for each inference, you will be provided with 5 possible answers: TRUE, PROBABLY

Questions 1-4 Statement one Although it is agreed that China is rapidly modernizing its army, there is some doubt surrounding the exact amount it is spending. The research institute „PIPPI‟, submits that the annual Chinese defense spending has risen from almost 31 billion in 2000 to over 120 billion in 2010. This figure is almost double the official figure published by the Chinese government, who fail to include other areas such as research and development in the official figure each year. In 2010, the United States government spent around 400 billion on military defense. Based on the current level of military growth, statistics suggest that China‟s defense spending could overtake America‟s by 2030. In addition to military spending, China‟s army continues to enjoy the largest number of people within the ranks of its army than any other country.

1. Inference 1: The Chinese government published the official figure in terms of

their military spending, and this figure is thought to be misleading or in contr adiction with the result of research institute „PIPPI‟. A. True B. Probably True C. More Information Required D. Probably False E. False

2. Inference 2: The passage notes that the Chinese government fail to include

areas such as „research‟ and „development‟ from their official figure; however, this would also raise some implications that other areas of spending are also absent from the official figure. A. True B. Probably True C. More Information Required D. Probably False E. False

3. Inference 3: This is only a clerical error, in case there are any anomalies

between the published figure on military spending and the actual figure spent. A. True B. Probably True C. More Information Required D. Probably False E. False

4. Inference 4: In 2010, in comparison with the Chinese government, the United

States of America had less spending on its military defenses. A. True B. Probably True C. More Information Required D. Probably False E. False Questions 5-6 Statement two Turkey is a surprising addition to the list of rapidly developing economies; with a GDP increase of 8.5 in the year 2011 alone. However, such rapid growth leaves worries regarding possible side- effects. For instance, in 2011 Turkey‟s rate of inflation was well above that of its peers. Secondly, there is increasing concern regarding Turkey‟s growing dependency on foreign capital. A large portion of the Turkish banking system is part-owned by banks within the Eurozone. As the single currency is uncertain, such dependency raises questions about the stability of Turkish growth.

5. Inference 1: Turkish banks are part owned by European banks because this

provides greater economic links with Eurozone. A. True B. Probably True C. More Information Required D. Probably False E. False

6. Inference 2: There was a stagnant economy in Turkey in 2011.

A. True B. Probably True C. More Information Required D. Probably False E. False Section 2 Assumptions Instructions: 1. an assumption is something which is presupposed or taken for granted. When a person says: “I will see you tomorrow”, it is taken for granted that they will be around tomorrow, and that they will not have last-minute plans which prevent them from seeing you tomorrow; 2. in this section you will be provided with a number of statements. Each statement will be followed by a series of proposed assumptions; 3. you must decide which assumptions are logically justified based on the evidence in the statement; 4. if you think that the assumption is taken for granted in the statement, and is therefore logically justified, select “Assumption Made”; 5. if you think that the assumption is not taken for granted in the statement, and is not therefore logically justified, select “Assumption Not Made”; 6. remember to judge each question individually and base your responses on the statements provided. Example: Statement Monarchic nations, i.e. those with royal families, differ from republican nations in several ways. An example of this difference is that citizens of monarchic nations pay more tax than citizens of republican nations. Assumption 1: Republican nations do not have a royal family. Correct Answer: Assumption Made The statement says that monarchic nations are those with a royal family. The statement is assuming that this is one aspect which differentiates monarchic nations from republican nations. Thus, it can be assumed that Republican nations do not have a royal family. Assumption 2: The only types of nation are monarchic and republican. Correct Answer: Assumption Not Made The statement is just talking about the differences between two types of nation; it does not imply that these are the only two nor does the statement rely on there being just two types.

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