hrough expansion and opt imizat ion
–
Superior dist ribut ion net work and st rong brands recognit ion
–
Long-t erm access t o raw mat erial s f or cement product ion and coal f or f uel
consumpt ion
–
Concerns on environment al and Corporat e Social Responsibil it y programs t o
ensure sust ainabl e growt h.
Favourable industry outlook
–
Cement consumpt ion pret t y much in-l ine wit h Indonesian economic growt h
–
Real est at e and inf rast ruct ure proj ect s and decl ining int erest rat es key
demand drivers
–
High barriers t o ent ry (pl ant , dist ribut ion and brand invest ment cost s)
–
Discipl ined invest ment on suppl y side
Robust cash flow generation
–
Hist orical l y st rong revenue, margin and price t rends
–
High pl ant ut il izat ion and st rong f ocus on cost and revenue management
Conservative capital structure and financial policies
–
[ Invest ment grade-l ike credit met rics]
–
Conservat ive capit al st ruct ure pol icy; l ow use of l everage
–
Access t o capit al market s f or expansion init iat ives
Experienced management team
–
Experienced and successf ul management t eam
Strengths of SMGR
(6)
31
31
Main Office:
Main Building of Semen Gresik
Jln. Veteran Gresik 61122 –
Indonesia
Phone: (62-31) 3981731 -2, 3981745
Fax: (62-31) 3983209, 3972264
Representative Office:
Gedung The East, 18
thFloor,
Jln. Lingkar Mega Kuningan Kav. E3.2 No. 1,
Jakarta 12950 – Indonesia
Phone : (62-21) 5261174 – 5
Fax
: (62-21) 5261176
www.semengresik.com
THANK YOU
THANK YOU
IMPORTANT NOTICE
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF, AND IS NOT MADE IN CONNECTION WITH, ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SUBSCRIPTION OF OR SOLICITATION, RECOMMENDATION OR INVITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT, COMMITMENT OR INVESTMENT DECISION WHATSOEVER.
THE SLIDES USED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND HAVE BEEN PREPARED AS A SUPPORT FOR ORAL DISCUSSIONS ONLY. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION IS BEING PRESENTED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON, IN WHOLE OR IN PART.
This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and forecast about future events. Such statements involve known / unknown risks uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated. Such factors include, among others:
● economic, social and political conditions in Indonesia, and the impact such conditions have on construction and infrastructure spending in Indonesia;
● the effects of competition;
● the effects of changes in laws, regulations, taxation or accounting standards or practices;
● acquisitions, divestitures and various business opportunities that we may pursue;
● changes or volatility in inflation, interest rates and foreign exchange rates;
● accidents, natural disasters or outbreaks of infectious diseases, such as avian influenza, in our markets;
● labor unrest or other similar situations; and
● the outcome of pending or threatened litigation.
We can give no assurance that our expectations will be attained.
DISCLAIMER
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents make any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof.
We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claim, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a result of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omission or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission therefrom which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed.