Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan
Daily Price Action st
Thursday, 21 February 2019 Market Review
IHSG (+0.28%) menguat sekitar 18.12 poin menjelang penutupan kelevel 6512.78 dengan sektor Industri Dasar (+1.6%) berbalik rebound setelah menjadi penekan diperdagangan sebelumnya dan sektor Property (+1.02%) menguat lebih dari sepersen. Saham-saham produsen semen menjadi kontributor penguatan dengan INTP (+8.33%) dan SMGR (+3.41%) menguat signifikan. Secara fundamental SMGR memiliki PER cukup murah dari perusahaan sejenis sebesar 2.53x berbanding INTP sebesar 3.11x dengan rata-rata PER perusahaan sejenis sebesar 2.79x. Meskipun data penjualan semen di Indonesia turun 1.3% dari tahun sebelumnya pada bulan Januari 2019 dan SMGR mengalami penurunan penjualan 6.3% dari tahun sebelumnya atau turun sebesar 200 ribu ton. Investor asing tercatat net buy 450.27 miliar rupiah seiring penguatan rupiah yang cukup optimis sebesar 0.42% kelevel Rp14.044 per USD. Leader: BBCA, UNVR, INTP, CPIN, SMGR Laggard: TLKM, BMRI, GGRM, BBRI, BNLI Pergerakan IHSG secara teknikal kembali terkonsolidasi dengan bertahan dan mampi break out level 6500. Indikator Stochastic bergerak positif mengarah pada area jenuh beli dengan momentum RSI yang masih berpeluang menguat optimis. Sehingga peluang IHSG terkus bergerak melanjutkan trend positifnya menguji resistance 6600 cukup terbuka dengan support resistance pada perdagangan selanjutnya dilevel 6478-6600. Saham- saham yang dapat menjadi perhatian diantaranya INKP, TKIM, WSBP, INTP, SMGR, BBCA,
BMRI, HRUM, ANTM, INCO, WSKT, ADHI, WIKA.
Indeks Nikkei (-0.22%) dan TOPIX (-0.28%) terkonsolidasi cenderung koreksi membuka perdagangan mayoritas indeks saham di Asia seiring penguatan Yen yang kembali terasa diawal sesi perdagangan pagi ini. The Fed menyatakan lebih dovish dalam kenaikan suku bunga lebih lanjut tanpa mengesampingkan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Fitch Rating mengatakan akan memangkas peringkat utang Inggris atas ketidakpastian seputar Brexit sehingga berpeluang besar terimbas negatif pada pergerakan Poundsterling. Harga minyak WTI (+0.1%) kembali berada pada trend penguatan dilevel $57.19 perbarrel setelah rilisnya laporan penurunan stok minyak AS dan peningkatan pasokan yang dibawah ekspektasi. Harga komoditas logam kembali memimpin dengan Nikel (+2.01%) menguat signifikan diikuti dengan Timah (+0.40%) dan Emas (+0.22%).
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Analyst:
Lanjar Nafi lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com
- +62 21 5790 5455 ext. 214
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1
- Candlestick membentuk pola
- Stop-loss
- Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
INCO
: 3210-3530
momentum positif mendekati area overbought.
out support MA200
MA200. Indikasi menguat ke level resistance.
: 1400 SPECULATIVE BUY BSDE Analisis :
: 1280
: 1160-1240
: 1330-1440
terkonsolidasi pada area oversold dengan pola golden-cross
jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support MA5
bullish kicker signal dengan potensi whipsaw MA50 dan menguji resistance bearish trend line.
Analisis :
- Support
- Resistance
- Stop-loss
- Target Price
- Bullish momentum setelah whipsaw
- Stop-loss jika harga saham break
- Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
- Support
- Resistance : 3900-4220
- Stop-loss : 3570
- Target Price : 3900-4200
SPECULATIVE BUY
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SPECULATIVE BUY WIKA
- Pergerakan harga saham
- Stop-loss
- Indikator stochastic bergerak pada
- Support : 1540-1640
- Resistance : 1845-1980
- Stop-loss : 1620
- Target Price : 1850
- Pola
- Stop-loss jika break out support
- Indikator Stochastic bergerak pada
- Support
- Resistance
- Stop-loss
- Target Price
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Analisis :
mengkonfirmasi pola bullish harami dengan break out MA5. Indikasi menguji FR61,8% hingga resistance.
jika harga saham terkonfirmasi break out support MA5
area oversold dan membentuk pola golden-cross dengan bullish momentum dan volume pembelian cukup tinggi.
Analisis :
candlestick membentuk bullish separating line. Indikasi menguji resistance upper Bollinger bands.
MA5
area oversold dengan pola golden- cross dan RSI yang mulai terlihat bullish reversal momentum.
: 238-262
: 292-326
: 276
: 292-328 SPECULATIVE BUY LPKR
Daily Price Action LS-27 Index
Support Support Resist ance Resist ance Target Ticker Last Price Not e Rat ing St op-loss
2
1
1
2
Price Agricult ure TBLA 810 885 885 955 1,030 Consolidations SB 880 955 AALI 12,750 13,575 13,800 14,350 15,000 Bullish momentum SB 13,500 14,350 SSMS 1,050 1,115 1,135 1,180 2,250 Consolidations W 1,100 Basic Indust ry TKIM 9,325 10,900 11,700 12,350 14,150 Consolidations B 11,200 12,700INKP 10,700 11,700 12,250 13,000 14,440 Consolidations B 10,600 13,000 CPIN 6,700 7,200 7,575 8,000 8,850 Whipsaw MA50 SB 7,100 8,000 Consumer GGRM 77,000 80,800 83,700 84,500 88,000 False break upper bound PS 83,500 HOKI 580 620 620 675 720 Oversold W 600
ICBP 9,800 10,450 10,500 11,400 12,300 Consolidations TB 10,400 11,400 UNVR 47,100 49,000 50,025 51,400 53,000 Stoch golden-cross H 48,800 51,400 Finance BBRI 3,550 3,750 3,890 3,940 4,100 Bearish engulfing PS 3,850 BBNI 8,200 8,650 8,825 9,100 9,525 Consolidations W 8,600 BBCA 25,800 26,800 27,500 28,275 29,750 Bullish momentum B 27,000 28,275 Infrast ruct ure TOWR 750 770 825 850 910 Consolidations PS 840 PGAS 2,250 2,410 2,490 2,600 2,720 Consolidations H 2,500 2,600 Misc. Indust ry SRIL 300 322 334 340 350 Stoch golden-cross TB 330 350 ASII 7,500 7,800 7,775 8,100 8,500 Bullish kicker signal SB 7,700 8,100 Mining PTBA 3,870 4,170 4,160 4,500 4,740 Break out resistance SB 4,160 4,500
ITMG 19,350 20,500 21,975 22,000 23,000 Stoch golden-cross SB 21,000 22,000 ADRO 1,130 1,215 1,345 1,310 1,400 Stoch golden-cross B 1,250 1,400 Propert y LPCK 2,300 2,400 2,760 2,650 2,880 Rebounded at MA20 SB 2,500 2,850 WSKT 1,515 1,680 1,855 1,850 2,070 Bullish harami confirmations TB 1,750 1,850 PWON 595 625 650 660 700 Consolidations W 620 Trading UNTR 24,000 25,425 26,000 27,000 28,500 Break out MA20 H 25,400 27,000 SCMA 1,600 1,700 1,850 1,800 1,900 Break out MA5 TB 1,780 1,900 LPPF 4,890 5,325 5,925 6,000 7,000 Break out support W 5,300 ERAA 1,875 2,100 2,210 2,400 2,670 Break out resistance SB 2,080 2,320 Thursday, 21 February 2019 Equity Technical Analyst: Lanjar Nafi, lanjar@reliancesekuritas.com Disclaimer on
Analyst Conclusions: The Index has reached the wave 3. Legend : B: BUY (allocate till 100% of the weighted capital to accumulate, higher than 50% upside probability) SB: SPECULATIVE BUY (allocate 25%-50% of the weighted capital to accumulate, 25%-50% upside probability) W: WAIT (wait for proper entry level, do the stop-loss if necessary) H: HOLD (hold the portfolio position, aim for the best price to distribute) PS: PARTIAL SELL (distribute 25%-50% part of the portfolio, 25%-50% downside probability) S: SELL (distribute till 100% of the portfolio, higher than 50% downside probability) TB: TRADING BUY (short term or intraday trading within a tight trading range. Highly speculative).
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JRPT.JK 675 620 585 645 605 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper
730 620 660 705 640 Oversold Bullish Oversold Lower Bands Under Under Under H RUM.JK
1,860 1,525 1,425 1,545 1,480 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
ICBP.JK 10,700 10,500 10,300 10,600 10,525 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IMAS.JK 3,330 3,460 3,140 3,570 3,230 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper
IMJS.jk 915 745 685 790 740 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IN CO.JK 4,020 3,740 3,480 3,770 3,630 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
IN DF.JK 7,800 7,500 7,425 7,650 7,575 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper
IN DY.JK 2,240 1,955 1,755 1,985 1,825 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under
IN KP.JK 13,300 12,250 11,425 12,600 11,900 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under
IN TP.JK 20,200 19,500 17,975 19,625 18,500 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper
ITMG.JK 22,400 21,975 20,450 22,000 21,100 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under
JPFA.JK 2,970 2,310 2,680 2,970 2,460 Oversold Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper
JSMR.JK 5,175 4,990 4,910 5,150 5,100 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper KLBF.JK 1,625 1,545 1,550 1,590 1,570 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Upper
434 372 350 398 384 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper GGRM.JK
LIN K.JK 4,500 4,350 4,130 4,500 4,310 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
LPCK.JK 2,910 2,760 2,490 2,850 2,640 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper LPKR.JK 318 286 280 296 284 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under LPPF.JK
7,050 5,925 5,600 6,700 6,175 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under LSIP.JK
1,450 1,345 1,340 1,450 1,380 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper MAIN .JK 1,915 1,660 1,575 1,915 1,750 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper MAPI.JK
1,110 1,030 1,000 1,110 1,030 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MCAS.JK
3,730 3,550 3,310 3,730 3,570 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MDIA.JK
160 146 134 155 146 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under MEDC.JK 995 995 925 1,030 970 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper META.JK
220 212 208 214 212 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under MIKA.JK
1,895 1,870 1,700 1,895 1,815 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper MN CN .JK 885 995 810 1,005 865 Overbought Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper MYOR.JK
2,710 2,650 2,550 2,720 2,600 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under PBID.JK
1,110 1,065 1,050 1,100 1,080 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under PGAS.JK
2,640 2,490 2,310 2,530 2,460 Overbought Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper Source : Reliance Research
86,800 83,700 80,175 86,800 83,150 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper GMFI.JK 296 246 228 264 242 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under H MSP.JK 3,850 3,790 3,700 3,840 3,790 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper H OKI.JK
670 595 570 610 590 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under ERAA.JK 2,410 2,210 1,910 2,270 2,050 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under ESSA.JK
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376 330 330 348 336 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASSA.JK 785 810 585 830 730 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper BBCA.JK
Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal
20/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI
B. Band
20 Days
50 Days 200 Days AALI.JK
14,200 13,800 12,975 13,975 13,700 Overbought Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACES.JK 1,810 1,805 1,675 1,810 1,720 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ACST.JK
1,800 1,655 1,615 1,695 1,655 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under ADH I.JK
1,840 1,590 1,520 1,605 1,555 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under ADRO.JK
1,415 1,345 1,215 1,350 1,245 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under AGII.JK 690 640 605 690 645 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper AKRA.JK
4,800 5,725 5,150 5,850 5,725 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper AMRT.JK
830 840 815 880 845 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Upper AN TM.JK 1,040 1,060 950 1,090 995 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ARN A.JK 496 480 450 496 486 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ASII.JK
7,925 7,775 7,525 7,925 7,650 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ASRI.JK
28,750 27,500 26,675 27,975 27,025 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBN I.JK
224 216 195 218 206 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper DOID.JK
9,050 8,825 8,650 9,050 8,775 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BBRI.JK
3,950 3,890 3,750 4,000 3,840 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BBTN .JK 2,860 2,500 2,480 2,610 2,530 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BDMN .JK
9,200 9,150 9,150 9,225 9,175 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BEST.JK
264 256 240 260 256 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BFIN .JK 675 655 650 675 660 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BIRD.JK
3,250 2,990 3,010 3,170 3,060 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BISI.JK
1,480 1,415 1,390 1,455 1,410 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BJBR.JK
2,450 2,160 1,985 2,160 2,050 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper BMRI.JK 7,675 7,100 7,100 7,375 7,225 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper BN GA.JK
1,280 1,240 1,145 1,290 1,225 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BN LI.JK
1,280 1,150 1,030 1,280 1,135 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BRPT.JK
2,600 2,860 2,390 2,950 2,820 Overbought Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper BSDE.JK 1,445 1,330 1,295 1,345 1,320 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under BTPN .JK
4,000 3,700 3,620 3,800 3,750 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper CPIN .JK
7,625 7,575 7,125 7,625 7,475 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper CTRA.JK 1,000 915 865 925 905 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under DILD.JK
338 314 320 334 320 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper DMAS.JK
T icke r Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic
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2,040 2,010 1,980 2,040 2,020 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SMGR.JK 12,775 12,900 11,925 13,000 12,300 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper SMRA.JK 990 945 865 945 895 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper SRIL.JK
Source : Reliance Research T icke r
735 750 695 785 715 Neutral Bullish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WSBP.JK 420 386 368 392 380 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper WSKT.JK 2,040 1,855 1,745 1,890 1,790 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under
50,050 50,025 47,925 50,125 48,600 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WEGE.JK 342 308 292 334 320 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper WIKA.JK 1,945 1,730 1,635 1,760 1,690 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper WOOD.JK
5,700 5,350 5,400 5,675 5,425 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper ULTJ.JK 1,270 1,215 1,200 1,220 1,215 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper UN TR.JK 26,775 26,000 24,250 26,375 25,500 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under UN V R.JK
3,940 3,870 3,730 3,940 3,800 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOTL.JK 650 625 615 640 625 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TOWR.JK 865 825 760 865 830 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TPIA.JK
990 885 845 905 880 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper TIN S.JK 1,615 1,480 1,270 1,615 1,445 Neutral Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper TKIM.JK 13,950 11,700 11,200 12,375 11,575 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under TLKM.JK
350 334 328 344 340 Neutral Bearish Neutral Lower Bands Under Under Under SSMS.JK 1,200 1,135 1,105 1,165 1,150 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under TBIG.JK 4,680 4,430 4,460 4,680 4,560 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper TBLA.JK
4,150 3,500 3,160 4,100 3,580 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Under SIMP.JK 530 498 486 505 498 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Under SMBR.JK 1,680 1,515 1,505 1,555 1,520 Oversold Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SMCB.JK
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1,825 1,740 1,615 1,825 1,790 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper ROTI.JK 1,240 1,195 1,195 1,215 1,200 Oversold Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper SCMA.JK 1,855 1,850 1,705 1,850 1,760 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Upper Under Under SGRO.JK 2,420 2,290 2,210 2,350 2,290 Neutral Bearish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Under SIDO.jk 840 920 800 925 815 Neutral Bullish Overbought Upper Bands Upper Upper Upper SILO.JK
4,470 4,160 3,930 4,240 4,040 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper PTPP.JK 2,370 2,160 1,995 2,220 2,070 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Upper Upper PWON .JK 650 650 635 665 650 Neutral Bullish Neutral Middle Bands Under Under Upper RALS.JK
50 Days 200 Days PN BN .JK 1,450 1,580 1,315 1,610 1,530 Overbought Bearish Overbought Middle Bands Upper Upper Upper PTBA.JK
20 Days
B. Band
20/02/2019 Fractal Hig h Lo w RSI
Equity Technical Indicator Re sistance P rice Sup p o rt We e kly We e kly Fractal
Ind icato r Mo ving Ave rag e Sto chastic
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