Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan
Daily Price Action th
Tuesday, 19 February 2019 Market Review
IHSG (+1.70%) ditutup menguat 108.73 poin kelevel 6497.82 dengan Investor asing yang kembali tercatat net sell sebesar 147.03 miliar rupiah meskipun rupiah bergerak cenderung menguat 0.33% kelevel Rp14.107 per USD. Indeks industri dasar (+2.93%) dan Infrastruktur (+2.46%) menjadi pemimpin penguatan. Sedangkan saham-saham yang menjadi kontributor penguatan IHSG diantaran BBCA (+2.24%) dan HMSP (+2.97%). Saham-saham perbankkan menjadi pemimpin ditengah optimisme pertumbuhan kredit yang kembali diatas 12%. Meskipun secara fundamental BBCA mempunyai PBV cukup tinggi dari perusahaan sejenis dengan PBV 4.70x dengan rata-rata PBV perusahaan sejenis sebesar 2.88x. Leader: BBCA, HMSP, ASII, TLKM, UNVR Laggard: JPFA, TPIA, BNLI, RODA, LPPF
IHSG secara teknikal bergerak melompat dengan pola bullish separating line dengan kembali kuat diatas level 6400. IHSG mampu break out MA20 dan indikator stochastic golden-cross pada momentum bullish reversal indikator RSI memberikan harapan penguatan lanjutan dengan support resistance 6474-6570. Saham-saham yang masih dapat dicermati diantaranya TBLA, LSIP, AALI, INKP, TKIM, WSBP, ICBP, BBCA, BBTN, ASII, MEDC, INCO, ERAA Indeks Nikkei (+0.01%) dan TOPIX (+0.13%) dibuka mixed. Seakan mayoritas indeks membuka signal pelemahan dengan mulai masuknya pada wilayah overbought. Perdagangan terus mendominasi pasar global ketika AS dan China berlomba untuk mencapai kesepakatan yang akan mencegah kenaikan tarif barang-barang Cina pada 1 Maret dan spekulasi mengenai batas waktu yang diperpanjang oleh Trump. Sentimen dari tensi perdagangan kembali mencuat kali ini dengan Eropa dimana Trump menerima temuan penyelidikan apakah kendaraan impor menimbulkan ancaman keamanan nasional, kemungkinan tarif otomatis telah dihidupkan kembali. Trump memiliki 90 hari setelah secara resmi menerima laporan untuk memutuskan apakah akan bertindak. Harga minyak WTI (+0.56%) kembali menguat ditutup pada level $55.90 perbarrel.
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Analyst:
Lanjar Nafi lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com
- +62 21 5790 5455 ext. 214
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1
- Candlestick membentuk pola
- Stop-loss
- Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
- Support
- Resistance
- Stop-loss
- Target Price
- Above the stomach candlestick
: 10800
: 2500
: 2680-2820
: 2430-2530
Stochastic berpotensi membentuk pola golden-cross dengan indicator RSI yang bullish reversal momentum.
out support
pattern dengan indikasi melanjutkan penguatan menguji resistance MA200 dan MA50
: 12700-12850 SPECULATIVE BUY TKIM Analisis :
: 12400-14100
: 9350-11000
area oversold dengan potensi golden-cross. RSI bullish reversal momentum.
jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support
bullish harami dengan indikasi rebound menguji MA50, MA200 dan MA20 sebagai target resistance
Analisis :
- Stop-loss jika harga saham break
- Indikator
- Support
- Resistance
- Stop-loss
- Target Price
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: 2670 SPECULATIVE BUY BBTN
- Pergerakan harga saham whipsaw
- Stop-loss
- Indikator stochastic bergerak
: 1800-1980
area oversold dengan indikasi pola golden-cross dan RSI yang mulai terlihat bullish reversal momentum.
jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support MA200
pada support MA200 dengan potensi menguji FR61,8% yang bertepatan dengan bearish trend line.
INCO Analisis :
: 4000 SPECULATIVE BUY
: 3490
: 3890-4220
: 3200-3520
positif setelah golden-cross pada area oversold dengan momentum RSI yang cukup rendah.
jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support MA200
pada level MA200 dengan indikasi menguat menguji upper Bollinger bands.
Analisis :
- Support
- Resistance
- Stop-loss
- Target Price
SPECULATIVE BUY PTPP
- Pergerakan harga saham rebound
- Stop-loss
- Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
- Resistance : 2270-2460
- Stop-loss : 1950
- Target Price : 2270-2400
- Support
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Daily Price Action LS-27 Index
Support Support Resist ance Resist ance Target Ticker Last Price Not e Rat ing St op-loss
2
1
1
2
Price Agricult ure TBLA 750 810 880 885 955 Bullish separating line SB 850 955 AALI 12,750 13,575 13,750 14,350 15,000 Break out resistance SB 13,500 14,350 SSMS 1,050 1,115 1,150 1,180 2,250 Consolidations W 1,100 Basic Indust ry TKIM 9,325 10,900 11,425 12,350 14,150 Bullish harami SB 11,000 12,700INKP 10,700 11,700 11,875 13,000 14,440 Bullish harami SB 10,600 CPIN 6,700 7,200 7,600 8,000 8,850 Whipsaw MA50 SB 7,500 8,000 Consumer GGRM 80,700 84,500 85,000 88,000 92,000 Break out upper bound H 84,400 88,000 HOKI 580 620 665 675 720 Tweezers bottom TB 640 720
ICBP 9,800 10,450 10,550 11,400 12,300 Consolidations TB 10,400 11,400 UNVR 47,100 49,000 49,425 51,400 53,000 Consolidations H 48,800 51,400 Finance BBRI 3,550 3,750 3,840 3,940 4,100 Rebounded at Ma50 TB 3,800 3,940 BBNI 8,200 8,650 8,975 9,100 9,525 Stoch golden-cross B 8,900 9,525 BBCA 25,800 26,800 27,400 28,275 29,750 Bullish kicker signal B 27,000 28,275 Infrast ruct ure TOWR 750 770 840 850 910 Consolidations PS 840 PGAS 2,250 2,410 2,510 2,600 2,720 Consolidations TB 2,480 2,600 Misc. Indust ry SRIL 300 322 338 340 350 Stoch golden-cross SB 330 350 ASII 7,500 7,800 7,875 8,100 8,500 Bullish kicker signal B 7,700 8,100 Mining PTBA 3,630 3,870 3,980 4,170 4,480 Bullish homing pigeon SB 3,950 4,170
ITMG 19,350 20,500 21,100 22,000 23,000 Stoch golden-cross SB 20,800 22,000 ADRO 1,130 1,215 1,245 1,310 1,400 Stoch golden-cross TB 1,210 1,310 Propert y LPCK 2,300 2,400 2,600 2,650 2,880 Consolidations W 2,500 WSKT 1,515 1,680 1,750 1,850 2,070 Oversold W 1,670 PWON 595 625 660 660 700 Whipsaw MA50 TB 620 700 Trading UNTR 24,000 25,425 26,150 27,000 28,500 Whipsaw at support SB 25,400 27,000 SCMA 1,600 1,700 1,760 1,800 1,900 Break out MA5 TB 1,710 1,900 LPPF 4,890 5,325 5,925 6,000 7,000 Break out support W 5,300 ERAA 1,600 1,875 2,040 2,100 2,400 Bullish kicker signal SB 2,000 2,210 Tuesday, 19 February 2019 Equity Technical Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com Disclaimer on
Analyst Conclusions: The Index has reached the wave 3. Legend : B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary) H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute) PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability) TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
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LIN K.JK 4,500 4,210 4,310 4,500 4,320 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
ICBP.JK 10,700 10,550 10,375 10,700 10,525 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IMAS.JK 3,330 3,290 3,120 3,330 3,230 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
IMJS.jk 915 760 700 785 740 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IN CO.JK 4,020 3,650 3,480 3,720 3,630 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IN DF.JK 7,800 7,625 7,425 7,800 7,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IN DY.JK 2,240 1,785 2,110 1,995 1,825 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
IN KP.JK 13,300 11,875 12,500 12,700 11,900 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
IN TP.JK 20,200 18,375 19,000 19,100 18,500 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper
ITMG.JK 22,400 21,100 21,000 21,675 21,100 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under JPFA.JK 2,970 2,500 2,680 2,970 2,720 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper
JRPT.JK 675 600 585 645 605 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper
JSMR.JK 5,175 5,100 4,910 5,125 5,025 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
KLBF.JK 1,625 1,575 1,550 1,600 1,590 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
LPCK.JK 2,910 2,600 2,300 2,860 2,640 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper LPKR.JK 318 278 280 298 284 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under
3,850 3,810 3,690 3,820 3,760 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper H OKI.JK
LPPF.JK 7,050 5,925 5,600 7,025 6,250 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under
LSIP.JK 1,460 1,355 1,330 1,450 1,390 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
MAIN .JK 1,915 1,780 1,575 1,915 1,720 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
MAPI.JK 1,040 1,075 1,000 1,110 1,030 Neutral Bearish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper
MCAS.JK 3,610 3,590 3,310 3,730 3,550 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MDIA.JK 160 142 120 160 150 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under
MEDC.JK 995 1,020 905 1,020 960 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
META.JK 220 212 208 214 212 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
MIKA.JK 1,920 1,870 1,700 1,920 1,815 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
MN CN .JK 885 955 810 970 840 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper
MYOR.JK 2,710 2,620 2,550 2,700 2,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under
PBID.JK 1,110 1,065 1,050 1,100 1,075 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
PGAS.JK 2,640 2,510 2,310 2,530 2,440 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
Source : Reliance Research T icke r
730 665 660 720 680 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under H RUM.JK 1,860 1,430 1,700 1,565 1,480 Oversold Bearish Oversold Middle Bands Under Under Under
83,800 85,000 80,175 86,800 82,125 Overbought Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper GMFI.JK 296 234 234 278 242 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under H MSP.JK
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785 740 585 785 720 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBCA.JK 28,750 27,400 27,475 27,650 27,025 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BBN I.JK
Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal
18/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI
B. Band
20 Days
50 Days 200 Days AALI.JK
14,200 13,750 12,975 13,800 13,475 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACES.JK 1,810 1,720 1,730 1,810 1,720 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper ACST.JK
1,800 1,645 1,510 1,800 1,655 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under ADH I.JK
1,840 1,520 1,550 1,665 1,555 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under ADRO.JK 1,415 1,245 1,240 1,300 1,245 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under AGII.JK
680 630 635 690 645 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper AKRA.JK
4,800 5,675 5,150 5,850 5,425 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper AMRT.JK 830 850 815 880 825 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper AN TM.JK
1,040 995 935 1,040 995 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ARN A.JK
496 486 450 496 486 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ASII.JK 8,500 7,875 8,225 8,000 7,650 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASRI.JK
376 336 332 356 336 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASSA.JK
9,075 8,975 8,650 9,075 8,775 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BBRI.JK
434 384 350 398 388 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper GGRM.JK
3,950 3,840 3,750 3,900 3,840 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBTN .JK 2,860 2,560 2,620 2,680 2,530 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BDMN .JK
9,200 9,175 9,100 9,200 9,175 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BEST.JK
264 252 240 266 256 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BFIN .JK 695 670 650 695 660 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BIRD.JK
3,250 3,030 3,000 3,200 3,110 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BISI.JK
1,480 1,410 1,390 1,470 1,410 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BJBR.JK 2,450 2,050 2,130 2,150 2,050 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BMRI.JK
7,675 7,275 7,050 7,675 7,225 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BN GA.JK
1,280 1,270 1,145 1,280 1,200 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BN LI.JK 1,185 1,220 1,030 1,280 1,090 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BRPT.JK
2,600 2,930 2,390 2,940 2,540 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BSDE.JK
1,445 1,300 1,295 1,365 1,330 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BTPN .JK 4,000 3,700 3,710 3,880 3,750 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper CPIN .JK
8,400 7,600 7,275 7,625 7,475 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper CTRA.JK
1,000 900 865 935 905 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under DILD.JK 338 320 320 336 322 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper DMAS.JK
224 206 195 210 208 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper DOID.JK
670 585 570 610 590 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under ERAA.JK 2,410 2,040 2,260 2,170 2,050 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ESSA.JK
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2,040 2,010 1,980 2,040 2,020 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SMGR.JK 12,775 12,500 12,200 12,775 12,300 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper SMRA.JK 990 880 950 965 895 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper SRIL.JK
2,040 1,750 1,830 1,975 1,800 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under Source : Reliance Research
1,945 1,645 1,835 1,830 1,700 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper WOOD.JK 735 715 580 730 715 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WSBP.JK 420 372 384 404 384 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper WSKT.JK
26,775 26,150 24,250 26,225 25,500 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under UN V R.JK 50,050 49,425 48,875 49,700 48,600 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WEGE.JK 342 308 292 334 320 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WIKA.JK
860 840 760 865 820 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TPIA.JK 5,700 5,475 5,400 5,700 5,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ULTJ.JK 1,270 1,210 1,200 1,220 1,215 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper UN TR.JK
990 880 845 930 880 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper TIN S.JK 1,430 1,520 1,270 1,615 1,340 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper TKIM.JK 13,950 11,425 13,000 12,850 11,575 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under TLKM.JK 3,940 3,900 3,780 3,920 3,800 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOTL.JK 650 620 600 640 630 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOWR.JK
350 338 328 344 340 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SSMS.JK 1,200 1,150 1,165 1,190 1,165 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under TBIG.JK 4,830 4,540 4,610 4,720 4,600 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper TBLA.JK
4,150 3,530 3,160 4,150 3,680 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under SIMP.JK 530 496 490 510 498 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under SMBR.JK 1,680 1,510 1,500 1,590 1,520 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SMCB.JK
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1,855 1,760 1,790 1,840 1,760 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SGRO.JK 2,420 2,300 2,210 2,350 2,340 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SIDO.jk 840 830 805 835 815 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SILO.JK
650 660 630 660 650 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper RALS.JK 1,855 1,805 1,615 1,855 1,815 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ROTI.JK 1,240 1,200 1,195 1,230 1,210 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper SCMA.JK
50 Days 200 Days PN BN .JK 1,450 1,565 1,315 1,580 1,385 Overbought Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper PTBA.JK 4,470 3,980 4,220 4,310 4,040 Oversold Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under PTPP.JK 2,370 2,060 2,210 2,270 2,070 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper PWON .JK
20 Days
B. Band
18/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI
Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal
T icke r Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic
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