Results difficult to interpret the figures on numbers of dead

L . Wallin et al. Livestock Production Science 63 2000 275 –289 279 The survival of warmblood and coldblood horses Table 2. The probabilities of death for the males in the CHF data was studied using model 4 without were higher for almost all ages compared with the any explanatory variable, but analysed separately for mares. A slightly higher probability of death was each sex. The dependent variable was length of life, noted for the age group 11 years than for other ages defined as year of death or censoring, minus year of of the mares. Thus, the tendency was that mares birth. The same procedure was applied to the stud lived longer than males. The mares had a 14-years book data of brood-mares. survival rate of 72 compared with 51 for the Frequencies of diseases leading to death were males. 2 tested for sex differences by x -analysis using SAS, Among the CHF warmblood geldings few died 1989. before the age of 7, Table 3. Higher probabilities of death were seen in the age groups 7 to 9 years for geldings. The 14-years survival rate was 53. It was

4. Results difficult to interpret the figures on numbers of dead

mares because there were so few mares in the study. 4.1. Probability of death No geldings among the coldblood horses had died at the age of 3 and 4 years, and no mares before the The number of dead horses in the RHQT data age of 6, Table 4. Few mares had died before the age study was 503 and the distribution between sexes of 9. The probability of death was rather low before showed more dead males than mares 339 164, the age of 11 for both sexes. At the age of 14 Table 2 Lifetable for horses in the Riding Horse Quality Test data, distributed by age and sex Year Males Mares x No. at With- Deaths Prob. Cumulative No. at With- Deaths Prob. of Cumulative start drawn d of death prob. of start drawn d death prob. of x x b b n during q surviving x n during q surviving x x x x x year years year years a c a c W P W P x x x x 4 983 6 0.0061 0.9939 864 0.0000 1.0000 5 977 34 0.0348 0.9593 864 24 0.0278 0.9722 6 943 51 0.0541 0.9074 840 22 0.0262 0.9468 7 892 48 0.0538 0.8586 818 14 0.0171 0.9306 8 844 134 52 0.0669 0.8011 804 121 17 0.0229 0.9093 9 658 106 41 0.0678 0.7468 666 117 21 0.0346 0.8778 10 511 103 34 0.0740 0.6916 528 111 16 0.0339 0.8481 11 374 81 27 0.0810 0.6356 401 118 19 0.0556 0.8010 12 266 86 14 0.0628 0.5957 264 66 5 0.0216 0.7837 13 166 33 10 0.0669 0.5558 193 46 6 0.0353 0.7560 14 123 31 8 0.0744 0.5145 141 59 6 0.0538 0.7153 15 84 13 4 0.0516 0.4879 76 11 5 0.0709 0.6646 16 67 25 5 0.0917 0.4432 60 18 2 0.0392 0.6385 17 37 17 5 0.1754 0.3654 40 13 3 0.0896 0.5813 18 15 2 0.0000 0.3654 24 5 1 0.0465 0.5543 19 13 6 0.0000 0.3654 18 7 0.0000 0.5543 20 7 5 0.0000 0.3654 11 5 3 0.3529 0.3587 21 2 1 0.0000 0.3654 3 3 0.0000 0.3587 22 1 1 0.0000 0.3654 n5 983 339 864 164 a W 5 n 2 n 2 d . x x x 11 x b q 5 d r r number at risk5n 2 0.5 w . x x x ; x x x c P 5 p P p prob. of surviving year x 51 2 q . x x x 21; x x 280 L . Wallin et al. Livestock Production Science 63 2000 275 –289 Table 3 Lifetable for warmblood geldings of the Cavalry Horse Foundation, distributed by age Year Number With- Deaths Prob. Cumulative x at start drawn d of death prob. of x b n during q surviving x x x year years a c W P x x 3 306 1 0.0033 0.9967 4 305 3 0.0098 0.9869 5 302 7 0.0232 0.9641 6 295 5 0.0169 0.9477 7 290 22 0.0759 0.8758 8 268 14 0.0522 0.8301 9 254 19 0.0748 0.7680 10 235 9 0.0383 0.7386 11 226 15 0.0664 0.6895 12 211 15 0.0711 0.6405 13 196 17 0.0867 0.5850 14 179 22 16 0.0952 0.5293 15 141 27 18 0.1412 0.4545 16 96 26 9 0.1084 0.4053 17 61 23 8 0.1616 0.3398 18 30 15 2 0.0889 0.3096 19 13 8 5 0.5556 0.1376 n 5 306 185 a W 5 n 2 n 2 d . x x x 11 x b q 5 d r r number at risk5n 2 0.5 w . x x x ; x x x c P 5 p P p prob. of surviving year x 51 2 q . x x x 21; x x geldings had a survival rate of 69 and the mares group was introduced as an explanatory variable in 62. the model. The estimated median length of life for Table 5 shows that rather few warmblood brood- both sexes born in the second and third birth-year mares died before the age of 10 years, although a groups 1976–1979 and 1980–1982, respectively slightly higher probability of death was seen at the were significantly longer P ,0.05 than for those age of 7. The number of dead mares increased from born in the first group 1968–1975. the age of 11, with a critical age at 16 where the For warmblood brood-mares and mares that par- probability of death was rather high. ticipated in the RHQT and born between 1968 and 1975, comparable figures of 18.6 and 18.3 years 4.2. Length of life were found. Close agreement was also found be- tween geldings of the CHF and males that had The results from the survival analyses of all three participated in the RHQT and that were born be- datasets are reported in Table 6. The median length tween 1968 and 1975; the estimates were 14.7 and of life is given for each group of horses, by sex. 13.9 years, respectively. Average standard errors are given from the replicated There was a significant difference P ,0.05 in analyses conducted. length of life between coldblood geldings and mares The median length of life for all mares that from the CHF. The difference in length of life participated in the RHQT regardless of birth of year between warmblood geldings and coldblood geldings was 22.2 years SE51.2, a statistically significant from the CHF was highly significant P ,0.001. A difference of 7.5 years compared with the males. small difference P ,0.05 was found between mares There was a positive trend in the median length of that participated in the RHQT and born between life over time. This was shown when birth-year 1968 and 1975 and coldblood mares. L . Wallin et al. Livestock Production Science 63 2000 275 –289 281 Table 4 Lifetable for coldblood horses of the Cavalry Horse Foundation, distributed by age and sex Year Geldings Mares x No. at With- Deaths Prob. Cumulative No. at With- Deaths Prob. of Cumulative start drawn d of death prob. of start drawn d death prob. of x x b b n during q surviving x n during q surviving x x x x x year years year years a c a c W P W P x x x x 3 115 0.0000 1.0000 89 0.0000 1.0000 4 115 0.0000 1.0000 89 0.0000 1.0000 5 115 3 0.0261 0.9739 89 0.0000 1.0000 6 112 1 0.0089 0.9652 89 1 0.0112 0.9888 7 111 4 0.0360 0.9304 88 1 0.0114 0.9775 8 107 4 0.0374 0.8957 87 1 0.0115 0.9663 9 103 3 0.0291 0.8696 86 2 0.0233 0.9438 10 100 2 0.0200 0.8522 84 3 0.0357 0.9101 11 98 6 0.0612 0.8000 81 5 0.0617 0.8539 12 92 3 0.0326 0.7739 76 4 0.0526 0.8090 13 89 5 0.0562 0.7304 72 7 0.0972 0.7303 14 84 10 4 0.0506 0.6935 65 14 9 0.1552 0.6170 15 70 9 7 0.1069 0.6193 42 11 3 0.0822 0.5663 16 54 14 4 0.0851 0.5666 28 6 3 0.1200 0.4983 17 36 7 3 0.0923 0.5143 19 7 0.0000 0.4983 18 26 13 2 0.1026 0.4616 12 6 1 0.1111 0.4430 19 11 8 3 0.4286 0.2638 5 2 3 0.7500 0.1107 n 5 115 54 89 43 a W 5 n 2 n 2 d . x x x 11 x b q 5 d r r number at risk5n 2 0.5 w . x x x ; x x x c P 5 p P p prob. of surviving year x 51 2 q . x x x 21; x x Accumulated percentages of dead horses for the comprised about the same proportion 9 of the three birth-year groups in the RHQT data are shown dead horses. in Fig. 2. Horses in the three groups were able to Table 8 shows different diseases within the pre- reach the age of 15, 11 and 8 years, respectively. The dominant group, the musculoskeletal system. Dis- curves show a positive trend in accumulated per- eases of the joints were associated with 45 of all centages of dead horses for the three age groups. deaths in this group and degenerative joint disease According to the curves, horses born between 1980 was the most frequent within that. Fewer than 6 of and 1982 had a longer expected lifespan than had the the horses in this group were diagnosed as having other two groups. osteochondrosis. As regards other skeleton problems, fractures predominated, but navicular disease also constituted a rather large group. Almost 14 of the 4.3. Causes of culling and death horses were culled due to lameness, but more specific causes of the problems were not given. 4.3.1. Swedish Riding Horse Quality Test data Diseases of the back, including the sacroiliac joint, Table 7 shows that diseases of the musculoskeletal and of tendons constituted together 13 of all deaths system were the predominant cause of death, ac- from diseases of the musculoskeletal system. counting for about 55 of the dead warmblood In the accident category, horses on pasture had the horses. This was the major cause of death in both highest frequency 30. However, in nearly as sexes, although there was a highly significant differ- many of the cases, the accident was not defined. ence among them. Accidents and diseases of the Road traffic accidents and fire were the causes of respiratory system were much less common and death of about 2 and 1, respectively, in all cases. 282 L . Wallin et al. Livestock Production Science 63 2000 275 –289 Table 5 Lifetable for warmblood stud book brood-mares Year No. With- Deaths Prob. Cumulative x at start drawn d of death prob. of x b n during q surviving x x x year years a c W P x x 4 481 1 0.0021 0.9979 5 480 2 1 0.0021 0.9958 6 477 3 3 0.0063 0.9896 7 471 6 19 0.0406 0.9494 8 446 2 4 0.0090 0.9408 9 440 1 8 0.0182 0.9237 10 431 6 4 0.0093 0.9151 11 421 3 13 0.0310 0.8867 12 405 10 17 0.0425 0.8490 13 378 17 22 0.0595 0.7985 14 339 16 25 0.0755 0.7382 15 298 8 21 0.0714 0.6855 16 269 11 37 0.1404 0.5892 17 221 17 25 0.1176 0.5199 18 179 25 23 0.1381 0.4481 19 131 20 1 0.0826 0.4110 20 101 4 9 0.0909 0.3737 21 88 11 10 0.1212 0.3284 22 67 9 8 0.1280 0.2863 23 50 18 3 0.0732 0.2654 24 29 19 2 0.1026 0.2382 25 8 6 1 0.2000 0.1905 26 1 1 0.0000 0.1905 n 5 481 266 a W 5 n 2 n 2 d . x x x 11 x b q 5 d r r number at risk5n 2 0.5 w . x x x ; x x x c P 5 p P p prob. of surviving year x 51 2 q . x x x 21; x x Table 6 Estimated median length of life years and standard errors SE according to survival analyses of the different horse populations Horse category Birth year Males Mares Difference mares–males Number Length Number Length of life of life a Riding horse quality 1968–1975 176 13.960.8 116 18.361.4 4.4 a Tested warmblood 1976–1979 370 15.360.8 366 22.061.9 6.7 a horses 1980–1982 437 16.061.1 382 26.563.8 10.5 a Total 1968–1982 983 14.760.5 864 22.261.2 7.5 Cavalry horses Warmblood 1970–1975 306 14.760.4 b Coldblood 1970–1975 115 17.660.8 89 16.460.6 21.2 Warmblood stud 1965–1967 481 18.660.4 book mares a Significance tests between mares and males: P ,0.001. b Significance tests between mares and males: P ,0.05. L . Wallin et al. Livestock Production Science 63 2000 275 –289 283 Table 8 Numbers of deaths attributed to diseases of the musculoskeletal system among horses in the Riding Horse Quality Test data a Site of disease injury Number Percentage Joints 125 44.8 Degenerative joint disease 101 36.2 Osteochondrosis 16 5.7 Miscellaneous 6 2.2 Upward patella fixation 2 0.7 Skeleton 80 28.7 Fractures 46 16.5 Navicular disease 34 12.2 Diseases of the back 21 7.5 including the sacroiliac joint Vertebrae joints 11 3.9 Undefined 7 2.5 Fig. 2. Accumulated percentages of dead horses of both sexes in Myopathies 3 1.1 the Riding Horse Quality Test, distributed by birth-year group; b Tendons 15 5.4 1968–1975 -j-, 1976–1979 -m-, 1980–1982 -d-. Undefined lameness 38 13.6 Total 279 100.0 Almost all horses 42 of 45 included in the a Percent of horses whose death was attributable due to diseases category diseases of the respiratory system had been of the musculoskeletal system. culled because of chronic obstructive pulmonary b The cause was tendinitis in all cases. disease. Diseases of the digestive system were dominated by gastrointestinal displacement 22 of 28. wobbler syndrome and temperamental disorders 10 Diseases of the nervous system constituted a and 5 of 27, respectively. significantly greater problem for geldings than for Of the horses put down because of hoof problems mares, the main causes being as different as the 12 of 23 were culled because of laminitis. Other Table 7 Causes of death of horses in the Riding Horse Quality Test data, distributed by sex Cause of death Number Percentage Total Males Mares Total Males Mares a Musculoskeletal system 279 204 75 55.5 60.1 45.7 Accidents 46 27 19 9.1 8.0 11.6 Respiratory system 45 29 16 8.9 8.6 9.8 Digestive system 28 16 12 5.6 4.7 7.3 b Nervous system 27 21 6 5.4 6.2 3.6 Hoof 23 15 8 4.6 4.4 4.9 Circulatory system 13 5 8 2.6 1.5 4.9 Tumours 7 7 1.4 2.1 0.0 Reproductive tract 7 7 1.4 0.0 4.3 Urinary system 2 2 0.4 0.6 0.0 Infectious diseases 1 1 0.2 0.3 0.0 Miscellaneous 4 4 0.8 0.0 2.4 Unknown 21 12 9 4.2 3.5 5.5 Total 503 339 164 100.0 100.0 100.0 a Significance tests between sexes: P ,0.001. b Significance tests between sexes: P ,0.05. 284 L . Wallin et al. Livestock Production Science 63 2000 275 –289 causes were ossification of collateral cartilages of the were navicular disease and fractures. Chronic ob- distal phalanx sidebones 5 and pedal osteitis 3. structive pulmonary disease was the cause of culling Among diseases of the circulatory system, 9 of 13 of all horses in the second largest group Table 9. horses died of cardiac disorders acute chronic. Diseases of the digestive system were dominated by The proportions of dead horses in the three most colic of an undefined nature seven of ten. As frequent groups of diseases causing death, distributed regards hoof diseases, most horses were culled according to age, are shown in Fig. 3. Musculoskele- because of laminitis four of seven. Causes of death tal problems constituted a relatively more common due to diseases of the nervous system were divided cause of death in the age range 7 to 10 years than at between temperamental disorders and wobbler younger and older ages. Young horses were more syndrome three and two of six, respectively. often the victim of accidents than of diseases of the Lymphangitis caused the death of four of five horses respiratory system. The latter category showed an among those with diseases of the circulatory system. increasing incidence with age. The figures at the ages Unfortunately, 14 of the dead horses did not have of 4 years and 12–14 years are, however, based on any documented cause of death. small numbers of horses and must be interpreted Among the coldblood horses, temperamental dis- with caution. orders were the most common cause of culling 20 of 22. Diseases of the musculoskeletal system 4.3.2. Swedish Cavalry Horse Foundation data constituted a large group too, undefined lameness Diseases of the musculoskeletal system were the being the most frequent cause of culling. The third cause of most deaths among warmblood horses, and group concerned hoof diseases, where sidebones and the primary cause of culling for both sexes, Table 9. laminitis were the cause of culling for four and three Table 10 shows that 55 of the dead horses had horses of eight, respectively. The number of un- joint diseases, practically all being degenerative joint known causes of death among the coldblood horses disease. The dominant causes of skeletal problems was rather high 26. Fig. 3. Relative percentage distribution of major causes of death in different age groups for horses in the Riding Horse Quality Test: diseases of the musculoskeletal system -♦-, diseases of the respiratory system -m- and accidents -d-. Total numbers of dead horses in each age group given in parentheses. L . Wallin et al. Livestock Production Science 63 2000 275 –289 285 Table 9 Causes of death among warmblood and coldblood horses in the Cavalry Horse Foundation data for geldings G and mares M Cause of death Warmblood Coldblood Total number Number Total number Number n G M n G M Musculoskeletal system 119 57.2 107 12 13 13.4 6 7 Respiratory system 17 8.2 15 2 2 2.1 2 Digestive system 10 4.8 9 1 6 6.2 4 2 Hoof 7 3.4 6 1 8 8.2 7 1 Nervous system 6 2.9 5 1 22 22.7 14 8 Accidents 5 2.4 3 2 3 3.1 3 Circulatory system 5 2.4 5 0.0 Tumours 3 1.4 3 0.0 Poisoning 1 0.5 1 0.0 Infectious diseases 0.0 1 1.0 1 Eye diseases 1 0.5 1 1 1.0 1 Miscellaneous 5 2.4 4 1 15 15.5 10 5 Unknown 29 13.9 27 2 26 26.8 11 15 Total 208 100.0 185 23 97 100.0 54 43 Table 10 be explained by the fact that mares have a value as Numbers of deaths attributed to diseases of the musculoskeletal breeding animals besides riding and competition, system among warmblood horses in the Cavalry Horse Foundation which geldings do not. It was shown in the study, data that a large proportion of the mares that participated a Site of disease injury Number Percentage in the RHQT also were used for breeding. Joints 65 54.6 The brood-mares born between 1965 and 1967 Degenerative joint disease 62 52.0 were included in this study for the purpose of Osteochondrosis 1 0.8 understanding more about length of life in mares. Miscellaneous 2 1.7 This group was expected to live many years because Skeleton 32 26.9 of minimum physical stress, compared with riding Fractures 13 10.9 and competition horses. It was therefore interesting Navicular disease 19 16.0 to see that mares, that participated in the RHQT and b Tendons 2 1.7 were born between 1968 and 1975, and used for Undefined lameness 20 16.8 riding as well as breeding, had the same median Total 119 100.0 length of life as brood-mares 18.3 and 18.6 years, a respectively, Table 6. Percent of horses whose death was attributable due to diseases There was also close agreement in the median of the musculoskeletal system. b The cause was tendinitis in all cases. length of life between the warmblood geldings born between 1970 and 1975 from the CHF, and males that participated in the RHQT and that were born 5. Discussion between 1968 and 1975. The estimates were 14.7