A single mutant in front of an infinite number of residents may survive

3.1 A single mutant in front of an infinite number of residents may survive

In this subsection, we consider the process { η A,B t , t ≥ 0} only in the case where A B, meaning that all points in A are located on the left of each point of B. In other words, the initial configurations belong to the set: L := {η : ηx = 1, η y = 2 ⇒ x y}. Given the nearest neighbor character of our process, whenever it starts in L , it remains in L with probability 1. For a configuration η ∈ L , we define br η = sup x : ηx = 1 and b ℓη = inf x : ηx = 2 . We now have the following consequence of Lemma 2.13 here P A,B denotes the law of { η A,B t , t ≥ 0} : Corollary 3.1. For t large enough, we have P −∞,0],{v t } § br η t ≤ v t 2 ª ∩ Ct , ǫ ‹ ≥ ρ 2 2 − ǫ. P ROOF : By Lemma 2.13 and symmetry arguments we have: P {0}{v t } § br η t ≤ v t 2 ª ∩ Ct , ǫ ‹ ≥ ρ 2 2 − ǫ On Ct , ǫ there is an open path from 0, 0 to some point in [−v + ǫt , −v − ǫt ] × {t }. Any open path starting from v t , 0 remains strictly to the right of the previous path, since otherwise there would be an open path from v t , 0 to [−v + ǫt , −v − ǫt ] × {t }, which cannot occur on the event Ct , ǫ. Consequently for the initial configuration {0}{v t } the first of these paths is always occupied by a type 1 particle. Therefore, adding to the initial configuration extra 1-type particles to the left of the origin does not alter the process to the right of that open path. Hence P −∞,0],{v t } § br η t ≤ v t 2 ª ∩ Ct , ǫ ‹ = P {0}{v t } § br η t ≤ v t 2 ª ∩ Ct , ǫ ‹ ≥ ρ 2 2 − ǫ. ƒ We will also need the following Lemma: 397 Lemma 3.2. As t → ∞, P {0}{v t } § br η t ≤ v t 2 ª ∩ Ct , ǫ ‹ − P {0}{v t } ∃ x ∈ v t 2 , 3v t 4 ; η t x = 2 ∩ § br η t ≤ v t 2 ª ∩ Ct , ǫ converges to 0. P ROOF : It suffices to show that P {0}{v t } ∀ x ∈ v t 2 , 3v t 4 ; η t x 6= 2 ∩ § br η t ≤ v t 2 ª ∩ Ct , ǫ , converges to 0 as t goes to infinity. But on the event {br η t ≤ v t 2 } there are no 1’s at time t on the interval [ v t 2 + 1, 3v t 4 ], hence we only need to prove that for the one type contact process P {v t } ∀ x ∈ v t 2 , 3v t 4 ; η t x = 0 ∩ Ct , ǫ converges to 0 as t goes to infinity. But on the event Ct , ǫ the set of occupied points in the interval v t 2 , 3v t 4 i is the same whether the initial condition of the process is Z or {v t } . Since starting from Z we have more occupied points than under the upper invariant measure the result follows from the fact that under the upper invariant measure the probability of having an empty interval of length n tends to 0 as n tends to infinity. ƒ From now on we shall use { a ζ t , t ≥ 0} to denote the two–type contact process on −∞, a]. Now we can prove: Corollary 3.3. Provided t is large enough, we have P −∞,0],{v t } § br 3v t0 2 ζ t ≤ v t 2 ª ∩ ∃x : v t 2 x 3v t 2 , 3v t0 2 ζ t x = 2 ≥ ρ 2 2 − 2ǫ. P ROOF : In this proof we will consider the two type contact process on both Z and −∞, 3 2 v t ]. These two processes are constructed on the same probability space with the same Poisson processes. For the second of these pocesses {P x t ; x 3 2 v t }, {P x,− t ; x 3 2 v t ]} and {P x,+ t ; x ≥ 3 2 v t } play no role. These processes η t and 3v t0 2 ζ t are assumed to start both from the configuration € −∞, 0], ¦ v t 2 ©Š . On the set ∃x ∈ v t 2 , 3v t 4 ; η t x = 2 , there is an open path from v t , 0 to v t 2 , 3v t 4 ] × {t }. We now show that the probability that this path ever reaches the vertical line {x = 3v t 2 } between time 0 and time t converges to 0 as t goes to infinity. Indeed, if that happened, there would be either an open path from v t , 0 to { 3 2 v t } × [0, 3 8 t ] or an open path from { 3 2 v t } × [ 3 8 t , t ] to [ 1 2 v t , 3 4 v t ] × {t }. The existence of the first of these paths has a probability which converges to 0 as t goes to infinity by Lemma 2.2. 398 By reversing the arrows and using symmetry and again Lemma 2.2, we see that the same happens to the second path. Hence, if we define G = ∃ an open path from v t , 0 to v t 2 , 3v t 4 × {t } ∩ 6 ∃ an open path from v t , 0 to v t 2 , 3v t 4 × {t } which touches the line x = 3v t 2 , we deduce from Lemma 3.2 that P {0}{v t }  Ct , ǫ ∩ § br η t ≤ v t 2 ª‹ − P {0}{v t }  G ∩ Ct , ǫ ∩ § br η t ≤ v t 2 ª‹ converges to 0 as t goes to infinity . The result follows from Corollary 3.1 and the following claim: starting both η t and 3v t0 2 ζ t from {0}{v t } we have: G ∩ Ct , ǫ ∩ {brη t ≤ v t 2 } ⊂ § br 3v t0 2 ζ t ≤ v t 2 ª ∩ ∃ v t 2 x 3v t 2 , 3v t0 2 ζ t x = 2 . To justify this claim note first that on the event G there exists a rightmost open path from v t , 0 to v t 2 , 3v t 4 i , which remains to the left of the line x = 3v t 2 . Now on the event G, the processes η t and 3v t0 2 ζ t must coincide up to time t on any point to the left of or on that open path. ƒ We now introduce the following partial order on {0, 1, 2} Z : η 1 η 2 whenever both x : η 1 x = 2 ⊂ x : η 2 x = 2 and x : η 2 x = 1 ⊂ x : η 1 x = 1 . 3.1 Intuitively means “more 1’s” and “fewer 2’s”. This partial order extends to probability measures on the set of configurations: µ 1 µ 2 means that there exists a probability measure ν on {0, 1, 2} Z 2 with marginals µ 1 and µ 2 such that ν{η, ζ : η ζ} = 1. The same notation will be used below for measures on {0, 1, 2} A , for some A ⊂ Z. We now state the Definition 3.4. Let η 1 , η 2 be two random configurations, µ 1 and µ 2 their respective probability distri- butions. We shall say that η 1 η 2 a. s. whenever 3.1 holds a. s., and that η

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