Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan

  Daily Price Action th

  Monday, 25 February 2019 Market Review

  IHSG (-0.56%) melemah menjelang akhir pekan sebesar 36.39 poin kelevel 6501.38 meskipun masih bertahan diatas level psikologis 6500. Pergerakan pelemahan terjadi sejak awal sesi perdagangan dengan dibuka -0.12% dan sempat melemah hingga -0.86%. Sektor Industri Dasar (-1.66%) lagi-lagi menjadi penekan pergerakan sejak awal sesi perdagangan diiringi dengan pelemahan sektor property (-0.86%). Saham-saham peternakan dan produsen semen menjadi pemicunya. Investor asing tercatat net sell 115.01 miliar rupiah seiring pelemahan rupiah kelevel Rp14.079 per USD. Leader: UNTR, BNII, SQMI, CLAY, GIAA Laggard: BMRI, CPIN, HMSP, BBNI, ASII Secara teknikal IHSG bertahan pada area support MA20 dan indikasi menguat masih cukup berpeluang dengan potensi menguji resistance 6600. Indikator Stochastic mencapai masih bergerak positif mendekati area overbought. Sehingga diperkirakan IHSG cenderung menguat dengan rentang pergerakan 6500-6600. Saham-saham yang masih dapat dicermati diantaranya JPFA, KLBF, BBTN, MAPI.

  Bursa saham Asia pagi ini dibuka dengan penguatan pada saham-saham Jepang. Indeks Nikkei (+0.68%) dan TOPIX (+0.69%) gap up dan akan menjadi trigger positif mayoritas indeks saham di Asia awal pekan ini. Pernyataan Trump yang akan menunda batas waktu 1 Maret untuk tarif AS yang lebih tinggi pada barang-barang import China senilai $200 miliar menjadi katalis optimisasi Investor diawal pekan seiring kenaikan Yuan sejak pertengahan bulan Februari tahuh ini. Harga minyak WTI bertahan sekitaran $57 perbarrel setelah pemotongan OPEC dan sanksi terhadap Iran dan Venezuela membuat stock persediaan minyak global menurun.

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  Lanjar Nafi lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com

• +62 21 5790 5455 ext. 214

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  1

  Daily Price Action MAPI

  SPECULATIVE BUY Analisis :

• Candlestick membentuk pola

  tweezers bottom dengan indikasi whipsaw MA20. Pergerakan harga berpotensi menguji resistance. jika harga saham

• Stop-loss

  terkonfirmasi break out support MA20

• Indikator stochastic mendekati

  area jenuh jual dengan RSI yang bullish reversal momentum.

  : 940-985

• Support

  : 1030-1080

• Resistance

  : 995

• Stop-loss

  : 1080

• Target Price

  BBTN SPECULATIVE BUY Analisis :

• Whipsaw support dengan indikasi menguat menuji MA50 dan MA20.
• Stop-loss jika harga saham break

  out support

• Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada

  momentum positif mendekati oversold.

  : 2430-2530

• Support

  : 2680-2820

• Resistance

  : 2500

• Stop-loss

  : 2680-2820

• Target Price

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• Candlestick membentuk shooting
• Stop-loss
• Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price

  : 1380

  : 2240

  : 2590-2850

  : 2090-2270

  area oversold dengan pola golden- cross dan RSI yang mulai terlihat bullish reversal momentum.

  membentuk Bullish meeting line dengan indikasi rebound pada area support dengan potensi menguji resistance.

  : 1300 PARTIAL SELL ADRO Analisis :

  : 1500-1570

  : 1310-1400

  area overbought dengan indikasi dead-cross.

  jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support

  star dengan indikasi pulled back bearish trend line. Indikasi melemah menguji support.

  Analisis :

• Mengkonfirmasi Pola candlestick
• Stop-loss jika break out support
• Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
• Support
• Resistance
• Stop-loss
• Target Price

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  : 2580-2770 SPECULATIVE BUY JPFA

  Daily Price Action LS-27 Index

  Support Support Resist ance Resist ance Target Ticker Last Price Not e Rat ing St op-loss

  2

  1

  1

  

2

Price Agricult ure TBLA 810 885 880 955 1,030 Consolidations SB 880 955 AALI 12,750 13,575 13,600 14,350 15,000 Bullish momentum SB 13,500 14,350 SSMS 1,050 1,115 1,130 1,180 2,250 Consolidations W 1,100 Basic Indust ry TKIM 9,325 10,900 11,500 12,350 14,150 Consolidations B 11,200 12,700

  INKP 10,700 11,700 12,175 13,000 14,440 Consolidations B 10,600 13,000 CPIN 6,700 7,200 7,175 8,000 8,850 Whipsaw MA50 SB 7,100 8,000 Consumer GGRM 77,000 80,800 81,775 84,500 88,000 False break upper bound PS 83,500 HOKI 580 620 640 675 720 Oversold W 600

  ICBP 9,800 10,450 10,400 11,400 12,300 Consolidations TB 10,400 11,400 UNVR 47,100 49,000 49,500 51,400 53,000 Stoch golden-cross H 48,800 51,400 Finance BBRI 3,550 3,750 3,900 3,940 4,100 Bearish engulfing PS 3,850 BBNI 8,200 8,650 8,725 9,100 9,525 Consolidations W 8,600 BBCA 25,800 26,800 27,450 28,275 29,750 Bullish momentum B 27,000 28,275 Infrast ruct ure TOWR 750 770 810 850 910 Consolidations PS 840 PGAS 2,250 2,410 2,650 2,600 2,720 Consolidations H 2,500 2,600 Misc. Indust ry SRIL 300 322 334 340 350 Stoch golden-cross TB 330 350 ASII 7,500 7,800 7,625 8,100 8,500 Bullish kicker signal SB 7,700 8,100 Mining PTBA 3,870 4,170 4,130 4,500 4,740 Break out resistance SB 4,160 4,500

  ITMG 19,350 20,500 23,650 22,000 23,000 Stoch golden-cross SB 21,000 22,000 ADRO 1,130 1,215 1,410 1,310 1,400 Stoch golden-cross B 1,250 1,400 Propert y LPCK 2,300 2,400 2,670 2,650 2,880 Rebounded at MA20 SB 2,500 2,850 WSKT 1,515 1,680 1,830 1,850 2,070 Bullish harami confirmations TB 1,750 1,850 PWON 595 625 625 660 700 Consolidations W 620 Trading UNTR 24,000 25,425 27,950 27,000 28,500 Break out MA20 H 25,400 27,000 SCMA 1,600 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,900 Break out MA5 TB 1,780 1,900 LPPF 4,890 5,325 5,775 6,000 7,000 Break out support W 5,300 ERAA 1,875 2,100 2,090 2,400 2,670 Break out resistance SB 2,080 2,320 Monday, 25 February 2019 Equity Technical Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com Disclaimer on

  Analyst Conclusions: The Index has reached the wave 3. Legend :  B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability)  SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability)  W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary)  H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute)  PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability)  S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability)  TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).

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  JRPT.JK 675 600 585 630 605 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  730 640 605 680 640 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under H RUM.JK

  1,860 1,560 1,425 1,650 1,505 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  ICBP.JK 10,700 10,400 10,300 10,600 10,400 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IMAS.JK 3,570 3,180 3,140 3,570 3,300 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IMJS.jk 790 710 685 790 730 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IN CO.JK 4,020 3,760 3,480 3,800 3,680 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  IN DF.JK 7,800 7,625 7,425 7,650 7,575 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper

  IN DY.JK 2,240 2,170 1,755 2,230 1,845 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under

  IN KP.JK 13,300 12,175 11,425 12,250 11,900 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under

  IN TP.JK 20,200 19,275 17,975 19,900 18,500 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper

  ITMG.JK 22,400 23,650 20,450 23,650 21,150 Overbought Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Under

  JPFA.JK 2,970 2,340 2,680 2,720 2,390 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper

  JSMR.JK 5,150 4,960 4,910 5,150 4,980 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper KLBF.JK 1,625 1,510 1,550 1,590 1,525 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper

  434 378 370 390 384 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper GGRM.JK

  LIN K.JK 4,450 4,250 4,130 4,450 4,310 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under

  LPCK.JK 2,850 2,670 2,490 2,850 2,640 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper LPKR.JK 318 282 274 292 284 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under LPPF.JK

  7,050 5,775 5,600 6,250 5,925 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under LSIP.JK

  1,450 1,370 1,340 1,395 1,380 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper MAIN .JK 1,915 1,610 1,575 1,810 1,700 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper MAPI.JK

  1,110 1,020 1,000 1,110 1,030 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MCAS.JK

  3,730 3,600 3,310 3,730 3,570 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MDIA.JK

  160 138 134 150 146 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under MEDC.JK 995 995 925 1,040 1,015 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper META.JK

  220 210 208 214 212 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under MIKA.JK

  1,895 1,890 1,700 1,915 1,880 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MN CN .JK 885 945 810 1,010 965 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MYOR.JK

  2,720 2,640 2,550 2,720 2,620 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under PBID.JK

  1,110 1,070 1,050 1,085 1,075 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under PGAS.JK

  2,640 2,650 2,470 2,720 2,530 Overbought Bearish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper Source : Reliance Research

  86,800 81,775 80,175 86,800 83,600 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper GMFI.JK 264 248 228 264 242 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under H MSP.JK 3,840 3,760 3,720 3,840 3,780 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper H OKI.JK

  670 625 570 630 600 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under ERAA.JK 2,270 2,090 1,910 2,270 2,060 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ESSA.JK

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  376 328 330 340 332 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASSA.JK 830 800 585 830 755 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBCA.JK

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

  22/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  B. Band

  20 Days

  50 Days 200 Days AALI.JK

  13,975 13,600 12,975 13,975 13,750 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper ACES.JK 1,810 1,810 1,675 1,835 1,740 Overbought Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACST.JK

  1,695 1,670 1,615 1,695 1,655 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under ADH I.JK

  1,840 1,540 1,520 1,600 1,555 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ADRO.JK

  1,415 1,410 1,215 1,460 1,265 Overbought Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under AGII.JK 690 635 605 690 650 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper AKRA.JK

  4,800 5,750 5,525 5,875 5,725 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper AMRT.JK

  830 835 815 880 845 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper AN TM.JK 1,090 1,055 950 1,090 1,020 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ARN A.JK 496 478 450 490 484 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ASII.JK

  7,925 7,625 7,525 7,925 7,700 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASRI.JK

  27,975 27,450 26,675 27,975 27,400 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BBN I.JK

  224 230 202 238 206 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper DOID.JK

  9,050 8,725 8,650 9,050 8,900 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BBRI.JK

  4,000 3,900 3,750 4,000 3,860 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBTN .JK 2,610 2,500 2,480 2,610 2,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BDMN .JK

  9,200 9,125 9,150 9,225 9,200 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Upper Upper BEST.JK

  264 266 248 270 256 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BFIN .JK 675 655 640 685 660 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BIRD.JK

  3,250 3,030 2,940 3,110 3,030 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BISI.JK

  1,455 1,400 1,390 1,455 1,410 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BJBR.JK

  2,450 2,130 1,985 2,190 2,060 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BMRI.JK 7,675 7,100 6,950 7,325 7,250 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BN GA.JK

  1,280 1,255 1,145 1,290 1,265 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BN LI.JK

  1,280 1,055 1,030 1,280 1,125 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BRPT.JK

  2,600 3,000 2,820 3,010 2,880 Overbought Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BSDE.JK 1,445 1,310 1,285 1,350 1,320 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BTPN .JK

  4,000 3,710 3,620 3,750 3,740 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper CPIN .JK

  7,625 7,175 7,125 7,625 7,550 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper CTRA.JK 925 880 865 925 910 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under DILD.JK

  338 316 314 322 316 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper DMAS.JK

  T icke r Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic

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  12,775 12,575 11,925 13,025 12,675 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper SMRA.JK

  420 380 368 390 380 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper WSKT.JK 2,040 1,830 1,745 1,875 1,790 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under Source : Reliance Research

  735 815 695 835 715 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WSBP.JK

  1,945 1,730 1,635 1,765 1,690 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper WOOD.JK

  50,125 49,500 47,925 50,125 49,600 Overbought Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WEGE.JK 342 308 292 334 320 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WIKA.JK

  26,775 27,950 24,250 28,000 26,225 Overbought Bearish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Under UN V R.JK

  5,700 5,550 5,350 5,600 5,425 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ULTJ.JK 1,270 1,230 1,200 1,245 1,215 Neutral Bullish Neutral Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper UN TR.JK

  865 810 805 845 825 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper TPIA.JK

  11,800 11,500 11,200 11,800 11,575 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under TLKM.JK 3,940 3,840 3,730 3,940 3,870 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper TOTL.JK 650 625 615 630 625 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOWR.JK

  1,615 1,550 1,270 1,615 1,545 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TKIM.JK

  4,680 4,200 4,460 4,680 4,440 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper TBLA.JK 990 880 845 905 895 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper TIN S.JK

  1,200 1,130 1,105 1,165 1,140 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under TBIG.JK

  990 980 865 990 895 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SRIL.JK 350 334 332 342 338 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SSMS.JK

  2,040 2,010 2,000 2,030 2,010 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SMGR.JK

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  530 496 486 505 498 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under SMBR.JK 1,680 1,580 1,505 1,585 1,520 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under SMCB.JK

  4,150 3,550 3,430 3,700 3,580 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under SIMP.JK

  2,350 2,340 2,220 2,350 2,290 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under SIDO.jk 840 990 800 1,000 830 Overbought Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper SILO.JK

  1,855 1,750 1,705 1,855 1,780 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SGRO.JK

  665 625 635 665 640 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper RALS.JK 1,825 1,680 1,615 1,815 1,740 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper ROTI.JK 1,240 1,200 1,190 1,210 1,200 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper SCMA.JK

  2,220 2,020 1,995 2,220 2,080 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper PWON .JK

  1,450 1,610 1,315 1,645 1,580 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper PTBA.JK 4,470 4,130 3,930 4,240 4,040 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under PTPP.JK

  50 Days 200 Days PN BN .JK

  20 Days

  B. Band

  22/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI

  Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal

  T icke r Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic

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  Jl. Ahmad Yani, No. 111 Pontianak 78124 T. +62 561 743465

  F. +62 341 460782