Pengaruh Laba dan Arus Kas Dalam Memprediksi Financial Distress Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Period Tahun 2012-2014
LAMPIRAN I
Daftar Perusahaan Manufaktur Yang Menjadi Sampel
NO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Perusahaan Manufaktur
Inducement tunggal prakarsa Tbk
Holcim Indonesia Tbk
Semen Gresik Tbk
Asahimas Flat Glass Tbk
Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk
Mulia industrindo Tbk
Alaska industrindo Tbk
Alumnindo light metal Tbk
Gunawan Dianjaya Stell Tbk
Jaya Pari Stell Tbk
Krakatau Stell Tbk
Hanson International Tbk
Pelat Timah Nusantara Tbk
Barito Pasific Tbk
Eterindo Wahanatama Tbk
Chandra Asri Petrocemical Tbk
Alam Karya Unggul Tbk
Titan Kimia Nusantara Tbk
Siwani Makmur Tbk
Trias Sentosa Tbk
Yana Prima Hasta Persada Tbk
Sumalindo Lestari Jaya Tbk
Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk
NO
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
Perusahaan Manufaktur
Kertas Basuki Rachmat Tbk
Indomobil Sukses International Tbk
Multi Prima Sejahtera Tbk
Multistrada Arah Sarana Tbk
Polychem Indonesia Tbk
Argo Pantes Tbk
Centex Tbk
Ever Shine Textile Industry Tbk
Pan Asia Indosyntec Tbk
Indo Rama Synthetic Tbk
Karwell Indonesia Tbk
Apac Citra Centertex Tbk
Asia Pasific Fibers Tbk
Sunson Textile Manufacturer Tbk
Primaindo Asia Infrastructure Tbk
Sat Nusa Persada Tbk
Prasida Aneka Niaga Tbk
Bentoel Internatioal investama Tbk
Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk
Merck Sharp Dohme Pharma Tbk
Martina Bento Tbk
Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN II
HASIL SPSS
Descriptive Statistics
N
Laba
Arus Kas
Valid N (listwise)
Minimum
135
135
135
Maximum
.6073
.0140
.9322
.7434
Mean
Std. Deviation
.784356
.336707
.1097045
.1659182
Descriptive Statistics
N
Laba
Arus Kas
Financial Distress
Valid N (listwise)
Minimum
135
135
135
135
Maximum
.6073
.0140
0
.9322
.7434
1
Mean
Std. Deviation
.784356
.336707
.22
.1097045
.1659182
.417
Valid Percent
Cumulative
Percent
Financial Distress
Frequency
Valid
Tidak Mengalami Financial
Distress
Mengalami Financial Distress
Total
Percent
105
77.8
77.8
77.8
30
22.2
22.2
100.0
135
100.0
100.0
Universitas Sumatera Utara
a,b,c
Iteration History
Coefficients
Iteration
Step 0
-2 Log likelihood
Constant
1
143.501
-1.111
2
143.021
-1.248
3
143.021
-1.253
4
143.021
-1.253
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 143.021
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 4
because parameter estimates changed by less than
.001.
a,b,c,d
Iteration History
Coefficients
Iteration
Step 1
-2 Log likelihood
Constant
X1
X2
1
118.813
3.339
-4.548
-2.621
2
112.309
5.029
-6.402
-4.527
3
111.772
5.592
-6.964
-5.362
4
111.766
5.653
-7.020
-5.471
5
111.766
5.654
-7.021
-5.473
6
111.766
5.654
-7.021
-5.473
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 143.021
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 6 because parameter
estimates changed by less than .001.
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients
Chi-square
Step 1
df
Sig.
Step
31.255
2
.000
Block
31.255
2
.000
Model
31.255
2
.000
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Model Summary
Step
Cox & Snell R
Square
-2 Log likelihood
1
111.766
a
Nagelkerke R
Square
.207
.316
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 6 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step
Chi-square
1
Df
10.481
Sig.
8
.233
Variables in the Equation
B
Step 1
a
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B)
X1
-7.021
2.245
9.781
1
.002
.001
X2
-5.473
1.851
8.738
1
.003
.004
5.654
1.649
11.756
1
.001
285.403
Constant
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: X1, X2.
Correlation Matrix
Constant
Step 1
X1
X2
Constant
1.000
-.947
-.116
X1
-.947
1.000
-.177
X2
-.116
-.177
1.000
Classification Table
a
Predicted
Financial Distress
Tidak Mengalami
Financial
Distress
Observed
Step 1
Financial Distress
Mengalami
Financial
Distress
Percentage
Correct
Tidak Mengalami Financial
Distress
98
7
93.3
Mengalami Financial Distress
21
9
30.0
Overall Percentage
79.3
a. The cut value is .500
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Daftar Perusahaan Manufaktur Yang Menjadi Sampel
NO
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Perusahaan Manufaktur
Inducement tunggal prakarsa Tbk
Holcim Indonesia Tbk
Semen Gresik Tbk
Asahimas Flat Glass Tbk
Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk
Mulia industrindo Tbk
Alaska industrindo Tbk
Alumnindo light metal Tbk
Gunawan Dianjaya Stell Tbk
Jaya Pari Stell Tbk
Krakatau Stell Tbk
Hanson International Tbk
Pelat Timah Nusantara Tbk
Barito Pasific Tbk
Eterindo Wahanatama Tbk
Chandra Asri Petrocemical Tbk
Alam Karya Unggul Tbk
Titan Kimia Nusantara Tbk
Siwani Makmur Tbk
Trias Sentosa Tbk
Yana Prima Hasta Persada Tbk
Sumalindo Lestari Jaya Tbk
Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk
NO
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
Perusahaan Manufaktur
Kertas Basuki Rachmat Tbk
Indomobil Sukses International Tbk
Multi Prima Sejahtera Tbk
Multistrada Arah Sarana Tbk
Polychem Indonesia Tbk
Argo Pantes Tbk
Centex Tbk
Ever Shine Textile Industry Tbk
Pan Asia Indosyntec Tbk
Indo Rama Synthetic Tbk
Karwell Indonesia Tbk
Apac Citra Centertex Tbk
Asia Pasific Fibers Tbk
Sunson Textile Manufacturer Tbk
Primaindo Asia Infrastructure Tbk
Sat Nusa Persada Tbk
Prasida Aneka Niaga Tbk
Bentoel Internatioal investama Tbk
Tempo Scan Pasific Tbk
Merck Sharp Dohme Pharma Tbk
Martina Bento Tbk
Langgeng Makmur Industry Tbk
Universitas Sumatera Utara
LAMPIRAN II
HASIL SPSS
Descriptive Statistics
N
Laba
Arus Kas
Valid N (listwise)
Minimum
135
135
135
Maximum
.6073
.0140
.9322
.7434
Mean
Std. Deviation
.784356
.336707
.1097045
.1659182
Descriptive Statistics
N
Laba
Arus Kas
Financial Distress
Valid N (listwise)
Minimum
135
135
135
135
Maximum
.6073
.0140
0
.9322
.7434
1
Mean
Std. Deviation
.784356
.336707
.22
.1097045
.1659182
.417
Valid Percent
Cumulative
Percent
Financial Distress
Frequency
Valid
Tidak Mengalami Financial
Distress
Mengalami Financial Distress
Total
Percent
105
77.8
77.8
77.8
30
22.2
22.2
100.0
135
100.0
100.0
Universitas Sumatera Utara
a,b,c
Iteration History
Coefficients
Iteration
Step 0
-2 Log likelihood
Constant
1
143.501
-1.111
2
143.021
-1.248
3
143.021
-1.253
4
143.021
-1.253
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 143.021
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 4
because parameter estimates changed by less than
.001.
a,b,c,d
Iteration History
Coefficients
Iteration
Step 1
-2 Log likelihood
Constant
X1
X2
1
118.813
3.339
-4.548
-2.621
2
112.309
5.029
-6.402
-4.527
3
111.772
5.592
-6.964
-5.362
4
111.766
5.653
-7.020
-5.471
5
111.766
5.654
-7.021
-5.473
6
111.766
5.654
-7.021
-5.473
a. Method: Enter
b. Constant is included in the model.
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 143.021
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 6 because parameter
estimates changed by less than .001.
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients
Chi-square
Step 1
df
Sig.
Step
31.255
2
.000
Block
31.255
2
.000
Model
31.255
2
.000
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Model Summary
Step
Cox & Snell R
Square
-2 Log likelihood
1
111.766
a
Nagelkerke R
Square
.207
.316
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 6 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step
Chi-square
1
Df
10.481
Sig.
8
.233
Variables in the Equation
B
Step 1
a
S.E.
Wald
df
Sig.
Exp(B)
X1
-7.021
2.245
9.781
1
.002
.001
X2
-5.473
1.851
8.738
1
.003
.004
5.654
1.649
11.756
1
.001
285.403
Constant
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: X1, X2.
Correlation Matrix
Constant
Step 1
X1
X2
Constant
1.000
-.947
-.116
X1
-.947
1.000
-.177
X2
-.116
-.177
1.000
Classification Table
a
Predicted
Financial Distress
Tidak Mengalami
Financial
Distress
Observed
Step 1
Financial Distress
Mengalami
Financial
Distress
Percentage
Correct
Tidak Mengalami Financial
Distress
98
7
93.3
Mengalami Financial Distress
21
9
30.0
Overall Percentage
79.3
a. The cut value is .500
Universitas Sumatera Utara