Analisis Determinan Ketahanan Pangan di Kota Tebing Tinggi
LAMPIRAN
1. Data-Data Ketahanan Pangan Kota Tebing Tinggi
Harga Dasar
Bulan / Tahun
Ketersediaan beras
Luas Panen
Beras
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
Mei-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Agust-12
Sep-12
Okt-12
Nop-12
Des-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
Mei-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Agust-13
Sep-13
Okt-13
Nop-13
Des-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
Mei-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Agust-14
Sep-14
Okt-14
Nop-14
Des-14
5.048,70
5.933,40
5.724,84
5.783,94
5.750,82
4.834,74
4.383,74
4.112,84
4.751,98
4.649,61
4.887,97
4.457,84
5.263,45
5.236,45
5.041,46
5.653,13
4.968,64
4.551,90
5.737,84
4.170,74
4.637,85
4.673,94
5.260,84
4.125,74
4.876,38
4.758,09
5.983,15
4.776,83
4.965,00
4.239,98
4.897,64
4.766,45
4.253,64
4.152,74
5.411,93
4.511,92
858
870
840
869
861
781
731
713
793
763
720
701
799
875
884
884
754
732
789
778
732
722
795
723
870
815
811
864
790
747
785
701
623
741
890
623
7.597,64
7.667,41
7.874,26
7.837,11
7.900,80
7.948,07
7.993,27
7.954,64
7.973,87
7.999,07
7.890,50
7.944,79
7.988,76
8.167,05
8.152,78
8.113,92
8.485,75
8.470,79
8.484,13
8.499,98
8.585,72
8.598,67
8.629,08
8.775,87
8.788,39
8.897,16
9.663,59
9.614,64
9.701,73
9.734,46
9.830,43
9.731,94
9.800,00
9.992,41
9.511,22
9.867,30
67
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2.
Hasil Regresi Persamaan Model 1
Dependent Variable: KETERSEDIAAN_BERAS
Method: Least Squares
Date: 01/17/16 Time: 01:07
Sample: 2012M01 2014M12
Included observations: 36
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
Luas_Panen
Harga_Dasar_Beras
1385.336
5.066536
-0.050372
1317.244
1.020301
0.094829
1.051693
4.965726
-0.531194
0.3006
0.0000
0.5988
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.473717
0.441821
409.6825
5538712.
-266.0694
14.85194
0.000025
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
4923.226
548.3535
14.94830
15.08026
14.99435
2.181071
68
Universitas Sumatera Utara
3.
Hasil Regresi Persamaan Model 2
Dependent Variable: LUAS_PANEN
Method: Least Squares
Date: 01/17/16 Time: 01:32
Sample: 2012M01 2014M12
Included observations: 36
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
Harga_Dasar_Beras
1041.844
-0.029869
130.7594
0.015094
7.967639
-1.978894
0.0000
0.0560
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.103281
0.076907
68.86198
161227.1
-202.4087
3.916023
0.055974
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
784.0833
71.67322
11.35604
11.44401
11.38674
1.335530
69
Universitas Sumatera Utara
1. Data-Data Ketahanan Pangan Kota Tebing Tinggi
Harga Dasar
Bulan / Tahun
Ketersediaan beras
Luas Panen
Beras
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
Mei-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Agust-12
Sep-12
Okt-12
Nop-12
Des-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
Mei-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Agust-13
Sep-13
Okt-13
Nop-13
Des-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
Mei-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Agust-14
Sep-14
Okt-14
Nop-14
Des-14
5.048,70
5.933,40
5.724,84
5.783,94
5.750,82
4.834,74
4.383,74
4.112,84
4.751,98
4.649,61
4.887,97
4.457,84
5.263,45
5.236,45
5.041,46
5.653,13
4.968,64
4.551,90
5.737,84
4.170,74
4.637,85
4.673,94
5.260,84
4.125,74
4.876,38
4.758,09
5.983,15
4.776,83
4.965,00
4.239,98
4.897,64
4.766,45
4.253,64
4.152,74
5.411,93
4.511,92
858
870
840
869
861
781
731
713
793
763
720
701
799
875
884
884
754
732
789
778
732
722
795
723
870
815
811
864
790
747
785
701
623
741
890
623
7.597,64
7.667,41
7.874,26
7.837,11
7.900,80
7.948,07
7.993,27
7.954,64
7.973,87
7.999,07
7.890,50
7.944,79
7.988,76
8.167,05
8.152,78
8.113,92
8.485,75
8.470,79
8.484,13
8.499,98
8.585,72
8.598,67
8.629,08
8.775,87
8.788,39
8.897,16
9.663,59
9.614,64
9.701,73
9.734,46
9.830,43
9.731,94
9.800,00
9.992,41
9.511,22
9.867,30
67
Universitas Sumatera Utara
2.
Hasil Regresi Persamaan Model 1
Dependent Variable: KETERSEDIAAN_BERAS
Method: Least Squares
Date: 01/17/16 Time: 01:07
Sample: 2012M01 2014M12
Included observations: 36
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
Luas_Panen
Harga_Dasar_Beras
1385.336
5.066536
-0.050372
1317.244
1.020301
0.094829
1.051693
4.965726
-0.531194
0.3006
0.0000
0.5988
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.473717
0.441821
409.6825
5538712.
-266.0694
14.85194
0.000025
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
4923.226
548.3535
14.94830
15.08026
14.99435
2.181071
68
Universitas Sumatera Utara
3.
Hasil Regresi Persamaan Model 2
Dependent Variable: LUAS_PANEN
Method: Least Squares
Date: 01/17/16 Time: 01:32
Sample: 2012M01 2014M12
Included observations: 36
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
C
Harga_Dasar_Beras
1041.844
-0.029869
130.7594
0.015094
7.967639
-1.978894
0.0000
0.0560
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared
S.E. of regression
Sum squared resid
Log likelihood
F-statistic
Prob(F-statistic)
0.103281
0.076907
68.86198
161227.1
-202.4087
3.916023
0.055974
Mean dependent var
S.D. dependent var
Akaike info criterion
Schwarz criterion
Hannan-Quinn criter.
Durbin-Watson stat
784.0833
71.67322
11.35604
11.44401
11.38674
1.335530
69
Universitas Sumatera Utara