Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan

  Daily Price Action th

  Wednesday, 20 February 2019 Market Review

  IHSG (-0.05%) ditutup melemah tipis 3.15 poin kelevel 6494.67 pada akhir sesi perdagangan. Sektor Industri Dasar (-1.09%) dan Aneka Industri (-0.64%) menjadi penekan IHSG setelah sempat bertahan hampir 2 sesi pada zona hijau. Saham- saham perternakan terkoreksi lebih dari sepersen. Saham CPIN (-2.96%) dan JPFA (- 2.40%) melemah setelah spekulasi mengenai pengaturan harga Ayam oleh pemerintah menjelang bulan ramadhan karena harga telah naik cukup signifikan sejak akhir tahun lalu. Investor asing masih melanjutkan aksi jual dan tercatat net sell 618.68 miliar rupiah. Leader: BBRI, BNII, PTBA, TLKM, ADRO Laggard: BBCA, ASII, CPIN, BMRI, TPIA Secara teknikal IHSG masih bergerak cenderung kuat bertahan diatas MA20 dengan Indikator Stochastic bullish pada momentum bullish indikator RSI. Potensi pergerakan positif menguji upper bollinger bands masih cukup kuat selama IHSG bertahan diatas MA20. Sehingga diperkirakan IHSG bergerak menguat dengan support 6476-6580. Saham-saham yang masih dapat diperhatikan diantaranya; TBLA, LSIP, TKIM, WSBP, ADRO, INDY, ANTM, INCO, WSKT, PTPP, BBTN, BMRI. Mayoritas bursa saham Asia pagi ini diperkirakan menguat dengan Indeks Nikkei (+0.29%) dan TOPIX (+0.23%) di Jepang dibuka lebih tinggi. Selain itu Indeks KOSPI (+0.60%) di Korea Selatan pun mengikuti lompatan diawal sesi perdagangan. Nilai tukar Yuan naik setelah adanya laporan mengenai permintaan AS terhadap China untuk menjaga mata uangnnya pada zona stabil sebagai bagian dari negosiasi perdagangan. Sikap ini bertujuan menetralkan segala upaya Tiongkok untuk mendevaluasi mata uangnnya untuk melawan tarif AS. Meskipun demikian kekhawatiran masih menghantui hingga 1 Maret dengan spekulasi tanpa kesepatan dan lebih mengarah pada tarif import baru dari AS. Harga komoditas Emas mendekati level tertinggi sejak bulan Mei 2018 sedangkan harga minyak WTI (- 0.23%) tergelincir kelevel $56.32 perbarrel dan Harga Batubara NC (+0.21%) terus bertahan diatas level $95 per Mton dengan Komoditas logam mayoritas menguat dimana Nikel (+1.58%) kembali naik signifikan dan Timah (+0.09%) melanjutkan penguatannya dilevel tertinggi ditahun ini.

  Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Analyst:

  Lanjar Nafi lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com

• +62 21 5790 5455 ext. 214

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  1

• Pergerakan harga saham tertahan
• Stop-loss
• Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price
• Candlestick
• Stop-loss jika harga saham break
• Indikator
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price

  : 2740 BUY ON WEAKNESS JPFA Analisis :

  : 2030 SPECULATIVE BUY

  : 1820

  : 1940-2120

  : 1790-1630

  Stochastic berpotensi membentuk pola golden-cross dengan indicator RSI yang bullish reversal momentum.

  out support

  membentuk pola bullish separating line dengan indikasi kembali menguat menguji Resistance.

  : 2380

  your reliable partner

  : 2560-2850

  : 2090-2310

  terkonsolidasi pada area oversold dengan volume perdagangan yang cukup tinggi.

  jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support MA50

  pada area support MA50. Indikasi rebound menguji resistance

  Analisis :

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  INDY

• Candlestick membentuk pola
• Stop-loss
• Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price

  : 1360

  : 1730

  : 1870-2050

  : 1510-1680

  area oversold dengan pola golden- cross dan RSI yang mulai terlihat bullish reversal momentum.

  bullish harami

  membentuk pola bullish harami dengan indikasi melakukan pengujian resistance MA200 dan MA20

  : 1595-1645 SPECULATIVE BUY HRUM Analisis :

  : 1545-1650

  : 1300-1380

  area oversold dan membentuk pola golden-cross

  jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support

  bullish harami dengan indikasi menguji resistance MA50 dan MA20.

  Analisis :

• Candlestick
• Stop-loss jika menggagalkan pola
• Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price

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  : 1885-1920 SPECULATIVE BUY WSKT

  Daily Price Action LS-27 Index

  Support Support Resist ance Resist ance Target Ticker Last Price Not e Rat ing St op-loss

  2

  1

  1

  

2

Price Agricult ure TBLA 810 885 890 955 1,030 Break out resistance SB 880 955 AALI 12,750 13,575 13,900 14,350 15,000 Bullish momentum B 13,500 14,350 SSMS 1,050 1,115 1,140 1,180 2,250 Consolidations W 1,100 Basic Indust ry TKIM 9,325 10,900 11,550 12,350 14,150 Bullish harami confirmations B 11,200 12,700

  INKP 10,700 11,700 11,700 13,000 14,440 Consolidations W 10,600 CPIN 6,700 7,200 7,475 8,000 8,850 Whipsaw MA50 SB 7,100 8,000 Consumer GGRM 80,700 84,500 85,650 88,000 92,000 Break out upper bound H 85,200 88,000 HOKI 580 620 640 675 720 Oversold W 600

  ICBP 9,800 10,450 10,500 11,400 12,300 Consolidations TB 10,400 11,400 UNVR 47,100 49,000 49,500 51,400 53,000 Stoch golden-cross H 48,800 51,400 Finance BBRI 3,550 3,750 3,910 3,940 4,100 Pulled back upper bands H 3,800 3,940 BBNI 8,200 8,650 8,850 9,100 9,525 Consolidations W 8,700 BBCA 25,800 26,800 27,125 28,275 29,750 Stoch golden-cross SB 27,000 28,275 Infrast ruct ure TOWR 750 770 825 850 910 Consolidations PS 840 PGAS 2,250 2,410 2,510 2,600 2,720 Consolidations H 2,500 2,600 Misc. Indust ry SRIL 300 322 336 340 350 Stoch golden-cross TB 330 350 ASII 7,500 7,800 7,775 8,100 8,500 Bullish kicker signal SB 7,700 8,100 Mining PTBA 3,870 4,170 4,190 4,500 4,740 Break out resistance SB 4,160 4,500

  ITMG 19,350 20,500 21,400 22,000 23,000 Stoch golden-cross SB 21,000 22,000 ADRO 1,130 1,215 1,295 1,310 1,400 Stoch golden-cross B 1,250 1,400 Propert y LPCK 2,300 2,400 2,620 2,650 2,880 Rebounded at MA20 SB 2,500 2,850 WSKT 1,515 1,680 1,775 1,850 2,070 Bullish harami confirmations TB 1,750 1,850 PWON 595 625 645 660 700 Consolidations W 620 Trading UNTR 24,000 25,425 26,275 27,000 28,500 Break out MA20 H 25,400 27,000 SCMA 1,600 1,700 1,795 1,800 1,900 Break out MA5 TB 1,780 1,900 LPPF 4,890 5,325 6,000 6,000 7,000 Break out support W 5,300 ERAA 1,875 2,100 2,160 2,400 2,670 Break out resistance SB 2,080 2,320 Wednesday, 20 February 2019 Equity Technical Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com Disclaimer on

  Analyst Conclusions: The Index has reached the wave 3. Legend :  B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability)  SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability)  W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)  H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)  PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability)  S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)  TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).

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  LIN K.JK 4,500 4,260 4,130 4,500 4,310 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  ICBP.JK 10,700 10,500 10,300 10,700 10,525 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IMAS.JK 3,330 3,470 3,140 3,560 3,230 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper

  IMJS.jk 915 755 685 790 740 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IN CO.JK 4,020 3,690 3,480 3,770 3,630 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  IN DF.JK 7,800 7,550 7,425 7,700 7,600 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IN DY.JK 2,240 1,915 2,110 1,975 1,825 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  IN KP.JK 13,300 11,700 11,425 12,650 11,900 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  IN TP.JK 20,200 18,050 17,975 19,100 18,500 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  ITMG.JK 22,400 21,400 20,450 21,975 21,100 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under JPFA.JK 2,970 2,440 2,680 2,970 2,540 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper

  JRPT.JK 675 620 585 645 605 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper

  JSMR.JK 5,175 5,125 4,910 5,125 5,025 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  KLBF.JK 1,625 1,555 1,550 1,590 1,570 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper

  LPCK.JK 2,910 2,620 2,490 2,860 2,640 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper LPKR.JK 318 278 280 296 284 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

  3,850 3,790 3,700 3,840 3,790 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper H OKI.JK

  LPPF.JK 7,050 6,000 5,600 6,775 6,200 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  LSIP.JK 1,450 1,370 1,330 1,450 1,390 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  MAIN .JK 1,915 1,750 1,575 1,915 1,790 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MAPI.JK 1,040 1,075 1,000 1,110 1,030 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MCAS.JK 3,610 3,530 3,310 3,730 3,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MDIA.JK 160 144 120 160 150 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  MEDC.JK 995 995 925 1,030 970 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  META.JK 220 212 208 214 212 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  MIKA.JK 1,920 1,875 1,700 1,895 1,815 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MN CN .JK 885 940 810 985 840 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper

  MYOR.JK 2,710 2,630 2,550 2,720 2,600 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  PBID.JK 1,110 1,065 1,050 1,100 1,080 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  PGAS.JK 2,640 2,510 2,310 2,530 2,440 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  Source : Reliance Research T icke r

  730 640 660 720 675 Oversold Bearish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under H RUM.JK 1,860 1,495 1,700 1,565 1,480 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  83,800 85,650 80,175 86,800 82,725 Overbought Bearish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper GMFI.JK 296 254 234 266 242 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under H MSP.JK

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  785 800 585 805 730 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BBCA.JK 28,750 27,125 26,675 27,500 27,025 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BBN I.JK

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

  19/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  B. Band

  20 Days

  50 Days 200 Days AALI.JK

  14,200 13,900 12,975 13,975 13,475 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACES.JK 1,810 1,760 1,675 1,785 1,720 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACST.JK

  1,800 1,655 1,510 1,745 1,655 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under ADH I.JK

  1,840 1,525 1,520 1,620 1,555 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ADRO.JK 1,415 1,295 1,215 1,310 1,245 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under AGII.JK

  680 635 635 690 645 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper AKRA.JK

  4,800 5,550 5,150 5,850 5,500 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper AMRT.JK 830 850 815 880 845 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper AN TM.JK

  1,040 1,020 950 1,055 995 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ARN A.JK

  496 486 450 496 486 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ASII.JK 8,500 7,775 7,525 7,925 7,650 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASRI.JK

  376 332 330 348 336 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASSA.JK

  9,075 8,850 8,650 9,050 8,775 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BBRI.JK

  434 380 350 398 388 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper GGRM.JK

  3,950 3,910 3,750 4,000 3,840 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBTN .JK 2,860 2,530 2,480 2,640 2,530 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BDMN .JK

  9,200 9,200 9,150 9,200 9,175 Neutral Bearish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BEST.JK

  264 248 240 260 256 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BFIN .JK 695 670 650 675 660 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BIRD.JK

  3,250 3,040 3,010 3,200 3,070 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BISI.JK

  1,480 1,430 1,390 1,455 1,410 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BJBR.JK 2,450 2,020 1,985 2,130 2,050 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BMRI.JK

  7,675 7,175 7,100 7,475 7,225 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BN GA.JK

  1,280 1,275 1,145 1,290 1,200 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BN LI.JK 1,185 1,235 1,030 1,280 1,090 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BRPT.JK

  2,600 2,890 2,390 2,950 2,630 Overbought Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BSDE.JK

  1,445 1,300 1,295 1,360 1,320 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BTPN .JK 4,000 3,750 3,710 3,810 3,750 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper CPIN .JK

  8,400 7,475 7,125 7,625 7,475 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper CTRA.JK

  1,000 900 865 920 905 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under DILD.JK 338 318 320 334 322 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper DMAS.JK

  224 206 195 210 206 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper DOID.JK

  670 595 570 610 590 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under ERAA.JK 2,410 2,160 1,910 2,170 2,050 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ESSA.JK

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  2,040 2,010 1,980 2,040 2,020 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SMGR.JK 12,775 12,525 12,200 12,775 12,300 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper SMRA.JK 990 885 865 955 895 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper SRIL.JK

  Source : Reliance Research T icke r

  735 765 580 785 715 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WSBP.JK 420 378 368 398 380 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper WSKT.JK 2,040 1,775 1,830 1,925 1,790 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  50,050 49,500 48,875 49,725 48,600 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WEGE.JK 342 308 292 334 320 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WIKA.JK 1,945 1,665 1,835 1,765 1,690 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper WOOD.JK

  5,700 5,350 5,400 5,700 5,500 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper ULTJ.JK 1,270 1,215 1,200 1,220 1,215 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper UN TR.JK 26,775 26,275 24,250 26,375 25,500 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under UN V R.JK

  3,940 3,920 3,730 3,940 3,800 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOTL.JK 650 615 600 640 625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOWR.JK 865 825 760 865 820 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TPIA.JK

  990 890 845 905 880 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper TIN S.JK 1,430 1,525 1,270 1,615 1,445 Neutral Bearish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper TKIM.JK 13,950 11,550 11,200 12,575 11,575 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under TLKM.JK

  350 336 328 344 340 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SSMS.JK 1,200 1,140 1,165 1,170 1,155 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under TBIG.JK 4,830 4,510 4,460 4,700 4,580 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper TBLA.JK

  4,150 3,500 3,160 4,100 3,630 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under SIMP.JK 530 494 486 505 498 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under SMBR.JK 1,680 1,505 1,500 1,580 1,520 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SMCB.JK

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  1,825 1,770 1,615 1,825 1,810 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ROTI.JK 1,240 1,195 1,195 1,215 1,210 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper SCMA.JK 1,855 1,795 1,705 1,795 1,760 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SGRO.JK 2,420 2,300 2,210 2,350 2,340 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SIDO.jk 840 860 800 865 815 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper SILO.JK

  4,470 4,190 3,930 4,280 4,040 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper PTPP.JK 2,370 2,110 1,995 2,170 2,070 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper PWON .JK 650 645 635 665 650 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper RALS.JK

  50 Days 200 Days PN BN .JK 1,450 1,505 1,315 1,590 1,495 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper PTBA.JK

  20 Days

  B. Band

  19/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

  Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic

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  Universitas Siliwangi Tasikmalaya

  Jl. Siliwangi No. 24 Tasikmalaya 46151 T. +62 265 323685

  F. +62 265 323534

  Politeknik Kediri

  Jl. Mayor Bismo No. 27 Kediri 64121 T +62 354 683128 F +62 354 683128

  Universitas Negeri Malang

  Jl. Surabaya No. 6 Malang 65145 T. +62 341 585914

  F. +62 341 55288

  Universitas Negeri Makassar

  FakultasEkonomiGedung BT Lt. 2 Jl. A. P. Pettarani, Kampus UNM, Gunungsari Baru Makassar 90222 T. +62 411 889464, 881244

  F. +62 411 887604

  

Universitas Muhammadiyah Pontianak

  Jl. Ahmad Yani, No. 111 Pontianak 78124 T. +62 561 743465

  F. +62 341 460782