The pair-wise drift condition

5 Pairwise drift conditions

5.1 The pair-wise drift condition

In the situations where coupling over the whole state-space leads to trivial result, one may still use the coupling argument, but this time over smaller sets. In such cases, however, we need a device to control the return time of the joint chain to the set where the two chains are allowed to couple. In this section we obtain results that are general enough to include the autoregression model with Gaussian innovations and Gaussian measurement error. Drift conditions are used to obtain bounds on the coupling time. Consider the following drift condition. Definition 13 Pair-wise drift conditions toward a set. Let n be an integer and k ∈ {0, . . . , n − 1} and let ¯ C k|n be a set valued function ¯ C k|n : Y n+1 → B X × BX. We say that the forward smoothing kernel F k|n satisfies the pair-wise drift condition toward the set ¯ C k|n if there exist functions V k|n : X × X × Y n+1 → R, V k|n ≥ 1, functions λ k|n : Y n+1 → [0, 1, ρ k|n : Y n+1 → R + such that, for any sequence y 0:n ∈ Y n , ¯ R k|n V k+1|n x, x ′ ≤ ρ k|n x, x ′ ∈ ¯ C k|n 39 ¯ F k|n V k+1|n x, x ′ ≤ λ k|n V k|n x, x ′ x, x ′ 6∈ ¯ C k|n . 40 where ¯ R k|n is defined in 16 and ¯ F k|n is defined in 17. We set ǫ k|n = ǫ k|n ¯ C k|n , the coupling constant of the set ¯ C k|n , and we denote B k|n def = 1 ∨ ρ k|n 1 − ǫ k|n λ k|n . 41 For any vector {a i,n } 1≤i≤n , denotes by [↓ a] i,n the i-th largest order statistics, i.e., [↓ a] 1,n ≥ [↓ a] 2,n ≥ · · · ≥ [↓ a] n,n and [↑ a] i,n the i-th smallest order statistics, i.e., [↑ a] 1,n ≤ [↑ a] 2,n ≤ · · · ≤ [↑ a] n,n . Theorem 14. Let n be an integer. Assume that for each k ∈ {0, . . . , n − 1}, there exists a set-valued function ¯ C k|n : Y n+1 → B X⊗BX such that the forward smoothing kernel F k|n satisfies the pairwise drift condition toward the set ¯ C k|n . Then, for any probability ξ, ξ ′ on X, BX, φ ξ,n − φ ξ ′ ,n TV ≤ min 1≤m≤n A m,n 42 where A m,n def = m Y i=1 1 − [↑ ǫ] i|n + n Y i=0 λ i|n m Y i=0 [↓ B] i|n ξ ⊗ ξ ′ V 43 The proof is in section 6. Corollary 15. If there exists a sequence {mn} of integers satisfying, mn ≤ n for any integer n, lim n→∞ mn = ∞, and, P Y -a.s. lim sup   mn X i=0 log1 − [↑ ǫ] i|n + n X i=0 log λ i|n + mn X i=0 log[↓ B i,n ]   = −∞ , then lim sup n φ ξ,n − φ ξ ′ ,n TV a.s. −→ 0 , P Y −a.s. . 39 Corollary 16. If there exists a sequence {mn} of integers such that mn ≤ n for any integer n, lim inf mn n = α 0 and P Y -a.s. lim sup   1 n mn X i=0 log1 − [↑ ǫ] i|n + 1 n n X i=1 log λ i|n + 1 n n−mn X i=1 log[↓ B i|n ]   ≤ −λ , then there exists ν ∈ 0, 1 such that ν −n φ ξ,n − φ ξ ′ ,n TV a.s. −→ 0 , P Y −a.s. .

5.2 Examples

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