Data Penelitian

Data Penelitian

Tahun

Pdrb konstan 2000

(Y)

PAD (X1)

DAU

(X2)

Dana perimbangan (X3) 1990 887609380566 7342582000 3665394000 1245884000 1991 949743253959 8724902000 5109642000 1434159000 1992 1020973636178 9492177000 5660573000 2232046000

Dengan Linier

Dependent Variable: D(Y) Method: Least Squares Date: 03/21/11 Time: 16:49 Sample (adjusted): 1991 2009 Included observations: 19 after adjustments

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C 1.39E+12

3.77E+11

0.0042 D(X1) 33.96464

0.2605 X1(-1) 110.2248

0.0619 D(X2) -5.642608

0.1551 X2(-1) -9.069799

0.2968 D(X3) -19.15951

0.4764 X3(-1) -82.05307

Z1 -3.42E+12

0.831589 Mean dependent var

2.07E+11 Adjusted R-squared

0.696860 S.D. dependent var

3.36E+11 S.E. of regression

1.85E+11 Akaike info criterion

55.03338 Sum squared resid

3.43E+23 Schwarz criterion

55.48074 Log likelihood

-513.8171 F-statistic

6.172317 Durbin-Watson stat

1.604209 Prob(F-statistic)

Dependent Variable: D(LY) Method: Least Squares Date: 03/21/11 Time: 16:50 Sample (adjusted): 1991 2009 Included observations: 19 after adjustments

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

0.0500 D(LX1) -0.077904

0.8971 LX1(-1) -1.877554

0.1206 D(LX2) -0.080706

0.5038 LX2(-1) -1.475065

0.0045 D(LX3) 0.882772

0.0237 LX3(-1) 0.111317

Z2 4.11E-14

0.698248 Mean dependent var

0.089029 Adjusted R-squared

0.456846 S.D. dependent var

0.197042 S.E. of regression

0.145218 Akaike info criterion

-0.715645 Sum squared resid

0.210883 Schwarz criterion

-0.268279 Log likelihood

15.79863 F-statistic

2.892469 Durbin-Watson stat

2.141024 Prob(F-statistic)

Ordo 0 LY

Null Hypothesis: LY has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

0.1546 Test critical values:

1% level

-3.831511 5% level -3.029970

10% level

Null Hypothesis: LY has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

0.4597 Test critical values:

-3.673616 10% level -3.277364

Null Hypothesis: LX1 has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-0.389699

0.8925 Test critical values:

1% level

-3.831511 5% level -3.029970 10% level -2.655194

Null Hypothesis: LX1 has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 1 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-2.619678

0.2765 Test critical values:

1% level

-4.571559 5% level -3.690814 10% level -3.286909

Null Hypothesis: LX2 has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-0.613757

0.8455 Test critical values:

1% level

-3.831511 5% level -3.029970 10% level -2.655194

Null Hypothesis: LX2 has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-1.675121

0.7222 Test critical values:

1% level

-4.532598 5% level -3.673616 10% level -3.277364

Null Hypothesis: LX3 has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-1.183793

0.6588 Test critical values:

1% level

-3.831511 5% level -3.029970 10% level -2.655194

Null Hypothesis: LX3 has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 1 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-3.732573

0.0464 Test critical values:

1% level

-4.571559 5% level -3.690814 10% level -3.286909

Ordo 1 LY

Null Hypothesis: D(LY) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

0.0102 Test critical values:

1% level

-3.857386 5% level -3.040391

10% level

Null Hypothesis: D(LY) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

0.0200 Test critical values:

-3.690814 10% level -3.286909

Null Hypothesis: D(LX1) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-2.834182

0.0733 Test critical values:

1% level

-3.857386 5% level -3.040391 10% level -2.660551

Null Hypothesis: D(LX1) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-2.716528

0.2419 Test critical values:

1% level

-4.571559 5% level -3.690814 10% level -3.286909

Null Hypothesis: D(LX2) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-3.673045

0.0145 Test critical values:

1% level

-3.857386 5% level -3.040391 10% level -2.660551

Null Hypothesis: D(LX2) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-3.558580

0.0630 Test critical values:

1% level

-4.571559 5% level -3.690814 10% level -3.286909

Null Hypothesis: D(LX3) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-3.343524

0.0279 Test critical values:

1% level

-3.857386 5% level -3.040391 10% level -2.660551

Null Hypothesis: D(LX3) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=1)

t-Statistic Prob.* Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-3.450048

0.0760 Test critical values:

1% level