Hasil Uji Akar Unit terhadap Residual Persamaan Regresi Uji Autokorelasi Uji Heteroskedastisitas

Lampiran 3 Kointegrasi

a. Hasil Uji Akar Unit terhadap Residual Persamaan Regresi

Null Hypothesis: U has a unit root Exogenous: None Lag Length: 0 Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=8 t-Statistic Prob. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -5.200239 0.0000 Test critical values: 1 level -2.647120 5 level -1.952910 10 level -1.610011 MacKinnon 1996 one-sided p-values. Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation Dependent Variable: DU Method: Least Squares Date: 041907 Time: 18:13 Sampleadjusted: 1976 2004 Included observations: 29 after adjusting endpoints Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. U-1 -0.910560 0.175100 -5.200239 0.0000 R-squared 0.489217 Mean dependent var 0.124142 Adjusted R-squared 0.489217 S.D. dependent var 1.973356 S.E. of regression 1.410340 Akaike info criterion 3.559412 Sum squared resid 55.69363 Schwarz criterion 3.606561 Log likelihood -50.61148 Durbin-Watson stat 1.973045 b. Model Jangka Panjang Dependent Variable: Y Method: Least Squares Date: 042207 Time: 18:26 Sample: 1975 2004 Included observations: 30 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C -22.11676 6.515853 -3.394300 0.0024 LN_RUTIN -2.046662 0.845356 -2.421064 0.0234 LN_PEMB 1.318086 1.092483 1.206505 0.2394 LN_INVEST 0.285652 0.405861 0.703816 0.4883 LN_LABOR 3.932046 0.839725 4.682538 0.0001 INF -0.233060 0.024255 -9.608633 0.0000 R-squared 0.861528 Mean dependent var 5.397000 Adjusted R-squared 0.832680 S.D. dependent var 4.030403 S.E. of regression 1.648628 Akaike info criterion 4.014620 Sum squared resid 65.23138 Schwarz criterion 4.294860 Log likelihood -54.21930 F-statistic 29.86407 Durbin-Watson stat 1.678375 ProbF-statistic 0.000000 Lampiran 4 Uji Kebaikan Model ECM

a. Uji Autokorelasi

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic 0.388709 Probability 0.685552 ObsR-squared 0.000000 Probability 1.000000

b. Uji Heteroskedastisitas

ARCH Test: F-statistic 1.103146 Probability 0.349493 ObsR-squared 2.278635 Probability 0.320037 White Heteroskedasticity Test: F-statistic 3.778905 Probability 0.230298 ObsR-squared 26.41744 Probability 0.332330

c. Uji Normalitas