Law of large numbers and central limit theorem

5.4 Proof of transience when q

≥ bb + 1 Proposition 5.6. Assume that the cookie environment C = p 1 , . . . , p M ; q is such that q ≥ b b + 1 . Then, the cookie random walk is transient. Remark 5.7. Under the stronger assumption q bb + 1, one can prove, using a similar coupling argument as in the proof of Lemma 4.6, that the absorbtion time T of Z defined in 7 is infinite with strictly positive probability. This fact implies the transience of the cookie random walk. However, when q = bb + 1, the absorbtion time T may, or may not, depending on the cookie environment, be finite almost surely. Yet, Proposition 5.6 states that the walk is still transient in both cases. Proof of Proposition 5.6. In view of the monotonicity property of the walk w.r.t. the cookie environ- ment stated in Corollary 3.8, we just need to prove that, for any M , we can find ˜ q bb + 1 such that the walk in the cookie environment ˜ C = 0, . . . , 0 | {z } M times ; ˜ q 25 is transient. It easily checked that the irreducible classes of the matrix ˜ P associated to a cookie environment of the form 25 are {0} and [M +1, ∞[ see, for instance, Remark 4.4. Moreover, for such a cookie environment, the coefficients of ˜ P have a particularly simple form. Indeed, recalling Definition 3.1, a few line of elementary calculus yields, for i, j ≥ M + 1, ˜pi, j = j + i − M − 1 j s j 1 − s i −M where s def = ˜ q ˜ q + 1 − ˜qb 26 see Lemma 7.3 for a proof of 26 in a more general setting. Therefore, the polynomial vector U def = ii−1 . . . i−M i ≥M+1 is a right eigenvector of the irreducible sub-matrix ˜ P 1 def = ˜pi, j i , j≥M+1 associated with the eigenvalue ˜ λ def =  s 1 − s ‹ M + 1 . i.e. ˜ P 1 U = ˜ λU. Similarly, setting V def = € s1 − s i −1 Š i ≥M+1 , it also follows from 26 that V is a left eigenvector of ˜ P 1 associated with the same eigenvalue ˜ λ i.e. t V ˜ P 1 = ˜ λ t V . Moreover, the inner product t V U is finite. Thus, according to Criterion III p375 of [23], the spectral radius of ˜ P 1 is equal to ˜ λ. Since ˜ λ tends to 1 as ˜ q increases to bb + 1, we can find ˜ q bb + 1 such that ˜ λ 1b. Proposition 5.5 insures that, for this choice of ˜ q , the cookie random walk is transient. 6 Rate of growth of the walk.

6.1 Law of large numbers and central limit theorem

We now prove Theorem 1.3. Thus, in rest of this section, we assume that X is a transient cookie random walk in an environment C = p 1 , . . . , p M ; q such that p i 0 for all i ∈ {1, . . . , M}. 27 1651 The proof is based on the classical decomposition of the walk using the regeneration structure provided by the existence of cut times for the walk. Recall that T x denotes the sub-tree of T rooted at site x. We say that random time C 0 is a cut time for the cookie random walk X if it is such that: ¨ X i ∈ T X C for all i C, X i ∈ T X C for all i ≥ C. i.e. C is a time where the walk first enters a new subtree of T and never exits it. Let now C n n ≥1 denote the increasing enumeration of these cut times: C 1 def = inf{k 0, k is a cut time}, C n+ 1 def = inf{k C n , k is a cut time}, with the convention that inf{;} = ∞ and C n+ 1 = ∞ when C n = ∞. Proposition 6.1. Suppose that the sequence of cut times C n n ≥1 is well defined i.e. finite a.s.. Suppose further that E[C 2 1 ] ∞. Then, there exist deterministic v, σ 0 such that |X n | n a.s. −→ n →∞ v and |X n | − nv p n law −→ n →∞ N 0, σ 2 . Proof. Let us first note that the event A def = {X never crosses the edge from o to o} has non zero prob- ability since the walk is transient and no cookies have strength 0 in this case, the irreducible classes for the matrix P are {0} and [1, ∞. Recalling that the walk evolves independently on distinct subtrees, it is easily seen that the sequence C n+ 1 − C n , |X C n+ 1 | − |X C n | n ≥1 is i.i.d. and dis- tributed as C 1 , |X C 1 | under the conditional measure P{·|A} c.f. for instance [7; 13] for details. Since P{A} 0 and the walk X is nearest neighbor, we get E[C n+ 1 − C n 2 ] = E[C 2 1 |A] ∞ and E[ |X C n+ 1 | − |X C n | 2 ] = E[|X C 1 | 2 |A] ∞. Thus, we have C n n a.s. −→ n →∞ E[C 1 |A], |X C n | n a.s. −→ n →∞ E[ |X C 1 ||A], |X C n |−E[|X C 1 ||A]n p n law −→ n →∞ N 0, E[|X C 1 | 2 |A], and the proposition follows from a change of time, c.f. [7; 13] for details. Theorem 1.3 will now follow from Proposition 6.1 once we have shown that the cut times of the walk are well defined and have a finite second moment. We shall, in fact, prove the stronger result: Proposition 6.2. The cut times of the walk are well defined and, for all β 0, E[C β 1 ] ∞. The proof of this result relies on the following two lemmas whose proofs are provided after the proof of the proposition. Lemma 6.3. Recall the definition of the branching Markov chain L. Let U denote the total number of particles not located at 0 for the entire lifetime of the process i.e. U def = ♯{x ∈ T, ℓx 0}. There exists c 1 0 such that, for all n, P 1 {U n | L dies out} ≤ c 1 e −n 13 . 1652 Lemma 6.4. Let γ n n ≥0 denote the increasing sequence of times where the walk visits a new site: γ def = 0 γ n+ 1 def = inf{k γ n , X k 6= X i for all i k}. There exist ν, c 2 0 such that, for all n, P {γ n n ν } ≤ c 2 e −n . Proof of Proposition 6.2. We need to introduce some notation. We define two interlaced sequences S i i ≥0 and D i i ≥0 by S = γ 1 , D = inf{n S , X n = ← X S = o}, and by induction, for k ≥ 1, ¨ S k = inf{γ n , γ n D k −1 }, D k = inf{n S k , X n = ← X S k }. with the convention that, if D k = ∞, then D j , S j = ∞ for all j ≥ k. Let us set χ def = inf{k ≥ 0, D k = ∞}. Since the walk visits infinitely many distinct vertices, we have S k ∞ whenever D k −1 ∞ so that these two interlaced sequences have the form S D S 1 D 1 . . . S χ D χ = ∞. The interval [S k , D k represents the times where the walk performs an excursion away from the set of vertices it has already visited before time S k . With these notations, the first cut time is given by C 1 = S χ . For n, m such that X m ∈ T X n , we use the slight abuse of notation X m − X n to denote the position of X m shifted by X n i.e. the position of X m with respect to the subtree T X n . Using the Markov property for the stopping times S k , D k and noticing that the walk evolves on distinct subtrees on the time intervals [S k , D k , it follows that compare with Lemma 3 of [7] for details: a Conditionally on D k ∞ i.e. χ k, the sequences X S j +i − X S j 0≤iD j −S j , j ≤ k are i.i.d. and distributed as X i i D under the conditional measure P{·|D ∞} with D = inf{k ≥ 1, X k −1 = X k = o}. b Conditionally on D k ∞, the random variable D k+ 1 − S k+ 1 has the same distribution as D − S . In particular, P{D k+ 1 ∞ | D k ∞} = P{D ∞}. Thus, χ has a geometric distribution with parameter r def = P{D ∞} = P 1 {L dies out} 0: P {χ = k} = 1 − rr k for k ≥ 0. 1653 Fact b implies, in particular, that the first cut time C 1 = S χ and thus all cut times is finite almost surely. It remains to bound the moments of C 1 . We write P {S χ n ν } = P{S χ n ν and χ ≥ α ln n} + P{S χ n ν and χ α ln n} ≤ r α ln n + P{S χ n ν and χ α ln n} where α 0 and where ν is the constant of Lemma 6.4. Let β 0 be fixed, we can choose α large enough so that P {S χ n ν } ≤ 1 n β+1ν + P{S χ n ν and χ α ln n}. 28 It remains to find an upper bound for the second term. Let us first note that P {S χ n ν and χ α ln n} ≤ α ln n X k= P {S k n ν and χ ≥ k}. 29 We introduce the sequence V k k ≥0 defined by V k def = number of distinct vertices visited by the walk during the excursion [S k , D k , with the convention that V k = ∞ when D k = ∞. By definition of S k , D k , the total number of distinct vertices other than the root visited by the walk up to time S k is exactly the sum of the number of vertices visited in each excursion [S i , D i i k which is V + . . . + V k −1 . Thus, S k is the time where the walk visits its V + . . . + V k −1 + 2 th new vertex. This yields the identity S k = γ V +...+V k −1 +2 which holds for all k with the convention γ ∞ = ∞. Thus, we can rewrite the r.h.s. of 29 as α ln n X k= P {S k n ν and χ ≥ k} = α ln n X k= P {γ V +...+V k −1 +2 n ν and V 1 + . . . + V k −1 ∞}. 30 Each term on the r.h.s. of 30 is bounded by P {γ V +...+V k −1 +2 n ν and V 1 + . . . + V k −1 ∞} = P{γ V +...+V k −1 +2 n ν and n V + . . . + V k −1 + 2 ∞} + P{γ V +...+V k −1 +2 n ν and V + . . . + V k −1 + 2 ≤ n} ≤ P{n − 2 V + . . . + V k −1 ∞} + P{γ n n ν } ≤ P{n − 2 V + . . . + V k −1 ∞} + c 2 e −n 31 where we used Lemma 6.4 for the last inequality. Let us note that, according to Fact a, condition- ally on {V + . . . + V k −1 ∞} = {χ ≥ k}, the random variables V , V 1 , . . . , V k −1 are i.i.d. and have the same law as the number of vertices visited by the walk before the time D of its first jump from the root to the root under the conditional measure P{· | D ∞}. Recalling the construction of the branching Markov chain L described in Section 3, we see that this distribution is exactly that of the 1654 random variable U of Lemma 6.3 under the measure ˜ P def = P 1 {· | L dies out}. Let now U i i ≥0 denote a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with the same distribution as U under ˜ P . For k ≤ α ln n, we get P {n − 2 V + . . . + V k −1 ∞} ≤ P{V + . . . + V k −1 n − 2 | V + . . . + V k −1 ∞} = ˜ P {U + . . . + U k −1 n − 2} ≤ α ln n˜P U n − 2 α ln n ≤ c 1 α ln n exp − n − 2 α ln n 1 3 32 where we used Lemma 6.3 for the last inequality. Combining 28-32, we conclude that P {S χ n ν } ≤ 1 n β+1ν + c 2 α ln ne −n + c 1 α ln n 2 exp − n − 2 α ln n 1 3 ≤ 2 n β+1ν for all n large enough. This yields E[S β χ ] ∞. We now provide the proof of the lemmas. Proof of Lemma 6.3. Let ♯L n denote the number of particles not located at 0 at time n: ♯L n def = ♯{x ∈ T n , ℓx 0}. Let also Θ stand for the lifetime of L: Θ def = inf{n, ♯L n = 0} with the convention Θ = ∞ when L does not die out. Since no cookie has strength 0, the irreducible classes of P are {0} and [1, ∞. Thus, the transience of the walk implies P 1 {Θ ∞} ∈ 0, 1. Let H denote the maximal number of particles alive at the same time for the process L: H def = sup n ♯L n . It follows from the inequality U ≤ HΘ that P 1 {U ≥ n, Θ ∞} ≤ P 1 {H ≥ p n , Θ ∞} + P 1 {H p n , Θ ≥ p n }. 33 The first term on the r.h.s of 33 is easy to bound. Recalling the monotonicity property of Proposi- tion 3.6, we have P j {Θ ∞} ≤ P 1 {Θ ∞} for any j ≥ 1. Therefore, using the Markov property of L with the stopping time ζ def = inf{k, ♯{x ∈ T k , ℓx 0} ≥ p n }, we get, with obvious notation, P 1 {H ≥ p n , Θ ∞} = E 1 [1 {ζ∞} P L ζ {Θ ∞}] ≤ P ⌊ p n ⌋ particles loc. at 1 {Θ ∞} = P 1 {Θ ∞} ⌊ p n ⌋ ≤ e −n 13 34 1655 where the last inequality holds for n large enough. We now compute an upper bound for the second term on the r.h.s. of 33. Given k p n , it follows again from Proposition 3.6 that, P 1 {H p n , Θ ≥ p n } ≤ P 1 {♯L k p n } ⌊nk+1⌋ . 35 this bound is obtained by considering the process where all the particles at time k +1, 2k +1, . . . are replaced by a single particle located at 1. Let us for the time being admit that there exist ρ 1 and α 0 such that, a def = lim inf i →∞ P 1 {♯L i ≥ αρ i } 0. 36 Then, choosing k = ⌊ln n ln ρ⌋, the combination of 35 and 36 yields, for all n large enough, P 1 {H p n , Θ ≥ p n } ≤ P 1 {♯L k αρ k } ⌊nk+1⌋ ≤ 1 − a ⌊nk+1⌋ ≤ e −n 13 . 37 Putting 33,34 and 37 together, we conclude that, P 1 {U ≥ n | L dies out} = P 1 {U ≥ n, Θ ∞} P 1 {Θ ∞} ≤ c 1 e −n 13 which is the claim of the Lemma. It remains to prove 36. Recall that q represents the bias of the walk when all the cookie have been eaten. We consider separately the two cases q bb + 1 and q ≥ bb + 1. a q bb + 1. Since the walk is transient, the spectral radius of the irreducible class [1, ∞ of the matrix P is necessarily strictly larger than 1b otherwise the walk would be recurrent according to Proposition 5.2. Using exactly the same arguments as in the proof of Proposition 5.5, we can find r large enough such that the finite sub-matrix p i , j 1≤i, j≤r is irreducible with spectral radius ˜ λ strictly larger than 1b. We consider again the process ˜L obtained from L by removing all the particles x along with their progeny whose position ℓx is not in [1, r]. As already noticed in the proof of Proposition 5.5, the process ˜L is a positive regular, non singular, multi-type branching process with a finite number of types and with parameter ρ = b ˜ λ 1. Therefore, Theorem 1 p192 of [3] implies that, for α 0 small enough, lim i →∞ P 1 {♯˜L i ≥ αρ i } 0 which, in turn, implies 36. b q ≥ bb + 1. The spectral radius λ of the irreducible class [1, ∞ may, in this case, be strictly smaller that 1b see the remark below the statement of Theorem 1.2. However, as shown during the proof of Proposition 5.6, we can always find ˆ q bb + 1 q such that the walk in the cookie environment 0, . . . , 0 ; ˆ q is transient. Therefore, the walk in the cookie environment ˆ C = p 1 , . . . , p M ; ˆ q ≤ C is also transient. Denoting by ˆL the branching Markov chain associated with ˆ C , it follows from the previous case a combined with Proposition 3.7 that, for some ρ 1, α 0, lim inf i →∞ P 1 {♯L i ≥ αρ i } ≥ lim inf i →∞ P 1 {♯ˆL i ≥ αρ i } 0. 1656 Proof of Lemma 6.4. Recall that, given x ∈ T and i ∈ {0, . . . , b}, we denote by → x i the i th child of x with the convention → x = ← x . We call un-rooted path of length k an element [v 1 , . . . , v k ] ∈ {0, . . . , b} k . Such a path is said to be increasing if v i 6= 0 for all 1 ≤ i ≤ k. The sub-paths of v are the paths of the form [v i , . . . , v j ] with 0 ≤ i ≤ j ≤ k. Given x ∈ T, we use the notation x[v 1 , . . . , v k ] to denote the endpoint of the path rooted at site x i.e. x[ ;] def = x and x[v 1 , . . . , v k ] def = −−−−−−−−−→ x[v 1 , . . . , v k −1 ] vk . The proof of the lemma is based on the following observation: given two increasing paths v, w with same length k such that [v 1 , . . . , v k ] 6= [w 1 , . . . , w k ], we have x[v 1 , . . . , v k ] 6= y[w 1 , . . . , w k ] for any x, y ∈ T. Let u k k ≥1 denote the sequence of random variables taking values in {0, . . . , b} defined by X n = → X un n −1 . With the previous notation, we have, for any m ≤ n, X n = X m [u m+ 1 , . . . , u n ]. It follows from the previous remark that, for any fixed k ≤ n, the number of distinct vertices visited by the walk X up to time n is larger than the number of distinct increasing sub-paths of length k in the random path [u 1 , . . . , u n ]. We get a lower bound for the number of such sub-paths using a coupling argument. Recall that no cookie has strength 0 and set η = min{ p 1 b , . . . , p M b , q b } 0. It is clear from the definition of the transition probabilities of the cookie random walk X that ¨ P {u n = i | u 1 , . . . , u n } ≥ η for i ∈ {1, . . . , b}, P {u n = 0 | u 1 , . . . , u n } ≤ 1 − bη. Therefore, we can construct on the same probability space a sequence of i.i.d random variables ˜ u n n ≥1 with distribution: ¨ P {˜u n = i} = η for i ∈ {1, . . . , b} P {˜u n = 0} = 1 − bη, in such way that ˜ u n = i 6= 0 implies u n = i. With this construction, any increasing sub-path of [˜ u 1 , . . . , ˜ u n ] is also an increasing sub-path of [u 1 , . . . , u n ]. Moreover, since the sequence ˜ u n n ≥1 is i.i.d., we have, for any fixed increasing path [v 1 , . . . , v k ], P [ ˜ u 1 , . . . , ˜ u n ] does not contain the sub-path [v 1 , . . . , v k ] ≤ ⌊nk⌋ Y j= 1 P ¦ [ ˜ u j−1k+1 , . . . , ˜ u jk ] 6= [v 1 , . . . , v k ] © = 1 − η k ⌊nk⌋ . 38 1657 We now choose k def = ⌊c ln n⌋ + 1 with c def = 1 3 ln1η and set δ def = c ln b. Since there are b k n δ increasing paths of length k, we get, for n large enough, P ¦ [ ˜ u 1 , . . . , ˜ u n ] contains less than n δ distinct increasing sub-paths of same length © ≤ P [ ˜ u 1 , . . . , ˜ u n ] does not contain all increasing sub-paths of length k} ≤ b k 1 − η k ⌊nk⌋ ≤ e − p n . Thus, if V n denotes the number of distinct vertices visited by the cookie random walk X up to time n , we have proved the lower bound: P {V n ≤ n δ } ≤ e − p n . Choosing ν max1δ, 2, we conclude that, for all n large enough, P {γ n ≥ n ν } = P{V ⌊n ν ⌋ ≤ n} ≤ P{V ⌊n ν ⌋ ≤ ⌊n ν ⌋ δ } ≤ e − p ⌊n ν ⌋ ≤ e −n .

6.2 Example of a transient walk with sub-linear growth

Dokumen yang terkait

AN ALIS IS YU RID IS PUT USAN BE B AS DAL AM P E RKAR A TIND AK P IDA NA P E NY E RTA AN M E L AK U K A N P R AK T IK K E DO K T E RA N YA NG M E N G A K IB ATK AN M ATINYA P AS IE N ( PUT USA N N O MOR: 9 0/PID.B /2011/ PN.MD O)

0 82 16

ANALISIS FAKTOR YANGMEMPENGARUHI FERTILITAS PASANGAN USIA SUBUR DI DESA SEMBORO KECAMATAN SEMBORO KABUPATEN JEMBER TAHUN 2011

2 53 20

EFEKTIVITAS PENDIDIKAN KESEHATAN TENTANG PERTOLONGAN PERTAMA PADA KECELAKAAN (P3K) TERHADAP SIKAP MASYARAKAT DALAM PENANGANAN KORBAN KECELAKAAN LALU LINTAS (Studi Di Wilayah RT 05 RW 04 Kelurahan Sukun Kota Malang)

45 393 31

FAKTOR – FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA INDUSTRI PENGOLAHAN BESAR DAN MENENGAH PADA TINGKAT KABUPATEN / KOTA DI JAWA TIMUR TAHUN 2006 - 2011

1 35 26

A DISCOURSE ANALYSIS ON “SPA: REGAIN BALANCE OF YOUR INNER AND OUTER BEAUTY” IN THE JAKARTA POST ON 4 MARCH 2011

9 161 13

Pengaruh kualitas aktiva produktif dan non performing financing terhadap return on asset perbankan syariah (Studi Pada 3 Bank Umum Syariah Tahun 2011 – 2014)

6 101 0

Pengaruh pemahaman fiqh muamalat mahasiswa terhadap keputusan membeli produk fashion palsu (study pada mahasiswa angkatan 2011 & 2012 prodi muamalat fakultas syariah dan hukum UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta)

0 22 0

Pendidikan Agama Islam Untuk Kelas 3 SD Kelas 3 Suyanto Suyoto 2011

4 108 178

ANALISIS NOTA KESEPAHAMAN ANTARA BANK INDONESIA, POLRI, DAN KEJAKSAAN REPUBLIK INDONESIA TAHUN 2011 SEBAGAI MEKANISME PERCEPATAN PENANGANAN TINDAK PIDANA PERBANKAN KHUSUSNYA BANK INDONESIA SEBAGAI PIHAK PELAPOR

1 17 40

KOORDINASI OTORITAS JASA KEUANGAN (OJK) DENGAN LEMBAGA PENJAMIN SIMPANAN (LPS) DAN BANK INDONESIA (BI) DALAM UPAYA PENANGANAN BANK BERMASALAH BERDASARKAN UNDANG-UNDANG RI NOMOR 21 TAHUN 2011 TENTANG OTORITAS JASA KEUANGAN

3 32 52