3. Total government expenditure TPGPit = TPGPDit + DDTBLit
16 4. Regional export
EXPDit = l0 + l1NTRPit + l2PDRBit + l3INFL + l4LEXPDit + u12 17
Parameter estimates of the expected: l2, l4, 0; l1, l3 0 5. Regional import
IMPDit = m0 + m1PDRBit + m2 KONSit + m3LIMPDit + u13 18
Parameter estimates of the expected: m1, m2, m3 0 6. Net export
NEXP = EXPDit - IMPDit 19
III. Block Economic Performance
1. GDP from agricultural sektor PDRBSPit = n0 + n1 PTKSPit + n2BMDSPit + n3LPDRBSPit + u14
20 Parameter estimates of the expected: n1, n2 , n3, 0
2. GDP from non agricultural sektor PDRBNPit = o0 + o1 PTKNPit + o2INVSit + o3KONS it + o4LPDRBTB it + u15
21
14
Parameter estimates of the expected: o1, o2 , o3, o4, 0 3. Regional gross domestic product
PDRBit = PDRBSPit + PDRBNPit 22
4. Agricultural employment PTKSPit = p0+ p1AKKit + p2BMDSPit + p3LPTKSPit + u23
23 Parameter estimates of the expected: p1, p2, p3 0
5. Non-agricultural employment PTKNPit = q0 + q1 INVSit + q2 AKKit + q3LPTKNPit + u24
24 Parameter estimates of the expected: q1, q2 , q3 0
6. Employment PTKit = PTKSPit + PTKNP
25 7. Unemployment
UNEPit = r0 + r1 AKKit + r2 BMDit + r3LUNEPit + u25 26
Parameter estimates of the expected: r1 , r3 0; r20 8. Number of the poor
MISKit = s0 + s1 PDRBit + s2 POPit + s3PTKit + s4DDTBLit + s5LMISKit + u26
15
27 Parameter estimates of the expected: s2, s5 0; s1, s3, s4 0
Keterangan:
Tabel 2.1 Variabel, Simbol dan Satuan Unit Model
NAME OF VARIABLES SYMBOLS
UNIT
Labor force Expenditures for goods and services
Government’s miscellaneous expenditures Capital expenditure
Capital spending for non agricultural sektor Capital spending for agricultural sektor
Personnel expenditure Regional government-owned enterprises
Special allocation funds General allocation funds
Revenue-sharing Deconcentration, assissting task, etc.
Regional export Regional import
Regional inflation Private investment
Number of hotel rooms Private consumption
Eexpenditures for goods and services in the previous year Government’s miscellaneous expenditures in the previous year
Capital expenditure for agricultural sektor in the previous year Capital expenditure for other sektors in the previous year
Personnel expenditure in the previous year The area of the regencycity
Revenue-sharing in previous year Regional export in the previous year
Regional Import in the previous year Private investment in the previous year
Private consumption in the previous year Number of the poor in the previous year
Regional texes in the previous year GDP in the previous year
GDP from agricultural sektor in the previous year GDP from non agricultural sektor in the previous year
Non-agricultural employment in the previous year Agricultural employment in the previous year
Income from regional retribution in previous year Unemployment in the previous year
Number of the poor Number of motor vehicles
Rupiah exchange rate AKK
BBJ BLL
BMD BMDNP
BMDSP BPGW
BUMD DAK
DAU DBH
DDTBL EXPD
IMPD INFL
INVS JMKH
KONS LBBJ
LBLL LBMDSP
LBMDNP LBPGW
LDK LDBH
LEXPD LIMPD
LINVS LKONS
LMISK LPAJD
LPDRB LPDRBSP
LPDRBN LPTKNP
LPTKSP LRETD
LUNEP MISK
MTR NTRP
People Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Percent Million rupiah
Unit Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Km2
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah People
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
People People
Million rupiah People
People Unit
Million rupiah
16
Net exports Original regional income
Other regional revenues Regional tax
Regional gross domestic product GDP from agricultural sektor
GDP from non agricultural sektor Other regional revenues
Number of civil sevants Number of population
Employment Non-agricultural employment
Agricultural employment Regional Retribution
Total regional revenue Total government expenditure
Total regional government expenditure Trends years 1,2,3, ... n
Provincial minimum wage Unemployment
NEXP PAD
PADL PAJD
PDRB PDRBSP
PDRBNP PLD
PNS POP
PTK PTKNP
PTKSP RETD
TPD TPGP
TPGPD TREN
UMP UNEP
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
People People
People People
People Million rupiah
Million rupiah Million rupiah
Million rupiah 1,2,3....n
Rupiah People
17
BAB III PEMBAHASAN