Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pertumbuhan Sektor Pertanian di Provinsi Sumatera Utara

Lampiran 1a.Data Statistik PDRB Sektor Pertanian Sumatera Utara Atas
Dasar Harga Berlaku (Y), Tenaga Kerja Sektor Pertanian Sumatera Utara
(X1), Luas Lahan Sektor Pertanian Sumatera Utara (X2), dan Ekspor Sektor
Pertanian Sumatera Utara (X3)
Tahun
PDRB (Juta
Tenaga Kerja
Luas Lahan
Ekspor (US$)
Rupiah)
(Jiwa)
(Hektar)
1985
1,579,983.81
2,134,322
6,072,348
273,200
1986
1,790,925.73
2,221,400
6,062,381

299,000
1987
2,311,412.29
2,296,900
6,089,445
316,000
1988
2,892,620.67
2,382,700
6,042,876
321,900
1989
3,340,157.42
2,433,700
5,922,738
336,000
1990
3,720,665.60
2,309,743
5,924,432

315,400
1991
4,141,870.03
2,410,856
5,994,388
387,000
1992
4,995,025.74
2,604,592
5,983,271
432,000
1993
4,895,742.52
2,467,018
5,829,467
432,090
1994
5,494,842.24
2,509,257
5,739,335

433,436
1995
6,120,210.00
2,478,104
5,842,986
448,954
1996
7,042,130.00
2,589,894
5,592,351
998,290
1997
8,743,190.00
2,425,381
5,432,919
891,707
1998
13,374,810.00
2,608,700
5,388,240

746,359
1999
19,536,500.00
2,679,078
5,392,870
625,157
2000
20,084,210.00
2,650,396
5,389,441
551,295
2001
23,377,420.00
2,749,212
5,371,413
665,937
2002
25,243,940.00
2,738,193
3,118,879

600,530
2003
25,789,490.00
2,709,500
3,323,468
686,911
2004
28,893,550.00
2,454,136
3,933,975
1,029,559
2005
33,486,110.00
2,721,518
1,292,885
1,222,394
2006
35,807,650.00
2,412,328
1,254,793

1,705,920
2007
41,010,150.00
2,419,411
1,267,150
1,850,402
2008
48,871,760.00
2,610,571
1,336,123
2,187,776
2009
54,431,190.00
2,693,708
1,356,663
1,444,088
2010
62,984,340.00
2,875,343
1,341,559

2,677,304
2011
70,655,870.00
2,595,418
1,467,024
3,951,428
2012
103,933,110.00
2,496,229
1,334,338
2,740,148
2013
115,194,750.00
2,563,358
1,348,404
2,403,011
2014
121,435,440.00
2,500,758
1,328,274

1,937,883

62
Universitas Sumatera Utara

Lampiran 1b.Data Logaritma PDRB Sektor Pertanian Sumatera Utara Atas
Dasar Harga Berlaku (Y), Tenaga Kerja Sektor Pertanian Sumatera Utara
(X1), Luas Lahan Sektor Pertanian Sumatera Utara (X2), dan Ekspor Sektor
Pertanian Sumatera Utara (X3)
Tahun
Log PDRB
Log Tenaga
Log Luas
Log Ekspor
Kerja
Lahan
1985
1986
1987
1988

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008

2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

6.20
6.25
6.36
6.46
6.52
6.57
6.62
6.70
6.69
6.74
6.79
6.85
6.94

7.13
7.29
7.30
7.37
7.40
7.41
7.46
7.52
7.55
7.61
7.69
7.74
7.80
7.85
8.02
8.06
8.08

6.33
6.35
6.36
6.38
6.39
6.36
6.38
6.42
6.39
6.40
6.39
6.41
6.38
6.42
6.43
6.42
6.44
6.44
6.43
6.39
6.43
6.38
6.38
6.42
6.43
6.46
6.41
6.40
6.41
6.40

6.78
6.78
6.78
6.78
6.77
6.77
6.78
6.78
6.77
6.76
6.77
6.75
6.74
6.73
6.73
6.73
6.73
6.49
6.52
6.59
6.11
6.10
6.10
6.13
6.13
6.13
6.17
6.13
6.13
6.12

5.44
5.48
5.50
5.51
5.53
5.50
5.59
5.64
5.64
5.64
5.65
6.00
5.95
5.87
5.80
5.74
5.82
5.78
5.84
6.01
6.09
6.23
6.27
6.34
6.16
6.43
6.60
6.44
6.38
6.29

63
Universitas Sumatera Utara

Lampiran 1c. Data Luas Panen dan Jumlah Produksi Komoditi Tiap Sub
Sektor Pertanian Tahun 2014
No Sub Sektor Pertanian
1
Sub Sektor Tan. Pangan
Luas Panen (Ha)
Produksi (Ton)
Padi
717.318
3.631.039
Jagung
200.603
1.159.795
Kacang Kedelai
5.024
5.705
Kacang Tanah
8.311
9.777
Kacang Hijau
2.603
2.907
Ubi Kayu
42.062
1.383.346
Ubi Jalar
11.130
146.622
jumlah
987.051
6.339.191
2
Sub Sektor Hortikultura
Luas Panen (Ha)
Produksi (Ton)
Sayur – sayuran
69.383
947.460
Buah – buahan
1.646.703
Jumlah
69.383
2.594.163
Sub Sektor Perkebunan Luas Tan. Menghasilkan (Ha) Produksi (Ton)
3
Karet
302.557,79
357.741
Kelapa Sawit
642.059,31
8.962.930
Kopi
55.828
58.312
Kelapa
91.735
88.962
Cokelat
45.415
39.091
Teh
3.483,24
40.692
Cengkeh
1.856
462
Kemenyan
19.329
4.999
Kulit Manis
3.868
3.409
Nilam
574
273
Kemiri
9.256
12.583
Aren
3.318
3.357
Pinang
4.175
3.678
Vanili
130
67
Tembakau
2.302,8
1.893
Tebu
13.215,16
71.191
Pala
93
40
Lada
113
89
Kapuk
317
126
Gambir
1.411
1.820
Kapulaga
17
20
Jambu Mente
1
2
Jumlah
1.201.054,3
9.651.737
Kehutanan
Luas (Ha)
Produksi (m3)
4
Penghijauan
19.984
Reboisasi
573,50
Hutan Tan. Industri
184.138,92
1.233.023,91
Jumlah
204.696,42
1.233.023,91

64
Universitas Sumatera Utara

Lampiran 2a. Tabel Summary Regresi Linier Berganda
b

Model Summary
Model

R

1

.950

R Square

a

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

.902

.890

Durbin-Watson

.18935

1.076

a. Predictors: (Constant), EXPOR, TK, LL
b. Dependent Variable: PDRB

Lampiran 2b. Tabel Coefficient Regresi Linier Berganda
Coefficients
Model

Unstandardized

Standardized

Coefficients

Coefficients

B
(Constant

1

8.614

TK

5.293

1.385

LL

-.576
.859

EXPOR
a.

Std. Error

-28.030

)

a

t

Sig.

Beta

Collinearity Statistics

Tolerance

VIF

-3.254

.003

.271

3.822

.001

.752

1.330

.269

-.299

-2.144

.042

.194

5.158

.246

.517

3.500

.002

.173

5.784

Dependent Variable: PDRB

Lampiran 2c. Tabel ANOVA Regresi Linier Berganda
a

ANOVA
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

1

Residual
Total

df

Mean Square

8.561

3

2.854

.932

26

.036

9.493

29

F
79.598

Sig.
.000

b

a. Dependent Variable: PDRB
b. Predictors: (Constant), EXPOR, TK, LL

65
Universitas Sumatera Utara

Lampiran 3a.Tabel Uji Normalitas (Kolmogorov Smirnov)
One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
Unstandardized
Residual
N

30

Normal Parameters

Mean

a,b

0E-7

Std. Deviation

Most Extreme Differences

.17928598

Absolute

.136

Positive

.136

Negative

-.079

Kolmogorov-Smirnov Z

.745

Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)

.636

a. Test distribution is Normal.
b. Calculated from data.

Lampiran3b. Tabel Hasil Uji Glejser
Coefficients
Model

a

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

t

Sig.

Coefficients
B
(Constant)

Std. Error
-8.897

4.231

TK

1.051

.680

LL

.161

EXPOR

.214

Beta
-2.103

.045

.291

1.545

.134

.132

.452

1.220

.233

.121

.696

1.773

.088

1

a. Dependent Variable: ABS_RES1

66
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Lampiran 4. Tabel Durbin-Watson (DW) α = 5%
obs
N

k'=1
dL

du

6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
45
50
55
60
65

0.610
0.700
0.763
0.724
0.879
0.927
0.971
1.010
1.045
1.077
1.106
1.133
1.158
1.180
1.201
1.221
1.239
1.257
1.273
1.288
1.302
1.316
1.328
1.341
1.352
1.363
1.373
1.383
1.993
1.402
1.411
1.419
1.427
1.435
1.442
1.475
1.503
1.528
1.549
1.567

1.400
1.356
1.332
1.320
1.320
1.324
1.331
1.340
1.350
1.361
1.371
1.381
1.391
1.401
1.411
1.420
1.429
1.437
1.446
1.454
1.461
1.469
1.476
1.483
1.489
1.496
1.502
1.508
1.514
1.519
1.525
1.530
1.535
1.540
1.544
1.566
1.585
1.601
1.616
1.629

k'=2
dL

0.467
0.559
0.629
0.697
0.658
0.812
0.861
0.905
0.946
0.982
1.015
1.046
1.074
1.100
1.125
1.147
1.168
1.188
1.206
1.224
1.240
1.255
1.270
1.284
1.297
1.309
1.321
1.333
1.343
1.354
1.364
1.373
1.382
1.391
1.430
1.462
1.490
1.514
1.536

du

k'=3
dL

du

k'=4
dL

du

k'=5
dL

du

1.896
1.777
1.699
1.641
1.604
1.579
1.562
1.551
1.543
1.539
1.536
1.535
1.536
1.537
1.538
1.541
1.543
1.546
1.550
1.553
1.556
1.560
1.563
1.567
1.570
1.574
1.577
1.580
1.584
1.587
1.590
1.594
1.597
1.600
1.615
1.628
1.641
1.652
1.662

0.368
0.455
0.525
0.595
0.658
0.715
0.767
0.814
0.857
0.897
0.933
0.967
0.998
1.026
1.053
1.078
1.101
1.123
1.143
1.162
1.181
1.198
1.214
1.229
1.244
1.258
1.271
1.283
1.295
1.307
1.318
1.328
1.338
1.383
1.421
1.452
1.480
1.503

2.287
2.128
2.016
1.928
1.864
1.816
1.779
1.750
1.728
1.710
1.696
1.685
1.676
1.669
1.664
1.660
1.656
1.654
1.652
1.651
1.650
1.650
1.650
1.650
1.650
1.651
1.652
1.653
1.654
1.655
1.656
1.658
1.659
1.666
1.674
1.681
1.689
1.696

0.296
0.376
0.444
0.512
0.574
0.632
0.685
0.734
0.779
0.820
0.859
0.894
0.927
0.958
0.986
1.013
1.038
1.062
1.084
1.104
1.124
1.143
1.160
1.177
1.193
1.208
1.222
1.236
1.249
1.261
1.273
1.285
1.336
1.378
1.414
1.444
1.471

2.588
1.414
2.283
2.177
1.094
2.030
1.977
1.935
1.900
1.872
1.848
1.828
1.812
1.797
1.785
1.775
1.767
1.759
1.753
1.747
1.743
1.739
1.735
1.732
1.730
1.728
1.726
1.724
1.723
1.722
1.722
1.721
1.720
1.721
1.724
1.727
1.731

0.243
0.316
0.379
0.445
0.505
0.562
0.615
0.664
0.710
0.752
0.792
0.829
0.863
0.895
0.925
0.953
0.979
1.004
1.028
1.050
1.071
1.090
1.109
1.127
1.144
1.160
1.175
1.190
1.204
1.218
1.230
1.287
1.335
1.374
1.408
1.438

2.822
2.645
2.506
2.390
2.296
2.220
2.157
2.104
2.060
2.023
1.991
1.964
1.940
1.920
1.902
1.886
1.873
1.861
1.850
1.841
1.833
1.825
1.819
1.813
1.808
1.803
1.799
1.795
1.792
1.789
1.786
1.776
1.771
1.768
1.767
1.767

1
Universitas Sumatera Utara