Analisis Permintaan Ayam Bukan Ras (Buras) di Provinsi Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN
Lampiran 1. Data Analisis Regresi Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Ayam Buras
No.
Tahun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Permintaan
(Ton)
25927
23856
21956
18320
12705
12973
13103
13430
14314
18435
16648
Produksi
(Ton)
26065
24284
22505
18353
12782
12983
13112
13366
14273
18390
16606
Harga
(Ekor/bh)
23000
22000
25000
33000
37500
39000
40000
38125
55500
55500
58000
Harga Ayam
Ras (Ekor/bh)
10000
15000
11500
13875
16000
17500
16500
16273
18146
19730
19450
Sumber : Dinas Peternakan Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2000, 2010, dan
Jumlah Konsumsi
protein (ton)
1072800
777600
1353600
1634400
604800
525600
687600
730800
802800
727200
983500
2014
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 2. Hasil Analisis Regresi: Histogram, Normal P-Plot, dan Scatterplot
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 3. Hasil Analisis Regresi: Model Summary
b
Model Summary
Model
1
R
1.000
R Square
a
Adjusted R
Std. Error of the
Square
Estimate
.999
.999
Change Statistics
R Square Change
156.602
.999
F Change
df1
2271.910
df2
4
Sig. F Change
6
Durbin-Watson
.000
a. Predictors: (Constant), Konsumsi_Protein, Harga_Ayam_Buras, Produksi, Harga_Ayam_Ras
b. Dependent Variable: Permintaan_Ayam_Buras
Lampiran 4. Hasil Analisis Regresi: Anova
b
ANOVA
Model
1
Sum of Squares
Regression
Residual
Total
df
Mean Square
2.229E8
4
5.572E7
147144.572
6
24524.095
2.230E8
10
F
2.272E3
Sig.
.000
a
a. Predictors: (Constant), Konsumsi_Protein, Harga_Ayam_Buras, Produksi, Harga_Ayam_Ras
b. Dependent Variable: Permintaan_Ayam_Buras
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2.610
Lampiran 5. Hasil Analisis Regresi: Coefficients
Coefficients
Model
1
(Constant)
a
Unstandardized
Standardized
95% Confidence Interval for
Collinearity
Coefficients
Coefficients
B
Statistics
B
Std. Error
Beta
t
Sig. Lower Bound Upper Bound
Tolerance
VIF
209.570
648.450
.323
.758
-1377.131
1796.270
Produksi
.982
.014
1.011 69.400
.000
.948
1.017
.518
1.929
Harga ayam buras
.013
.009
.035
1.407
.209
-.009
.035
.177
5.642
-.027
.044
-.018
-.626
.554
-.135
.080
.136
7.373
Konsumsi protein -5.977E-5
.000
-.004
-.292
.780
.000
.000
.514
1.945
Harga ayam ras
a. Dependent Variable: Permintaan_Ayam_Buras
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 1. Data Analisis Regresi Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Ayam Buras
No.
Tahun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Permintaan
(Ton)
25927
23856
21956
18320
12705
12973
13103
13430
14314
18435
16648
Produksi
(Ton)
26065
24284
22505
18353
12782
12983
13112
13366
14273
18390
16606
Harga
(Ekor/bh)
23000
22000
25000
33000
37500
39000
40000
38125
55500
55500
58000
Harga Ayam
Ras (Ekor/bh)
10000
15000
11500
13875
16000
17500
16500
16273
18146
19730
19450
Sumber : Dinas Peternakan Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2000, 2010, dan
Jumlah Konsumsi
protein (ton)
1072800
777600
1353600
1634400
604800
525600
687600
730800
802800
727200
983500
2014
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 2. Hasil Analisis Regresi: Histogram, Normal P-Plot, dan Scatterplot
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Lampiran 3. Hasil Analisis Regresi: Model Summary
b
Model Summary
Model
1
R
1.000
R Square
a
Adjusted R
Std. Error of the
Square
Estimate
.999
.999
Change Statistics
R Square Change
156.602
.999
F Change
df1
2271.910
df2
4
Sig. F Change
6
Durbin-Watson
.000
a. Predictors: (Constant), Konsumsi_Protein, Harga_Ayam_Buras, Produksi, Harga_Ayam_Ras
b. Dependent Variable: Permintaan_Ayam_Buras
Lampiran 4. Hasil Analisis Regresi: Anova
b
ANOVA
Model
1
Sum of Squares
Regression
Residual
Total
df
Mean Square
2.229E8
4
5.572E7
147144.572
6
24524.095
2.230E8
10
F
2.272E3
Sig.
.000
a
a. Predictors: (Constant), Konsumsi_Protein, Harga_Ayam_Buras, Produksi, Harga_Ayam_Ras
b. Dependent Variable: Permintaan_Ayam_Buras
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2.610
Lampiran 5. Hasil Analisis Regresi: Coefficients
Coefficients
Model
1
(Constant)
a
Unstandardized
Standardized
95% Confidence Interval for
Collinearity
Coefficients
Coefficients
B
Statistics
B
Std. Error
Beta
t
Sig. Lower Bound Upper Bound
Tolerance
VIF
209.570
648.450
.323
.758
-1377.131
1796.270
Produksi
.982
.014
1.011 69.400
.000
.948
1.017
.518
1.929
Harga ayam buras
.013
.009
.035
1.407
.209
-.009
.035
.177
5.642
-.027
.044
-.018
-.626
.554
-.135
.080
.136
7.373
Konsumsi protein -5.977E-5
.000
-.004
-.292
.780
.000
.000
.514
1.945
Harga ayam ras
a. Dependent Variable: Permintaan_Ayam_Buras
Universitas Sumatera Utara