Martingales Freedman’s Inequality Matrix Martingales

The Matrix Freedman Inequality 263

1.1 Martingales

Let Ω, F , P be a probability space, and let F ⊂ F 1 ⊂ F 2 ⊂ · · · ⊂ F be a filtration of the master sigma algebra. We write E k for the expectation conditioned on F k . A martingale is a real- valued random process {Y k : k = 0, 1, 2, . . . } that is adapted to the filtration and that satisfies two properties: E k−1 Y k = Y k−1 and E Y k +∞ for k = 1, 2, 3, . . . . For simplicity, we require the initial value of a martingale to be null: Y = 0. The difference sequence is the random process defined by X k = Y k − Y k−1 for k = 1, 2, 3, . . . . Roughly, the present value of a martingale depends only on the past values, and the martingale has the status quo property: today, on average, is the same as yesterday.

1.2 Freedman’s Inequality

Freedman uses a stopping-time argument to establish the following theorem for scalar martin- gales [ Fre75 , Thm. 1.6]. Theorem 1.1 Freedman. Consider a real-valued martingale {Y k : k = 0, 1, 2, . . . } with difference sequence {X k : k = 1, 2, 3, . . . }, and assume that the difference sequence is uniformly bounded: X k ≤ R almost surely for k = 1, 2, 3, . . . . Define the predictable quadratic variation process of the martingale: W k := X k j=1 E j−1 X 2 j for k = 1, 2, 3, . . . . Then, for all t ≥ 0 and σ 2 0, P ¦ ∃k ≥ 0 : Y k ≥ t and W k ≤ σ 2 © ≤ exp ¨ − −t 2 2 σ 2 + Rt3 « . When the difference sequence {X k } consists of independent random variables, the predictable quadratic variation is no longer random. In this case, Freedman’s inequality reduces to the usual Bernstein inequality [ Lug09 , Thm. 6].

1.3 Matrix Martingales

Matrix martingales are defined in much the same manner as scalar martingales. Consider a ran- dom process {Y k : k = 0, 1, 2, . . . } whose values are matrices of finite dimension. We say that the process is a matrix martingale when Y = 0 and E k−1 Y k = Y k−1 and E Y k +∞ for k = 1, 2, 3, . . . . We write k·k for the spectral norm of a matrix, which returns its largest singular value. As before, we define the difference sequence {X k : k = 1, 2, 3, . . . } via the relation X k = Y k − Y k−1 for k = 1, 2, 3, . . . . A matrix-valued random process is a martingale if and only if we obtain a scalar martingale when we track each fixed coordinate in time. 264 Electronic Communications in Probability

1.4 Freedman’s Inequality for Matrices

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