Long road to good health

Analyst

 Plenty of upside, but there are challenges

Edward Tanuwijaya +6221 3003 4932 [email protected]

 Scarcity driven valuation

Maynard ARIF +6221 3003 4930

 Prefer pharmaceuticals over healthcare services [email protected]

Universal healthcare plan – the game changer.

Indonesia’s healthcare expenditure is among the lowest

in the region, at only 2.7% of GDP in 2012. The introduction of the universal healthcare plan (JKN)

starting in 2014 is expected to change the sector’s

outlook in the long run. JKN calls for 100% healthcare

STOCKS

coverage for all Indonesians by 2019. This structural change should drive Indonesia’s healthcare spending

Price Mkt Cap Target Price Performance (%)

growth ahead, and be higher than 12% CAGR.

Plenty of upside, but there are challenges. Rating There is

substantial upside for the healthcare sector, driven by

Kalbe Farma

13.5 38.2 BUY

under-spending in healthcare, rising income,

Kimia Farma

16.6 6.7 NOT RATED

infrastructure deficiency and growing insurance NOT RATED

Tempo Scan Pacific

Sido Muncul

(9.1) N.A NOT RATED

industry. Nevertheless, we identified some key

Siloam

37.5 N.A FULLY VALUED

challenges, in particular the lack of government

Sarana Meditama

N.A 9.3 37.5 NOT RATED

funding, low participation from the private sector and

N.A 6.8 (15.8) NOT RATED

lack of appropriate infrastructure to support this major

Source: DBS Vickers, Bloomberg Finance L.P

change in the healthcare system.

Prefer pharmaceuticals over healthcare services.

Direct beneficiaries are pharmaceuticals and healthcare services sectors. Pharmaceutical producers procuring generic medicines would see volumes surge but slight margin pressure will be inevitable. Healthcare services players, on the other hand, face larger risks, both operational (a cap on implementation of INA–CBG standard rates for health services) and financial (capital intensive business). Both sectors currently trade at premium valuations driven by lack of options, but we prefer pharmaceuticals over healthcare services. Pharmaceuticals offers better returns and more stable cash flows. Top pick is Kalbe Farma (KLBF).

www.dbsvickers.com

ed: JS / sa: MA

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Table of Contents

Analysts

Edward Tanuwijaya (6221) 3003 4932 Highlights 3 [email protected]

Indonesia healthcare industry overview

Maynard Arif (6221) 3003 4930 [email protected]

 Acutely low healthcare sector spending

 Private expenditure remains as major

contributor 4

Healthcare reform on its way

 Universal healthcare plan – the game

changer 6  Thailand’s success story as a benchmark

Pharmaceuticals and hospitals sector to reap the benefits 8

 Generic drugs – the low hanging fruit for

pharmaceutical companies

 Striving for adequate healthcare service

coverage 9  Potential repatriation of Indonesian pationes 10 Prefer pharmaceuticals over hospitals sector

APPENDIX 12

 Healthcare services players summary

 Pharmaceuticals players summary

 Pharmaceuticals valuation

 Hospitals valuation

 BPJS participants classification

 Hospital beds facility allotment

 JCI accredited hospitals in Indonesia

 Hospital bed shortage analysis

 Regulations for pharmaceuticals sector

 Regulations for hospital sector

 Negative investment list changes

Stock profiles

Page 2

Industry Focus

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Highlights

Universal coverage – game changer in long term. We requirement of number of beds. Moreover, lack of of expect structural shift in Indonesia's healthcare sector in the

healthcare coverage also reduces affordability in accessing long run with the introduction of universal healthcare plans

hospital services.

(JKN) since early 2014 due to several reasons: On the flip side, there are challenges that will restrict the  Acutely low healthcare spending at only 2.7% of 2012

growth opportunities in the private healthcare service industry GDP, among the lowest in the Asia Pacific region.

in the near term: high capital requirement to set up  JKN’s roadmap targets 100% healthcare coverage for

hospitals.and cap rate on healthcare service charges (based on all Indonesians healthcare by 2019.

INA-CBG) as defined in Health Ministry regulation no.  Favorable demographics: rising middle to upper class

population (from 97.5m people (or 41% of population) in 2002 to 151.3m (or 61% of population) in 2013,

Premium valuations justified. Defensive sectors in general defined as both Emerging Consumer Class and

command premium valuations, especially in a volatile market. Consumer Class on World Bank studies), urbanisation,

Moreover, the additional boost in the Indonesian market is and improving affordability.

driven by scarcity premium as there are limited choices for investors based on market cap and liquidity.

Chill and relax in the near term. Despite the positive long term structural shift, we are more cautious in the near term as

KLBF performance during correction we believe there are challenges in JKN’s implementation.

JCI Index

KLBF

 Funding could potentially be an issue with low budget on

healthcare.

 Slow progress in infrastructure development to 130

accomodate JKN’s registration process and logistics.

 Low participation from the private sector on healthcare

services.

Pharmaceutical sector: more sustainable growth. The

pharmaceutical industry is well established and has been

growing at a CAGR of 8.7% in the past four years. Business Monitor International (BMI) expect slightly stronger growth

Source: Bloomber Finance L.P.

(c.9% p.a.) for the next four years to reach Rp89.3tr by 2017.

Strategy and stock picks. Direct beneficiaries of JKN The industry will directly benefit from the boost in healthcare

implementation are pharmaceutical and healthcare services spending primarily generic drugs. Generic drugs is set to grow

sectors. We prefer pharmaceuticals over healthcare services as faster than the overall industry at c.12% CAGR in the same

pharmaceuticals players offer better returns and more stable period with the implementation of JKN. Hence, local players

cash flows. We upgraded Kalbe Farma to BUY (from HOLD) will benefit more as they dominate the generic segment and

with a new TP of Rp1,900 (offering 16% upside). We also key players are Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ), Kimia Farma (KAEF), Indo initiated coverage on Siloam Hospitals with FULLY VALUED call Farma (INAF), Hexpharm (non-listed), and Dexa Medica (non-

and TP of Rp12,750.

listed).

Where things can be different

Healthcare services: Plenty of upside but accompanied

Better and faster JKN implementation by risks. There is substantial upside for healthcare services due 

Increased budget allocation towards healthcare sector to lack of supply. Indonesia’s bed ratio per 10,000 population

Better than expected macro outlook in Indonesia at 10.9 is well below ASEAN’s average of 15.7. Our analysis

shows that at least 20 provinces fell short in terms of

Page 3

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Indonesia healthcare industry overview

Acutely low healthcare sector spending

Moreover, according to recently issued President Instruction Indonesia’s healthcare expenditure was an inadequate 2.7% of

(Inpres) no. 4/2014 on 19May2014 and the state budget GDP in 2012, despite growing at 12% CAGR for the past 5

revision, the Health Ministry’s budget is cut by as part of the years. This figure is one of lowest in the region and below

government’s streamlining measures to save c.Rp43tr in order ASEAN countries’s average of 4%.

to keep the national current account deficit below 2.4% of GDP this year. This is also partly due to budget increase Indonesia healthcare spending (c.30%) in energy and fuel subsidies. Therefore, we believe this

300 Rp tr

will put further pressure on healthcare spending in the near term.

Private expenditure remains a major contributor

Government spending on healthcare will remain subdued with

the state budget’s emphasis on energy subsidies. Private

healthcare expenditure (even with larger base) has outgrown government healthcare expenditure significantly in the past 4

years. As such, private healthcare expenditure has been the

major contributor to the steep rise in healthcare expenditure

per capita (at ~15% CAGR from 2009 - 2012). Despite the Source: WHO, Business Monitor International (BMI)

high growth, Indonesia’s healthcare expenditure per capita remains one of the lowest in ASEAN.

Indonesia among the lowest healthcare spender

10% % of GDP 9%

Strong growth in healthcare expenditure per capita

US$ 120 7%

US$/capita (RHS) 6%

Rp

Rp/capita (LHS)

e a 400,000

Source: CIA World Factbook

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Government healthcare expenditure (at 1.5% of total

Source: WHO, DBS Vickers

government expenditure in 2014) remains miniscule compared

to the amount allocated and spent for energy and fuel Private vs gov’t healthcare expenditure subsidies.

Gov’t healthcare expenditure (vs energy subsidy)

25% Healthcare

Electricity subsidy

Fuel subsidy

Source: WHO, DBS Vickers

Source: WHO, Ministry of Finance (Indonesia), Budget Statistics

Page 4

Industry Focus

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Healthcare expenditure per capita comparison

Source: WHO, ASEAN.org, DBS Vickers

Private spending on healthcare (at 66% of the total in 2011) remains the larger pie as the government’s share declined from 40% in 2009 to 34% in 2011. The underpenetration of commercial health insurance in Indonesia resulted in a high percentage of out-of-pocket healthcare spending. Out-of- pocket expenses formed 76% of private healthcare spending or 50.2% of total healthcare expenditure (higher than ASEAN’s average of 46.3%) in 2011.

Out-of-pocket expenditure remains the highest portion

Government

Private - out of pocket

Private - other source

Source: WHO Out-of-pocket healthcare expenditure portion comparison

m bodi

ilan a

Source: WHO

Page 5

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Healthcare reform on its way

described in Indonesia Case-Based Group (INA-CBG) under Health Ministry regulation no.69/2013.

Universal healthcare plan – the game changer

Despite the urgent need for healthcare reform, the never- BPJS acts as facilitator with main functions of pooling ending debate on universal healthcare coverage has been on

members’ premiums and making payments to healthcare for a long time. Indonesia’s law no. 40/2004 described the

providers for services provided to members under the universal need to implement universal insurance system (JKN). There are

healthcare scheme. Currently, there are close to 120m several schemes currently - public sector workers (ASKES),

members (representing less than ~50% coverage). In its “BPJS social security (JAMSOSTEK), social security for Indonesia

roadmap”, the government is targeting full coverage by 2019 . armed forces (ASABRI) and civil servant’s savings & insurance (TASPEN). To achieve a unified national health insurance

National universal coverage (JKN) roadmap system, law no. 24/2011 mandated that existing schemes will

be unified under one social security agency (BPJS) in stages starting January 2014.

(2019) 270m

As of 1 January 2014, ASKES and JAMSOSTEK have officially

100% coverage

ceased operations and renamed “BPJS Kesehatan” and “BPJS

Ketenagakerjaan”, respectively. “BPJS Kesehatan” has taken

120m

over the health insurance scheme effective immediately, while

50% coverage

“BPJS Ketenagakerjaan” is expected to start taking over the

existing social security schemes from JAMSOSTEK by 1 July

76.4m

2015. ASABRI and TASPEN will have to complete the transfer 30% coverage Source: Roadmap to National Health Insurance 2012 – 2019

of their programs to “BPJS Ketenagakerjaan” by 2029.

Refer to APPENDIX for more details on participants (including Milestones their contributions) and hospital bed facilities allotment.

Starting 1 January 2014, JKN must cover at least:  PBI (Penerima Bantuan Iuran): Beneficiaries of health insurance contributions (i.e. poor and near-poor)  Indonesia’s national army (ABRI) and civil servants under the Ministry of Defence and his/her family members

 Indonesia’s police (Polri) and civil servants in the police department and his/her family members  Existing members of ASKES

Source: BPJS implementation regulation no.1/2014  Existing members of JAMSOSTEK

BPJS participants are divided into two categories: However, as expected, the first few months of implementation  PBI (Penerima Bantuan Iuran): Beneficiaries of health

have highlighted the lack of preparation of this new system insurance contributions (i.e. poor and near-poor) and

despite issuance of JKN implementation regulation no.1/2014.  Non-PBI: Participants (including foreigners who have

worked in Indonesia for at least 6 months) Our back-of-envelope estimate points that the JKN program is contributing designated monthly premiums.

unfunded when compared against the expected national healthcare expenditure. The government’s allocated budget for

Under the new system, BPJS participants are entitled to receive JKN of c.Rp29tr only makes up a mere 12% of total healthcare designated health services at healthcare providers participating

expenditure. The underfunded status should improve over in JKN scheme. The new system provides a more structured

time.

and streamlined process for referrals (from primary care to

secondary referrals, etc). The rates that can be claimed by The huge potential of the healthcare sector, while currently a healthcare providers is also standardised and is extensively

“big if”, lies with the successful implementation of JKN, which

Page 6

Industry Focus

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

will be crucial in shaping Indonesia’s healthcare industry and

Thailand’s declining portion of out-of-pocket expenses

definitely benefit healthcare players in Indonesia in the long based on total healthcare expenditure run.

Thailand’s success story as a benchmark

Look no further than Indonesia’s neighbour Thailand ( started

universal coverage initiative in 2002) for the huge potential

that JKN can generate. Fast forward a decade later. The 50% universal coverage program was implemented efficiently and is 40%

an overwhelming success. The following statistical data backs

this impressive achievement:

 Healthcare expenditure per capita has more than

tripled to US$202 in 2011 from US$60 in 2001. Private - others  Portion of government’s expenditure was lifted to a

Gov't

Private - out of pocket

Source: WHO

staggering 76%, from 57% in 2001, which in turn

significantly reduced the population’s burden on Indonesia’s current healthcare expenditure per capita of US$95 healthcare expenditure. The portion of out-of-pocket

is Thailand’s level in 2005.

expenses was slashed to just 13.7% from 22% in

Thailand healthcare spending tripled within a decade

since 2002

Source: WHO

Page 7

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Pharmaceutical and hospital sectors to reap the benefits

Pharmaceuticals and hospitals, the two main sectors in the counterfeit (due to sub-standard supervision quality and lax IP heavily regulated industry, are bound to be significantly

regime), and overall low purchasing power of the Indonesian impacted by the new government initiatives. Refer to

population.

APPENDIX for list of regulations that regulate the pharmaceutical and hospital sectors.

The roll-out of new BPJS initiatives starting 2014 will potentially spur generic drug sales volume further, albeit

Generic drugs –low hanging fruit for pharmaceutical

generating lower margins to pharmaceutical companies as

companies

compared to patented drugs.

Indonesia’s pharmaceutical industry is well-established, with Prescription drugs is the key driver local pharmaceutical manufacturers controlling approximately

75% of the market, according to International Pharmaceutical

Manufacturers Group (IPMG). This is partly due to regulations

35 11% CAGR

favouring local drug producers (i.e. protectionist business

environment) which form formidable barriers to entry to

foreign drugmakers.

17 19 21 The newly issued negative investment list (DNI) under

Presidential Decree 39/2014 does not have a significant impact

on the pharmaceutical sector. The maximum foreign

ownership in manufacturers in the pharmaceutical sector was

raised only from 75% to 85%.

Source: Business Monitor International (BMI) Pharmaceutical sales rose by 8.7% CAGR in the past 4 years to

Rp63.8tr and contributed 26% of total healthcare expenditure. Besides prescription drugs, over-the-counter (OTC) drugs make Prescription medicine (which includes patented and generic

up a significant portion of pharmaceutical sales in Indonesia. drugs) drove pharmaceutical sales, posting 11% CAGR in the

Low purchasing power and the limited availability of same period.

prescription drugs in some areas are the major reasons that a high portion of Indonesians (more than 60%) are self-

Strong growth in pharmaceutical sales medicating.

70 Rp tr 65

64 Indonesia is considered as the most attractive market for OTC

8.7% CAGR

60 59 producers in ASEAN. However, as purchasing power increases

55 53 and the more affordable generic drugs became increasingly

50 49 46 available, OTC product sales growth has moderated over the

past few years (at 5.4% CAGR, vs prescription drugs at 11%

CAGR). Its contribution to pharmaceutical sales has also

steadily declined from c.45% in 2009 to c.41% in 2013. OTC

products are now widely regarded as “preventative” medicine.

Source: Business Monitor International (BMI)

Patented drugs manufactured by international firms command premium prices. These patented drugs are preferred by the higher-income population and will benefit from Indonesia’s growth in income. But, these drugs are more vulnerable to

Page 8

Industry Focus

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Declining contribution of OTC drug sales Public vs private hospitals market share trend

Patented drug

Generic drug

Source: Business Monitor International (BMI) Private

Public

Source: Ministry of Health, DBS Vickers

Moderating growth in OTC sales Indonesia hospitals breakdown (Jan 2014)

30 Rp tr Ministry of

24 25 25 Health & other

district, municipal)

5 Military & Police

Source: Business Monitor International (BMI)

Source: Ministry of Health, DBS Vickers

Striving for adequate healthcare service coverage

The number of hospitals in Indonesia has reached 2,244 as of Hospitals in Indonesia are divided into 2 categories - general Jan 2014, according to data from the Ministry of Health. As

and special. Each category has further breakdowns in terms of expected, private hospitals (both non-profit and profit)

classes, number of specialists and medical services provided. outnumber public hospitals with 60% market share. Public hospitals’ market share declined quite significantly to 40%,

Hospital categories

from 48% in 2012.

Minimum requirement

Category Class Basic

support Other specialist

Medical Sub-

specialist specialist 2,500

Number of hospitals in Indonesia specialist

893 Minimum requirement

Category Class Medical

Medical sub-

A Complete Complete

0 C Minimum Minimum 2012

hospitals

B Limited

Source: Law no. 44/2009, DBS Vickers

Source: Ministry of Health, DBS Vickers

Page 9

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Despite the ~24% increase in hospital beds annually, the

Analysis on hospital beds shortage

current ratio of beds per 10,000 population is 11, still

Required bed capacity ratio (per 10,000 population)

significantly below ASEAN’s average of 15.7 per 10,000

population. 20 29 32

No. of province in hospital beds shortage

% of province in hospital beds shortage

Indonesia hospitals bed capacity and beds-to-population

Source: WHO, Indonesia Ministry of Health, DBS Vickers ratio Note: * equivalent to ASEAN average level, ** equivalent to Thailand’s

300,000 Beds (LHS)

Beds / 10,000 population (RHS)

12.0 level and *** equivalent to Singapore’s level. Refer to APPENDIX for

10.9 11.0 more detailed data per province.

9.7 Potential repatriation of Indonesian patients.

9.0 In 2012, Indonesian patients were estimated to have

8.0 accounted for c.48% and c.56% of international patients in

7.0 Singapore and Malaysia, respectively. We recognize that this

6.0 6.0 represents untapped potential in Indonesia healthcare sector,

when Indonesia’s healthcare services improve in the future.

5.0 The upside potential is estimated to be as large as c.7% of

4.0 Indonesia’s current healthcare expenditure of ~US$ 24bn.

Source: Ministry of Health, DBS Vickers

Singapore and Malaysia private hospitals attract mostly

Indonesians

Beds to 10,000 population ratio - regional comparison

Source: Singapore Tourism Board (STB), Malaysia Healthcare Travel Council (MHTC), DBS Vickers

Source: CIA Factbook, Indonesia Ministry of Health, DBS Vickers

According to the Singapore Tourism Board, foreign visitors We did an analysis on adequacy of hospital beds in all 33

seeking healthcare services in Singapore increased at c.9% provinces in Indonesia based on data from the Ministry of

CAGR between 2008 – 2012 and surpassed 850,000 in 2012. Health. Our analysis shows that at least 20 provinces (or 60%

Indonesian healthcare visitors made up just below 50%, and of the total) fell short on the number of hospitals beds

c. 80% were from Jakarta. In terms of spending, Indonesian required.

healthcare visitors (including those accompanying someone with healthcare needs) spent an average of SGD 2,207

(equivalent to Rp20.5m) in 2012. This translates to Rp8.3tr.

According to Malaysia Healthcare Travel Council (MHTC), the number of incoming healthcare travellers reached 671,727 in 2012 (c.16% CAGR from 2008 – 2012). This translates to about Rp5.4tr, if we assume 56% are from Indonesia and spend about 30% less per person compared to Singapore.

Page 10

Industry Focus

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Prefer pharmaceuticals sector over hospitals secto r

We believe that the newly implemented JKN system will undoubtedly shape Indonesia’s healthcare sector in the long

Physician density per 10,000 population

term. However, the huge potential upside is also

accompanied with execution risk which is related to adequate 38.5

Australia

United Kingdom

infrastructure to carry out the necessary plans.

United States

Japan

Both pharmaceuticals and health services sectors are the

China

direct beneficiaries from the potential successful BPJS

Brunei

implementation. However, there are limited number of listed 12.2

Indonesian companies in these two sectors, which in turn

India

justify premium valuations due to scarcity: 5

Cambodia

2.3 (per 10,000

2  population) Pharmaceuticals: Kalbe Farma (KLBF), Kimia Farma (KAEF), Indofarma (INAF), Tempo Scan (TSPC), and

Indonesia

Sido Muncul (SIDO). Source: CIA World Fact Book, WHO, Kaiser Family Foundation 

Hospitals: Siloam International Hospitals (SILO),

Sarana Meditama Metropolitan (SAME), and To conclude, pharmaceutical players have a better risk to Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya (SRAJ).

reward ratio than hospitals. Additionally, valuations for pharmaceuticals players are more reasonable than hospital

We believe that the clear winners from the JKN

developers & operators.

implementation are pharmaceutical producers procuring

generic medicines (with the potential of accelerating volume For the pharmaceuticals sector, our top pick is KLBF. We growth), although margin pressures are inevitable.

upgraded KLBF to BUY (from HOLD) with a new TP of Rp1,900 (offering 16% upside), implying 34x FY15F PE. KLBF

As the price of generic medicines are capped by the ceiling stands to reap benefits from higher spending on set in Ministry of Health Decree no 092/MENKES/SK/11/2012,

pharmaceuticals, particularly higher volumes in generic the focus should be on the cost side. Pharmaceutical

products.

producers with large production capacities and networks

should have the edge to win procurement tenders conducted Together in this report, we initiate coverage on SILO with by the government for generic medicines.

FULLY VALUED call and Rp12,750 TP, based on DCF valuation on its existing hospitals and potential new hospitals, implying

Hospital developers and operators are in a good position to 20x EV/EBITDA 2015 (expensive as compared against regional rake in extra revenue. However, hospital players face larger

peers). Potential upside to our valuation will be from better risks in both operations and financial aspects. Strong brands

than expected operational performance of its younger (which goes hand-in-hand with excellent service quality) and

hospitals (less than 5 years operation under SILO brand) and significant top line growth are critical to ease concerns on

successful execution of future acquisitions. With its current cashflow (given the nature of low operating margins in this

position as the market leader in private hospital business, business) and capital intensive requirement on expansion.

SILO is in great position to tap into Indonesia’s Implementation of INA-CBG standard rate for health services

underpenetrated healthcare sector and the country’s rising should further cap revenue generation. Health Ministry

healthcare need. SILO is in an aggressive expansion mode regulation no 69/2013 provides a comprehensive healthcare

until 2017, whereby it would require large and constant service category list with assigned standard tariffs for each.

funding to reach its goal.

In addition, Indonesia is facing a shortage in medical human resources as compared to regional countries to support healthcare providers.

Page 11

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

APPENDIX

Healthcare service players summary

Company Ticker No. of hospitals Geographic exposure Business strategy / Expansion plan

8 hospitals in Java (i.e. Greater

Siloam International Hospitals

SILO IJ

16 and Surabaya) and another 8

Aggressive expansion - target to have 40

hospitals by end of 2017 Sarana Meditama

hospitals outside Java.

Metropolitan

SAME IJ

2 Greater Jakarta only

Adding capacity to existing hospitals

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya

SRAJ IJ

2 Greater Jakarta only

Focusing on turning around the operations of its 2nd hospital

Source: DBS Vickers, Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Pharmaceuticals players summary

Company Ticker Key segments Balance sheet Expansion plan Other remarks

OTC &

Adding capacity to

Kalbe Farma

KLBF IJ

prescribed

Net cash of Rp970bn (-11%

net gearing) as of 1Q14

current manufacturing

drugs

facilities Exploring to expand into

Kimia Farma

KAEF IJ

Retail

Net cash of Rp343bn (-21% net gearing) as of Dec 2013

Saudi Arabia and

State-owned company

Vietnam

Tempo Scan

TSPC IJ

OTC

Net cash of Rp1.4tr (-34%

To enter nutritional

Focus on its 9 core OTC

net gearing) as of 1Q14

health business

brands - Too dependent on its

Exploring to expand into

market leading herbal

Japan, Vietnam and

medicine brand "Tolak

Herbal

Thailand through JVs

Angin"

Sido Muncul

SIDO IJ

Net cash of Rp1.4tr (-50%

medicine

net gearing) as of 1Q14

and to invest in hotels

- Recently IPO on 18Dec2013

and real estate in

- 99.5% dividend payout

Central Java

ratio in 2013 (as SIDO has sufficient cashflow for future expansion)

Source: DBS Vickers, Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Page 12

Industry Focus

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Pharmaceuticals valuation

Market

BB Ticker Company name

cap

PE(x) PB(x) Div. Yield ROE

% KLBF IJ

US$m 13A 14F 15F 13A 14F 15F

35.4 28.6 23.7 8.3 7.3 6.3 1.7 26.1 KAEF IJ

Kalbe Farma

25.2 22.8 18.1 3.4 3.0 2.6 0.7 14.1 TSPC IJ

Kimia Farma

20.1 18.8 15.7 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.9 17.1 SIDO IJ

Tempo Scan Pacific

Sido Muncul

28.3 24.6 21.4 4.4 4.0 3.6 1.8 20.7 Weighted average 32.3 26.7 22.2 7.0 6.2 5.4 2.0 23.8

Source: DBS Vickers, Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Hospitals valuation

ROE BB Ticker

Market cap

EV/EBITDA(x)

PE(x)

PB(x)

Div. Yield

Company name

% SILO IJ Equity

US$m FY14F FY15F FY14F FY15F FY14F FY15F

5.4 SAME IJ Equity

Siloam International Hospitals

271.1 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 0.0 42.8 SRAJ IJ Equity

Sarana Meditama Metropolitan *

152.0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 0.0 -5.8 BGH TB Equity

Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya *

17.5 BH TB Equity

Bangkok Dusit Medical Services

16.6 14.1 27.6 23.5 6.9 5.9 1.8 27.8 BCH TB Equity

Bumrungrad Hospital

15.8 13.9 28.5 24.4 4.5 4.2 0.0 13.8 RFMD SP Equity

Bangkok Chain *

19.4 18.0 27.3 24.2 3.8 3.4 1.6 19.7 IHH SP Equity

Raffles Medical

20.2 18.2 40.4 35.6 1.7 1.7 0.7 3.6 KPJ MK Equity

IHH Healthcare

16.9 14.7 30.5 27.3 2.8 2.7 0.0 9.4 APHS IN Equity

KPJ Healthcare *

11.1 FORH IN Equity

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise *

46.1 1.2 1.2 0.0 3.1 RHC AU Equity

Fortis Healthcare *

15.1 12.0 28.6 24.2 5.8 5.2 1.9 20.7 SHL AU Equity

Ramsay Healthcare *

11.9 10.9 17.5 15.7 2.2 2.1 4.0 12.6 PRY AU Equity

Sonic Healthcare *

Primary Healthcare *

Market weighted average

3.0 15.9 Source: DBS Vickers, Bloomberg Finance L.P. . Note: * Bloomberg consensus estimate

Australia

Page 13

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

BPJS participants classification

Source: Presidential Decree No. 111/2013

Page 14

Industry Focus

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Hospital beds facility allotment

Source: Presidential Decree No. 111/2013

JCI accredited hospitals in Indonesia

No Name Location First Accredited

1 Eka Hospital

West Jakarta suburb

11-Des-10

2 Eka Hospital Pekanbaru

West Sumatra

01-Mar-14

3 Fatmawati General Hospital South Jakarta 14-Des-13

4 RS Premier Bintaro

West Jakarta suburb

15-Jan-11

5 RS Premier Jatinegara East Jakarta 03-Des-11

6 RS Premier Surabaya

Surabaya (East Java)

06-Mar-13

7 RSUP Sanglah Bali 24-Apr-13

8 RSUPN Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo South Jakarta 20-Apr-13

9 Rumah Sakit Pondok Indah - Puri Indah

West Jakarta

16-Mar-13

10 Santosa Hospital

West Java

13-Nop-10

11 Siloam Hospitals Lippo Village

West Jakarta suburb

19-Sep-07

Source: Joint Commission International (JCI)

Page 15

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Hospital bed shortage analysis

No. Province

Population (m)

Required beds (*)

Beds available

Shortage (Surplus)

1 N.A.D

2 Sumatera Utara

3 Sumatera Barat

6 Sumatera Selatan

9 Kepulauan Bangka Belitung

10 Kepulauan Riau

11 Dki Jakarta

12 Jawa Barat

13 Jawa Tengah

14 D I Yogyakarta

15 Jawa Timur

18 Nusa Tenggara Barat

19 Nusa Tenggara Timur

20 Kalimantan Barat

21 Kalimantan Tengah

22 Kalimantan Selatan

23 Kalimantan Timur

24 Sulawesi Utara

25 Sulawesi Tengah

26 Sulawesi Selatan

27 Sulawesi Tenggara

29 Sulawesi Barat

31 Maluku Utara

32 Papua Barat

Total 248.17 389,624 308,857 80,767 Source: DBS Vickers, Ministry of Health, WHO Note: * Total population (in m population) x 15.7 (the average bed ratio per 10,000 population for ASEAN) x 100.

Page 16

Industry Focus

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Regulations for pharmaceuticals sector

Regulation

Regarding

Key points

Remarks

1. Pharmaceutical company has to obtain license from Health Minister to produce drugs and/or drug ingredients.

2. Pharmaceutical company has the following functions: manufacturing; educating and

Health Ministry regulation no.

training; research and development.

1 1799/MENKES/PER/XII/2010

Pharmacy Industry

3. A licensed pharmaceutical company has to

be a limited company and have at least 3 pharmacists (Indonesia citizens) for quality assurance, production and quality control.

4. A licensed pharmaceutical company must produce report activities (including production volume and value) every 6 months.

1. Every drug circulated in Indonesia must be registered and licensed for marketing (valid and renewable every 5 years).

2. Locally produced drug can only be registered by a licensed pharmaceutical company. (Pharmaceutical company is licensed by Health Minister)

Health Ministry regulation no. Revision of Health Ministry

2 Drug registration

3. Imported drug registration can be

1120/MENKES/PER/XI/2008

registered by local pharmaceutical company

regulation no.

which has written approval from foreign

1010/MENKES/PER/XI/2008

pharmaceutical.

4. Pharmaceutical company has to market the registered drugs within 1 year of approval date.

5. Penalties & suspensions for violating regulations.

3 Health Ministry decree no.

Revision of Health Ministry 312/MENKES/SK/IX/2013

National essential

Contain a list of national essential drugs with

drugs list

guidance on usage and management

decree no. 2500/MENKES/SK/XII/2011

4 Health Ministry decree no. 436/MENKES/SK/XI/2013

Generic drug price

Contain a list of generic drug in Indonesia

Revision of Health Ministry

together with retail price ceiling

decree no. 092/MENKES/SK/II/2012

5 Presidential decree no.

Revision of Presidential decree 39/2014

Negative

no. 36/2010 Source: Ministry of Health, DBS Vickers

investment list (DNI)

Maximum foreign ownership increased to

85% from 75% previously

Page 17

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Regulations for hospital sector

Regulation

Regarding

Key points

1. Defining hospitals duties and functions.

2. Infrastructure and facility requirements of operational hospitals.

1 Law no. 44 / 2009

Hospital operation

3. Classification of hospitals based on type of services and management. (Refer to previous table of hospital classification).

4. Each hospital has to have construction permit (for a period of 2 years and extendable for another 1 year) and operational license (valid & renewable every 5 years). Both can be revoked during period

2 Health Ministry regulation no.

Hospital license

of validity.

147/MENKES/PER/I/2010

5. National tariff scheme is set by Health Ministry.

6. Penalties for violating regulations

1. Valid registration for medical practice is issued by Indonesia medical council.

3 Law no. 29 / 2004

Medical practitioner

2. Doctor and dentist registration letter and license to practice is valid, renewable every 5 years and can be revoked during period of validity.

3. Each doctor and dentist is granted licenses to practice maximum in three places (including gov't, private and individual practice).

4. Defining medical practitioner obligations, patient rights and obligations

5. Foreign graduates who intend to have medical practice in 2052/MENKES/PER/X/2011

4 Health Ministry regulation no.

Medical practitioner license

Indonesia should possess work permit, proficient in Bahasa Indonesia and passed Indonesia medical council evaluation.

6. Foreign medical practitioner can only practice as a means of knowledge and technology transfer and is prohibited to practice independently.

7. Foreign medical practitioner license to practice is valid, renewable

5 Health Ministry regulation no.

every 1 year and can be revoked during period of validity. 317/MENKES/PER/III/2010

Foreign nationals health

personnels

8. Foreign medical practitioner can only practice on either class A or

B hospitals.

9. Penalties for violating regulations

Standard tariff rates for

6 Health Ministry regulation no.

healthcare services (first-level

and advanced) in national

List of standard tariff for each category of healthcare services

health insurance program

Maximum foreign ownership increased to 85% from 75% previously Source: Ministry of Health, DBS Vickers

7 Presidential decree no. 39/2014

Negative investment list (DNI)

Page 18

Industry Focus

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Negative investment list changes

Sector

Presidential Decree no. 39/2014

Presidential Decree no. 36/2010

1 More open to foreign investment Power plants (10 MW and above)

Max. foreign ownership is 95%.

Electricity transmission

Max. foreign ownership is 95%. Electricity distribution

Max. foreign ownership is 100% for

public private partnership (PPP) Max. foreign ownership is 49%.

Seaports

Max. foreign ownership is 95% for public

Max. foreign ownership is 49%

private partnership (PPP)

Land transportation terminals

Max. foreign ownership is 49% with

General cargo terminals

recommendation from Transportation

Closed

Ministry

Max. foreign ownership is 75% Venture capital

Pharmaceuticals

Max. foreign ownership is 85%

Max. foreign ownership is 80% Horticulture

Max. foreign ownership is 85%

Max. foreign ownership is 30%

Max. foreign ownership is 95%

2 More restricted to foreign investment Power plants (1-10 MW capacity)

Restricted to partnership Onshore oil and gas drilling

Max. foreign ownership is 49%

Max. foreign ownership is 95% Offshore oil and gas drilling

Domestic investment only

Max. foreign ownership is 75%

Max. foreign ownership is 95% (outside East Indonesia region)

Oil and gas well operation and maintenance service

Max. foreign ownership is 95% Oil and gas design and engineering service

Domestic investment only

Max. foreign ownership is 95% Telecommunication sector (content, information center, other value added services)

Domestic investment only

Restricted to partnership Data communication system

Max. foreign ownership is 49%

Max. foreign ownership is 95% Internet connection service

Max. foreign ownership is 49%

Max. foreign ownership is 49%

Max. foreign ownership is 65%

3 New regulations Oil and gas platform construction

Max. foreign ownership is 75%

Oil and gas spherical tank construction

Max. foreign ownership is 49%

Onshore upstream oil and gas installations

Domestic investment only

Onshore oil and gas pipeline

Domestic investment only

Offshore oil and gas pipeline

Max. foreign ownership is 49%

Oil and gas horizontal / vertical tank construction

Domestic investment only

Onshore oil and gas storage

Domestic investment only

Oil and gas survey

Max. foreign ownership is 49%

Geology and geophysics survey

Max. foreign ownership is 49%

Geothermal survey

Max. foreign ownership is 95%

Oil and gas technical inspection service

Domestic investment only

Biomass pellets producer

Restricted to partnership

Electricity maintenance and testing service

Domestic investment only

Non-hazardous waste treatment

Max. foreign ownership is 95%

Distribution

Max. foreign ownership is 33%

Storage

Max. foreign ownership is 33%

Cold storage in Sumatra, Java and Bali

Max. foreign ownership is 33%

Cold storage in Kalimantan, Sulawesi, East Nusa Tenggara, Maluku and Papua

Max. foreign ownership is 67%

Retail trade

Domestic investment only

Source: Investment Coordination Board (BKPM), DBS Vickers

Page 19

Industry Focus Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Stock Profiles

Page 20

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Kalbe Farma

Bloomberg: KLBF IJ | Reuters: KLBF.JK

Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

BUY Rp1,620 JCI : 4,847.70 (Upgrade from HOLD)

Tried & tested resilience

Price Target : 12-Month Rp 1,900 (Prev Rp 1,390)

 Defensive play

Potential Catalyst: M&A, new products

DBSV vs Consensus: In line

 Structural change to support LT growth

Analyst

 Ability to maintain margin is key

Maynard ARIF +6221 3003 4930 [email protected]

Upgrade to BUY from HOLD with new TP of  Rp1,900

Defensive play. We favour Kalbe Farma not only as

a consumer stock but also as a defensive stock for

investors who are looking for shelter in an uncertain

Price Relative

Rp

environment. While Kalbe is not immune to the

Relative Index

challenging macro environment, the company has

been a consistent performer and was able to sustain

its operating margin at mid- to high-teen levels even

during 2008-09.

360.0 Jun-10 Jun-11

Jun-14 87 Structural change to support LT growth. The

Jun-12

Jun-13

healthcare industry’s longer-term outlook is supported by a structural shift, with the introduction

Kalbe Farma (LHS)

Relative JCI INDEX (RHS)

Forecasts and Valuation

of universal healthcare plan (BPJS) which will cover all Indonesians by 2019 (from just 50% in 2014). For

Kalbe, the main beneficiary of BPJS will be its

Turnover

prescription drugs business.

EBITDA

Pre-tax Profit

Net Profit

Upgrade to BUY. We are upgrading Kalbe Farma

Net Pft (Pre Ex.)

from HOLD to BUY with a new price target of Rp1,900

EPS (Rp)

based on 34x FY15F PE (10% discount to Unilever).

EPS Pre Ex. (Rp)

While we reckon that Kalbe's valuation is expensive,

EPS Gth Pre Ex (%)

11 18 15 17 the premium is justified by its leadership in pharma

Diluted EPS (Rp)

sector and solid results even in tough times, akin to

Net DPS (Rp)

Unilever's resilient performance. BV Per Share (Rp) 173 202 235 274 PE (X)

P/Cash Flow (X)

EV/EBITDA (X)

At A Glance

46,875 P/Book Value (X)

Net Div Yield (%)

1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 Issued Capital (m shrs)

75,938 / 6,338 Net Debt/Equity (X)

Mkt. Cap (Rpbn/US$m)

CASH CASH CASH CASH

Major Shareholders

ROAE (%)

9.8 Earnings Rev (%):

Gira Sole Prima (%)

9.3 Consensus EPS (Rp):

(12) (16) N/A

Santa Seha Sanadi (%)

Other Broker Recs:

Free Float (%)

46,511 ICB Industry : Health Care

Avg. Daily Vol.(‘000)

ICB Sector: Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnolog

Principal Business: Kalbe Farma manufactures and distributes pharmaceutical, consumer health, and nutritional products. It commands the highest market share within Indonesian pharmaceutical and OTC drugs market.

Source of all data: Company, DBS Vickers, Bloomberg Finance L.P

Page 21

www.dbsvickers.com

ed: TH / sa: MA

Kalbe Farma

Defensive play Healthcare spending to support LT growth

We favour Kalbe Farma not only as a consumer stock but From a macro perspective, the healthcare industry’s longer- also as a defensive stock for investors who are looking for

term outlook is supported by a structural shift, with the shelter in an uncertain environment. While Kalbe is not

introduction of a universal healthcare plan (BPJS) which will immune to the challenging macro environment, the

cover all Indonesians by 2019 (from just 50% in 2014). company has been a consistent performer and was able to sustain its operating margin at mid- to high-teen levels even

As such, healthcare spending is expected to sustain and grow during 2008-09. Moreover, Kalbe has a healthy balance

in excess of 10% until 2017, according to a BMI report. Using sheet with a net cash position of almost Rp1tr.

the case study of Thailand, there is a potential for significant long-term boost in healthcare spending in Indonesia.

 Market leadership. Kalbe has been the pharmaceutical Healthcare spending in Thailand has more than tripled in a industry leader with a 12% market shares (FY13) in

decade since its introduction.

Indonesia. Moreover, Kalbe is also tops in the prescription drug market with 15% of the pie (FY13), supported by

For Kalbe, the main beneficiary of BPJS will be its prescription the largest marketing team across the country.

drugs business. However, we expect the first phase of the implementation to be slow and the impact to be minimal to

 Growing faster than the industry. Kalbe has been able to Kalbe. Kalbe expects a small incremental business (just an grow faster than the industry at a 15% CAGR from

additional 1-2% per annum) for its unbranded generic 2009-13. Meanwhile, the pharmaceutical industry itself

products. Moreover, generic drugs have lower margins and has been growing steadily at a CAGR of almost 11% in

hence Kalbe will maintain a balanced mix to keep its margins the same period.

high.

 New products. The company is well positioned for future National universal coverage (JKN) roadmap growth with product expansions such as oncology and nutrition. Kalbe also plans to expand into stem cells and genomics as part of its future pipelines.

(2019) 270m

 Healthy margin and profit. Despite the revenue volatility,

100% coverage

Kalbe has a solid track record in maintaining its margin

and profitability at mid to high teen. The company was

120m

able to maintain its margin at 48% in FY13 despite a

50% coverage

20+% depreciation in the rupiah.

( 2012) 76.4m 30% coverage

Operating margin and revenue Source: Roadmap to National Health Insurance 2012 – 2019

Upgrade to BUY

We are upgrading Kalbe Farma from HOLD to BUY with a new

price target of Rp1,900 (Rp1,390 previously). We upgrade Kalbe for the following reasons:

The structural story on universal healthcare plan

which will support the longer-term outlook for the

industry.

Stable and resilient business, especially in the

pharmaceutical and health-related products.

Revenue (RHS)

EBIT margin (LHS)

Proven ability to sustain margins over the last several Source: DBS Vickers years through strong brand name and pricing power.

Our new price target of Rp1,900 is based on 34x FY15F PE and the multiple is at a 10% discount to Unilever's 38x. While we reckon that Kalbe's valuation is expensive, the premium is justified by its leadership in pharma sector and solid results even in tough times, akin to Unilever’s resilient performance.

Page 5

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Kalbe Farma

Income Statement (Rp bn)

Balance Sheet (Rp bn)

FY Dec

2014F 2015F 2016F Turnover 16,002 18,506 21,405

2,926 3,739 3,846 3,919 Cost of Goods Sold

Net Fixed Assets

42 42 42 42 Gross Profit

Invts in Associates & JVs

835 820 804 Other Opng (Exp)/Inc

Other LT Assets

1,615 1,635 2,693 3,800 Operating Profit

Cash & ST Invts

2,145 2,468 2,854 3,246 Associates & JV Inc

Other Non Opg (Exp)/Inc 2 3 4 4 Debtors

684 684 684 Net Interest (Exp)/Inc

0 0 0 0 Other Current Assets

12,962 14,785 16,899 Exceptional Gain/(Loss) 0 0 0 0 Pre-tax Profit

Total Assets

ST Debt

1,152 1,245 1,442 1,651 Minority Interest

1,511 1,001 1,041 Preference Dividend

Other Current Liab

000 Net Profit

0 LT Debt

0 0 0 Net Profit before Except. 1,920 2,259 2,598

Other LT Liabilities

Shareholder’s Equity

Minority Interests

Total Cap. & Liab.

13,255 14,568 16,722 Sales Gth (%) 17.3 15.7 15.7 15.2

EBITDA Gth (%) 13.8 22.4 16.1 16.0 Non-Cash Wkg. Capital

Opg Profit Gth (%) 14.9 22.3 15.6 16.9 Net Cash/(Debt)

1,031 1,051 2,109 3,216 Net Profit Gth (%) 10.7 17.7 15.0 17.2 Effective Tax Rate (%) 23.4 25.5 25.5 25.0

Cash Flow Statement (Rp bn)

Rates & Ratio

FY Dec

2014F 2015F 2016F Pre-Tax Profit

48.2 Dep. & Amort.

Gross Margins (%)

17.1 Tax Paid

Opg Profit Margin (%)

Net Profit Margin (%)

25.5 Chg in Wkg.Cap. 0 (733) (477)

Assoc. & JV Inc/(loss) 0 0 0 0 ROAE (%)

19.2 Other Operating CF

24.2 Net Operating CF

40.0 Capital Exp.(net)

Div Payout Ratio (%)

Net Interest Cover (x)

NM 361.6 124.8

1.6 Invts in Assoc. & JV

Other Invts.(net) 82 0 0 0 Asset Turnover (x)

45.1 Div from Assoc & JV

0 0 0 0 Debtors Turn (avg days)

45.8 Other Investing CF

2 0 0 0 Creditors Turn (avg days)

117.2 130.0 126.0 122.1 Net Investing CF

0 0 0 0 Inventory Turn (avg days)

3.7 Div Paid

Current Ratio (x)

2.2 Chg in Gross Debt

Quick Ratio (x)

CASH CASH CASH CASH Capital Issues

0 0 0 Net Debt/Equity (X)

Cash Cash Cash Cash Other Financing CF

0 0 0 0 Net Debt/Equity ex MI (X)

85.6 Net Financing CF

0 0 0 0 Capex to Debt (%)

Z-Score (X)

69 Chg in Cash

Currency Adjustments 96 0 0 0 N. Cash/(Debt)PS (Rp)

Opg CFPS (Rp)

76 Free CFPS (Rp) (1) 20 45

50 Quarterly / Interim Income Statement (Rp bn)

Segmental Breakdown / Assumptions

FY Dec 2013A 2014F 2015F 2016F Turnover 3,931 4,019 4,562

Revenues (Rp bn)

Cost of Goods Sold

Prescription 3,869 4,521 5,255 6,065 Gross Profit

2,505 2,903 3,369 3,871 Other Oper. (Exp)/Inc

Consumer Health

3,792 4,698 5,777 7,051 Operating Profit

5,836 6,385 7,004 7,680 Other Non Opg (Exp)/Inc

Distribution & Logistics

12 Others N/A N/A N/A N/A Associates & JV Inc

16,002 18,506 21,405 24,666 Net Interest (Exp)/Inc 10 (1)

0 0 0 0 Total

1 2 Gross Profit (Rp bn)

Exceptional Gain/(Loss) 0 0 0 0 Prescription 2,353 2,713 3,102 3,519 Pre-tax Profit

Consumer Health

2,287 2,787 3,369 4,112 Minority Interest

1,704 1,864 2,045 2,242 Net Profit

Distribution & Logistics

Others N/A N/A N/A N/A Net profit bef Except. 478 444 553

Gross Profit Margins (%)

Prescription 60.8 60.0 59.0

52.3 EBITDA Gth (%) 10.1 (5.7) 15.3

Sales Gth (%) 12.6 2.2 13.5 (10.9)

Consumer Health

58.3 Opg Profit Gth (%) 10.7 (2.9) 15.9

Nutritionals 60.3 59.3 58.3

29.2 Net Profit Gth (%) 7.6 (7.1) 24.6

Distribution & Logistics

Others N/A N/A N/A N/A

Gross Margins (%) 49.2 48.5 46.2 47.8 Total

48.2 Opg Profit Margins (%) 16.2 15.4 15.7 15.8 Net Profit Margins (%) 12.2 11.1 12.1 12.1

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 23

Indonesia Healthcare Sector

Kimia Farma Persero

Bloomberg: KAEF IJ | Reuters: KAEF.JK Refer to important disclosures at the end of this

report

NOT RATED Rp950 JCI : 4,842.13 All eyes on potential merger

Price Target : Not Rated

Involved in entire value chain from

Potential Catalyst: Merger with Indofarma (INAF)

 manufacturing to retail

Analyst

 Negatively impacted by weakening IDR

Edward Tanuwijaya +6221 3003 4932 [email protected]

 Potential merger with Indofarma

 Trading on reasonable valuations

From manufacturing to retail. Kimia Farma

Price Relative

Persero (KAEF) derives revenue from three core

Rp

Relative Index

businesses - manufacturing (22%), distribution (40%)

and retail (37%). Manufacturing segment generates

high single digit net profit margin, while margins are

low for the other two segments.

Negatively impacted by weakening IDR. KAEF

112.5 Jun-10 Jun-11

Jun-14 78 (like most of pharmaceuticals companies in Indonesia)

Jun-12

Jun-13

imports c.90% of raw materials required for production. COGS went up significantly by 20% y-o-y

Kimia Farma Persero (LHS)

Relative JCI INDEX (RHS)

Forecasts and Valuation

(vs historical average of 7%) in 2013 and this led to a

3 ppt reduction in consolidated GP margins to

Pre-tax Profit

Brighter after the merger? Recent changes in

Net Profit

Indofarma (INAF)’s Board of Directors, which now

Net Pft (Pre Ex.)

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