CONTENTS
CHANGE
I URBANIZATION I POVERTY I CLIMATE
IMPACT ASSESSMENT
STRATEGY
Climate Condiions
1. VARIABILITY CHANGE
Urbanizaion PovertyInformal
setlements
Temperature Precipitaion
Sea level rise Populaion
Industrial Economic Growth
Landuse-landchange LULCEnvironmental
transiion Living environment
Livelihood earning
Lifestyle migraion social status, access
to resources
CONTENTS
POPULATION I INDUSTRIAL ECOMINC GROWTH I LANDUSE LANDCHANGE
CHANGE
I URBANIZATION I POVERTY I CLIMATE
IMPACT ASSESSMENT
STRATEGY
1. GROWTH PRESENT POPULATION 2. FUTURE PROJECTIONS
1. GROWTH PRESENT POPULATION
Surat is the 9th largest city in India. As per 2001 Census, the populaion of Surat was 2.89 million. This includes a total of 1.09 million workers, driven by pull migraion induced by the growth of texile and
diamond industries especially since the 1970’s. The city has seen an unprecedented growth in last four decades, recording one of the highest growth
rates in the country and a 10-fold populaion rise over four decades. Coupled with this, the spillover of
populaion into the periphery has also been observed especially towards the coast and Hazira in the west and the Naional highway towards East.
The city area has expanded with ime major expansion being in 2006 and presently covers 326.515 sq.km. The esimated populaion of the city in 2011 is about 4.5 million.
Surat Municipal Growth Staisics Area and Populaion Sr.
No. Descripion
1951 1961
1971 1981
1991 2001
1 Area Sq. km
8.2 8.2
33.9 55.6
111.2 112.3
2 Populaion
Million 0.2
0.3 0.5
0.8 1.5
2.4 3
Growth Rate -
29.1 63.8
64.7 93.0
62.4 4
Density PersonSq. km
27,284 35,211
13,934 13,977
13,489 21,677
Source: CDP, Surat
2. FUTURE PROJECTIONS
The populaion of Surat is expected to grow from 2.89 million 2001 to 4.5, 6.4 8.5 million by 2011, 2021 2031
Presently, the Surat Municipal Corporaion SMC provides the essenial services such as safe drinking water, sanitaion, roads and bridges, streetlights and primary health and educaion services to all
residents. With the increase in populaion, addressing these urban services and other societal needs will become a challenge
POPULATION DECADAL GROWTH
60 growth rate
Source: Surat City Development Plan 2006-2012
0.0 5.0
10.0 15.0
20.0 25.0
19 60
19 65
1 9
7 1
9 7
5 19
80 19
85 1
9 9
1 9
9 5
2 2
5 2
1 2
1 5
2 2
2 2
5 2
3 2
3 5
2 4
Po pu
la tio
n m
illi on
Surat Urban Area: Population Projection
Population Residing in Agglomoration Urban Population SMC
Urban Population UN 0.00
1.00 2.00
3.00 4.00
5.00 6.00
7.00 8.00
9.00 10.00
1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031
P o
p u
la ti
o n
in M
il io
n
High Growth Stabilisation
Reduced Migration
Low Growth
CONTENTS
CHANGE
I URBANIZATION I POVERTY I CLIMATE
IMPACT ASSESSMENT
STRATEGY
POPULATION I
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIC GROWTH I LANDUSE LANDCHANGE
“iber to fashion”
100 500
1200 5667
13000 22000
5000 10000
15000 20000
25000
1950 1960
1970 1980
1990 2000
No . o
f D io
m on
d Po
lis hi
ng U
ni ts
2282 8105
19025 25488
200000 450000
100000 200000
300000 400000
500000
1950 1960
1970 1980
1990 2000
N o
o f
lo o
m s
No of looms
No of looms
1. PRESENT INDUSTRIAL BASE 2. TEXTILES, DIAMONDS, HEAVY ENGINEERING- PROSPECTIVE CHANGE
