Existing of Non Rubber Development Area of Rubber Plantation

45 analysis was performed using AHP method with ratings to export plantation areas. This method uses social and economic factors. Figure 16 Area of Suitable Map, Rubber and Productivity of Rubber

4.5. Existing of Non Rubber

The conditions of suitable areas for rubber but planted with non rubber other commodities is shown in Table 16. Suitable areas planted with non rubber were divided into eight conditions, namely moderately suitable S2 shrub areas existing shrub have the biggest area from the total of land about 310,526 hectares or 29.1. This was followed by highly suitable areas planted with oil palm S1 oil palm about 13,277 hectares 1.2, moderately suitable areas planted with oil palm S2 oil palm about 44,893 hectares 4.2, highly suitable areas planted with mixed gardens S1 mixed gardens about 77,218 hectares 7.2, moderately suitable areas planted with mixed gardens S2 mixed gardens about 58,013 hectares 5.4, highly suitable areas existing shrub S1 shrub about 33,549 hectares 3.1 please see Figure 18, high suitable areas planted with paddy 46 field S1 paddy field about 77,218 ha or 7,2 and moderately suitable areas planted with paddy field about 5,801 ha or 5.4. The next step is analyzing using AHP with ratings method, especially shrub area. Map of existing of non rubber please see Figure 17. Table 16 Existing of Non Rubber In Banyuasin Regency No. Class Area Ha Percentages 1 S1 Mixed Gardens 77,218 7.2 2 S2 Mixed Gardens 58,013 5.4 3 S1 Paddy Field 8,372 0.8 4 S2 Paddy Field 188,304 17.6 5 S1 Shrub 33,550 3.1 6 S2 Shrub 310,526 29.1 7 S2 Oil Palm 44,894 4.2 8 S1 Oil Palm 13,278 1.2 Total: 734,154 Figure 17 Existing of Non Rubber in Banyuasin Regency 47 Figure 18 Existing of Shrub in Sub Regency

4.6. Development Area of Rubber Plantation

To select sub regency which has a high production potential of rubber expert judgments are required, with regard to social and economic factors. In this analysis questionnaires are uses as a tool to get input data from four 4 experts of different disciplines scientific see Appendix 7. From the results of questionnaires some values were obtained i.e. criteria aspect value 15 from four experts, followed by value 3 from one expert. For the value of sub criteria social aspect is value 5 from two experts, value 15 from one expert and value 9 from one expert. For the value of sub criteria economic aspect is value 3 from one expert, value 5 from two experts and followed by value 19 from one expert. Then this value checked one by one for consistency of judgment. The values are combined into one value using geometric mean method. T he consistency ratio to determine comparisons are consistent. Consistency ratio in PCM process is mean consistency in judgments from experts group to know about vulnerability problem. In this study, consistency ratio CR 48 has value 0.1. Criteria economy has high weight value 0.71 which means developing the economy is the most important criteria than social criteria. In social criteria, rubber area is most important than the number of rubber farmer, with weight value of 0.72. For economy criteria, ratio income of rubber with non rubber is most important than ratio cost of rubber with non rubber which has weight value of 0.63 see Appendix 5. Rating models was evaluated all sub regency of Banyuasin Regency i.e. fifteen 15 sub regency. The result of rating models is shown in Table 17, in Table 17 shows each sub regency has value total ranging from 0 to 1 and shows also that Rambutan Sub Regency, Betung Sub Regency, Rantau Bayur Sub Regency and Banyuasin III sub regency are top four in priorities of sub regency for rubber plantation development, Rambutan sub regency has total value 0.640, Betung sub regency has total value of 0.682, Rantau Bayur sub Regency has total value of 0.593 and Banyuasin III Sub Regency has of value 0.588. That is meaning based on consideration social and economic factors, the top four in priorities of sub regency has positive impact than other sub regency, so considerately Rambutan Sub Regency, Betung Sub Regency, Rantau Bayur Sub Regency and Banyuasin III sub regency as area of priorities for rubber plantation development. The area and percent of priorities of the alternatives is shown in Table 18, which Rantau Bayur Sub Regency S1has shrub area about 12,998 ha or 1.2, followed by Banyuasin III Sub Regency S2 has shrub area about 4,356 ha or 0.4, Betung Sub regency S2 and S1 has shrub area about 3,753 ha 0.4 and 3,584 ha 0.3, etc. The total area of priorities for rubber plantation development is 51,960 ha or 4.87 from area of Banyuasin Regency as shown in Figure 19. 49 Table 17 Priorities of Rubber in Sub Regency Ratings CriteriaSub Criteria Alternatives Social Economy Rubber Area Number of Rubber Farmer Income Cost Total 0.3611 0.1389 0.3148 0.1852 Talang Kelapa small sn low small 0.182 Muara Padang very small sn low large 0.263 Makarti Jaya very small vsn low moderate 0.190 Banyuaisn III very large vhn low very small 0.588 Banyuasin II very small vsn very low very small 0.034 Banyuasin I small mn low large 0.324 Pulau Rimau medium vsn low small 0.219 Rantau Bayur small vsn high very large 0.492 Muara Telang very small vsn very low very small 0.034 Betung very large vhn medium very small 0.682 Rambutan small hn very high very large 0.640 Tanjung Lago very small sn very low very small 0.052 Air Saleh very small vsn very low very small 0.034 Muara Sugihan very small vsn very low very small 0.034 Tungkal Ilir very small vsn very low very small 0.034 Table 18 Area and Percent of Priorities of the Alternatives No. Priorities of the Alternatives Area ha Percent 1 Rambutan S1 : Shrub 1,062 0.1 Rambutan S2 : Shrub 17,507 1.6 2 Batung S1 : Shrub 3,584 0.3 Batung S2 : Shrub 3,753 0.4 3 Rantau Bayur S1 : Shrub 12,998 1.2 Rantau Bayur S2 : Shrub 6,218 0.6 4 Banyuasin III S1 : Shrub 2,482 0.2 Banyuasin III S2 : Shrub 4,356 0.4 Total 51,960 4.9 50 Figure 19 Priorities of Sub Regency for Rubber Plantation Development

4.7 Summary of Result

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