PDE approach getdoc56cb. 270KB Jun 04 2011 12:04:24 AM

2 Fast mean reverting stochastic volatility

2.1 PDE approach

Here we review an asymptotic method introduced by Fouque et al. [8], where a family of the stochastic volatility models dS η t = rS η t dt + ϕX η t S η t dW ρ t , dX η t = ¨ 1 η 2 m − X η t − ν p 2 η ΛX η t « dt + ν p 2 η dW t 4 is considered, where W = W t and W ρ = W ρ t are standard Brownian motions with correlation 〈W, W ρ 〉 t = ρ t, ρ ∈ [−1, 1]. This is a special case of 1 with ρx ≡ ρ, bx = m − xη 2 − ν p 2Λx η, cx ≡ ν p 2 η, where m, ν are constants and Λ is a Borel function associated with the market price of volatility risk. For a given payoff function f and maturity T , the European option price at time t T defined as P η t, s, v = e −rT −t E [ f S η T |S η t = s, X η t = v] 5 satisfies 1 η 2 L + 1 η L 1 + L 2 P η = 0, P η T, s, v = f s where L = ν 2 ∂ 2 ∂ v 2 + m − v ∂ ∂ v , L 1 = p 2 ρνsϕv ∂ 2 ∂ s∂ v − p 2 νΛv ∂ ∂ v , L 2 = ∂ ∂ t + 1 2 ϕv 2 s 2 ∂ 2 ∂ s 2 + rs ∂ ∂ s − 1. Notice that L is the infinitesimal generator of the OU process dX t = m − X t dt + ν p 2dW t 6 and L 2 is the Black-Scholes operator with volatility level |ϕv|. By formally expanding P η in terms of η and equating the same order terms of η in the PDE, one obtains P η = P + ηP 1 + higher order terms of η 7 for the Black-Scholes price P with constant volatility Π [ϕ 2 ] 1 2 , where Π is the ergodic distribution of the OU process X , and P + ηP 1 = P − T − t ‚ V 2 s 2 ∂ 2 P ∂ s 2 + V 3 s 3 ∂ 3 P ∂ s 3 Œ 8 with constants V 2 and V 3 which are of O η. 767 As a practical application, Fouque et al. [8] proposed its use in calibration problem. They derived an expansion of the Black-Scholes implied volatility σ BS of the form σ BS K, T − t ≈ a logK S T − t + b 9 from 7, where K is the strike price, S is the spot price, T − t is the time to the maturity, a and b are constants connecting to V 2 and V 3 as V 2 = ¯ σ ¯ σ − b − ar + 3 2 ¯ σ 2 , V 3 = −a ¯ σ 3 , ¯ σ 2 = Π [ϕ 2 ]. 10 The calibration methodology consists of i estimation of ¯ σ from historical stock returns, ii estima- tion of a and b by fitting 9 to the implied volatility surface, and iii pricing or hedging by using estimated ¯ σ, a and b via 8 and 10. This approach captures the volatility skew as well as the term structure. It enables us to calibrate fast and stably due to parsimony of parameters; we have no more need to specify all the parameters in the underlying stochastic volatility model. The first step i can be eliminated because the number of essential parameters is 2 in light of 2; by using Π η [ϕ 2 ] 1 2 instead of Π [ϕ 2 ] 1 2 for ¯ σ, where Π η is the ergodic distribution of X η , we can see that the right hand side of 8 coincides with that of 2 with V 3 = −αΠ η [ϕ 2 ] and V 2 = 2V 3 . It should be explained what is the intuition of η → 0. To fix ideas, let Λ = 0 for brevity. Then ˜ X t := X η η 2 t satisfies d ˜ X t = m − ˜ X t dt + ν p 2d ˜ W t , where ˜ W t = η −1 W η 2 t is a standard Brownian motion, and it holds dS η t = rS η t dt + ϕ ˜ X t η 2 S η t dW ρ t . Hence η stands for the volatility time scale. Note that 〈logS η 〉 t = Z t ϕ ˜ X s η 2 2 ds ∼ η 2 Z t η 2 ϕX s 2 ds → Π [ϕ 2 ]t by the law of large numbers for ergodic diffusions, where X is a solution of 6. This convergence implies that the log price logS η t is asymptotically normally distributed with mean r t − Π [ϕ 2 ]t2 and variance Π [ϕ 2 ]t by the martingale central limit theorem. The limit is nothing but the Black- Scholes model with volatility Π [ϕ 2 ] 1 2 . The asymptotic expansion formula around the Black- Scholes price can be therefore regarded as a refinement of a normal approximation based on the central limit theorem for ergodic diffusions.

2.2 Martingale expansion

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