Annuity valuation Directory UMM :Journals:Journal Of Public Economics:Vol79.Issue1.Jan2001:

A . Jousten Journal of Public Economics 79 2001 149 –177 171 consumption levels in periods when the consumption process is determined by an interior solution, it is easy to see that increases in the bequest parameter b render liquidity constraints less binding. An intuitive way to see this general result is to look at the special case of Section 3.2.2. There was a jump in consumption at the age of first eligibility for retirement benefits because of binding borrowing constraints over the early retirement period. As we increase the value of the bequest parameter b, the discontinuity in consumption shrinks, as can easily be seen in Fig. 6. The mechanism behind this reduction is that the person attaches a smaller value to consumption early in life, hence reducing the implicit cost of not being able to borrow on the future. Therefore, for a sufficiently high b, we will end up in the case of the interior solution determining consumption over the entire life-span. Notice that the effect on the wealth profile as we increase the bequest parameter is exactly as expected, as the wealth and thus bequests grow in expectations and, even more strongly, it is non-decreasing at any given point in time.

4. Annuity valuation

Using the setup of Section 3, we analyze the question of annuity valuation. The previous literature has largely ignored the impact of bequest motives on the value of annuities. There have been two common approaches to computing the value of an annuity payout stream. A first strand of the literature relies on simple actuarial calculations. It is easy to show that this method is correct in the case of either a risk averse consumer or a competitive annuity market. The second approach is due to Bernheim 1987. Using a standard life-cycle model with a risk averse individual and a marginal unavailability of annuities, Bernheim showed that the value of an annuity is close to the simple financial value of the annuity payout stream. The reason for this finding is easiest to understand when comparing a survival contingent annuity contract to a simple financial asset. Without binding liquidity constraints, an individual attaches equal value to an annuity contract paying out 1 every period conditional on survival and a financial asset paying out 1 per period independently of survival. Hence, annuities should be valued exactly in the same way as a financial asset. Following the typology of Table 3 of Section 3.2, we can once again discuss annuity valuation within every one of the eight possible scenarios. In the present section we only analyze the same four representative scenarios that we presented 14 in Section 3.2. 14 The results for the remaining scenarios are straightforward extensions of the four scenarios we present. 172 A . Jousten Journal of Public Economics 79 2001 149 –177 4.1. Case 1: Interior solution, r 2 r a 2 1 , r, g , r, budget constraint not binding In this particular setup, it is easy to determine the value of the marginal dollar of annuity payments Y in terms of financial wealth at time 0 W : E 2r 1pE dW e ]] ]]] 5 2 . dY r 1 p 2 g U E Recalling the definition of the simple discounted value of annuity wealth V from t Section 3.2.1, we can also rewrite the present finding as dW r 2 g 2pE ]] ]]] 5 e . dV r 1 p 2 g U act Similarly, defining the actuarially correctly discounted value of annuity wealth V t as the present discounted value, taking both survival probabilities and interest rates into account: Y r 1 p 2 g, for t E, t act V 5 H act r 1pt 2E t V e , for t , E, E act 2pE and noticing that V 5 V [r 2 g r 1 p 2 g]e , we can rewrite the expression for the marginal value of annuity payouts as dW ]] 5 2 1. act U dV This result stands in stark contrast to Bernheim’s finding that, for the case of no binding liquidity constraints, the correct way to discount future annuity payouts is to use simple discounting and not the actuarially correct counterpart. The reason for this quite dramatic change is that the individual no longer only attributes a certain utility value to the periods when alive, but also to the periods when dead. This implies that annuities and financial assets are no longer perfect substitutes and he values a financial asset more since it pays out a return in every future state of the world, whereas the annuity only pays out a return in the states when the individual is alive. The result also means that we do not need to have perfect annuity markets or a coefficient of relative risk aversion equal to zero to validate actuarially fair valuation. It suffices to have an interior solution for a risk averse consumer with a bequest motive, and this independently of the existence of a market in marginal annuity claims. The reason for this finding is that the equalization of marginal utilities of consumption and bequests in all possible states of the world makes the individual de facto risk neutral. Notice that our finding of actuarial valuation is independent of time. For A . Jousten Journal of Public Economics 79 2001 149 –177 173 example, another natural way to look at the same problem of marginal annuity valuation is to look for the change in period E financial wealth required to keep the person indifferent after a marginal change of annuity holdings. Notice that, to make this comparison meaningful, we need to assume that the individual cannot borrow against period E wealth. More formally, we are interested in the value of act dW dV u . E E U For the case of our interior solution, it is trivial to show that dW dW E ]] ]] 5 5 2 1, act act U U dV dV E and hence that the two approaches prove to be totally identical. Further, the restriction of considering wealth at period E that the person cannot borrow against is not a real restriction for the case of an interior solution since wealth levels are anyway positive at all times. 4.2. Case 2: Liquidity constraints binding at time E, r 2 r a 2 1 , r, g , r, budget constraint slack As noted in Section 3.2.2, the present case best describes the situation of an early retiree whose consumption is constrained before the time of first entitlement E to retirement benefits, but who attains the optimal unconstrained consumption levels after E. The value of an increase of a marginal dollar of annuity payout Y E in terms of the period 0 concepts is dW 1 ]] ]]]]] 5 2 . 2 1, act 2pE U dV 1 2 e 1 pX 1 where E E t 1 2 r 1r a 21 2r 1pt rt 2s ] 9 9 X ; E e C C dt 2 E e E e C ds dt , 1 t t s b 1 2 1 2 2pE 9 9 with C ; C W . But X . 1p . e p, which implies that the value that the t t 1 individual attributes to the annuity payout stream Y is inferior to the actuarial t value. This latter result is rather interesting as it shows that, for people facing binding liquidity constraints in their early periods of life, even an actuarially fair insurance system would not be sufficient to have them participate in the annuity market. But the finding is not surprising. First the payout stream does not have an annuity value, i.e. there is no bigger utility attached to receiving income when alive rather than having heirs receive the income when dead because it is an interior solution. Second, given that he is liquidity constrained over the first interval from early retirement until retirement, he prefers to have a higher W rather than have 174 A . Jousten Journal of Public Economics 79 2001 149 –177 additional resources in the unconstrained interval after initial entitlement E. Similarly, we can say that any deterministic future payment displays the same property. Indeed, comparing a 1 state-of-the-nature independent payout in period E to its compensating variation in terms of W , we also find that the latter is 2rE smaller than e because of the binding liquidity constraint for the time period [0,E[. To separate out the part of the effect that is due to the inherent survival- contingent characteristics of annuities, we use our second measure of annuity valuation, which is based on the wealth concepts as of age E, supposing it is impossible to borrow on W . Computing the latter, we find E dW E ]] 5 2 1, act U dV E which means that the net effects due to the annuity’s inherent characteristics are not changed with respect to the previous scenario of a fully interior solution. 4.3. Case 5: Budget constraint binding at infinity, r 2 r a 2 1 . g . r 1 p 2 r a 2 1 Recalling our findings from Section 3.2.3 on the consumption and wealth profiles, we know that liquidity constraints bind from some finite time T onwards. Hence, after time T, the value of the annuity stream will be smaller than the actuarially fair value. It is difficult to derive the value of a marginal annuity stream explicitly. Nonetheless, we can derive rough bounds on its value: dW ]] 0 . . 2 1. dV U Without any additional information on the precise parameter values of the problem, it is difficult to determine whether the value of the marginal annuity is bigger or smaller than the actuarial value, as there are two effects playing in opposite directions. Prior to time T, there is a clear annuity value to having this payout stream rather than a financial asset of the same actuarial value. After T, the annuity payout stream generates a utility which is lower than the one generated by a financial asset, as the individual would prefer to reallocate annuity income which is possible in the case of financial wealth. 4.4. Case 7: Budget constraint binding at infinity, r 1 p 2 r a 2 1 . g Lastly, for the case of no binding liquidity constraints but a binding budget constraint at infinity, we find A . Jousten Journal of Public Economics 79 2001 149 –177 175 dW ]] 0 . . 2 1, dV U dW ]] 2 1 . , act U dV or combining these two inequalities: dW r 2 g 2pE ]] ]]] 2 1 , , 2 e . dV p 1 r 2 g U The value of an annuity is hence bigger than its actuarial value, but still smaller than the purely financial value. This result is quite intuitive: because of the binding budget constraint, there is a clear annuity value attached to the retirement income stream. The above finding is reconfirmed when we look at the bounds that we can impose on the expression dW dV u . We can easily determine that E E U dW r 2 g E ]] ]]] 2 1 , , 2 . dV p 1 r 2 g U E 4.5. Summary of the annuity results Our results show that Bernheim’s 1987 claim that the value of an annuity is close to the simple discounted value of future payouts has to be nuanced. Indeed, for a sufficiently strong bequest motive, even in the presence of a marginal unavailability of annuity contracts and without perfect competition, actuarial valuation is the better method for valuing future annuity claims. Our analysis shows that the use of an actuarially correct valuation in the presence of imperfect annuity markets implicitly assumes an active bequest motive. Simple financial valuation, on the other hand, implicitly assumes no bequest motive. When allowing for an early retirement phase from time 0 to E, we show that to separate the value of the annuity stream that is due to the survival-contingency from the value that is due to the binding of the liquidity constraints during the early retirement period, we should use a second indicator. We use wealth at the time of first entitlement E that we cannot borrow against in addition to the standard period 0 wealth equivalence measure such as used by Bernheim.

5. Conclusion

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