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BCR 1.276 SIMPULAN DAN SARAN 6.1. SIMPULAN

85 d.Lanjutan 1 ha 10,243 - - - - - - 6 Perlindungan a.Pengendalian kebakaran ha 51,215 120,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 b.Pengamanan hutan ha 51,215 75,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 7 Pemanenan a.Biaya penebangan m3 1,402,266.70 120,000.00 - - - - 168,272,004,000.00 b.Biaya pengangkutan m3 1,402,266.70 70,716.70 - - - - 99,163,673,543.89 8 Biaya untuk project C Biaya transaksi t CO2 4,219,228.27 69,256.91 292,210,694,725.01 TOTAL BIAYA 268,647,546,625.99 53,648,758,557.39 53,637,944,997.39 57,605,280,927.39 612,211,758,196.28 TOTAL BIAYA TERDISKONTO 252,773,378,458.78 47,495,950,717.05 44,680,445,361.62 45,149,829,639.86 451,485,635,943.20 D. PENERIMAAN 1 Penerimaan investor ton 1,346,176.03 350,000.00 - - - - 471,161,611,200.00 2 Penerimaan negara a.Pajak bumi bangunan ha 51,215 5,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 b.IUPHHK-HT ha 51,215 2,600.00 133,159,000.00 - - - - c.PSDH m3 1,402,266.70 2,500.00 - - - - 3,505,666,750.00 3 Kompensasi karbon REDD t CO2 4,219,228.27 88,560.00 - - - - 373,654,855,886.40 TOTAL PENERIMAAN 389,234,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 848,578,208,836.40 TOTAL PENERIMAAN TERDISKONTO 366,234,474.97 226,706,561.47 213,310,652.50 200,706,297.04 625,797,964,731.69 F. NPV 252,407,143,983.81 47,269,244,155.58 44,467,134,709.12 44,949,123,342.82 174,312,328,788.49 NPV PER HEKTAR Rpha 18,707,553.31 Kenaikan NPV

16.82 BCR 1.276

Kenaikan BCR 0.001 IRR 15.28 86 LANJUTAN Lampiran 3 CASH FLOW PENGUSAHAAN HTI PULP LAHAN GAMBUT DAN REDD UP RAP-KARBON PADA HARGA US 9,00 No. Uraian Rotasi 2 Rotasi 3 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 A. BIAYA PERENCANAAN 1 Peny. FS AMDAL - - - - - - - - 2 RKUPHHK-HT - - - - - - - - 3 RKTUPHHK-HT 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 4 Tata batas - - - - - - - - 5 Penataan arealkompart. - - - - - - - - B. BIAYA INVESTASI 1 Gedung dan bangunan - - - - - - - - 2 Pembangunan jalan a. Jalan utama - - - - - - - - b. Jalan cabang - - - - - - - - 3 Pembangunan kanal a. Kanal utama - - - - - - - b. Kanal cabang - - - - - - - C. BIAYA OPERASIONAL 1 Biaya adm.umum a.Biaya administrasi 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 b.Pendidikan latihan 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 c.Penelitn. pengemb 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 d.Premi asuransi 4,651,350,000.00 2,974,200.00 5,069,550.00 5,165,400,000.00 3,180,150,000.00 2,150,700,000.00 1,944,450,000.00 5,046,150,000.00 2 Pemeliharaan gedung 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 3 Pemeliharaan jlnkanal 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 4 Biaya penanaman a.Pengadaan bibit 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 b.Penyiapan lahan 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 c.Pembuatan tanaman - - - - - - - - 5 Pemeliharaan tanaman a.Tahun 1 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 b.Tahun 2 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 c.Tahun 3 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 87 d.Lanjutan 1 - - - - - - - - 6 Perlindungan a.Pengend. kebakaran 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 b.Pengamanan hutan 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 7 Pemanenan a.Biaya penebangan 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 b. Biaya pengangkutan 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 8 Biaya untuk project C - Biaya transaksi - - - - 292,210,694,725.01 - - - TOTAL BIAYA 324,646,158,471.28 319,997,782,671.28 319,999,878,021.28 325,160,208,471.28 615,385,653,196.28 322,145,508,471.28 321,939,258,471.28 325,040,958,471.28 BIAYA TERDISC. 225,268,773,149.59 208,922,949,704.80 196,579,147,285.68 187,946,170,721.41 334,681,656,395.78 164,848,529,491.63 155,008,456,054.23 147,254,303,322.96 D. PENERIMAAN 1 Penerimaan investor 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 2 Penerimaan negara a. Pajak BB 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 b.IUPHHK-HT - - - - - - - - c.PSDH 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3 Kompensasi REDD - - - - 373,654,855,886.40 - - - JML PENERIMAAN 474,923,352,950.00 474,923,352,950.00 474,923,352,950.00 474,923,352,950.00 848,578,208,836.40 474,923,352,950.00 474,923,352,950.00 474,923,352,950.00 PENERIMAAN TERDISK 329,544,638,885.97 310,072,110,355.64 291,750,197,925.89 274,510,912,613.75 461,505,007,534.11 243,028,117,097.03 228,667,780,482.72 215,155,984,646.89 F. NPV 104,275,865,736.38 101,149,160,650.84 95,171,050,640.21 86,564,741,892.33 126,823,351,138.33 78,179,587,605.40 73,659,324,428.48 67,901,681,323.93 88 LANJUTAN Lampiran 3 CASH FLOW PENGUSAHAAN HTI PULP LAHAN GAMBUT DAN REDD UP RAP-KARBON PADA HARGA US 9,00 No. Uraian Rotasi 4 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Jumlah A. BIAYA PERENCANAAN 1 Peny. FS AMDAL - - - - - - - 2 RKUPHHK-HT - - - - - - - 3 RKTUPHHK-HT 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 10,243,000,000.00 4 Tata batas - - - - - - - 5 Penataan arealkompart. - - - - - - - B. BIAYA INVESTASI 1 Gedung dan bangunan - - - - - - - 2 Pembangunan jalan c. Jalan utama - - - - - - - d. Jalan cabang - - - - - - - 3 Pembangunan kanal c. Kanal utama - - - - - - - d. Kanal cabang - - - - - - - C. BIAYA OPERASIONAL 1 Biaya adm.umum a.Biaya administrasi 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 249,856,144.44 b.Pendidikan latihan 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 250,000,000.00 c.Penelitn. pengemb 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 400,000,000.00 d.Premi asuransi 6,255,000.00 4,651,350,000.00 2,974,200.00 5,069,550.00 5,165,400,000.00 3,180,150,000.00 3,180,150,000.00 2 Pemeliharaan gedung 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 112,158,034.74 3 Pemeliharaan jlnkanal 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 6,143,073,078.20 4 Biaya penanaman a.Pengadaan bibit 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 16,839,492,000.00 b.Penyiapan lahan 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 5,346,846,000.00 c.Pembuatan tanaman - - - - - - - 5 Pemeliharaan tanaman a.Tahun 1 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 1,926,708,300.00 b.Tahun 2 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 195,436,440.00 c.Tahun 3 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 865,635,930.00 89 d.Lanjutan 1 - - - - - - - 6 Perlindungan a.Pengend. kebakaran 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 6,145,800,000.00 b.Pengamanan hutan 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 3,841,125,000.00 7 Pemanenan a.Biaya penebangan 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 168,272,004,000.00 b. Biaya pengangkutan 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 99,163,673,543.89 8 Biaya untuk project C - Biaya transaksi - 292,210,694,725.01 - - - - 292,210,694,725.01 TOTAL BIAYA 320,001,063,471.28 616,856,853,196.28 319,997,782,671.28 319,999,878,021.28 325,160,208,471.28 323,174,958,471.28 615,385,653,196.28 BIAYA TERDISC. 136,404,840,250.43 247,406,558,396.92 120,759,758,881.47 113,624,905,549.56 108,634,950,306.24 101,591,724,545.26 182,018,886,118.06 3,472,536,850,294.52 D. PENERIMAAN 1 Penerimaan investor 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 471,161,611,200.00 2 Penerimaan negara a. Pajak BB 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 256,075,000.00 b.IUPHHK-HT - - - - - - - c.PSDH 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3,505,666,750.00 3 Kompensasi REDD 373,654,855,886.40 373,654,855,886.40 JML PENERIMAAN 474,923,352,950.00 848,578,208,836.40 474,923,352,950.00 474,923,352,950.00 474,923,352,950.00 474,923,352,950.00 848,578,208,836.40 PENERIMAAN TERDISK 202,442,589,995.19 340,344,462,562.09 179,225,084,344.84 168,634,817,787.77 158,670,321,591.80 149,294,619,487.96 250,992,624,794.26 4,430,644,192,823.57

F. NPV

66,037,749,744.77 92,937,904,165.18 58,465,325,463.37 55,009,912,238.20 50,035,371,285.56 47,702,894,942.70 68,973,738,676.19 958,107,342,529.05 90 Lampiran 4 CASH FLOW ANALISIS EKONOMI REDD HUTAN ALAM GAMBUT MELALUI UP PAN-KARBON KONSERVASI Uraian Satuan Volume Hrg sat. Rp Tahun ke-5 Tahun ke-10 Tahun ke-15 Tahun ke-20 TOTAL A. Hutan alam gambut bekas tebangan 1 BIAYA a. Biaya abatasioportunitas tCO2 19,443,170.91 40,991.06 796,996,168,421.36 796,996,168,421.36 796,996,168,421.36 796,996,168,421.36 b. Biaya transaksi transaction cost tCO2 19,443,170.91 26,428.45 513,852,792,797.98 513,852,792,797.98 513,852,792,797.98 513,852,792,797.98 TOTAL BIAYA 1,310,848,961,219.34 1,310,848,961,219.34 1,310,848,961,219.34 1,310,848,961,219.34 TOTAL BIAYA TERDISKONTO 966,707,138,434.03 712,914,087,851.91 525,750,226,155.39 387,723,156,285.64 2,593,094,608,726.97 2 PENERIMAAN a. Kompensasi pd harga US 6,00 tCO2 19,443,170.91 59,040.00 1,147,924,810,667.51 1,147,924,810,667.51 1,147,924,810,667.51 1,147,924,810,667.51 b. Kompensasi pd harga US 9,00 tCO2 19,443,170.91 88,560.00 1,721,887,216,001.26 1,721,887,216,001.26 1,721,887,216,001.26 1,721,887,216,001.26 c. Kompensasi pd harga US 12,00 tCO2 19,443,170.91 118,080.00 2,295,849,621,335.01 2,295,849,621,335.01 2,295,849,621,335.01 2,295,849,621,335.01 TOTAL PENERIMAAN TERDISKONTO PADA US 6,00 846,556,042,448.68 624,306,684,851.29 460,405,238,645.06 339,533,419,896.52 2,270,801,385,841.56 TOTAL PENERIMAAN TERDISKONTO PADA US 9,00 1,269,834,063,673.02 936,460,027,276.93 690,607,857,967.60 509,300,129,844.78 3,406,202,078,762.33 TOTAL PENERIMAAN TERDISKONTO PADA US 12,00 1,693,112,084,897.36 1,248,613,369,702.58 920,810,477,290.13 679,066,839,793.05 4,541,602,771,683.11 3

a. NPV PADA HARGA US 6,00 Rp

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