1. No Nobel Prize winners are rock stars.

Answers to Selected Exercises ANS-13 4. Is the sample large enough? Possibly, depending on the size of the faculty. Is the sample representa- tive? No, they are all from one department. Other departments may tenure far fewer applicants for tenure. E X E R C I S E 11.4

I. 1. c Strong and reliable.

4. c Strong and reliable. 7. c Strong and reliable. 10. c Strong and reliable. E X E R C I S E 11.6 1. 2: The skills involved are very different. 4. 5: There are big differences between a small family budget and a large city budget. 7. 7: The argument does not claim very much, and considering Jordan’s athletic ability, love for the game, and practice, it isn’t unreasonable to claim he could learn to play tennis fairly well. 10. 3: The conclusion is too strong in claiming he must be “ just like” the character. There are a couple of important similarities but not enough to fully sup- port the conclusion. E X E R C I S E 11.8

I. 1. Strong.

4. Weak.

II. 1. a. Strengthen.

b. Strengthen. c. Weaken. d. Strengthen. 4. a. Strengthen. b. Weaken. c. Weaken. d. Strengthen. E X E R C I S E 11.10

I. 1. Bad evidence.

4. Good evidence. 7. Good evidence. 10. Good evidence. II. 1. What else did he eat? Did anyone else become sick from eating it? 4. The percentage of women with breast implants who have connective tissue disease; the percentage of 4. p q r ˜p ˜q p → q ˜q v r ˜p r C

1. T

T T F F T T F 2. T T F F F T F F

3. T

F T F T F T F 4. T F F F T F T F

5. F

T T T F T T T 6. F T F T F T F F

7. F

F T T T T T T 8. F F F T T T T F Invalid.

V. 1.

b → e ˜ e ... ˜ b b e b → e ˜e ˜ b C 1. T T T F F 2. T F F T F 3. F T T F T 4. F F T T T Valid. 4. g → s ... ˜ g → ˜ s g s ˜g ˜s g → s ˜g → ˜s C

1. T

T F F T T 2. T F F T F T

3. F

T T F T F 4. F F T T T T Invalid. C H APT ER 11 E X E R C I S E 11.1 1. Strong. 4. Strong. 7. Strong. 10. Weak. E X E R C I S E 11.2 I. 1. Strong. Is the sample large enough? Yes. Is the sample representative? Yes 4. Weak. Is the sample large enough? Yes. Is the sam- ple representative? No. II. 1. Is the sample large enough? No, there are just three cities. Is the sample representative? No, not neces- sarily; for example, at least two of the cities have problems with illegal immigration that may add to the crime problem. ANS-14 Answers to Selected Exercises language—“generally acknowledged”—makes the statement more opinion than fact. Qualifying the statement might bring it closer to a matter of fact: “MIT is regarded among college presidents as the nation’s best school for engineering.” At least such a claim could be verified. E X E R C I S E 12.3

1. Rush Limbaugh is a radio-talk-show host and au-

thor who espouses a conservative point of view. His claim that condoms fail “around” 17 percent of the time should be cautiously considered and verified with more-reliable sources. One key to Limbaugh’s bias is his characterization of liberals in the first sentence of the quoted item. Could he be charged here with a straw man fallacy? 4. The billboards proclaiming these “facts” are spon- sored by someone who is attempting to reduce the level of immigration into the United States. The figures on the billboards may or may not be correct, but anyone hoping to use them in an ar- gument would do well to corroborate the infor- mation with other sources. A careful reader will notice the slippery language and less-than-reliable information. In the first billboard, how little is “very little”? In the second, “arrive” is a vague word with several possible meanings, including “visit.” 7. It may well be true that 67 percent of listeners “would prefer that the races be separated,” but that doesn’t prove that “67 percent of people ” prefer the same. Are the callers to a radio talk show a repre- sentative sample of “people” everywhere? Hardly. 10. The Onion is an online parody newspaper that pub- lishes satirical articles about newsworthy events and nonevents. Its intended audience—primarily regular readers who appreciate The Onions’ s biting satire—won’t be misled by the passage. Given the patent implausibility of such an event, few others will be either. 13. America The Book is a satirical romp through American history written by Jon Stewart and the writers of Comedy Central’s fake news program, The Daily Show . The passage is obviously a joke, but a pointed one given long-standing debates about how disinterested the founding fathers’ motives were. E X E R C I S E 12.4 1. Answers will vary. Here is one possibility: In her book Starting Out Suburban: A Frosh Year Survival Guide, Linda Polland Puner suggests that most freshmen find it difficult to be away from home for the first time. They miss some of the comforts, such as good meals and privacy. Some are lucky enough, particularly if their family lives nearby, to get home within the first month of school, women in the general public who have connective tissue disease; the percentage of women with sili- cone breast implants who have connective tissue disease; the percentage of women with saline breast implants who have connective tissue disease. 7. Why do students choose to sit in the front row? 10. How do we define a “healthy heart”? Just red wine, or other alcoholic beverages? E X E R C I S E 11.11 1. Relative frequency. 4. Epistemic. 7. Relative frequency. 10. A priori. E X E R C I S E 11.12

I. 1. Negative.

4. Negative. C H APT ER 12 E X E R C I S E 12.2

II. 1.

Facts: Cal Thomas worked for NBC News in the late 1960s. Robert Kitner was at one time presi- dent of NBC, as was Sylvester Weaver, who went by the name of Pat. Matters of fact: Stories were selected based on the audience they would attract this could be verified with interviews, for exam- ple, or with corporate correspondence. Whether or not “ratings for news started to matter, as they did for entertainment” could be verified in similar ways, though some words, such as mattered, would need to be clarified. The decline in the ratings could easily be documented. But what about the claim that “the respect most people once had for the journalism profession” also declined? Could that be documented through surveys or opinion polls? Could such a statement be shown to be factual? 4. Facts: Harvard is the oldest institution of higher learning in America; thirty-three Nobel Prize winners graduated from Harvard; Bill Gates developed the programming language BASIC; Radcliff was founded in 1879 and started admit- ting men in 1973; Martin Luther King Jr. received a doctorate in theology from Boston University, and so forth. Some statements, however, are not immediately verifiable. For example, it would be very difficult to document the claim that MIT is “generally acknowledged to be the nation’s top school for science and engineering.” The imprecise