Equatorial Palm Oil, United Review of Economic and Social Benefits from Accelerated Oil Palm Development

B. Potential Impacts of the Rapid Expansion of Liberia’s Oil Palm Sector 1. Summary of Potential Investments The stage is set for dramatic developments in the Liberian oil palm sector. Four major international oil palm companies, including two of the largest Malaysian and Indonesian companies, Sime Darby and Sinar Mas known locally as Golden VerOleum, are finalizing concession permits for the development of over 500,000 hectares. Three of these companies, Sime Darby, Equatorial Palm Oil Ltd, and SocfinCavalla, have already completed part or all of their concession agreements with the pertinent Government of Liberia agencies, the Ministry of Agriculture and the Board of Investments. Indications are strong that the fourth, Sinar MasGolden VerOleum will imminently sign a concession agreement with the Government of Liberia. Sime Darby, Sinar Mas, and Socfin are three of the most financially and technically strong oil palm companies in the world with extensive holdings, infrastructure, and research and development capabilities. Equatorial Palm Oil, though a recent player, has senior managers who have worked for many years with two Southeast Asia companies with solid reputations and track records for innovation, New Britain Palm Oil of Papua New Guinea and London Sumatra in Indonesia. Most significantly, all four of these companies are active established members of the RSPO. While no guarantee of good corporate behavior, this does provide unusual opportunities and advantages for Liberia. Based on information received from various sources, the summary of pending oil palm investments in Liberia is as follows in Table 1 and as depicted in the general areas of the circles in Figure 6: Pending Oil Palm Investment Initiatives in Liberia Investing Investor Estimated Outgrower Investment Company Origin Counties Hectares Hectares Size 1. Sime Darby Malaysia Grand Cape Mount 220,000 44,000 1,200 MM Bomi Bong Gbarpolu 2. Golden VerOleum Indonesia Sinoe 200,000 40,000 1,600 MM Sinar Mas River Cess Grand Cru Maryland Grand Gedeh

3. Equatorial Palm Oil, United

Kingdom Sinoe 60,000 10,000 100 MM Ltd. Grand Bassa 4. SocfinCavalla Belgium Bong 10,000 - 40 MM 5. Haj Group Liberia Grand Cape Mount 4,500 2,000 2.5-5.0 MM TOTALS 494,500 56,000 2,950 MM Table 1: Pending Oil Palm Investment Initiatives in Liberia 4 FFigure 6: Figure F Figure 6: General Locations of Pending Oil Palm Concessions in Liberia 4

2. Review of Economic and Social Benefits from Accelerated Oil Palm Development

A cursory review of the above data indicates that if these companies meet their targets, then the following benefits could be achieved: 1 Creation of over 90,000 workplaces within the investor company operations This assumes 6 hectares per plantation worker, a lower average than the 9-10 hectare averages in Southeast Asia due to less labor productivity and production skills in modern oil palm production. It also assumes that the companies will build a mill for every 10,000-15,000 hectares that could employ about 150-200 workers each. The FFI advisor was able to review one concession agreement with the Government of Liberia Sime Darby and noted that it contained targets but lacked specificity on actual commitments agreed to by the company. The business prospectus for another company Golden VerOleumSime Darby contained projections of this magnitude. 2 Generation of improved incomes for over 30,000 Liberian smallholderoutgrower families. Almost any interventions could lead to increased income given the extremely low levels of productivity and maintenance of the aging oil palm plantations. The best results could be achieved if the companies in collaboration with government or NGO extension services provide financial and technical support to smallholdersoutgrowers in establishing new plantations or totally replanting existing ones. This could entail implementing improvements such as introduction of higher-yielding clonal varieties, application of good agricultural practices and inputs, and skill development training and extension for the producers. Care needs to be taken that there are adequate provisions for smallholderoutgrowers having adequate income opportunities and meeting food consumption needs during the five-year period prior to the plantations achieving maturity. Some options for smallholders that have been demonstrated in other countries include intercropping with foodcrops such as grains and pulses and integrating livestock into the plantations. 3 Production of about 1.0-1.5 million tons Crude Palm Oil CPO per year. These projections are based on a combined average oil production of 2-3 metric tons of CPO per hectare on the company core plantations plus the smallholderoutgrower schemes. This level is equivalent to about 60-75 of the Indonesian average production yields per hectare. Actually, much higher yields 6-8 tons per hectare or more have been achieved by the three large established international companies now operating in Liberia in their Southeast Asian operations. This has largely been achieved through best management practices including planting advanced clonal seedling material, streamlining harvesting techniques, and optimizing fertility and nutrient cycling. Another factor that could drive production levels higher would be to install state of the art processing technology in order to achieve optimal oil extraction rates OER. In any case, if this level of production were in effect today, Liberia would be among the top five largest global producers including Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Nigeria. Currently, Liberia rates near the bottom of the producer countries and does not have adequate 4 production for domestic consumption needs. 4. Company revenues can reach levels of US750-1,125 MM per year within 7-10 years once plantations are mature and well-managed. The resulting revenues for the investing companies would make a significant contribution to raising Liberias Gross National Product GNP. This assumes export prices remaining at the current level of US750 per metric ton. This pricing level is not unrealistic as prices have stayed at this level for the last two years. However, achieving this level of revenue increases will take major additional infrastructure investments in roads, ports, housing, and communications systems by the companies, banks, and government financing institutions. Additionally, government and private sector resources will be needed to boost the capacities of educational and training institutions to provide technical, managerial, and skill development. 5 Generate substantial tax revenues and financing for an oil palm development fund. The pending palm oil developments in Liberia could make substantial contributions to national tax revenues and thereby improving Liberias fragile financial position. International donors and financing agencies such as USAID, IFC, and the World Bank could redirect their funding from balance of payments subsidies towards investments in productive infrastructure and human resource development. The government could earmark a portion of tax revenues or create a special levy to set up an oil palm development fund to benefit smallholders and local communities and promoting sustainable production. However, such a fund needs to be professionally and independently managed with high standards of transparency and accountability.

3. Potential Environmental and Social Issues