Faktor Eksternal dan Faktor Internal yang Mempengaruhi Tingkat Suku Bunga Deposito Berjangka Pada Lima Bank Umum Terbesar di Indonesia
LAMPIRAN 1
Daftar Total Aset Bank
(dalam jutaan rupiah)
Tahun
Total Aset
Mandiri
BRI
BCA
BNI
CIMB
2005
245.648.598 114.215.158 148.408.742 141.497.188
36.328.150
2006
247.681.649 138.570.484 161.654.850 154.692.659
42.633.153
2007
266.080.630 175.500.699 193.676.352 175.555.383
57.161.640
2008
301.128.692 220.734.568 226.711.420 178.654.028
69.180.902
2009
344.240.187 276.630.280 263.734.014 206.991.469 102.934.370
2010
379.967.085 335.753.371 302.263.605 222.264.114 127.841.953
2011
489.106.664 456.531.093 377.250.966 288.511.901 164.137.582
2012
517.839.195 473.191.489 413.757.567 301.683.071 181.007.317
2013
648.250.177 606.370.242 488.498.242 370.716.158 211.427.283
2014 693.967.505 669.737.264 518.558.672 380.324.616 219.221.998
Sumber: laporan neraca bank umum pada bank indonesia (2016)
LAMPIRAN 2
DATA TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA DEPOSITO, INFLASI, BI RATE,
PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, DAN LIBOR TAHUN 2005 TRIWULAN 3
SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN 4
triwulan tsbd
tahun
Inflasi
bi-rate
pe
libor
2005 III
7,88
8,41
9,08
5,84
3,78
IV
10,62
17,79
12,00
5,11
4,33
2006 I
12,25
16,90
12,75
5,13
4,77
II
11,85
15,51
12,58
4,93
5,22
III
11,32
14,87
11,75
5,86
5,43
IV
10,23
6,05
10,25
6,06
5,37
2007 I
8,87
6,36
9,25
6,06
5,36
II
8,08
6,02
8,75
6,73
5,36
III
7,55
6,51
8,25
6,74
5,44
91
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
7,41
7,34
7,35
8,56
10,72
11,04
9,67
8,69
7,71
7,13
6,96
6,95
7,03
6,87
6,94
6,94
6,97
6,50
5,88
5,66
5,74
5,82
5,71
6,24
7,29
8,09
8,53
9,33
9,07
6,73
7,64
10,12
11,96
11,50
8,56
5,67
2,76
2,59
3,65
4,37
6,15
6,32
6,84
5,89
4,67
4,12
3,73
4,49
4,48
4,41
5,26
5,65
8,60
8,36
7,76
7,09
4,35
6,47
8,17
8,00
8,25
9,00
9,42
8,25
7,25
6,58
6,50
6,50
6,50
6,50
6,50
6,67
6,75
6,75
6,17
5,83
5,75
5,75
5,75
5,75
5,83
6,83
7,42
7,50
7,50
7,50
7,63
5,84
6,22
6,30
6,25
5,28
4,52
4,14
4,27
5,60
5,99
6,29
5,81
6,81
6,45
6,52
6,49
6,50
6,32
6,39
6,21
6,12
6,03
5,76
5,63
5,72
5,20
5,12
5,01
4,72
5,03
3,29
2,75
2,91
2,77
1,24
0,84
0,41
0,27
0,26
0,44
0,39
0,29
0,31
0,26
0,30
0,48
0,51
0,47
0,43
0,32
0,29
0,28
0,26
0,24
0,24
0,23
0,23
0,24
Sumber: Bank Indonesia dan ICE benhmark administration LIBOR (2016)
92
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 3
DATA ROA, LDR, DAN CAR PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA,
(PERSERO), TBK TAHUN 2005 TRIWULAN 3 SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN
4
Tahun
Triwulan
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
II
III
IV
2012 I
II
III
IV
2013 I
II
III
IV
2014 I
Roa
Ldr
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
5
5
car
80
77
78
76
77
72
74
72
73
68
74
77
86
79
81
85
87
80
86
88
88
75
85
90
89
76
84
82
85
79
89
89
90
88
92
16
16
23
20
19
19
22
19
18
16
17
14
13
13
14
14
13
13
15
14
13
13
15
14
14
14
17
16
15
16
17
17
17
16
18
93
Universitas Sumatera Utara
II
III
IV
4
4
4
93
85
81
18
18
18
LAMPIRAN 4
ROA, LDR, DAN CAR BANK MANDIRI, (PERSERO), TBK
tahun
triwulan
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
II
III
IV
2012 I
II
III
IV
2013 I
II
ROA
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
LDR
55
49
50
52
53
55
55
53
55
52
56
59
62
56
61
60
60
59
61
64
69
65
67
73
76
71
78
81
82
77
80
82
CAR
23
23
25
25
25
25
27
25
22
21
22
17
17
15
15
14
14
15
15
14
13
13
18
16
16
15
17
16
16
15
17
15
94
Universitas Sumatera Utara
III
IV
2014 I
II
III
IV
3
3
3
3
3
3
85
82
86
85
84
82
15
14
16
16
16
16
LAMPIRAN 5
DATA ROA, LDR, CAR BANK CENTRAL ASIA, TBK TAHUN 2005
TRIWULAN 3 SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN 4
tahun
triwulan ROA
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
II
III
IV
2012 I
II
III
LDR
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
CAR
39
41
40
39
38
40
37
40
40
43
45
50
54
53
51
48
47
50
49
51
52
55
54
55
58
61
61
65
65
22
21
25
23
23
22
25
22
20
18
19
16
15
15
17
16
16
15
16
14
14
13
14
13
13
12
15
14
14
95
Universitas Sumatera Utara
IV
2013 I
II
III
IV
2014 I
II
III
IV
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
68
71
73
73
75
77
75
75
76
14
16
16
15
15
17
17
17
16
LAMPIRAN 6
DATA ROA, LDR, CAR PT BANK NEGARA INDONESIA (PERSERO),
TBK TAHUN 2005 TRIWULAN 3 SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN 4
tahun
triwulan ROA
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
II
III
IV
LDR
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
CAR
56
54
50
51
48
48
48
55
59
60
70
69
73
68
68
70
74
64
67
68
68
70
73
76
78
70
16
16
20
20
17
15
16
15
19
17
18
16
15
14
15
14
15
13
13
13
12
18
18
17
16
17
96
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2012 I
II
III
IV
2013 I
II
III
IV
2014 I
II
III
IV
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
74
73
76
77
82
84
84
85
88
80
85
87
18
16
17
16
17
16
15
15
15
15
16
16
LAMPIRAN 7
DATA ROA, LDR, CAR BANK CIMB NIAGA, TBK TAHUN 2005
TRIWULAN 3 SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN 4
tahun
triwulan ROA
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
LDR
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
CAR
90
85
87
90
88
84
87
95
95
79
92
93
93
87
85
87
90
95
87
84
88
87
89
17
17
18
18
17
17
19
18
17
18
16
15
14
16
16
15
15
13
12
12
12
13
14
97
Universitas Sumatera Utara
II
III
IV
2012 I
II
III
IV
2013 I
II
III
IV
2014 I
II
III
IV
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
92
92
92
94
96
91
92
83
95
89
90
94
93
94
95
13
13
13
15
15
15
15
16
15
15
15
16
16
16
15
LAMPIRAN 8
4.
HASIL PENGUJIAN PEMILIHAN MODEL DATA PANEL
DENGAN ORDINARY LEAST SQUARE (OLS)
Dependent Variable: TSBD?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 06/22/16 Time: 12:29
Sample: 2005Q3 2014Q4
Included observations: 38
Cross-sections included: 5
Total pool (unbalanced) observations: 189
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
INFLASI?
BIRATE?
PDB?
LIBOR?
ROA?
LDR?
CAR?
5.076141
-0.206121
1.349127
-0.715287
-0.263414
-0.042224
-0.005249
-0.056423
0.805855
0.024231
0.077580
0.072068
0.047009
0.039070
0.002731
0.017498
6.299071
-8.506451
17.39022
-9.925166
-5.603431
-1.080722
-1.921687
-3.224580
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2813
0.0562
0.0015
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.920800
0.917737
0.513070
47.64652
-137.9643
300.6239
0.000000
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
8.078519
1.788856
1.544596
1.681812
1.600185
0.956663
98
Universitas Sumatera Utara
5.
HASIL PENGUJIAN PEMILIHAN MODEL DATA PANEL
DENGAN FIXED EFFECT MODEL (FEM)
Dependent Variable: TSBD?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 06/22/16 Time: 12:30
Sample: 2005Q3 2014Q4
Included observations: 38
Cross-sections included: 5
Total pool (unbalanced) observations: 189
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
INFLASI?
BIRATE?
PDB?
LIBOR?
ROA?
LDR?
CAR?
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_1--C
_2--C
_3--C
_4--C
_5--C
5.601954
-0.200706
1.339205
-0.698428
-0.289479
-0.133667
-0.009761
-0.054641
0.885654
0.024366
0.077803
0.072887
0.049273
0.073170
0.005640
0.018515
6.325218
-8.237036
17.21272
-9.582306
-5.875011
-1.826794
-1.730704
-2.951123
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0694
0.0852
0.0036
0.256190
-0.005949
-0.096448
-0.172647
0.018697
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.923405
0.918645
0.510232
46.07967
-134.8044
193.9867
0.000000
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
8.078519
1.788856
1.553486
1.759311
1.636871
0.980518
99
Universitas Sumatera Utara
6.
HASIL UJI HETEROKEDASTISITAS
Dependent Variable: TSBD?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 06/22/16 Time: 12:31
Sample: 2005Q3 2014Q4
Included observations: 38
Cross-sections included: 5
Total pool (unbalanced) observations: 189
White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
INFLASI?
BIRATE?
PDB?
LIBOR?
ROA?
LDR?
CAR?
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_1--C
_2--C
_3--C
_4--C
_5--C
5.601954
-0.200706
1.339205
-0.698428
-0.289479
-0.133667
-0.009761
-0.054641
1.906500
0.043227
0.122167
0.166677
0.078305
0.058752
0.006477
0.024675
2.938344
-4.643057
10.96209
-4.190314
-3.696812
-2.275122
-1.507135
-2.214389
0.0037
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0003
0.0241
0.1336
0.0281
0.256190
-0.005949
-0.096448
-0.172647
0.018697
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.923405
0.918645
0.510232
46.07967
-134.8044
193.9867
0.000000
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
8.078519
1.788856
1.553486
1.759311
1.636871
0.980518
100
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Daftar Total Aset Bank
(dalam jutaan rupiah)
Tahun
Total Aset
Mandiri
BRI
BCA
BNI
CIMB
2005
245.648.598 114.215.158 148.408.742 141.497.188
36.328.150
2006
247.681.649 138.570.484 161.654.850 154.692.659
42.633.153
2007
266.080.630 175.500.699 193.676.352 175.555.383
57.161.640
2008
301.128.692 220.734.568 226.711.420 178.654.028
69.180.902
2009
344.240.187 276.630.280 263.734.014 206.991.469 102.934.370
2010
379.967.085 335.753.371 302.263.605 222.264.114 127.841.953
2011
489.106.664 456.531.093 377.250.966 288.511.901 164.137.582
2012
517.839.195 473.191.489 413.757.567 301.683.071 181.007.317
2013
648.250.177 606.370.242 488.498.242 370.716.158 211.427.283
2014 693.967.505 669.737.264 518.558.672 380.324.616 219.221.998
Sumber: laporan neraca bank umum pada bank indonesia (2016)
LAMPIRAN 2
DATA TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA DEPOSITO, INFLASI, BI RATE,
PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, DAN LIBOR TAHUN 2005 TRIWULAN 3
SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN 4
triwulan tsbd
tahun
Inflasi
bi-rate
pe
libor
2005 III
7,88
8,41
9,08
5,84
3,78
IV
10,62
17,79
12,00
5,11
4,33
2006 I
12,25
16,90
12,75
5,13
4,77
II
11,85
15,51
12,58
4,93
5,22
III
11,32
14,87
11,75
5,86
5,43
IV
10,23
6,05
10,25
6,06
5,37
2007 I
8,87
6,36
9,25
6,06
5,36
II
8,08
6,02
8,75
6,73
5,36
III
7,55
6,51
8,25
6,74
5,44
91
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
7,41
7,34
7,35
8,56
10,72
11,04
9,67
8,69
7,71
7,13
6,96
6,95
7,03
6,87
6,94
6,94
6,97
6,50
5,88
5,66
5,74
5,82
5,71
6,24
7,29
8,09
8,53
9,33
9,07
6,73
7,64
10,12
11,96
11,50
8,56
5,67
2,76
2,59
3,65
4,37
6,15
6,32
6,84
5,89
4,67
4,12
3,73
4,49
4,48
4,41
5,26
5,65
8,60
8,36
7,76
7,09
4,35
6,47
8,17
8,00
8,25
9,00
9,42
8,25
7,25
6,58
6,50
6,50
6,50
6,50
6,50
6,67
6,75
6,75
6,17
5,83
5,75
5,75
5,75
5,75
5,83
6,83
7,42
7,50
7,50
7,50
7,63
5,84
6,22
6,30
6,25
5,28
4,52
4,14
4,27
5,60
5,99
6,29
5,81
6,81
6,45
6,52
6,49
6,50
6,32
6,39
6,21
6,12
6,03
5,76
5,63
5,72
5,20
5,12
5,01
4,72
5,03
3,29
2,75
2,91
2,77
1,24
0,84
0,41
0,27
0,26
0,44
0,39
0,29
0,31
0,26
0,30
0,48
0,51
0,47
0,43
0,32
0,29
0,28
0,26
0,24
0,24
0,23
0,23
0,24
Sumber: Bank Indonesia dan ICE benhmark administration LIBOR (2016)
92
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN 3
DATA ROA, LDR, DAN CAR PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA,
(PERSERO), TBK TAHUN 2005 TRIWULAN 3 SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN
4
Tahun
Triwulan
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
II
III
IV
2012 I
II
III
IV
2013 I
II
III
IV
2014 I
Roa
Ldr
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
5
5
car
80
77
78
76
77
72
74
72
73
68
74
77
86
79
81
85
87
80
86
88
88
75
85
90
89
76
84
82
85
79
89
89
90
88
92
16
16
23
20
19
19
22
19
18
16
17
14
13
13
14
14
13
13
15
14
13
13
15
14
14
14
17
16
15
16
17
17
17
16
18
93
Universitas Sumatera Utara
II
III
IV
4
4
4
93
85
81
18
18
18
LAMPIRAN 4
ROA, LDR, DAN CAR BANK MANDIRI, (PERSERO), TBK
tahun
triwulan
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
II
III
IV
2012 I
II
III
IV
2013 I
II
ROA
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
LDR
55
49
50
52
53
55
55
53
55
52
56
59
62
56
61
60
60
59
61
64
69
65
67
73
76
71
78
81
82
77
80
82
CAR
23
23
25
25
25
25
27
25
22
21
22
17
17
15
15
14
14
15
15
14
13
13
18
16
16
15
17
16
16
15
17
15
94
Universitas Sumatera Utara
III
IV
2014 I
II
III
IV
3
3
3
3
3
3
85
82
86
85
84
82
15
14
16
16
16
16
LAMPIRAN 5
DATA ROA, LDR, CAR BANK CENTRAL ASIA, TBK TAHUN 2005
TRIWULAN 3 SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN 4
tahun
triwulan ROA
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
II
III
IV
2012 I
II
III
LDR
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
CAR
39
41
40
39
38
40
37
40
40
43
45
50
54
53
51
48
47
50
49
51
52
55
54
55
58
61
61
65
65
22
21
25
23
23
22
25
22
20
18
19
16
15
15
17
16
16
15
16
14
14
13
14
13
13
12
15
14
14
95
Universitas Sumatera Utara
IV
2013 I
II
III
IV
2014 I
II
III
IV
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
68
71
73
73
75
77
75
75
76
14
16
16
15
15
17
17
17
16
LAMPIRAN 6
DATA ROA, LDR, CAR PT BANK NEGARA INDONESIA (PERSERO),
TBK TAHUN 2005 TRIWULAN 3 SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN 4
tahun
triwulan ROA
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
II
III
IV
LDR
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
CAR
56
54
50
51
48
48
48
55
59
60
70
69
73
68
68
70
74
64
67
68
68
70
73
76
78
70
16
16
20
20
17
15
16
15
19
17
18
16
15
14
15
14
15
13
13
13
12
18
18
17
16
17
96
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2012 I
II
III
IV
2013 I
II
III
IV
2014 I
II
III
IV
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
74
73
76
77
82
84
84
85
88
80
85
87
18
16
17
16
17
16
15
15
15
15
16
16
LAMPIRAN 7
DATA ROA, LDR, CAR BANK CIMB NIAGA, TBK TAHUN 2005
TRIWULAN 3 SAMPAI 2014 TRIWULAN 4
tahun
triwulan ROA
2005 III
IV
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
LDR
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
CAR
90
85
87
90
88
84
87
95
95
79
92
93
93
87
85
87
90
95
87
84
88
87
89
17
17
18
18
17
17
19
18
17
18
16
15
14
16
16
15
15
13
12
12
12
13
14
97
Universitas Sumatera Utara
II
III
IV
2012 I
II
III
IV
2013 I
II
III
IV
2014 I
II
III
IV
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
92
92
92
94
96
91
92
83
95
89
90
94
93
94
95
13
13
13
15
15
15
15
16
15
15
15
16
16
16
15
LAMPIRAN 8
4.
HASIL PENGUJIAN PEMILIHAN MODEL DATA PANEL
DENGAN ORDINARY LEAST SQUARE (OLS)
Dependent Variable: TSBD?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 06/22/16 Time: 12:29
Sample: 2005Q3 2014Q4
Included observations: 38
Cross-sections included: 5
Total pool (unbalanced) observations: 189
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
INFLASI?
BIRATE?
PDB?
LIBOR?
ROA?
LDR?
CAR?
5.076141
-0.206121
1.349127
-0.715287
-0.263414
-0.042224
-0.005249
-0.056423
0.805855
0.024231
0.077580
0.072068
0.047009
0.039070
0.002731
0.017498
6.299071
-8.506451
17.39022
-9.925166
-5.603431
-1.080722
-1.921687
-3.224580
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.2813
0.0562
0.0015
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.920800
0.917737
0.513070
47.64652
-137.9643
300.6239
0.000000
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
8.078519
1.788856
1.544596
1.681812
1.600185
0.956663
98
Universitas Sumatera Utara
5.
HASIL PENGUJIAN PEMILIHAN MODEL DATA PANEL
DENGAN FIXED EFFECT MODEL (FEM)
Dependent Variable: TSBD?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 06/22/16 Time: 12:30
Sample: 2005Q3 2014Q4
Included observations: 38
Cross-sections included: 5
Total pool (unbalanced) observations: 189
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
INFLASI?
BIRATE?
PDB?
LIBOR?
ROA?
LDR?
CAR?
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_1--C
_2--C
_3--C
_4--C
_5--C
5.601954
-0.200706
1.339205
-0.698428
-0.289479
-0.133667
-0.009761
-0.054641
0.885654
0.024366
0.077803
0.072887
0.049273
0.073170
0.005640
0.018515
6.325218
-8.237036
17.21272
-9.582306
-5.875011
-1.826794
-1.730704
-2.951123
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0694
0.0852
0.0036
0.256190
-0.005949
-0.096448
-0.172647
0.018697
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.923405
0.918645
0.510232
46.07967
-134.8044
193.9867
0.000000
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
8.078519
1.788856
1.553486
1.759311
1.636871
0.980518
99
Universitas Sumatera Utara
6.
HASIL UJI HETEROKEDASTISITAS
Dependent Variable: TSBD?
Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 06/22/16 Time: 12:31
Sample: 2005Q3 2014Q4
Included observations: 38
Cross-sections included: 5
Total pool (unbalanced) observations: 189
White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
INFLASI?
BIRATE?
PDB?
LIBOR?
ROA?
LDR?
CAR?
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_1--C
_2--C
_3--C
_4--C
_5--C
5.601954
-0.200706
1.339205
-0.698428
-0.289479
-0.133667
-0.009761
-0.054641
1.906500
0.043227
0.122167
0.166677
0.078305
0.058752
0.006477
0.024675
2.938344
-4.643057
10.96209
-4.190314
-3.696812
-2.275122
-1.507135
-2.214389
0.0037
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0003
0.0241
0.1336
0.0281
0.256190
-0.005949
-0.096448
-0.172647
0.018697
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.923405
0.918645
0.510232
46.07967
-134.8044
193.9867
0.000000
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
8.078519
1.788856
1.553486
1.759311
1.636871
0.980518
100
Universitas Sumatera Utara