b,c,d Prediksi Gejala Kebangkrutan dengan Analisa Model Altman Z-Score pada Restaurant, Hotel dan Tourism yang Terdaftar Di BEI pada Tahun 2010 – 2012

df2 923.743 Sig. .000 Tests null hypothesis of equal population covariance matrices. Stepwise Statistics Variables EnteredRemoved

a,b,c,d

Step Min. D Squared Exact F Entered Statistic Between Groups Statistic df1 df2 Sig. 1 NWC TO TA .082 3,00 and 4,00 .515 1 53.000 .476 2 RE TO TA .496 1,00 and 2,00 1.014 2 52.000 .370 3 S TO TA .961 3,00 and 4,00 1.941 3 51.000 .135 4 EQ TO TL 1.361 3,00 and 4,00 2.021 4 50.000 .106 At each step, the variable that maximizes the Mahalanobis distance between the two closest groups is entered. a. Maximum number of steps is 10. b. Maximum significance of F to enter is .05. c. Minimum significance of F to remove is .10. d. F level, tolerance, or VIN insufficient for further computation. Variables in the Analysis Step Tolerance Sig. of F to Remove Min. D Squared Between Groups 1 NWC TO TA 1.000 .026 2 NWC TO TA .923 .006 .058 2,00 and 3,00 RE TO TA .923 .006 .082 3,00 and 4,00 3 NWC TO TA .912 .006 .059 2,00 and 3,00 RE TO TA .921 .012 .226 3,00 and 4,00 S TO TA .988 .019 .496 1,00 and 2,00 4 NWC TO TA .818 .000 .289 2,00 and 3,00 Universitas Sumatera Utara RE TO TA .898 .011 .463 3,00 and 4,00 S TO TA .624 .000 .635 1,00 and 2,00 EQ TO TL .605 .000 .961 3,00 and 4,00 Variables Not in the Analysis Step Tolerance Min. Tolerance Sig. of F to Enter Min. D Squared Between Groups NWC TO TA 1.000 1.000 .026 .082 3,00 and 4,00 RE TO TA 1.000 1.000 .026 .058 2,00 and 3,00 EBIT TO TA 1.000 1.000 .343 .007 2,00 and 4,00 EQ TO TL 1.000 1.000 .045 .012 3,00 and 4,00 S TO TA 1.000 1.000 .011 .001 2,00 and 3,00 1 RE TO TA .923 .923 .006 .496 1,00 and 2,00 EBIT TO TA .923 .923 .300 .409 3,00 and 4,00 EQ TO TL .968 .968 .023 .108 3,00 and 4,00 S TO TA .990 .990 .010 .226 3,00 and 4,00 2 EBIT TO TA .906 .838 .363 .763 1,00 and 2,00 EQ TO TL .958 .886 .023 .635 1,00 and 2,00 S TO TA .988 .912 .019 .961 3,00 and 4,00 3 EBIT TO TA .905 .827 .367 1.162 3,00 and 4,00 EQ TO TL .605 .605 .000 1.361 3,00 and 4,00 4 EBIT TO TA .825 .552 .267 1.805 3,00 and 4,00 Summary of Canonical Discriminant Functions Eigenvalues Functio n Eigenvalue of Variance Cumulative Canonical Correlation Universitas Sumatera Utara 1 1.841 a 95.6 95.6 .805 2 .056 a 2.9 98.5 .231 3 .028 a 1.5 100.0 .165 a. First 3 canonical discriminant functions were used in the analysis. Wilks Lambda Test of Functions Wilks Lambda Chi-square df Sig. 1 through 3 .324 58.586 12 .000 2 through 3 .921 4.295 6 .637 3 .973 1.437 2 .487 Standardized Canonical Discriminant Function Coefficients Function 1 2 3 NWC TO TA .713 .765 .333 RE TO TA .551 -.342 .800 EQ TO TL 1.013 .000 -.581 S TO TA 1.001 -.325 -.451 Structure Matrix Function 1 2 3 NWC TO TA .278 .893 .261 S TO TA .346 -.397 -.166 RE TO TA .292 -.550 .741 EQ TO TL .292 .063 -.422 EBIT TO TA a -.082 .197 .306 Universitas Sumatera Utara Pooled within-groups correlations between discriminating variables and standardized canonical discriminant functions Variables ordered by absolute size of correlation within function. . Largest absolute correlation between each variable and any discriminant function a. This variable not used in the analysis. Canonical Discriminant Function Coefficients Function 1 2 3 NWC TO TA 5.003 5.370 2.336 RE TO TA 1.044 -.649 1.515 EQ TO TL .556 .000 -.319 S TO TA .824 -.267 -.372 Constant -3.006 .046 -.111 Unstandardized coefficients Functions at Group Centroids KEBA NGK RUTA N Function 1 2 3 1.00 1.357 -.063 -.058 2.00 .131 .723 .108 3.00 -.887 -.129 .203 4.00 -1.951 .015 -.254 Unstandardized canonical discriminant functions evaluated at group means Classification Statistics Classification Processing Summary Processed 57 Universitas Sumatera Utara Excluded Missing or out-of-range group codes At least one missing discriminating variable Used in Output 57 Prior Probabilities for Groups KEBA NGKR UTAN Prior Cases Used in Analysis Unweighted Weighted 1.00 .250 25 25.000 2.00 .250 5 5.000 3.00 .250 17 17.000 4.00 .250 10 10.000 Total 1.000 57 57.000 Classification Function Coefficients KEBANGKRUTAN 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 NWC TO TA 21.088 19.559 10.113 4.496 RE TO TA 4.836 3.299 2.932 1.037 EQ TO TL 2.500 1.764 1.168 .722 S TO TA 3.471 2.189 1.543 .797 Constant -10.958 -6.605 -3.741 -1.999 Fishers linear discriminant functions Casewise Statistics Case Numb er Highest Group Second Highest Group PDd | G=g Universitas Sumatera Utara Actua l Group Predicted Group p df PG=g | D=d Squared Mahalano bis Distance to Centroid Group PG=g | D=d Squared Mahalanobi s Distance to Centroid Origi nal 1 1 1 .013 3 .996 10.780 2 .004 21.955 2 4 4 .931 3 .576 .446 3 .382 1.266 3 4 4 .958 3 .597 .309 3 .320 1.554 4 3 1 .002 3 .591 14.680 3 .324 15.879 5 4 4 .993 3 .694 .090 3 .266 2.007 6 3 2 .898 3 .399 .595 3 .365 .777 7 2 3 .917 3 .394 .508 2 .349 .753 8 3 3 .813 3 .579 .950 4 .315 2.172 9 1 1 .016 3 .865 10.266 3 .102 14.533 10 3 4 .941 3 .484 .395 3 .438 .593 11 1 1 .003 3 .988 14.045 2 .012 22.945 12 1 3 .543 3 .410 2.145 2 .241 3.212 13 1 1 .568 3 .940 2.024 2 .050 7.889 14 3 2 .922 3 .429 .487 3 .357 .858 15 1 1 .690 3 .470 1.466 2 .268 2.589 16 4 4 .970 3 .524 .244 3 .366 .959 17 3 3 .938 3 .422 .409 4 .372 .661 18 1 1 .064 3 .498 7.250 2 .495 7.260 19 2 2 1.000 3 .538 .004 3 .232 1.685 20 1 1 .072 3 .990 6.989 2 .010 16.208 21 3 3 .987 3 .474 .139 4 .364 .667 22 1 2 .933 3 .506 .432 1 .285 1.582 23 1 1 .015 3 .775 10.515 2 .133 14.033 24 3 3 .990 3 .533 .113 4 .293 1.306 25 4 4 .997 3 .568 .052 3 .356 .983 26 3 3 .978 3 .459 .200 4 .293 1.100 Universitas Sumatera Utara 27 1 2 .998 3 .583 .040 3 .191 2.268 28 3 3 .970 3 .492 .245 4 .385 .736 29 3 3 .976 3 .452 .208 4 .258 1.327 30 1 1 .344 3 .797 3.323 2 .165 6.473 31 1 2 .478 3 .384 2.485 1 .367 2.575 32 1 1 .949 3 .856 .355 2 .124 4.216 33 3 3 .911 3 .417 .536 2 .273 1.383 34 4 4 .970 3 .747 .245 3 .231 2.588 35 4 4 .987 3 .533 .137 3 .365 .896 36 1 2 .000 3 .710 18.997 1 .289 20.794 37 2 2 .320 3 .695 3.509 1 .273 5.378 38 4 4 .912 3 .793 .532 3 .192 3.364 39 1 1 .436 3 .956 2.725 2 .042 8.980 40 3 3 .988 3 .465 .129 4 .349 .707 41 1 2 .958 3 .530 .309 1 .234 1.943 42 1 1 .028 3 .877 9.089 2 .105 13.338 43 1 3 .911 3 .453 .537 2 .282 1.482 44 4 4 .998 3 .603 .042 3 .327 1.265 45 2 3 .929 3 .433 .454 2 .293 1.232 46 3 3 .984 3 .459 .161 4 .276 1.175 47 3 3 .959 3 .525 .303 4 .321 1.286 48 3 2 .971 3 .443 .242 3 .306 .982 49 1 1 .448 3 .350 2.657 2 .340 2.711 50 1 3 .658 3 .367 1.607 2 .317 1.902 51 1 1 .990 3 .744 .115 2 .213 2.621 52 3 4 .909 3 .409 .544 3 .405 .563 53 1 2 .845 3 .374 .820 1 .343 .990 54 4 4 .991 3 .552 .110 3 .366 .933 55 1 2 .954 3 .459 .332 3 .318 1.064 56 2 2 .998 3 .574 .033 3 .219 1.955 57 1 1 .349 3 .419 3.287 2 .374 3.516 Universitas Sumatera Utara . Misclassified case Universitas Sumatera Utara Universitas Sumatera Utara Universitas Sumatera Utara Universitas Sumatera Utara Universitas Sumatera Utara DAFTAR PUSTAKA Adnan, M.A danKurniasih, E. 2002.Analisis Tingkat Kesehatan Perusahaan untuk Memprediksi Potensi Kebangkrutan dengan Pendekatan Metode Altman Kasuspada Sepuluh Perusahaan di Indonesia Altman, E. 1968. “Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankcrupty,” Journal of Finance Altman, E. I. 2000. Predicting financial distress of companies: Revisiting the Zscore and Zeta® Models. Journal of Banking Finance, 1. Ghozali, Imam 2006. Aplikasi Analis Multivariate dengan Program SPSS. Semarang: Badan Penerbit Universitas Diponegoro Hadi, S, dan Anggreani, A. 2008. Pemilihan Prediktor Delisting Terbaik Perbandingan Antara The Zwjewski, The Altman Model, dan The Springate Model. FE UI Harahap, Syafri Sofyan 2001. Analisis Laporan Keuangan. Jakarta: PT. Rajagrafindo Persada Harnanto, 1984. Analisa Laporan Keuangan. BPFE Yogyakarta Idrus, Muhammad 2009. Metode Penelitian Ilmu Sosial. Yogyakarta: Erlangga Nugroho, Mokhamad Iqbal Dwi 2012. Analisis Prediksi Financial Distress dengan Menggunakan Model Altman Z-Score Modifikasi 1995 Studi Kasus Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Yang Go Public di Indonesia Tahun 2008 sampai dengan Tahun 2010. Semarang: Universitas Diponegoro Rosy, Tita 2010. Analisis Diskriminan. S. Munawir 2002. Analisis Informasi Keuangan. Yogyakarta: Liberty Yogyakarta ST. Ibrahim Mustafa Kamal 2010. Analisis Prediksi Kebangkrutan pada Perusahaan Perbankan Go Public yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia dengan Menggunakan Metode Altman Z Score. Makassar Sugiyono 2008. Metode Penelitian Bisnis. Bandung: Alfabeta www.bapepam.go.id www.idx.co.id Universitas Sumatera Utara BAB III METODE PENELITIAN

3.1 Variabel Penelitian

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Cover Prediksi Gejala Kebangkrutan dengan Analisa Model Altman ZScore pada Restaurant, Hotel dan Tourism yang Terdaftar Di BEI pada Tahun 2010 – 2012

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Abstract Prediksi Gejala Kebangkrutan dengan Analisa Model Altman ZScore pada Restaurant, Hotel dan Tourism yang Terdaftar Di BEI pada Tahun 2010 – 2012

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Chapter I Prediksi Gejala Kebangkrutan dengan Analisa Model Altman ZScore pada Restaurant, Hotel dan Tourism yang Terdaftar Di BEI pada Tahun 2010 – 2012

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Chapter II Prediksi Gejala Kebangkrutan dengan Analisa Model Altman ZScore pada Restaurant, Hotel dan Tourism yang Terdaftar Di BEI pada Tahun 2010 – 2012

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Reference Prediksi Gejala Kebangkrutan dengan Analisa Model Altman ZScore pada Restaurant, Hotel dan Tourism yang Terdaftar Di BEI pada Tahun 2010 – 2012

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Appendix Prediksi Gejala Kebangkrutan dengan Analisa Model Altman ZScore pada Restaurant, Hotel dan Tourism yang Terdaftar Di BEI pada Tahun 2010 – 2012

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