Pengaruh Distress Risk,Firm Size, Dan Book To Market Ratio Terhadapreturn Saham Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode Tahun 2010 – 2014
Lampiran 1. Nilai Z-Score, Firm Size, Book to Market Ratio dan ReturnSaham
Perusahaan Manufaktur Periode 2010 - 2014
1.158.796
1.163.485
1.115.680
1.256.986
1.321.919
Book to
Market
Ratio
0,1045870
0,1198530
0,1124580
0,1204850
0,189118
0,0245860
0,0398700
0,0256370
0,0399870
0,0717500
0,698310
0,699450
0,708960
0,756800
1,007430
39.650
39.940
41.683
42.510
49.092
0,1563280
0,1659830
0,1885603
0,1926774
0,1995283
0,0532600
0,0543250
0,0568900
0,0593580
0,1109270
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
0,638900
0,679642
0,738905
0,834919
1,364384
1.189.760
1.308.645
1.338.936
1.339.380
1.458.615
0,0634560
0,0653280
0,0663487
0,0673584
0,0766369
0,0245890
0,0193580
0,0296590
0,0369450
0,0889630
PT. Goodyear Indonesia Tbk.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
0,653968
0,669358
0,670347
0,673980
0,701987
69.358
72.340
74.001
74.150
81.201
0,1559835
0,1563284
0,1593568
0,1613247
0,1805046
0,0125360
0,0129830
0,0130250
0,0151690
0,0133850
PT. Unilever Indonesia Tbk.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
6,789010
6,893140
6,900560
7,005910
7,582480
1.287.254
1.232.890
1.394.258
1.338.900
2.061.136
0,0101254
0,0103586
0,0115681
0,0114587
0,0203982
0,0458670
0,0483560
0,0499320
0,0504870
0,0906300
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
1,589325
1,602590
1,639897
1,668720
1,763308
105.890
108.970
110.840
111.015
118.355
0,198546
0,203684
0,209876
0,219289
0,26505
0,0123990
0,0136070
0,0140280
0,0144690
0,0204890
No
EMITEN
Tahun
Distress
Risk
Firm Size
1
PT. Gudang Garam Tbk.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
0,259700
0,387570
0,485700
0,658900
1,766380
2
PT. Sepatu Bata Tbk.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
3
PT. Indocement Tunggal Tbk.
4
5
6
PT. Tenders Tbk.
Return
Saham
74
Lampiran 2. Output Uji Asumsi Klasik
Regression
Variables Entered/Removed
Model
1
Variables
Variables
Entered
Removed
Method
Book_To_Market
. Enter
_Ratio,
Firm_Size,
Distress_Risk
a
a. All requested variables entered.
Coefficient Correlations
a
Book_To_Market
Model
1
_Ratio
Correlations
Book_To_Market_Ratio
Covariances
Firm_Size
Distress_Risk
1.000
.301
.475
Firm_Size
.301
1.000
-.273
Distress_Risk
.475
-.273
1.000
Book_To_Market_Ratio
.007
.002
.001
Firm_Size
.002
.006
.000
Distress_Risk
.001
.000
.001
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
Collinearity Diagnostics
a
Variance Proportions
Dimensi
Book_To_Market
Model
on
Eigenvalue
Condition Index
(Constant)
Distress_Risk
Firm_Size
_Ratio
1
1
2.794
1.000
.01
.03
.03
.01
2
.886
1.776
.01
.12
.04
.12
3
.253
3.324
.00
.56
.70
.01
4
.067
6.460
.98
.29
.23
.85
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
75
a
Residuals Statistics
Minimum
Predicted Value
Maximum
Mean
Std. Deviation
N
90,276.66
757,437.19
387,822.00
154,950.712
30
-1.920
2.385
.000
1.000
30
62982.703
122626.242
81219.919
14722.068
30
59,655.65
695,273.19
384,607.11
157,061.201
30
-289,078.031
632,663.438
.000
213,929.332
30
Std. Residual
-1.279
2.800
.000
.947
30
Stud. Residual
-1.352
3.032
.007
1.011
30
-322,931.844
741,510.563
3,214.894
244,152.557
30
-1.375
3.697
.037
1.100
30
Mahal. Distance
1.287
7.576
2.900
1.463
30
Cook's Distance
.000
.395
.035
.075
30
Centered Leverage Value
.044
.261
.100
.050
30
Std. Predicted Value
Standard Error of Predicted
Value
Adjusted Predicted Value
Residual
Deleted Residual
Stud. Deleted Residual
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
76
Lampiran 3. Output Analisis Linier Berganda
Regression
Casewise Diagnostics
a
Case
Number
Std. Residual
Return_Saham
Predicted Value
Residual
1
-.699
245,860
403,770.43
-157,910.425
2
-.207
398,700
445,423.19
-46,723.194
3
-.753
256,370
426,551.61
-170,181.611
4
-.339
399,870
476,565.58
-76,695.579
5
1.756
717,500
320,721.09
396,778.908
6
.754
532,600
362,201.88
170,398.123
7
.706
543,250
383,806.38
159,443.622
8
.593
568,900
434,867.91
134,032.090
9
.650
593,580
446,752.19
146,827.811
10
2.800
1,109,270
476,606.58
632,663.425
11
-.406
245,890
337,674.06
-91,784.057
12
-.751
193,580
363,213.10
-169,633.096
13
-.341
296,590
373,571.63
-76,981.633
14
-.051
369,450
381,078.30
-11,628.303
15
1.948
889,630
449,566.54
440,063.458
16
-1.055
125,360
363,829.74
-238,469.740
17
-1.045
129,830
365,909.91
-236,079.908
18
-1.074
130,250
372,973.68
-242,723.684
19
-1.000
151,690
377,575.36
-225,885.364
20
-1.279
133,850
422,928.03
-289,078.025
21
-.479
458,670
566,911.27
-108,241.267
22
-.357
483,560
564,289.82
-80,729.823
23
-.416
499,320
593,404.02
-94,084.024
24
-.376
504,870
589,925.43
-85,055.433
25
.659
906,300
757,437.21
148,862.790
26
.030
123,990
117,171.11
6,818.886
27
.073
136,070
119,528.33
16,541.673
77
28
.075
140,280
123,223.94
17,056.063
29
.079
144,690
126,905.02
17,784.977
30
.507
204,890
90,276.66
114,613.340
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
a
Residuals Statistics
Minimum
Predicted Value
Maximum
Mean
Std. Deviation
N
90,276.66
757,437.19
387,822.00
154,950.712
30
-289,078.031
632,663.438
.000
213,929.332
30
Std. Predicted Value
-1.920
2.385
.000
1.000
30
Std. Residual
-1.279
2.800
.000
.947
30
Residual
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
78
Perusahaan Manufaktur Periode 2010 - 2014
1.158.796
1.163.485
1.115.680
1.256.986
1.321.919
Book to
Market
Ratio
0,1045870
0,1198530
0,1124580
0,1204850
0,189118
0,0245860
0,0398700
0,0256370
0,0399870
0,0717500
0,698310
0,699450
0,708960
0,756800
1,007430
39.650
39.940
41.683
42.510
49.092
0,1563280
0,1659830
0,1885603
0,1926774
0,1995283
0,0532600
0,0543250
0,0568900
0,0593580
0,1109270
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
0,638900
0,679642
0,738905
0,834919
1,364384
1.189.760
1.308.645
1.338.936
1.339.380
1.458.615
0,0634560
0,0653280
0,0663487
0,0673584
0,0766369
0,0245890
0,0193580
0,0296590
0,0369450
0,0889630
PT. Goodyear Indonesia Tbk.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
0,653968
0,669358
0,670347
0,673980
0,701987
69.358
72.340
74.001
74.150
81.201
0,1559835
0,1563284
0,1593568
0,1613247
0,1805046
0,0125360
0,0129830
0,0130250
0,0151690
0,0133850
PT. Unilever Indonesia Tbk.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
6,789010
6,893140
6,900560
7,005910
7,582480
1.287.254
1.232.890
1.394.258
1.338.900
2.061.136
0,0101254
0,0103586
0,0115681
0,0114587
0,0203982
0,0458670
0,0483560
0,0499320
0,0504870
0,0906300
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
1,589325
1,602590
1,639897
1,668720
1,763308
105.890
108.970
110.840
111.015
118.355
0,198546
0,203684
0,209876
0,219289
0,26505
0,0123990
0,0136070
0,0140280
0,0144690
0,0204890
No
EMITEN
Tahun
Distress
Risk
Firm Size
1
PT. Gudang Garam Tbk.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
0,259700
0,387570
0,485700
0,658900
1,766380
2
PT. Sepatu Bata Tbk.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
3
PT. Indocement Tunggal Tbk.
4
5
6
PT. Tenders Tbk.
Return
Saham
74
Lampiran 2. Output Uji Asumsi Klasik
Regression
Variables Entered/Removed
Model
1
Variables
Variables
Entered
Removed
Method
Book_To_Market
. Enter
_Ratio,
Firm_Size,
Distress_Risk
a
a. All requested variables entered.
Coefficient Correlations
a
Book_To_Market
Model
1
_Ratio
Correlations
Book_To_Market_Ratio
Covariances
Firm_Size
Distress_Risk
1.000
.301
.475
Firm_Size
.301
1.000
-.273
Distress_Risk
.475
-.273
1.000
Book_To_Market_Ratio
.007
.002
.001
Firm_Size
.002
.006
.000
Distress_Risk
.001
.000
.001
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
Collinearity Diagnostics
a
Variance Proportions
Dimensi
Book_To_Market
Model
on
Eigenvalue
Condition Index
(Constant)
Distress_Risk
Firm_Size
_Ratio
1
1
2.794
1.000
.01
.03
.03
.01
2
.886
1.776
.01
.12
.04
.12
3
.253
3.324
.00
.56
.70
.01
4
.067
6.460
.98
.29
.23
.85
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
75
a
Residuals Statistics
Minimum
Predicted Value
Maximum
Mean
Std. Deviation
N
90,276.66
757,437.19
387,822.00
154,950.712
30
-1.920
2.385
.000
1.000
30
62982.703
122626.242
81219.919
14722.068
30
59,655.65
695,273.19
384,607.11
157,061.201
30
-289,078.031
632,663.438
.000
213,929.332
30
Std. Residual
-1.279
2.800
.000
.947
30
Stud. Residual
-1.352
3.032
.007
1.011
30
-322,931.844
741,510.563
3,214.894
244,152.557
30
-1.375
3.697
.037
1.100
30
Mahal. Distance
1.287
7.576
2.900
1.463
30
Cook's Distance
.000
.395
.035
.075
30
Centered Leverage Value
.044
.261
.100
.050
30
Std. Predicted Value
Standard Error of Predicted
Value
Adjusted Predicted Value
Residual
Deleted Residual
Stud. Deleted Residual
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
76
Lampiran 3. Output Analisis Linier Berganda
Regression
Casewise Diagnostics
a
Case
Number
Std. Residual
Return_Saham
Predicted Value
Residual
1
-.699
245,860
403,770.43
-157,910.425
2
-.207
398,700
445,423.19
-46,723.194
3
-.753
256,370
426,551.61
-170,181.611
4
-.339
399,870
476,565.58
-76,695.579
5
1.756
717,500
320,721.09
396,778.908
6
.754
532,600
362,201.88
170,398.123
7
.706
543,250
383,806.38
159,443.622
8
.593
568,900
434,867.91
134,032.090
9
.650
593,580
446,752.19
146,827.811
10
2.800
1,109,270
476,606.58
632,663.425
11
-.406
245,890
337,674.06
-91,784.057
12
-.751
193,580
363,213.10
-169,633.096
13
-.341
296,590
373,571.63
-76,981.633
14
-.051
369,450
381,078.30
-11,628.303
15
1.948
889,630
449,566.54
440,063.458
16
-1.055
125,360
363,829.74
-238,469.740
17
-1.045
129,830
365,909.91
-236,079.908
18
-1.074
130,250
372,973.68
-242,723.684
19
-1.000
151,690
377,575.36
-225,885.364
20
-1.279
133,850
422,928.03
-289,078.025
21
-.479
458,670
566,911.27
-108,241.267
22
-.357
483,560
564,289.82
-80,729.823
23
-.416
499,320
593,404.02
-94,084.024
24
-.376
504,870
589,925.43
-85,055.433
25
.659
906,300
757,437.21
148,862.790
26
.030
123,990
117,171.11
6,818.886
27
.073
136,070
119,528.33
16,541.673
77
28
.075
140,280
123,223.94
17,056.063
29
.079
144,690
126,905.02
17,784.977
30
.507
204,890
90,276.66
114,613.340
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
a
Residuals Statistics
Minimum
Predicted Value
Maximum
Mean
Std. Deviation
N
90,276.66
757,437.19
387,822.00
154,950.712
30
-289,078.031
632,663.438
.000
213,929.332
30
Std. Predicted Value
-1.920
2.385
.000
1.000
30
Std. Residual
-1.279
2.800
.000
.947
30
Residual
a. Dependent Variable: Return_Saham
78