Analisis Permintaan dan Penawaran Kentang Di Provinsi Sumatra Utara

ABSTRAK

BOANERGES P SIPAYUNG. Analisis Permintaan dan Penawaran Kentang di
Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Dibimbing oleh Prof. Dr. Ir. Kelin Tarigan, MS dan Dr. Ir.
Rahmanta Ginting, M.Si.
Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah menganalisis faktor- faktor yang
mempengaruhi permintaan kentang di Provinsi Sumatra Utara dan untuk
menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi penawaran kentang di Provinsi
Sumatra Utara. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series per dua bulan dimulai
dari tahun 2003 sampai 2012. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi
berganda dengan model OLS ( Ordinary Least Square)
Dari hasil estimasi permintaan dan penawaran
secara statistik dan
ekonometrik hasil regresi dapat digunakan sebagai model permintaan dan penawaran
kentang di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Secara ekonomi semua variabel yang digunakan
sesuai dengan teori. Hasil dari model permintaan bahwa harga kentang, konsumsi
rumah tangga, harga ubi kayu dan jumlah penduduk berpengaruh signifikan terhadap
permintaan kentang di Provinsi Sumatra Utara. Hasil analisis penawaran bahwa harga
kentang, harga ubi kayu dan luas panen berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penawaran
kentang di Provinsi Sumatra Utara.
Kata Kunci: permintaan, penawaran, OLS, kentang, hortikultura.


Universitas Sumatera Utara

ABSTRACT

BOANERGES P SIPAYUNG. Analysis determine the factor that influence the
demand and supply of potatoes in North of Sumatra. Supervised by Prof. Kelin
Tarigan, MS as a chairman and Dr.Ir. Rahmanta Ginting, M.Si as a member.
The aim of this research is to analyze the factors that affect the demand of
potatoes in North of Sumatra and analyze the factors that affect the supply of potatoes
in North of Sumatra. The data that used is data time series two monthly starting from
2003 until 2012. The analytical method used is the linear multiple regression that
used model OLS ( Ordinary Least Square) using eviews 8.0.
The analysis of demand and supply of Potatoes in Province North of Sumatra
can be used as model of demand and supply of potatoes in Province of North
Sumatra. Data used in this study is time series data two monthly that started 2003
until 2012. Method of analysis used is linear multiple analysis with model OLS
(Ordinary Least Square).
The result of research as statistic and econometric can be used as model of
supply and demand of potatoes in North Sumatra. All of the variable that used in this

research are suitable with theory. The analysis indicated the price of potatoes,
consumption of household, price of cassava and population take effect on demand of
potatoes in North Sumatra significantly. The analysis of supply indicated price of
potatoes, price of cassava and harvested area take effect on supply of potatoes in
North Sumatra significantly
Keywords : demand, supply, OLS, potatoes, horticulture.

Universitas Sumatera Utara